scholarly journals Electricity Substitution Potential Prediction Based on Tent-CSO-CG-SSA-Improved SVM—A Case Study of China

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 853
Author(s):  
Jinqiang Geng ◽  
Weigao Meng ◽  
Qiaoran Yang
Keyword(s):  
Development Strategy ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Electrical Power ◽  
Electrical Energy ◽  
Population Diversity ◽  
Fuel Oil ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Energy Substitution ◽  
Model Combining

Nowadays, fossil energy continues to dominate China’s energy usage; its inefficient use and large crude emissions of coal and fuel oil in its end-consumption have brought about great pressure to reduce emissions. Electrical power substitution as a development strategy is an important step toward achieving sustainable development, the transformation of the end-use energy consumption structure, and double carbon goals. To better guide the broad promotion of electrical power substitution, and to offer theoretical support for its development, this paper quantifies the amount of electrical power substitution and the influencing factors that affect the potential of electrical energy substitution. This paper proposes a hybrid model, combining Tent chaos mapping (Tent), chicken swarm optimization (CSO), Cauchy–Gaussian mutation (CG), the sparrow search algorithm (SSA), and a support vector machine (SVM), as a Tent-CSO-CG-SSA-SVM model, which first uses the method of Tent chaos mapping to initialize the sparrow population in order to increase population diversity and improve the search ability of the algorithm. Then, the CSO is introduced to update the positions of sparrows, and the CG method is introduced to make the algorithm jump out of the local optimum, in order to improve the global search ability of the SSA. Finally, the final electrical power substitution potential prediction model is obtained by optimizing the SVM through a multi-algorithm combination approach. To verify the validity of the model, two regions in China were used as case studies for the prediction analysis of electrical energy substitution potential, and the prediction results were compared with multiple models. The results of the study show that Tent-CSO-CG-SSA-SVM offers a good improvement in prediction accuracy, and that Tent-CSO-CG-SSA-SVM is a promising method for the prediction of electrical power substitution potential.

scholarly journals Simultaneous Feature Selection and Support Vector Machine Optimization Using an Enhanced Chimp Optimization Algorithm

Algorithms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 282
Author(s):  
Di Wu ◽  
Wanying Zhang ◽  
Heming Jia ◽  
Xin Leng
Keyword(s):  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Rank Correlation ◽  
Population Diversity ◽  
The Other ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Original Algorithm ◽  
Spearman’S Rank Correlation

Chimp Optimization Algorithm (ChOA), a novel meta-heuristic algorithm, has been proposed in recent years. It divides the population into four different levels for the purpose of hunting. However, there are still some defects that lead to the algorithm falling into the local optimum. To overcome these defects, an Enhanced Chimp Optimization Algorithm (EChOA) is developed in this paper. Highly Disruptive Polynomial Mutation (HDPM) is introduced to further explore the population space and increase the population diversity. Then, the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient between the chimps with the highest fitness and the lowest fitness is calculated. In order to avoid the local optimization, the chimps with low fitness values are introduced with Beetle Antenna Search Algorithm (BAS) to obtain visual ability. Through the introduction of the above three strategies, the ability of population exploration and exploitation is enhanced. On this basis, this paper proposes an EChOA-SVM model, which can optimize parameters while selecting the features. Thus, the maximum classification accuracy can be achieved with as few features as possible. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, the proposed method is compared with seven common methods, including the original algorithm. Seventeen benchmark datasets from the UCI machine learning library are used to evaluate the accuracy, number of features, and fitness of these methods. Experimental results show that the classification accuracy of the proposed method is better than the other methods on most data sets, and the number of features required by the proposed method is also less than the other algorithms.

scholarly journals Collaborative Target Search Algorithm for UAV Based on Chaotic Disturbance Pigeon-Inspired Optimization

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (16) ◽  
pp. 7358
Author(s):  
Linlin Li ◽  
Shufang Xu ◽  
Hua Nie ◽  
Yingchi Mao ◽  
Shun Yu
Keyword(s):  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Chaotic Map ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Population Diversity ◽  
Convergence Speed ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Search Problem ◽  
Target Search ◽  
Disturbance Factor

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have shown their superiority in military and civilian missions. In the face of complex tasks, many UAVs are usually needed to cooperate with each other. Therefore, multi-UAV cooperative target search has attracted more and more scholars’ attention. At present, there are many bionic algorithms for solving the cooperative search problem of multi-UAVs, including particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) and differential evolution (DE). Pigeon-inspired optimization (PIO) is a new swarm intelligence optimization algorithm proposed in recent years. It has great advantages over other algorithms in convergence, robustness, and accuracy, and has few parameters to be adjusted. Aiming at the shortcomings of the standard pigeon colony algorithm, such as poor population diversity, slow convergence speed, and the ease of falling into local optimum, we have proposed chaotic disturbance pigeon-inspired optimization (CDPIO) algorithm. The improved tent chaotic map was used to initialize the population and increase the diversity of the population. The disturbance factor is introduced in the iterative update stage of the algorithm to generate new individuals, replace the individuals with poor performance, and carry out disturbance to increase the optimization accuracy. Benchmark functions and UAV target search model were used to test the algorithm performance. The results show that the CDPIO had faster convergence speed, better optimization precision, better robustness, and better performance than PIO.

scholarly journals Forecasting of Coal Demand in China Based on Support Vector Machine Optimized by the Improved Gravitational Search Algorithm

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanbin Li ◽  
Zhen Li
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Memory Function ◽  
Gravitational Search Algorithm ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mutation Strategy ◽  
Gravitational Search ◽  
The New Period

The main target of the energy revolution in the new period is coal, but the proportion of coal in primary energy consumption will gradually decrease. As coal is a major producer and consumer of energy, analyzing the trend of coal demand in the future is of great significance for formulating the policy of coal development planning and driving the revolution of energy sources in China. In order to predict coal demand scientifically and accurately, firstly, the index system of influencing factors of coal demand was constructed, and the grey relational analysis method was used to select key indicators as input variables of the model. Then, the kernel function of SVM (support vector machine) was optimized by taking advantage of the fast convergence speed of GSA (gravitational search algorithm), and the memory function and boundary mutation strategy of PSO (particle swarm optimization) were introduced to improve the gravitational search algorithm, and the improved GSA (IGSA)–SVM prediction model was obtained. After that, the effectiveness of IGSA–SVM in predicting coal demand was further proven through empirical and comparative analysis. Finally, IGSA–SVM was used to forecast China’s coal demand in 2018–2025. According to the forecasting results, relevant suggestions about coal supply, consumption, and transformation are put forward, providing scientific basis for formulating an energy development strategy.

Electric Price Forecast using Interbreed Approach of Linear Regression and SVM

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 537 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deepak Saini ◽  
Akash Saxena
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Electricity Markets ◽  
Electrical Power ◽  
Electrical Energy ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Price Forecast ◽  
Effective Manner

<p>Electricity price forecasting is a hypercritical issue due to the involvement of consumers and producers in electricity markets. Price forecasting plays an important role in planning and managing economic operations related with the electrical power (bidding, trading) and other decisions related with load shedding and generation rescheduling. It is also useful for optimization in electrical energy trade. This paper explores an interbreed technique based on Support Vector Machine (SVM) and linear regression to predict the day ahead electricity price using historical data as a raw insert. Different 27 linear regression models are formed to create initial framework for forecasting engine. Comparison of the performance of different forecasting engines is carried out on the basis of error indices namely Mean Square Error (MSE), Sum Square Error (SSE) and other conventional error indices. A detailed explanation of linear regression system based model is presented and simulation results exhibit that the proposed learning method is able to forecast electricity price in an effective manner.</p>

scholarly journals Semisupervised SVM Based on Cuckoo Search Algorithm and Its Application

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziping He ◽  
Kewen Xia ◽  
Wenjia Niu ◽  
Nelofar Aslam ◽  
Jingzhong Hou
Keyword(s):  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Recognition Rate ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Cuckoo Search ◽  
Cuckoo Search Algorithm ◽  
Coordination Mechanism ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Improved Cuckoo Search Algorithm

Semisupervised support vector machine (S3VM) algorithm mainly depends on the predicted accuracy of unlabeled samples, if lots of misclassified unlabeled samples are added to the training will make the training model performance degrade. Thus, the cuckoo search algorithm (CS) is used to optimize the S3VM which also enhances the model performance of S3VM. Considering that the cuckoo search algorithm is limited to the local optimum problem, a new cuckoo search algorithm based on chaotic catfish effect optimization is proposed. First, use the chaotic mechanism with high randomness to initialize the nest for range expansion. Second, chaotic catfish nest is introduced into the effective competition coordination mechanism after falling into the local optimum, so that the candidate’s nest can jump out of the local optimal solution and accelerate the convergence ability. In the experiment, results show that the improved cuckoo search algorithm is effective and better than the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm and the cuckoo search algorithm on the benchmark functions. In the end, the improved cuckoo search algorithm is used to optimize semisupervised SVM which is applied into oil layer recognition. Results show that this optimization model is superior to the semisupervised SVM in terms of recognition rate and time.

scholarly journals A VMD–CISSA–LSSVM Based Electricity Load Forecasting Model

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Guijuan Wang ◽  
Xinheng Wang ◽  
Zuoxun Wang ◽  
Chunrui Ma ◽  
Zengxu Song
Keyword(s):  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Population Diversity ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Initial Population ◽  
Search Range ◽  
Chaotic Mapping ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Search Capability

Accurate power load forecasting has an important impact on power systems. In order to improve the load forecasting accuracy, a new load forecasting model, VMD–CISSA–LSSVM, is proposed. The model combines the variational modal decomposition (VMD) data preprocessing method, the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) and the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model. A multi-strategy improved chaotic sparrow search algorithm (CISSA) is proposed to address the shortcomings of the SSA algorithm, which is prone to local optima and a slow convergence. The initial population is generated using an improved tent chaotic mapping to enhance the quality of the initial individuals and population diversity. Second, a random following strategy is used to optimize the position update process of the followers in the sparrow search algorithm, balancing the local exploitation performance and global search capability of the algorithm. Finally, the Levy flight strategy is used to expand the search range and local search capability. The results of the benchmark test function show that the CISSA algorithm has a better search accuracy and convergence performance. The volatility of the original load sequence is reduced by using VMD. The optimal parameters of the LSSVM are optimized by the CISSA. The simulation test results demonstrate that the VMD–CISSA–LSSVM model has the highest prediction accuracy and stabler prediction results.

scholarly journals Prediction of Healing Performance of Autogenous Healing Concrete Using Machine Learning

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (15) ◽  
pp. 4068
Author(s):  
Xu Huang ◽  
Mirna Wasouf ◽  
Jessada Sresakoolchai ◽  
Sakdirat Kaewunruen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Self Healing ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Cracks typically develop in concrete due to shrinkage, loading actions, and weather conditions; and may occur anytime in its life span. Autogenous healing concrete is a type of self-healing concrete that can automatically heal cracks based on physical or chemical reactions in concrete matrix. It is imperative to investigate the healing performance that autogenous healing concrete possesses, to assess the extent of the cracking and to predict the extent of healing. In the research of self-healing concrete, testing the healing performance of concrete in a laboratory is costly, and a mass of instances may be needed to explore reliable concrete design. This study is thus the world’s first to establish six types of machine learning algorithms, which are capable of predicting the healing performance (HP) of self-healing concrete. These algorithms involve an artificial neural network (ANN), a k-nearest neighbours (kNN), a gradient boosting regression (GBR), a decision tree regression (DTR), a support vector regression (SVR) and a random forest (RF). Parameters of these algorithms are tuned utilising grid search algorithm (GSA) and genetic algorithm (GA). The prediction performance indicated by coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) measures of these algorithms are evaluated on the basis of 1417 data sets from the open literature. The results show that GSA-GBR performs higher prediction performance (R2GSA-GBR = 0.958) and stronger robustness (RMSEGSA-GBR = 0.202) than the other five types of algorithms employed to predict the healing performance of autogenous healing concrete. Therefore, reliable prediction accuracy of the healing performance and efficient assistance on the design of autogenous healing concrete can be achieved.

scholarly journals A Compound Wind Power Forecasting Strategy Based on Clustering, Two-Stage Decomposition, Parameter Optimization, and Optimal Combination of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 3586 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizhou Sun ◽  
Jingqi Fu ◽  
Ang Li
Keyword(s):  
Wind Power ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Power Forecasting

Given the large-scale exploitation and utilization of wind power, the problems caused by the high stochastic and random characteristics of wind speed make researchers develop more reliable and precise wind power forecasting (WPF) models. To obtain better predicting accuracy, this study proposes a novel compound WPF strategy by optimal integration of four base forecasting engines. In the forecasting process, density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) is firstly employed to identify meaningful information and discard the abnormal wind power data. To eliminate the adverse influence of the missing data on the forecasting accuracy, Lagrange interpolation method is developed to get the corrected values of the missing points. Then, the two-stage decomposition (TSD) method including ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and wavelet transform (WT) is utilized to preprocess the wind power data. In the decomposition process, the empirical wind power data are disassembled into different intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residual (Res) by EEMD, and the highest frequent time series IMF1 is further broken into different components by WT. After determination of the input matrix by a partial autocorrelation function (PACF) and normalization into [0, 1], these decomposed components are used as the input variables of all the base forecasting engines, including least square support vector machine (LSSVM), wavelet neural networks (WNN), extreme learning machine (ELM) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), to make the multistep WPF. To avoid local optima and improve the forecasting performance, the parameters in LSSVM, ELM, and WNN are tuned by backtracking search algorithm (BSA). On this basis, BSA algorithm is also employed to optimize the weighted coefficients of the individual forecasting results that produced by the four base forecasting engines to generate an ensemble of the forecasts. In the end, case studies for a certain wind farm in China are carried out to assess the proposed forecasting strategy.

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