scholarly journals Earthquake Vulnerability Mapping Using Different Hybrid Models

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 405 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peyman Yariyan ◽  
Mohammadtaghi Avand ◽  
Fariba Soltani ◽  
Omid Ghorbanzadeh ◽  
Thomas Blaschke
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Multiple Criteria ◽  
Vulnerability Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Relative Index ◽  
Multi Criteria Evaluation

The main purpose of the present study was to mathematically integrate different decision support systems to enhance the accuracy of seismic vulnerability mapping in Sanandaj City, Iran. An earthquake is considered to be a catastrophe that poses a serious threat to human infrastructures at different scales. Factors affecting seismic vulnerability were identified in three different dimensions; social, environmental, and physical. Our computer-based modeling approach was used to create hybrid training datasets via fuzzy-multiple criteria analysis (fuzzy-MCDA) and multiple criteria decision analysis-multi-criteria evaluation (MCDA-MCE) for training the multi-criteria evaluation–logistic regression (MCE–LR) and fuzzy-logistic regression (fuzzy-LR) hybrid model. The resulting dataset was validated using the seismic relative index (SRI) method and ten damaged spots from the study area, in which the MCDA-MCE model showed higher accuracy. The hybrid learning models of MCE-LR and fuzzy-LR were implemented using both resulting datasets for seismic vulnerability mapping. Finally, the resulting seismic vulnerability maps based on each model were validation using area under curve (AUC) and frequency ratio (FR). Based on the accuracy assessment results, the MCDA-MCE hybrid model (AUC = 0.85) showed higher accuracy than the fuzzy-MCDA model (AUC = 0.80), and the MCE-LR hybrid model (AUC = 0.90) resulted in more accurate vulnerability map than the fuzzy-LR hybrid model (AUC = 0.85). The results of the present study show that the accuracy of modeling and mapping seismic vulnerability in our case study area is directly related to the accuracy of the training dataset.

scholarly journals GIS-BASED RAPID EARTHQUAKE EXPOSURE AND VULNERABILITY MAPPING USING LIDAR DEM AND MACHINE LEARNING ALGORITHMS: CASE OF PORAC, PAMPANGA

2021 ◽  
Vol XLVI-4/W6-2021 ◽  
pp. 125-132
Author(s):  
M. J. D. De Los Santos ◽  
J. A. Principe
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Model Building ◽  
Data Access ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Vulnerability Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Surface Model

Abstract. Disaster risk reduction and management (DRRM) not only requires a thorough understanding of hazards but also knowledge of how much built-up structures are exposed and vulnerable to a specific hazard. This study proposed a rapid earthquake exposure and vulnerability mapping methodology using the municipality of Porac, Pampanaga as a case study. To address the challenges and limitations of data access and availability in DRRM operations, this study utilized Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data and machine learning (ML) algorithms to produce an exposure database and conduct vulnerability estimation in the study area. Buildings were delineated through image thresholding and classification of the normalized Digital Surface Model (nDSM) and an exposure database containing building attributes was created using Geographic Information System (GIS). ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), logistic regression, and Random Forest (RF) were then used to predict the model building type (MBT) of delineated buildings to estimate seismic vulnerability. Results showed that the SVM model yielded the lowest accuracy (53%) while logistic regression and RF models performed fairly (72% and 78% respectively) as indicated by their F-1 scores. To improve the accuracy of the exposure database and vulnerability estimation, this study recommends that the proposed building delineation process be further refined by experimenting with more appropriate thresholds or by conducting point cloud classification instead of pixel-based image classification. Moreover, ground truth MBT samples should be used as training data for MBT prediction. For future work, the methodology proposed in this study can be implemented when conducting earthquake damage assessments.

AN EFFICIENT MACHINE LEARNING MODEL FOR PREDICTION OF ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dhilsath Fathima.M ◽  
S. Justin Samuel ◽  
R. Hari Haran
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Proposed Model

Aim: This proposed work is used to develop an improved and robust machine learning model for predicting Myocardial Infarction (MI) could have substantial clinical impact. Objectives: This paper explains how to build machine learning based computer-aided analysis system for an early and accurate prediction of Myocardial Infarction (MI) which utilizes framingham heart study dataset for validation and evaluation. This proposed computer-aided analysis model will support medical professionals to predict myocardial infarction proficiently. Methods: The proposed model utilize the mean imputation to remove the missing values from the data set, then applied principal component analysis to extract the optimal features from the data set to enhance the performance of the classifiers. After PCA, the reduced features are partitioned into training dataset and testing dataset where 70% of the training dataset are given as an input to the four well-liked classifiers as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbor, logistic regression and decision tree to train the classifiers and 30% of test dataset is used to evaluate an output of machine learning model using performance metrics as confusion matrix, classifier accuracy, precision, sensitivity, F1-score, AUC-ROC curve. Results: Output of the classifiers are evaluated using performance measures and we observed that logistic regression provides high accuracy than K-NN, SVM, decision tree classifiers and PCA performs sound as a good feature extraction method to enhance the performance of proposed model. From these analyses, we conclude that logistic regression having good mean accuracy level and standard deviation accuracy compared with the other three algorithms. AUC-ROC curve of the proposed classifiers is analyzed from the output figure.4, figure.5 that logistic regression exhibits good AUC-ROC score, i.e. around 70% compared to k-NN and decision tree algorithm. Conclusion: From the result analysis, we infer that this proposed machine learning model will act as an optimal decision making system to predict the acute myocardial infarction at an early stage than an existing machine learning based prediction models and it is capable to predict the presence of an acute myocardial Infarction with human using the heart disease risk factors, in order to decide when to start lifestyle modification and medical treatment to prevent the heart disease.

Analysis on application level based on ordinal logistic regression and best of advanced manufacturing technologies (AMT) selection based on fuzzy-TOPSIS integration approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Guilian Wang ◽  
Liyan Zhang ◽  
Jing Guo
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Organizational Factors ◽  
Fuzzy Topsis ◽  
Ordinal Logistic Regression ◽  
Industrial Robots ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Market Pricing ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Pricing Power ◽  
The Core Competence

This paper try to fully reveal the key factors affecting the the level of AMT application in micro- and small enterprises (MSEs) from its organizational factors by ordinal logistic regression. The results show that MSEs have a relatively high level of AMT application as a whole due to the maturity and cost reduction of basic technologies such as artificial intelligence, digital manufacturing and industrial robots. In this paper we propose manufacturing world analysis at Application using Logistic Regression and best AMT selection using Fuzzy-TOPSIS Integration approach.Considering the influence mechanism of each factor, the important factors that affect the application level of AMT are the enterprise’s market pricing power, the main production types, technical, market and management capabilities, organization development incentives and the interaction with external stakeholders. Based on the results above, the following policy implications are proposed: further expanding the customized production in MSEs to gradually improve the market pricing power, expanding the core competence of enterprises, enhancing the employee autonomy, and strengthening the interaction with industry organizations.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Salt Reduction Measure Adoption among Chinese Residents

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 445
Author(s):  
Zeying Huang ◽  
Di Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Food Intake ◽  
Nutrition Education ◽  
Online Survey ◽  
Adaptive Lasso ◽  
Stepwise Logistic Regression ◽  
Salt Reduction ◽  
Salt Restriction ◽  
Salt Diet ◽  
Factors Affecting

China has the highest mortality rate caused by diseases and conditions associated with its high-salt diet. Since 2016, China has initiated a national salt reduction campaign that aims at promoting the usage of salt information on food labels and salt-restriction spoons and reducing condiment and pickled food intake. However, factors affecting individuals’ decisions to adopt these salt reduction measures remain largely unknown. By comparing the performances of logistic regression, stepwise logistic regression, lasso logistic regression and adaptive lasso logistic regression, this study aims to fill this gap by analyzing the adoption behaviour of 1610 individuals from a nationally representative online survey. It was found that the practices were far from adopted and only 26.40%, 22.98%, 33.54% and 37.20% reported the adoption of labelled salt information, salt-restriction spoons, reduced condiment use in home cooking and reduced pickled food intake, respectively. Knowledge on salt, the perceived benefits of salt reduction, participation in nutrition education and training programs on sodium reduction were positively associated with using salt information labels. Adoption of the other measures was largely explained by people’s awareness of hypertension risks and taste preferences. It is therefore recommended that policy interventions should enhance Chinese individuals’ knowledge of salt, raise the awareness of the benefits associated with a low-salt diet and the risks associated with consuming excessive salt and reshape their taste choices.

Identifying the Factors Affecting the Probability of Accident Severity in Community Road - Focusing on Seoul City

2014 ◽  
Vol 641-642 ◽  
pp. 860-865
Author(s):  
You Jin Lim ◽  
Hak Ryong Moon ◽  
Won Pyoung Kang
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Technique ◽  
Road Accidents ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Accident Severity

Since a variety of factors are associated with crash occurrence, the analysis of causes of crash is a hard task for traffic researchers and engineers. This study was attempted to identify factors affecting severity of the community road accidents. In particular, our analyses were focused on the community road accidents. A binary logistic regression technique was adopted for the analyses. The results showed that pedestrians of 65 years or older, cloudy, fence (sidewalk/driveway barrier), drivers of 24 years or younger, left/right turning, female pedestrian, non-business vehicle were dominant factors for the severity.

Implementation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Prediction of Fluidelastic Instability in Tube Arrays

2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joaquin E. Moran ◽  
Yasser Selima
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Two Phase ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Number Of Factors ◽  
Tube Arrays ◽  
Fluidelastic Instability

Abstract Fluidelastic instability (FEI) in tube arrays has been studied extensively experimentally and theoretically for the last 50 years, due to its potential to cause significant damage in short periods. Incidents similar to those observed at San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station indicate that the problem is not yet fully understood, probably due to the large number of factors affecting the phenomenon. In this study, a new approach for the analysis and interpretation of FEI data using machine learning (ML) algorithms is explored. FEI data for both single and two-phase flows have been collected from the literature and utilized for training a machine learning algorithm in order to either provide estimates of the reduced velocity (single and two-phase) or indicate if the bundle is stable or unstable under certain conditions (two-phase). The analysis included the use of logistic regression as a classification algorithm for two-phase flow problems to determine if specific conditions produce a stable or unstable response. The results of this study provide some insight into the capability and potential of logistic regression models to analyze FEI if appropriate quantities of experimental data are available.

Predicting endoscopic remission in Crohn’s disease by the modified multiplier SES-CD (MM-SES-CD)

Gut ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. gutjnl-2020-323799
Author(s):  
Neeraj Narula ◽  
Emily C L Wong ◽  
Jean-Frederic Colombel ◽  
William J Sandborn ◽  
John Kenneth Marshall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Crohn’S Disease ◽  
Crohn's Disease ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Mucosal Inflammation ◽  
Youden Index ◽  
Active Therapy ◽  
Testing Dataset ◽  
Endoscopic Remission

Background and aimsThe Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s disease (SES-CD) is the primary tool for measurement of mucosal inflammation in clinical trials but lacks prognostic potential. We set to develop and validate a modified multiplier of the SES-CD (MM-SES-CD), which takes into consideration each individual parameter’s prognostic value for achieving endoscopic remission (ER) while on active therapy.MethodsIn this posthoc analysis of three CD clinical trial programmes (n=350 patients, baseline SES-CD ≥ 3 with confirmed ulceration), data were pooled and randomly split into a 70% training and 30% testing cohort. The MM-SES-CD was designed using weights for individual parameters as determined by logistic regression modelling, with 1-year ER (SES-CD < 3) being the dependent variable. A cut point score for low and high probability of ER was determined by using the maximum Youden Index and validated in the testing cohort.ResultsBaseline ulcer size, extent of ulceration and presence of non-passable strictures had the strongest association with 1-year ER as compared with affected surface area, with differential weighting of individual parameters across disease segments being observed during logistic regression. The MM-SES-CD was generated using this weighted regression model and demonstrated strong discrimination for ER in the training dataset (area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) 0.83, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.94) and in the testing dataset (AUC 0.82, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.92). In comparison to the MM-SES-CD scoring model, the original SES-CD score lacks accuracy (AUC 0.60, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.65) for predicting the achievement of ER.ConclusionsWe developed and internally validated the MM-SES-CD as an endoscopic severity assessment tool to predict one-year ER in patients with CD on active therapy.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Palm Farmers’ Decisions to Dispense Plantage-Product Zakat in Labuhanbatu Selatan Regency

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 13-24
Author(s):  
Amalia Agustin Syn ◽  
Khalifah Muhammad Ali ◽  
Didin Hafidhuddin
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Fresh Fruit ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Fresh Fruit Bunches ◽  
The Many

Zakat is one of the five points in rukun Islam and consists of two types: zakat nafs (soul) and zakat maal (wealth). One of the many kinds of zakat maal is plantage-product zakat. Labuhanbatu Selatan Regency is an area that contains 160,785.04 hectares of palm plantation land as recorded in 2016. The area also produced 7,493,696.18 tons of Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) in the same year. The objective of this study is to identify the potential of plantage-product zakat (specifically palm plantage) and analyze the factors that affect farmers’ decision to dispense plantage-product zakat in Labuhanbatu Selatan Regency. Logistic regression analysis was the method of analysis used in this study. Based on data obtained from Dinas Perkebunan Provinsi Sumatera Utara 2016, the potential of plantage-product zakat in Labuhanbatu Selatan Regency reached 25.6 billion rupiahs in 2014; 21.6 billion rupiahs in 2015, and 370.4 billion rupiahs in 2016. The variables that significantly affected farmers’ decisions to dispense plantage-product zakat were comprehension of zakat, faith, rewards, Islamic study, and frequency of worship.

scholarly journals Development and validation of a clinical and genetic model for predicting risk of severe COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gillian S. Dite ◽  
Nicholas M. Murphy ◽  
Richard Allman
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Genetic Model ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Accurate Prediction ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Prototype Model ◽  
List Type ◽  
New Model

SummaryClinical and genetic risk factors for severe COVID-19 are often considered independently and without knowledge of the magnitudes of their effects on risk. Using SARS-CoV-2 positive participants from the UK Biobank, we developed and validated a clinical and genetic model to predict risk of severe COVID-19. We used multivariable logistic regression on a 70% training dataset and used the remaining 30% for validation. We also validated a previously published prototype model. In the validation dataset, our new model was associated with severe COVID-19 (odds ratio per quintile of risk=1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.64, 1.90) and had excellent discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.732, 95% CI=0.708, 0.756). We assessed calibration using logistic regression of the log odds of the risk score, and the new model showed no evidence of over- or under-estimation of risk (α=−0.08; 95% CI=−0.21, 0.05) and no evidence or over- or under-dispersion of risk (β=0.90, 95% CI=0.80, 1.00). Accurate prediction of individual risk is possible and will be important in regions where vaccines are not widely available or where people refuse or are disqualified from vaccination, especially given uncertainty about the extent of infection transmission among vaccinated people and the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.Key resultsAccurate prediction of the risk of severe COVID-19 can inform public heath interventions and empower individuals to make informed choices about their day-to-day activities.Age and sex alone do not accurately predict risk of severe COVID-19.Our clinical and genetic model to predict risk of severe COVID-19 performs extremely well in terms of discrimination and calibration.

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