scholarly journals Application of Machine Learning Techniques in Rainfall–Runoff Modelling of the Soan River Basin, Pakistan

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 3528
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tariq Khan ◽  
Muhammad Shoaib ◽  
Muhammad Hammad ◽  
Hamza Salahudin ◽  
Fiaz Ahmad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Discrete Wavelet ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
The Impact

Rainfall–runoff modelling has been at the essence of research in hydrology for a long time. Every modern technique found its way to uncover the dynamics of rainfall–runoff relation for different basins of the world. Different techniques of machine learning have been extensively applied to understand this hydrological phenomenon. However, the literature is still scarce in cases of extensive research work on the comparison of streamline machine learning (ML) techniques and impact of wavelet pre-processing on their performance. Therefore, this study compares the performance of single decision tree (SDT), tree boost (TB), decision tree forest (DTF), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and gene expression programming (GEP) in rainfall–runoff modelling of the Soan River basin, Pakistan. Additionally, the impact of wavelet pre-processing through maximal overlap discrete wavelet transformation (MODWT) on the model performance has been assessed. Through a comprehensive comparative analysis of 110 model settings, we concluded that the MODWT-based DTF model has yielded higher Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.90 at lag order (Lo4). The coefficient of determination for the model was also highest among all the models while least root mean square error (RMSE) value of 23.79 m3/s was also produced by MODWT-DTF at Lo4. The study also draws inter-technique comparison of the model performance as well as intra-technique differentiation of modelling accuracy.

scholarly journals Auto Sector Stock Price Trend Prediction using Decision Tree

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1131-1134
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Machine Learning Method ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Trend Prediction ◽  
Price Trend ◽  
The Impact

The auto sector stock price trend is based on many national and international uncertain factors. It is challenging to predict the impact of such a factor on the stock price trend as the impact of the same factor varies at different points of time. In this research work, we are predicting the auto sector stock price trend using patterns in the historical data using a machine learning method.

scholarly journals Identification of HATE speech tweets in Pashto language using Machine Learning techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1501-1508
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Hate Speech ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Related Data ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
The Impact

From the last few years, researchers are very much attracted to sentiment analysis, especially towards hate speech detectionsystems. As in different languages procreation of hate speech has compelling and symbolic consideration on social media. Hate speech has a great impact on society, using hate words harms others dignity. Hate speech detectionsystems areimportant to stop the transformation of hate words into crimes. In this research,a frameworkis developedfor hate speech detectionsystemin the Pashto language. A datasetis created for which data is collected from Twitter. Because there is no related data available. Most of the research work has been done in this domain for other languages, and it’s very maturein the context of detecting hate speech. But when it arrives at the morphological languages not much work has been done especially in the Pashto language. This researchaimed and collected data from Twitter, Tweets related to ethnicity and religion. The data collected from twitter has been annotated manually and categorized the data as hate or not by comparing it with the offensive content. For hate speechdetection systemsto view the impact of different features/attribute this study performed experiments on the existing classifiers i.e.,SVM, Naïve Bayes, Decision tree and KNN. SVM produced the highest result at dataset of 500 i.e.,74% among all the classifiers. KNN and Decision Tree produced same result at dataset of 1500 i.e.,65.0%. Dataset of 2800 Decision Tree produced the highest result i.e.,72% and SVM produced 71.9%.

Knee Muscle Force Estimating Model Using Machine Learning Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anurag Sohane ◽  
Ravinder Agarwal
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Muscle Force ◽  
Vastus Lateralis ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Muscle Forces ◽  
Knee Muscle

Abstract Various simulation type tools and conventional algorithms are being used to determine knee muscle forces of human during dynamic movement. These all may be good for clinical uses, but have some drawbacks, such as higher computational times, muscle redundancy and less cost-effective solution. Recently, there has been an interest to develop supervised learning-based prediction model for the computationally demanding process. The present research work is used to develop a cost-effective and efficient machine learning (ML) based models to predict knee muscle force for clinical interventions for the given input parameter like height, mass and angle. A dataset of 500 human musculoskeletal, have been trained and tested using four different ML models to predict knee muscle force. This dataset has obtained from anybody modeling software using AnyPyTools, where human musculoskeletal has been utilized to perform squatting movement during inverse dynamic analysis. The result based on the datasets predicts that the random forest ML model outperforms than the other selected models: neural network, generalized linear model, decision tree in terms of mean square error (MSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and Correlation (r). The MSE of predicted vs actual muscle forces obtained from the random forest model for Biceps Femoris, Rectus Femoris, Vastus Medialis, Vastus Lateralis are 19.92, 9.06, 5.97, 5.46, Correlation are 0.94, 0.92, 0.92, 0.94 and R2 are 0.88, 0.84, 0.84 and 0.89 for the test dataset, respectively.

scholarly journals I Know Where You Are Coming From: On the Impact of Social Media Sources on AI Model Performance (Student Abstract)

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 13971-13972
Author(s):  
Yang Qi ◽  
Farseev Aleksandr ◽  
Filchenkov Andrey
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Networks ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Social Network ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
User Profiling ◽  
Personalized Recommendation ◽  
Modal Data ◽  
Social Media Networks ◽  
The Impact

Nowadays, social networks play a crucial role in human everyday life and no longer purely associated with spare time spending. In fact, instant communication with friends and colleagues has become an essential component of our daily interaction giving a raise of multiple new social network types emergence. By participating in such networks, individuals generate a multitude of data points that describe their activities from different perspectives and, for example, can be further used for applications such as personalized recommendation or user profiling. However, the impact of the different social media networks on machine learning model performance has not been studied comprehensively yet. Particularly, the literature on modeling multi-modal data from multiple social networks is relatively sparse, which had inspired us to take a deeper dive into the topic in this preliminary study. Specifically, in this work, we will study the performance of different machine learning models when being learned on multi-modal data from different social networks. Our initial experimental results reveal that social network choice impacts the performance and the proper selection of data source is crucial.

scholarly journals Rainfall-runoff modelling in a catchment with a complex groundwater flow system: application of the Representative Elementary Watershed (REW) approach

2005 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 639-690 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. P. Zhang ◽  
H. H. G. Savenije
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Overland Flow ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Source Area ◽  
Subsurface Water ◽  
Watershed Hydrology ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Infiltration Excess

Abstract. Based on the Representative Elementary Watershed (REW) approach, the modelling tool REWASH (Representative Elementary WAterShed Hydrology) has been developed and applied to the Geer river basin. REWASH is deterministic, semi-distributed, physically based and can be directly applied to the watershed scale. In applying REWASH, the river basin is divided into a number of sub-watersheds, so called REWs, according to the Strahler order of the river network. REWASH describes the dominant hydrological processes, i.e. subsurface flow in the unsaturated and saturated domains, and overland flow by the saturation-excess and infiltration-excess mechanisms. Through flux exchanges among the different spatial domains of the REW, surface and subsurface water interactions are fully coupled. REWASH is a parsimonious tool for modelling watershed hydrological response. However, it can be modified to include more components to simulate specific processes when applied to a specific river basin where such processes are observed or considered to be dominant. In this study, we have added a new component to simulate interception using a simple parametric approach. Interception plays an important role in the water balance of a watershed although it is often disregarded. In addition, a refinement for the transpiration in the unsaturated zone has been made. Finally, an improved approach for simulating saturation overland flow by relating the variable source area to both the topography and the groundwater level is presented. The model has been calibrated and verified using a 4-year data set, which has been split into two for calibration and validation. The model performance has been assessed by multi-criteria evaluation. This work is the first full application of the REW approach to watershed rainfall-runoff modelling in a real watershed. The results demonstrate that the REW approach provides an alternative blueprint for physically based hydrological modelling.

scholarly journals Noise Prediction Using Machine Learning with Measurements Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (18) ◽  
pp. 6619
Author(s):  
Po-Jiun Wen ◽  
Chihpin Huang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Noise Exposure ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Noise Prediction ◽  
Time Duration ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Impact

The noise prediction using machine learning is a special study that has recently received increased attention. This is particularly true in workplaces with noise pollution, which increases noise exposure for general laborers. This study attempts to analyze the noise equivalent level (Leq) at the National Synchrotron Radiation Research Center (NSRRC) facility and establish a machine learning model for noise prediction. This study utilized the gradient boosting model (GBM) as the learning model in which past noise measurement records and many other features are integrated as the proposed model makes a prediction. This study analyzed the time duration and frequency of the collected Leq and also investigated the impact of training data selection. The results presented in this paper indicate that the proposed prediction model works well in almost noise sensors and frequencies. Moreover, the model performed especially well in sensor 8 (125 Hz), which was determined to be a serious noise zone in the past noise measurements. The results also show that the root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of the predicted harmful noise was less than 1 dBA and the coefficient of determination (R2) value was greater than 0.7. That is, the working field showed a favorable noise prediction performance using the proposed method. This positive result shows the ability of the proposed approach in noise prediction, thus providing a notification to the laborer to prevent long-term exposure. In addition, the proposed model accurately predicts noise future pollution, which is essential for laborers in high-noise environments. This would keep employees healthy in avoiding noise harmful positions to prevent people from working in that environment.

scholarly journals Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to Simulate the Pesticide Dynamics in the Data Scarce Guayas River Basin, Ecuador

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 696 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naomi Cambien ◽  
Sacha Gobeyn ◽  
Indira Nolivos ◽  
Marie Anne Eurie Forio ◽  
Mijail Arias-Hidalgo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Water Quality Monitoring ◽  
Freshwater Ecosystem ◽  
Set Up ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water

Agricultural intensification has stimulated the economy in the Guayas River basin in Ecuador, but also affected several ecosystems. The increased use of pesticides poses a serious threat to the freshwater ecosystem, which urgently calls for an improved knowledge about the impact of pesticide practices in this study area. Several studies have shown that models can be appropriate tools to simulate pesticide dynamics in order to obtain this knowledge. This study tested the suitability of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to simulate the dynamics of two different pesticides in the data scarce Guayas River basin. First, we set up, calibrated and validated the model using the streamflow data. Subsequently, we set up the model for the simulation of the selected pesticides (i.e., pendimethalin and fenpropimorph). While the hydrology was represented soundly by the model considering the data scare conditions, the simulation of the pesticides should be taken with care due to uncertainties behind essential drivers, e.g., application rates. Among the insights obtained from the pesticide simulations are the identification of critical zones for prioritisation, the dominant areas of pesticide sources and the impact of the different land uses. SWAT has been evaluated to be a suitable tool to investigate the impact of pesticide use under data scarcity in the Guayas River basin. The strengths of SWAT are its semi-distributed structure, availability of extensive online documentation, internal pesticide databases and user support while the limitations are high data requirements, time-intensive model development and challenging streamflow calibration. The results can also be helpful to design future water quality monitoring strategies. However, for future studies, we highly recommend extended monitoring of pesticide concentrations and sediment loads. Moreover, to substantially improve the model performance, the availability of better input data is needed such as higher resolution soil maps, more accurate pesticide application rate and actual land management programs. Provided that key suggestions for further improvement are considered, the model is valuable for applications in river ecosystem management of the Guayas River basin.

scholarly journals Rack Temperature Prediction Model Using Machine Learning after Stopping Computer Room Air Conditioner in Server Room

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 4300
Author(s):  
Kosuke Sasakura ◽  
Takeshi Aoki ◽  
Masayoshi Komatsu ◽  
Takeshi Watanabe
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
High Heat ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Air Conditioner ◽  
Tree Model ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Temperature Environment ◽  
The Impact

Data centers (DCs) are becoming increasingly important in recent years, and highly efficient and reliable operation and management of DCs is now required. The generated heat density of the rack and information and communication technology (ICT) equipment is predicted to get higher in the future, so it is crucial to maintain the appropriate temperature environment in the server room where high heat is generated in order to ensure continuous service. It is especially important to predict changes of rack intake temperature in the server room when the computer room air conditioner (CRAC) is shut down, which can cause a rapid rise in temperature. However, it is quite difficult to predict the rack temperature accurately, which in turn makes it difficult to determine the impact on service in advance. In this research, we propose a model that predicts the rack intake temperature after the CRAC is shut down. Specifically, we use machine learning to construct a gradient boosting decision tree model with data from the CRAC, ICT equipment, and rack intake temperature. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method has a very high prediction accuracy: the coefficient of determination was 0.90 and the root mean square error (RMSE) was 0.54. Our model makes it possible to evaluate the impact on service and determine if action to maintain the temperature environment is required. We also clarify the effect of explanatory variables and training data of the machine learning on the model accuracy.

scholarly journals Application of Remotely Sensed Rainfall Data in Rainfall-Runoff Modelling. A Case of Pangani River Basin, Tanzania

2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Joel Nobert ◽  
Patric Kibasa
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Average Method ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Satellite Rainfall ◽  
Areal Rainfall

Rainfall runoff modelling in a river basin is vital for number of hydrologic applicationincluding water resources assessment. However, rainfall data from sparse gauging stationsare usually inadequate for modelling which is a major concern in Tanzania. This studypresents the results of comparison of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM)satellite rainfall products at daily and monthly time-steps with ground stations rainfalldata; and explores the possibility of using satellite rainfall data for rainfall runoffmodelling in Pangani River Basin, Tanzania. Statistical analysis was carried out to find thecorrelation between the ground stations data and TRMM estimates. It was found thatTRMM estimates at monthly scale compare reasonably well with ground stations data.Time series comparison was also done at daily and annual time scales. Monthly and annualtime series compared well with coefficient of determination of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively.It was also found that areal rainfall comparison in the northern parts of the study area hadpoor results compared to the rest of areas. On the other hand, rainfall runoff modellingwith ground stations data alone and TRMM data set alone was carried out using five Real-Time River Flow Forecasting System models and then outputs combined by Models OutputsCombination Techniques. The results showed that ground stations data performed betterduring calibration period with coefficient of efficiency of 76.7%, 81.7% and 89.1% forSimple Average Method, Weight Average Method and Neural Network Method respectively.Simulation results using TRMM data were 59.8%, 73.5% and 76.8%. It can therefore beconcluded that TRMM data are adequate and promising in hydrological modelling.

scholarly journals Event Study: Advanced Machine Learning and Statistical Technique for Analyzing Sustainability in Banking Stocks

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 3319
Author(s):  
Varun Dogra ◽  
Aman Singh ◽  
Sahil Verma ◽  
Abdullah Alharbi ◽  
Wael Alosaimi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Second Phase ◽  
Financial News ◽  
News Events ◽  
News Event ◽  
The Impact

Machine learning has grown in popularity in recent years as a method for evaluating financial text data, with promising results in stock price projection from financial news. Various research has looked at the relationship between news events and stock prices, but there is little evidence on how different sentiments (negative, neutral, and positive) of such events impact the performance of stocks or indices in comparison to benchmark indices. The goal of this paper is to analyze how a specific banking news event (such as a fraud or a bank merger) and other co-related news events (such as government policies or national elections), as well as the framing of both the news event and news-event sentiment, impair the formation of the respective bank’s stock and the banking index, i.e., Bank Nifty, in Indian stock markets over time. The task is achieved through three phases. In the first phase, we extract the banking and other co-related news events from the pool of financial news. The news events are further categorized into negative, positive, and neutral sentiments in the second phase. This study covers the third phase of our research work, where we analyze the impact of news events concerning sentiments or linguistics in the price movement of the respective bank’s stock, identified or recognized from these news events, against benchmark index Bank Nifty and the banking index against benchmark index Nifty50 for the short to long term. For the short term, we analyzed the movement of banking stock or index to benchmark index in terms of CARs (cumulative abnormal returns) surrounding the publication day (termed as D) of the news event in the event windows of (−1,D), (D,1), (−1,1), (D,5), (−5,−1), and (−5,5). For the long term, we analyzed the movement of banking stock or index to benchmark index in the event windows of (D,30), (−30,−1), (−30,30), (D,60), (−60,−1), and (−60,60). We explore the deep learning model, bidirectional encoder representations from transformers, and statistical method CAPM for this research.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document