scholarly journals Estimación de la demanda de bebidas no alcohólicas en Ecuador

ECA Sinergia ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Mercy Raquel Orellana Bravo ◽  
Joselin Katerine Segovia Sarmiento ◽  
Juan Pablo Sarmiento

  Con el objetivo de explorar el potencial de un impuesto a las bebidas azucaradas como medida de salud pública en Ecuador, se estiman las elasticidades precio propia, precio-cruzada e ingreso de la demanda de bebidas no alcohólicas a nivel de hogar. Utilizando un Sistema Casi Ideal de Demanda Cuadrática (QUAIDS), se encuentra que, contrario al consumo de bebidas soft, el consumo de gaseosas es elástico. Estos resultados revelaron ser independientes del nivel de ingreso del hogar. Además, se halló una relación de sustitución entre las bebidas gaseosas y los lácteos. El gravamen de gaseosas, por tanto, podría disminuir su consumo y dirigirlo hacia bebidas más saludables.   Palabras clave: Elasticidad de la demanda; bebidas azucaradas; impuesto.   ABSTRACT This paper explores the potential effects of a tax on sugar-sweetened beverages as a public health policy in Ecuador by estimating the own, cross-price and income elasticities of non-alcoholic beverages at household level. We estimated a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) and found that, contrary to soft drinks, the consumption of soda is elastic. This revealed to be independent of the household income level. It was also found a substitution relationship between soda drinks and dairy drinks. Thus, taxation of soda drinks could decrease its consumption and direct it to healthier alternatives.   Keywords: Elasticity of demand; sugar-sweetened beverages; tax.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Madi Mangan

This paper applies the collective household model to allocate household resources among household members. With a Collective Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (CQUAIDS) estimated by a Feasible Generalized Nonlinear Least Squares (FGNLS) method, it studies the household demand for six categories of household goods using household income and expenditure survey data from The Gambia, directed to studying the allocation of resources among young and adult members of households in The Gambia. It establishes the sharing rule for children and adult members of the household and shows the effect of demographic, distributive factor, price and income elasticities on the shares of household resources. The results establish that a higher share of resources goes for children while the sharing rule varies for different household types. Also, the findings show significant effects of demographic, distributive factor, price and income on the allocation of the household resources of consumption goods by the household.


2014 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 140-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Senarath Dharmasena ◽  
Oral Capps

Soymilk is one of the fastest growing categories in the U.S dairy alternative functional beverage market. Using household-level purchase data from Nielsen's 2008 Homescan panel and the Tobit econometric procedure, we estimate conditional and unconditional own-price, cross-price, and income elasticities for soymilk, white milk, and flavored milk. Income, age, employment status, education level, race, ethnicity, region, and presence of children in a household are significant drivers of demand for soymilk. White milk and flavored milk are competitors for soymilk, and soymilk is a competitor for white milk. Strategies for pricing and targeted marketing of soymilk are also discussed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Schmidt ◽  
Peixun Fang

Abstract Background Papua New Guinea (PNG) experienced positive GDP growth at approximately 4.3% per year during the last decade. With increases in overall wealth within the country, PNG is facing a double burden of malnutrition: comparatively high child stunting rates and a growing overweight and obesity epidemic. We focus on the latter by evaluating trends in agri-food import data from 2001 to 2018 and household consumption data from 2018 and 2009/10. Results The analysis presented in this paper raises three red flags. First, international food import data suggest that the demand for ultra-processed, sugar-sweetened beverages and food have increased substantially over time in PNG. Sugar-sweetened beverages dominated the largest growth in processed food imports, increasing by 23% per capita per year between 2001 and 2018. Second, households across the country with a greater food expenditure on sugar-sweetened beverages have a higher probability of an overweight child (under 5 years old). Last, the probability of soft-drink consumption in PNG increases with greater income acquisition and improved market access. While the price of a soft drink is negatively correlated with the quantity consumed, analysis suggests that total household income has a quantitatively larger (and positive) association with soft drink consumption. Conclusions Taxing (or increasing taxes on) sugar-sweetened beverages may not be a sufficient policy mechanism to curb overconsumption of soft drinks in PNG. Education and advocacy programs should be fostered that integrate improved dietary information on packaging, as well as greater access to and understanding of nutrition and diet information of common household consumption items. While increases in household income and market access are crucial to economic growth and transformation, PNG’s economic transition must be dovetailed with programs that expand and enhance health and nutrition information and education to improve household consumption decisions and overall household wellbeing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 149 (4) ◽  
pp. 649-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther van Eekelen ◽  
Joline W J Beulens ◽  
Anouk Geelen ◽  
Vera B Schrauwen-Hinderling ◽  
Hildo Lamb ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Background Fatty liver is the leading cause of chronic liver diseases and increases the risk of cardiovascular disease. Besides alcohol consumption, energy-containing nonalcoholic beverages may contribute to liver fat accumulation. Objective We aimed to study the consumption of alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages and their mutual replacement in relation to hepatic triglyceride content (HTGC) in middle-aged men and women. Methods In this cross-sectional analysis, HTGC was assessed by proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Habitual consumption of alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages was assessed using a validated food-frequency questionnaire. All beverages were converted to standard servings and to percentage of total energy intake (En%). We performed linear regression to examine the association of alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages with HTGC, adjusted for age, sex, smoking, education, ethnicity, physical activity, total energy intake, and total body fat. We studied replacement of alcoholic beverages with nonalcoholic beverages per 1 serving/d and per 5 En%/d. Results After exclusion of individuals with missing values, 1966 participants (47% men) were analyzed, with a mean ± SD age of 55 ± 6 y, BMI of 26 ± 4 kg/m2, and HTGC of 5.7% ± 7.9%. Each extra alcoholic serving per day was associated with more liver fat (1.09 times; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.12). Replacing 5 En% of alcoholic beverages with milk was associated with less liver fat (0.89 times; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.98), whereas replacement with 5 En% of sugar-sweetened beverages was associated with liver fat to an extent similar to alcoholic beverages (1.00 times; 95% CI: 0.91, 1.09). Conclusion In a population-based cohort, consumption of each extra daily alcoholic beverage was associated with more liver fat. In isocaloric replacement of alcoholic beverages, milk was associated with less liver fat, whereas sugar-sweetened beverages were equally associated with liver fat. This suggests that intake of alcohol and sugars may contribute to liver fat accumulation. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03410316.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Charlotte O’Leary ◽  
Steven Cummins ◽  
Richard D Smith ◽  
Laura Cornelsen

Abstract Objective: Most research investigating sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and health, conducted at the individual or household level, ignores potentially important intra-household dynamics. We analysed self-reported consumption relationships between children and adults, and between children of different ages, as well as the associations between intra-household consumption, body mass index and socio-demographic characteristics. Design: A cross-sectional analysis of survey data from Kantar Fast Moving Consumer Goods panellists in September 2017. Setting: Great Britain Participants: Random sample of 603 households with children under 18 who regularly purchase non-alcoholic beverages. Results: Low or no-sugar/diet beverages dominate consumption across all age categories, particularly children under 12 years. SSB consumption increased as children became older. Children’s reported consumption of SSBs and low or no-sugar/diet beverages was positively associated with consumption by adults; a child in adolescence had over nine times the odds of consuming SSBs (adjusted OR 9.55, 95% CI 5.38, 17.00, p<0.001), and eight times the odds of consuming low or no-sugar/diet drinks (adjusted OR 8.12, 95% CI 4.71, 13.97, p<0.001), if adults did so. In households with multiple children, consumption patterns of older siblings were associated with those of the younger; notably a perfect correlation between children 0-6 years consuming SSBs if siblings 13-18 years did so, and children 7-12 years had 22 times the odds of consuming SSBs if siblings 13-18 years did so (OR 22.33, 95% CI 8.60, 58.01, p<0.001). Conclusions: Multiple policies, targeting children as well as adults, such as fiscal levers and advertisement restrictions, are needed to reduce and prevent consumption of SSBs.


2012 ◽  
Vol 01 (07) ◽  
pp. 72-77
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Saeedeh Ahmadi

This paper analyzes the demand for fuels in Iran automotive sector, using the Almost Ideal Demand System to estimate price and income elasticities for all the available fuels in the automotive sector: gasoline, automotive gas oil and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). These estimates can be very useful in predicting the overall impacts of price policies designed to reduce fuel consumption and to address concerns of carbon emissions or energy security. Empirical results indicate all own-price elasticities are negative and significant at 5% level. The own-price elasticity for gas oil, gasoline and LPG were estimated by about -0.22, -1.01 and -3.58, respectively. The findings also show that gasoline and gas oil are normal goods and LPG being an inferior good.


UDA AKADEM ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 156-183
Author(s):  
María Priscila León-Cando ◽  
 Luis Bernardo Tonon-Ordóñez

Debido a la importancia del banano en la economía ecuatoriana, es imprescindible analizar la demanda del principal mercado de banano fresco del mundo, Estados Unidos, así como estimar sus elasticidades, precio y renta de la demanda; y, analizar la relación del banano con otras frutas en este mercado. Para la estimación, se utilizó el método de Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios. Se determinó que, en este mercado con potencial de crecimiento, el banano es un bien inelástico y normal. El periodo analizado fue de 2001 a 2016.Palabras clave: Banano, Estados Unidos, Estimación demanda, Elasticidad precio, Elasticidad renta. Abstract. ue to the importance of banana in the Ecuadorian economy, is essential to analyze the demand of the world’s principal fresh banana market, United States, as well as estimate its price and income elasticities, and analyze the relationship of bananas with other fruits in this market. The Ordinary Minimum Squares Method was used for the estimation. It was determinated that in this market with potencial growth, bananas are inelastic, and considered a normal good. The period analyzed was from 2001 to 2016. Keywords: Banana, United States, Demand estimation, Price Elasticity, Income Elasticity


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. e002143
Author(s):  
Amit Summan ◽  
Nicholas Stacey ◽  
Johanna Birckmayer ◽  
Evan Blecher ◽  
Frank J Chaloupka ◽  
...  

IntroductionGlobally, a growing burden of morbidity and mortality is attributable to lifestyle behaviours, and in particular to the consumption of tobacco, alcohol and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB). In low-income and middle-income countries, this increased disease burden falls on already encumbered and resource-constrained healthcare systems. Fiscal policies, specifically taxation, can lower consumption of tobacco, alcohol and SSB while raising government revenues.MethodsWe simulated the health and economic effects of taxing cigarettes, alcohol and SSB over 50 years for 30–79 years old populations using separate mathematical models for each commodity that incorporated country-level epidemiological, demographic and consumption data. Based on data availability, national-level health effects of higher tobacco, alcohol and SSB taxes were simulated in 141, 166 and 176 countries, respectively, which represented 92%, 97% and 95% of the global population, respectively. Economic effects for tobacco, alcohol and SSB were estimated for countries representing 91%, 43% and 83% of the global population, respectively. These estimates were extrapolated to the global level by matching countries according to income level.ResultsOver 50 years, taxes that raise the retail price of tobacco, alcoholic beverages and SSB by 20% could result in a global gain of 160.7 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 96.3 to 225.2 million), 227.4 million (UI: 161.2 to 293.6 million) and 24.3 million (UI: 15.7 to 35.4 million) additional life years, respectively.ConclusionExcise tax increases on tobacco, alcohol and SSB can produce substantial health gains by reducing premature mortality while raising government revenues, which could be used to increase public health funding.


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