On the Establishment of the Population Register and the Use of Administrative Data for the Needs of State Statistics

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-17
Author(s):  
O. S. Chudinovskikh

The article discusses issues related to the use of data from administrative registration records of the population in the context of creating a unified register of the population of Russia and conducting the All-Russia population census in 2021. When choosing the main source for the initial filling of the register, it is assumed that the information it contains is adequate for the problem to be solved. This is important to predict the quality of population statistics based on the register and future census materials.For the first time, the indicators of the routine statistical report of the FMS of Russia and the Main Directorate of Migration (MDM) are analyzed, which by their nature are close to some basic indicators of population statistics published by Rosstat. Data on the stock of registered resident population, statistics of registration (and/or deregistration) of the population at/ from the place of residence in connection with migration or birth, and death, in theory, can be compared with similar data from Rosstat. This administrative data is available in the routine statistical report of the MDM of the Ministry of Internal Affairs the «Form -1 RD». The needed indicators of Form 1-RD either were present in the report only in selected years or were not disaggregated sufficiently. It limited their comparability with Rosstat data, especially concerning the interregional migration.In many regions, population size estimates made annually by Rosstat, greatly differ from the administrative data on the stock of population registered at the place of residence. Moreover, the discrepancies can be both upward and downward. For example, the size of the «de-jure» population of Moscow was almost 3 million less than the estimates of Rosstat, while in many regions it was much larger, and this was not related to the methodology of migrant flows data collection. The number of births and the number of persons registered at a place of residence by birth, on average in Russia was similar, however, there were large discrepancies across the regions. The most considerable differences were between the statistics of deaths and information on people deregistered in connection with death (in 2015-2019, Rosstat data exceeded the registration data by almost 20%).The study allowed us to conclude that firstly it is necessary to assess the data quality before using it for population register establishment in the future, as well as for the needs of the population census in 2021. The article provides a brief historical background on the initiatives related to the creation of a population register in the USSR and the Russian Federation; it is concluded that the process was overly long and many opportunities were missed to improve demographic statistics.

1972 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Tyroler ◽  
Ralph Patrick

With data from the Papago population register and death certificates from the Arizona State Department of Health, vital rates and causes of death were examined for the decade 1950-59. Data were then divided to permit an assessment of the impact of residence in modern and traditional Papago communities on vital rates. Birth and death rates computed for the Papago population were in general agreement with similar data on Arizona Indian and U. S. Indian populations. Because of incompleteness of cause of death coding, mortality analysis was inconclusive. The vital rates for modern versus traditional communities disclosed differences which were the opposite of those predicted. Both birth and death rates were higher in modern than in traditional villages. This reversal may be explained by the inadequacy of the reporting system for vital events during the decade.


2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 453-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louisa Blackwell ◽  
Andrew Charlesworth ◽  
Nicola Jane Rogers

Abstract The 2011 Census for England and Wales made extensive use of administrative data to quality assure the estimates. This included record linkage between census and administrative data. This article describes the role of record linkage in the quality-assurance process. It outlines the operational challenges that we faced and how we resolved them. Record linkage was confined to a sample within 58 carefully selected local authorities. We found characteristic patterns of under- and overcoverage in the National Health Service Patient Register, which we illustrate here with examples. Our findings may be useful in countries that, like England and Wales, do not have a comprehensive population register to draw on and that need to understand issues of coverage in their routinely collected administrative data and the use of these data to estimate populations.


Author(s):  
Sylvain Cloutier

ABSTRACT ObjectiveStatistics Canada initiated the Canadian Statistical Demographic Database (CSDD) research project to determine if and how administrative data could be used to support the Canadian Census Program. The project’s goal is to create a census spine from administrative data sources. The CSDD’s current scope is limited to basic information (name, sex, birth date and usual place of residence) for all Canadians. MethodTwo 2011 CSDD prototypes were built using and linking hundreds of administrative files obtained mainly from other federal departments. Extensive pre-processing activities must take place prior to linkage to remove duplicates and standardize file variables. Given that Canadians do not possess a single unique identifier, administrative files were linked using record linkage methods; key matching variables were identified, validated and used to perform the linkage. This work led to the development of auxiliary files, which serve specific purposes related to the CSDD development. They also provide useful linkage keys to other Statistics Canada statistical programs.ResultsThe outcome of the CSDD is determined by comparing it to two references. First, comparisons were done at the aggregate level (Canadian, provincial and sub-provincial levels) by contrasting the results with Demography Division’s official population estimates for the 2011 Census. The CSDD was also compared with the 2011 Census of Population’s Response Database (RDB), which allows for analysis at the micro (record) level. The RDB contains non-imputed data on name, sex, birth date and usual place of residence as provided by individual census respondents. Comparisons with the RDB have allowed us to address the question, “Does the CSDD put the right person at the same address as the 2011 Census does?” Results are promising. At the aggregate level, the CSDD compares well with the demographic estimates for the 2011 Census at the national, provincial/territorial and some urban area levels. At the micro level, the CSDD contains more individuals than the RDB. Improvements are needed with regards to its ability to place persons accurately in rural areas due to the lack of good residential addresses in administrative data files. Initial results led to the planning of new CSDD prototypes, this time for 2016, in line with the 2016 Census of Population.ConclusionThe presentation will give an overview of the methods and principles behind the construction of the CSDD. Basic analytical results will present areas of strength and weakness. Lessons learned and upcoming challenges along with their proposed solutions will complete the presentation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 105 (9) ◽  
pp. 857-863 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Ferreras-Antolín ◽  
Godwin Oligbu ◽  
Ifeanyichukwu O Okike ◽  
Shamez Ladhani

ObjectiveTo estimate the contribution of infections to childhood deaths in England and Wales over a 3-year period.DesignRetrospective analysis of national electronic death registration data.SettingEngland and Wales.PatientsChildren aged 28 days to 15 years who died during 2013–15.Main outcome measuresThe proportion of children who died of infection compared with total deaths over 3 years; the main pathogens responsible for infection-related deaths in different age groups; comparison with similar data from 2003 to 2005.ResultsThere were 5088 death registrations recorded in children aged 28 days to <15 years in England and Wales during the three calendar years, 2013–2015 (17.6 deaths/100 000 children annually) compared with 6897 (23.9/100 000) during 2003–05 (incidence rate ratios (IRR) 0.74, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.77). During 2013–15, there were 951 (18.7%, 951/5088) infection-related deaths compared with 1368 (19.8%, 1368/6897) during 2003–05, equivalent to an infection-related mortality rate of 3.3/100 000 compared with 4.8/100 000 during the two periods (IRR 0.69, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.75), respectively. An underlying comorbidity was recorded in 55.0% (523/951) of death registrations during 2013–15 and increased with age. Where recorded, respiratory tract infection was the most commonly reported presentation (374/876, 42.7%) during 2013–15. Central nervous system infections accounted for only 4.8% (42/876). Overall, 63.1% (378/599) of infection-related deaths were associated with a bacterial, 34.2% (205/599) with a viral and 2.5% (15/599) with a fungal infection.ConclusionsBeyond the neonatal period, all-cause and infection-related childhood mortality rates have declined by 26% and 31%, respectively, over the past decade. However, infection continues to contribute to one in five childhood deaths.


Diversity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 409
Author(s):  
Lisa Prowant ◽  
Russell L. Burke

Reliable estimates of animal and plant population sizes are necessary to track trends in populations through time. Diamondback terrapins are an ecologically unique keystone species that are globally declining. Conservation efforts for this species rely on accurate estimates of population sizes; however, diamondback terrapin population size estimates are difficult to measure with precision or accuracy. Terrapin collection methods are often labor-, time-, and cost-intensive. The present study compares two recently developed rapid assessment methods for measuring diamondback terrapin abundances. Since mark–recapture or similar data were unavailable, we could not test the accuracy of either method directly; instead, we compared the two methods. If the methods produce similar estimates of terrapin population size, this would increase confidence in these methods. We measured the abundance of diamondback terrapins at 77 sites in Long Island, New York, using headcount surveys and surveys of parasitic trematodes that can be used as a proxy for terrapin abundance. We used random forest analyses to test whether the variation in diamondback terrapin abundance measured using headcount surveys could be explained by either the prevalence or the abundance of trematode parasites. The most variation explained by any of the models was 7.77%, indicating that trematode prevalence and abundance could not explain the variation in terrapin abundance measured using headcounts. This poor correlation between terrapin census methods indicates that one, or both, of the census measures are inaccurate, at least in the habitats found across Long Island, NY. A technique that accurately estimates the abundance of diamondback terrapin populations is critical to understanding their population fluctuations and trends. The only way to evaluate the status of the species is to have information on population numbers and trends across the species’ range, which might not be possible without a more accessible survey method.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 1759
Author(s):  
Gulnur Khasenovna SADYRBEKOVA

This article examines the features of criminalistic registration in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Criminalistic activities play a significant role in fighting against crime and aim to uncover and investigate offences, to create the evidence base which is necessary for exposing and convicting criminals. Criminalistic registration is an integral part of these activities and their informational component, the use of which is fundamental for successful crime investigation in modern conditions. The article aims to analyze the current state of criminalistic registration in the Republic of Kazakhstan, to study foreign experience and present prospects for the formation and use of criminalistic registration data. The author of the article searches historical background of the modern criminalistic registration system, its organization and legal framework in the Republic of Kazakhstan, the global experience of combining and using different information databases to investigate crimes, assess the possibilities of advanced information technologies and international information bases to fight against crimes. As a result, the author has evaluated the criminalistic registration in Kazakhstan, its organizational and legal foundations, and prospects for its further development. The article suggests creating unified information system at the global level which will provide more opportunities for the use of forensic information. The novelty of the article lies in the fact that it proposes ways of international information interaction in order to fight against crime based on a deep analysis of the global use of forensic information bases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 925-932
Author(s):  
Winida Albertha ◽  
Nurma Midayanti ◽  
Putri I. Firdaus ◽  
Ahmad Kosasih

BPS-Statistics Indonesia plans to carry out its seventh population census in 2020. In contrast to the traditional method in previous censuses, it will use administrative data obtained from the Ministry of Home Affairs combined with field enumeration. Individual information recorded in the administrative data will be used as the initial data source for the field enumeration as well as to ensure adequate coverage. These changes could be a step towards a register-based census in the future. Given the important role of register data in the upcoming Indonesian census, it is necessary to assess the quality of the administrative data which have been recorded by the Ministry of Home Affairs. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze whether there are significant differences on selected individual variables between the data from the administrative source and the census test results. The census test was conducted in three selected villages using multi-mode data collection. The comparison of the selected individual variables and the statistical test results indicate that this administrative data is of sufficient quality to be used as the data source for a combined method census in Indonesia.


Author(s):  
Pete Jones

ObjectivesFollowing the recommendation of the National Statistician in 2014, it is intended that the 2021 Census of England and Wales will make far greater use of administrative data. The combined use of administrative and census data has the potential to enhance the quality and detail of outputs that can be produced in 2021. Furthermore, the government’s aspiration is that future censuses will be conducted with other sources of data. One of the major objectives of the next census is therefore to develop and test methods for producing a future alternative that relies primarily on administrative data and surveys. ApproachIn order to meet the objectives of the 2021 Census, a data linkage strategy is needed to support the statistical system for producing population statistics. Given the diverse uses of linked data in census statistical processing, each matching exercise will have different requirements in terms of scale, methodology and quality. This paper outlines a flexible methodological strategy that has been developed to meet those requirements, with examples of research that has been undertaken to date. ResultsResearch findings from a range of linkage exercises are presented with discussion around the methods used, the scale of the matching exercise and associated measures of quality. Examples include: Linking multiple administrative datasets to produce a ‘Statistical Population Dataset’ Linking to adjust for coverage errors using capture-recapture methods  Generating multivariate tabulations from linked administrative and survey data Using linked administrative data to improve item imputation for missing values  Linking of address records to assign Unique Property Reference Numbers Using administrative data to enhance the 2021 Census Address Register ConclusionCentral to the strategy is the need to develop a business model that can deliver linkage outputs to the required quality while still preserving the privacy of individuals’ data. We conclude that various procedural and technical options for preserving privacy can be incorporated within the framework of this strategy, including pseudonymisation, de-identification, trusted third party models and record indexing. The strategy developed will enable datasets to be linked to the required specifications. In addition, de-identified datasets can be held separately and integrated efficiently when required in the production of statistical outputs. The development of this strategy will continue in the run up to the 2021 Census, with the aim of incorporating its use in wider statistical output production, including population, business statistics and social surveys.


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