Growth and Instability Analysis of Pearl Millet Cultivation in India

The present study was undertaken to analyze growth and instability in terms of area, production and yield in a major pearl millet growing states of India. The study has employed the secondary time series data of the area, production and yield of pearl millet crop collected from 1997-1998 to 2016-17 for the major pearl millet crop-growing states of India. The results revealed that area under cultivation registered declined growth in all states and India except Uttar Pradesh. Gujarat showed overall negative growth in terms of area, production and yield. Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh found increased production and yield. High level of instability in terms of yield recorded in Rajasthan while, Gujarat, Haryana, Rajasthan and India witnessed a high degree of instability in terms of production during the entire period.

2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ekta Pandey

Attempts are made in this paper to investigate the trend of pulses in Eastern Uttar Pradesh, as well as their instability and non-linear model. This time series data on pulses pertains to the period 1980-1981 to 2014-15 and includes information on the area, production, and productivity of pulses. Pulses have had negative growth in terms of area, production, and productivity in all three zones of Eastern Uttar Pradesh, namely, the North Eastern plain zone, the Eastern plain zone, and the Vindhyan zone. Since 1980-81, there has been a rise in the area and output of pulses in the Vindhyan zone, as seen by the percentage change. The Eastern plain zone has the most stable pulse crop in terms of instability


2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 120-125
Author(s):  
Uma Sah ◽  
G. P. Dixit ◽  
Hemant Kumar ◽  
Jitendra Ojha ◽  
Mohit Katiyar ◽  
...  

Time series data on area, production and productivity of major millets (2000-01 to 2019- 20) was analyzed for Bundelkhand region of Uttar Pradesh state. Sorghum was the most important millet crop that accounted for highest area (36.6%) and (34%) of total millet area and production in UP state, respectively. Chitrakoot district contributed highest area (31.6%) under millets. Among all the millets, pearl millet recorded highest growth rate in area (0.97%), production (3.57%) and productivity (1.59%) with low instability index for area. The overall area and production of millet crops recorded decline in all the seven districts of Bundelkhand region during overall study period (2000-20). Lalitpur district recorded highest decline in area (-22.02%), followed by Chitrakoot (-10.82%) and Jhansi district (- 10.63%) during overall study period, while during the same period Banda district recorded a growth in area (1.16%) and production (4.77 %) of pearl millet. The overall area, production and productivity of millets registered a decline in Bundelkhand region during 2000-20. This calls for aggressive promotional activities for enhancing millets production in the region.


2015 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 200-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carissa Sparkes ◽  
Leonard M. Lye ◽  
Susan Richter

Time series data such as monthly stream flows can be modelled using time series methods and then used to simulate or forecast flows for short term planning. Two methods of time series modelling were reviewed and compared: the well-known auto regressive moving average (ARMA) method and the state-space time-series (SSTS) method. ARMA has been used in hydrology to model and simulate flows with good results and is widely accepted for this purpose. SSTS modelling is a more recently developed method that is relatively unused for hydrologic modelling. This paper focuses on modelling the stream flows from basins of different sizes using these two time series modelling methods and comparing the results. Three rivers in Labrador and South-East Quebec were modelled: the Romaine, Ugjoktok and Alexis Rivers. Both models were compared for accuracy of prediction, ease of software use and simplicity of model to determine the preferred time series methodology approach for modelling these rivers. The SSTS was considered very easy to use but model diagnostics were found to require a high level of statistical understanding. Ultimately, the ARMA method was determined to be the better method for the typical engineer to use, considering the diagnostics were simple and the monthly flows could be easily simulated to verify results.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Ali Alqahtani

The use of deep learning has grown increasingly in recent years, thereby becoming a much-discussed topic across a diverse range of fields, especially in computer vision, text mining, and speech recognition. Deep learning methods have proven to be robust in representation learning and attained extraordinary achievement. Their success is primarily due to the ability of deep learning to discover and automatically learn feature representations by mapping input data into abstract and composite representations in a latent space. Deep learning’s ability to deal with high-level representations from data has inspired us to make use of learned representations, aiming to enhance unsupervised clustering and evaluate the characteristic strength of internal representations to compress and accelerate deep neural networks.Traditional clustering algorithms attain a limited performance as the dimensionality in-creases. Therefore, the ability to extract high-level representations provides beneficial components that can support such clustering algorithms. In this work, we first present DeepCluster, a clustering approach embedded in a deep convolutional auto-encoder. We introduce two clustering methods, namely DCAE-Kmeans and DCAE-GMM. The DeepCluster allows for data points to be grouped into their identical cluster, in the latent space, in a joint-cost function by simultaneously optimizing the clustering objective and the DCAE objective, producing stable representations, which is appropriate for the clustering process. Both qualitative and quantitative evaluations of proposed methods are reported, showing the efficiency of deep clustering on several public datasets in comparison to the previous state-of-the-art methods.Following this, we propose a new version of the DeepCluster model to include varying degrees of discriminative power. This introduces a mechanism which enables the imposition of regularization techniques and the involvement of a supervision component. The key idea of our approach is to distinguish the discriminatory power of numerous structures when searching for a compact structure to form robust clusters. The effectiveness of injecting various levels of discriminatory powers into the learning process is investigated alongside the exploration and analytical study of the discriminatory power obtained through the use of two discriminative attributes: data-driven discriminative attributes with the support of regularization techniques, and supervision discriminative attributes with the support of the supervision component. An evaluation is provided on four different datasets.The use of neural networks in various applications is accompanied by a dramatic increase in computational costs and memory requirements. Making use of the characteristic strength of learned representations, we propose an iterative pruning method that simultaneously identifies the critical neurons and prunes the model during training without involving any pre-training or fine-tuning procedures. We introduce a majority voting technique to compare the activation values among neurons and assign a voting score to evaluate their importance quantitatively. This mechanism effectively reduces model complexity by eliminating the less influential neurons and aims to determine a subset of the whole model that can represent the reference model with much fewer parameters within the training process. Empirically, we demonstrate that our pruning method is robust across various scenarios, including fully-connected networks (FCNs), sparsely-connected networks (SCNs), and Convolutional neural networks (CNNs), using two public datasets.Moreover, we also propose a novel framework to measure the importance of individual hidden units by computing a measure of relevance to identify the most critical filters and prune them to compress and accelerate CNNs. Unlike existing methods, we introduce the use of the activation of feature maps to detect valuable information and the essential semantic parts, with the aim of evaluating the importance of feature maps, inspired by novel neural network interpretability. A majority voting technique based on the degree of alignment between a se-mantic concept and individual hidden unit representations is utilized to evaluate feature maps’ importance quantitatively. We also propose a simple yet effective method to estimate new convolution kernels based on the remaining crucial channels to accomplish effective CNN compression. Experimental results show the effectiveness of our filter selection criteria, which outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines.To conclude, we present a comprehensive, detailed review of time-series data analysis, with emphasis on deep time-series clustering (DTSC), and a founding contribution to the area of applying deep clustering to time-series data by presenting the first case study in the context of movement behavior clustering utilizing the DeepCluster method. The results are promising, showing that the latent space encodes sufficient patterns to facilitate accurate clustering of movement behaviors. Finally, we identify state-of-the-art and present an outlook on this important field of DTSC from five important perspectives.


Author(s):  
Sugiyono Madelan

Indonesia’s creative economy product exports have not been optimal. The purpose of this study is to optimize the goals of creative economic development in Indonesia. This research was conducted using secondary time series data for the period 2010-2017. The research method uses linear programming and goal programming. The results showed that exports of creative economy products responded to an increase in export selling prices based on the demand behavior of the exports of creative economy products. The factor of export competitiveness of Indonesia’s creative economy products lies in the use of cheaper labor costs. Exports of creative economy products do not automatically increase, if the education level of the workforce increases, but rather comes from an increase in creativity. Fashion products are efficient products compared to producing exports of craft products and culinary products. Finally, the development of the creative economy is more optimal for the purpose of increasing exports of creative economy products than for the purpose of increasing employment, namely by producing fashion products.


Author(s):  
Parvathi Chundi ◽  
Daniel J. Rosenkrantz

Time series data is usually generated by measuring and monitoring applications, and accounts for a large fraction of the data available for analysis purposes. A time series is typically a sequence of values that represent the state of a variable over time. Each value of the variable might be a simple value, or might have a composite structure, such as a vector of values. Time series data can be collected about natural phenomena, such as the amount of rainfall in a geographical region, or about a human activity, such as the number of shares of GoogleTM stock sold each day. Time series data is typically used for predicting future behavior from historical performance. However, a time series often needs further processing to discover the structure and properties of the recorded variable, thereby facilitating the understanding of past behavior and prediction of future behavior. Segmentation of a given time series is often used to compactly represent the time series (Gionis & Mannila, 2005), to reduce noise, and to serve as a high-level representation of the data (Das, Lin, Mannila, Renganathan & Smyth, 1998; Keogh & Kasetty, 2003). Data mining of a segmentation of a time series, rather than the original time series itself, has been used to facilitate discovering structure in the data, and finding various kinds of information, such as abrupt changes in the model underlying the time series (Duncan & Bryant, 1996; Keogh & Kasetty, 2003), event detection (Guralnik & Srivastava, 1999), etc. The rest of this chapter is organized as follows. The section on Background gives an overview of the time series segmentation problem and solutions. This section is followed by a Main Focus section where details of the tasks involved in segmenting a given time series and a few sample applications are discussed. Then, the Future Trends section presents some of the current research trends in time series segmentation and the Conclusion section concludes the chapter. Several important terms and their definitions are also included at the end of the chapter.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1283
Author(s):  
Ki-Hong Choi ◽  
Insin Kim

Tourism demand is severely affected by unpredicted events, which has prompted scholars to examine ways of predicting the effects of positive and negative shocks on tourism, to ensure a sustainable tourism industry. The purpose of this study was to investigate if non-linear dependence structures exist between tourist flows into South Korea from five major source countries, as South Korea has undergone fluctuations in tourist arrivals due to diverse circumstances and has complex relations with tourism source countries. Additionally, the study examines the structures of extreme tail dependence, which is indicated in the case of unexpected events, and identifies how co-movements vary over time through dynamic copula–GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) tests. The secondary time series data for the 2005–2019 period of tourist arrivals to Korea were derived from the Korea Tourism Knowledge and Information System for testing the copula models. The copula estimations indicate significant dependencies among all market pairs as well as the strongest dependence between China and Taiwan. Moreover, extreme tail dependence structures show co-movements for four pairs of tourism markets in only negative shocks, for five pairs in both positive and negative conditions, but no co-movement in the China–Taiwan pair. Finally, the dynamic dependence structures reveal that the China–Taiwan dependence is higher than the other time-varying dependence structures, implying that the two markets complement each other.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-69
Author(s):  
Sunoto Sunoto ◽  
Bertha Iin Esti Indraswanti ◽  
Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi

The purpose of this research was to analyze economic growth and shifting of economic structure of the origin district in Bengkulu Province. Base on BPS secondary time series data (2001-2017), descriftive analysis was used to analyze economic growth and shifting economic structure, specialty after the region otonomous era (OTDA).  The DLQ and SSA method was used to determine the potential and leading sectors to increase economic performance. The result of this research was conclude that expansion of the the region in Bengkulu Provinsi has positif impact on economic development for the origin district. The economis structure was shifting from premier sector to secondary and tertier sector. The potential and leading sector after OTDA become more than before (from 4 or 5 sector to 7 untul 9 sector).  Keywords :  Dynamic Location Quotient 1, Shift Share Analysis 2, Economic Growth 3, Economic Structure 4, Potential and Leading Sector 5


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document