Use of Simplified HAS-BLED Score for Predicting Bleeding Events in Anticoagulated Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (5) ◽  
pp. 802-806

Objective: To demonstrate bleeding risk prediction of simplified HAS-BLED (sHAS-BLED) score in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Materials and Methods: AF patients receiving warfarin were retrospectively recruited in Central Chest Institute of Thailand between October 2012 and December 2017. The main outcome was total bleeding including major bleeding, clinically relevant non-major bleeding or minor bleeding. The chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare the main outcome between sHAS-BLED and conventional HAS-BLED (cHAS-BLED) scores. A sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of sHAS-BLED were calculated. The discrimination performances of sHAS-BLED and cHAS-BLED scores were demonstrated with c-statistics. Results: One hundred ten patients were recruited. The mean age was 70.53±9.58 years. The average sHAS-BLED and cHAS-BLED scores were 2.23±0.79 and 1.95±0.83, respectively. The patients with sHAS-BLED score of 3 or more had 15 total bleeding events (37.50%) while those with score of less than 3 had 13 total bleeding events (18.57%). Those with sHAS-BLED score of 3 or more had more total bleeding than those with score of less than 3 with statistical significance (odds ratio 2.63; 95% CI 1.09 to 6.25; p=0.049). A sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of sHAS-BLED score were 53.57%, 69.51%, 37.50%, and 81.43%, respectively. The discrimination performances of sHAS-BLED and cHAS-BLED scores were demonstrated with c-statistics of 0.65 and 0.67, respectively. Conclusion: The sHAS-BLED score can be used for bleeding risk prediction in anticoagulated AF patients compared with cHAS-BLED score. Keywords: Simplified HAS-BLED, Atrial fibrillation, Anticoagulant, Bleeding, SAMe-TT₂R₂

BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. e022478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miklos Rohla ◽  
Thomas W Weiss ◽  
Ladislav Pecen ◽  
Giuseppe Patti ◽  
Jolanta M Siller-Matula ◽  
...  

ObjectivesWe identified factors associated with thromboembolic and bleeding events in two contemporary cohorts of anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), treated with either vitamin K antagonists (VKA) or non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs).DesignProspective, multicentre observational study.Setting461 centres in seven European countries.Participants5310 patients receiving a VKA (PREvention oF thromboembolic events - European Registry in Atrial Fibrillation (PREFER in AF), derivation cohort) and 3156 patients receiving a NOAC (PREFER in AF Prolongation, validation cohort) for stroke prevention in AF.Outcome measuresRisk factors for thromboembolic events (ischaemic stroke, systemic embolism) and major bleeding (gastrointestinal bleeding, intracerebral haemorrhage and other life-threatening bleeding).ResultsThe mean age of patients enrolled in the PREFER in AF registry was 72±10 years, 40% were female and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc Score was 3.5±1.7. The incidence of thromboembolic and major bleeding events was 2.34% (95% CI 1.93% to 2.74%) and 2.84% (95% CI 2.41% to 3.33%) after 1-year of follow-up, respectively.Abnormal liver function, prior stroke or transient ischaemic attack, labile international normalised ratio (INR), concomitant therapy with antiplatelet or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, heart failure and older age (≥75 years) were independently associated with both thromboembolic and major bleeding events.With the exception of unstable INR values, these risk factors were validated in patients treated with NOACs (PREFER in AF Prolongation Study, 72±9 years, 40% female, CHA2DS2-VASc 3.3±1.6). For each single point decrease on a modifiable bleeding risk scale we observed a 30% lower risk for major bleeding events (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.76, p<0.01) and a 28% lower rate of thromboembolic events (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.82, p<0.01).ConclusionAttending to modifiable risk factors is an important treatment target in anticoagulated AF patients to reduce thromboembolic and bleeding events. Initiation of anticoagulation in those at risk of stroke should not be prevented by elevated bleeding risk scores.


2014 ◽  
Vol 111 (03) ◽  
pp. 549-556 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amitava Banerjee ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
Anne Bernard-Brunet ◽  
Nicolas Clementy ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip

SummarySeveral validated risk stratification schemes for prediction of ischaemic stroke (IS)/thromboembolism (TE) and major bleeding are available for patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). On the basis for multiple common risk factors for IS/TE and bleeding, it has been suggested that composite risk prediction scores may be more practical and user-friendly than separate scores for bleeding and IS/TE. In a long-term prospective hospital registry of anticoagulated patients with newly diagnosed AF, we compared the predictive value of existing risk prediction scores as well as composite risk scores, and also compared these risk scoring systems using composite endpoints. Endpoint 1 was the simple composite of IS and major bleeds. Endpoint 2 was based on a composite of IS plus intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). Endpoint 3 was based on weighted coefficients for IS/TE and ICH. Endpoint 4 was a composite of stroke, cardiovascular death, TE and major bleeding. The incremental predictive value of these scores over CHADS2 (as reference) for composite endpoints was assessed using c-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Of 8,962 eligible individuals, 3,607 (40.2%) had NVAF and were on OAC at baseline. There were no statistically significant differences between the c-statistics of the various risk scores, compared with the CHADS2 score, regardless of the endpoint. For the various risk scores and various endpoints, NRI and IDI did not show significant improvement (≥1%), compared with the CHADS2 score. In conclusion, composite risk scores did not significantly improve risk prediction of endpoints in patients with NVAF, regardless of how endpoints were defined. This would support individualised prediction of IS/TE and bleeding separately using different separate risk prediction tools, and not the use of composite scores or endpoints for everyday ‘real world’ clinical practice, to guide decisions on thromboprophylaxis.Note: The review process for this paper was fully handled by Christian Weber, Editor in Chief.


Author(s):  
Alexandra Jayne Nelson ◽  
Brian W Johnston ◽  
Alicia Achiaa Charlotte Waite ◽  
Gedeon Lemma ◽  
Ingeborg Dorothea Welters

Background. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in critically ill patients. There is a paucity of data assessing the impact of anticoagulation strategies on clinical outcomes for general critical care patients with AF. Our aim was to assess the existing literature to evaluate the effectiveness of anticoagulation strategies used in critical care for AF. Methodology. A systematic literature search was conducted using MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and PubMed databases. Studies reporting anticoagulation strategies for AF in adults admitted to a general critical care setting were assessed for inclusion. Results. Four studies were selected for data extraction. A total of 44087 patients were identified with AF, of which 17.8-49.4% received anticoagulation. The reported incidence of thromboembolic events was 0-1.4% for anticoagulated patients, and 0-1.3% in non-anticoagulated patients. Major bleeding events were reported in three studies and occurred in 7.2-8.6% of the anticoagulated patients and up to 7.1% of the non-anticoagulated patients. Conclusions. There was an increased incidence of major bleeding events in anticoagulated patients with AF in critical care compared to non-anticoagulated patients. There was no significant difference in the incidence of reported thromboembolic events within studies, between patients who did and did not receive anticoagulation. However, the outcomes reported within studies were not standardised, therefore, the generalisability of our results to the general critical care population remains unclear. Further data is required to facilitate an evidence-based assessment of the risks and benefits of anticoagulation for critically ill patients with AF.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Bergamaschi ◽  
A Stefanizzi ◽  
M Coriano ◽  
P Paolisso ◽  
I Magnani ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Several risk scores have been proposed to assess the bleeding risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation. Purpose To compare the efficacy of HAS-BLED, ATRIA and ORBIT scores to predict major bleedings in newly diagnosed non-valvular AF (NV-AF) treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or new oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods We analyzed all consecutive patients with AF at our outpatient clinic from January to December 2017. Only those with new diagnosed NV-AF starting new anticoagulant therapy were enrolled. Major hemorrhagic events were defined according to the ISTH definition in non-surgical patients. Results Out of the 820 patients admitted with AF, 305 were newly diagnosed with NV-AF starting oral anticoagulation. Overall, 51.3% were male with a mean age of 72.6±13.7 years. Thirty-six patients (11.8%) started VKAs whereas 269 (88.2%) patients were treated with NOACs. The median follow-up time was 10.4±3.4 months. During follow-up, 123 (32.2%) bleeding events were recorded, 21 (17,1%) in the VKA group and 102 (82,9%) in the NOAC group. Eleven (2.9%) major bleeding events occurred: 5 (45.5%) in the VKA group and 6 (54.5%) in the NOAC group. Overall, patients with major hemorrhagic events showed a mean value of the scores significantly higher when compared to patients without such bleeding complications (HASBLED 3.4 vs 2.4 p=0.007; ATRIA 5.6 vs 2.4 p<0.001; ORBIT 3.6 vs 1.8 p<0,001). Conversely, when analyzing the VKA subgroup, only the ATRIA score was significantly higher in patients with major adverse events (7.4 vs 3.5 p<0.001; HAS-BLED: 4.4 vs 3.6 p=0.27; ORBIT 4.4 vs 2.9 p=0.13). An ATRIA score ≥4 identified patients at high risk of bleeding (29.4% vs. 0% events. respectively, p=0.04). In the NOAC group, patients with major bleeding events had higher mean values of ATRIA (4.0 vs 2.3 p=0.02) and ORBIT (2.8 vs 1.6 p=0,04) but not the HAS-BLED (2.5 vs 2.3 p=0.57) scores. Similarly, patients on NOACs with an ATRIA score ≥4 had higher rates of major bleedings (8.1% vs. 1.6% p=0,02). Comparing the single elements of the ATRIA score, only glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min/1.73 mq was associated with major bleedings in the VKA group (p<0.001) whereas, in the NOAC group, anemia was strongly associated with bleeding events (p=0,02). In fact, multivariate analysis in the NOAC group showed that hemoglobin level at admission was an independent predictor for major bleeding events (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.23–0.75, P=0.003). Conversely, in the VKA group, baseline creatinine level was an independent predictor for these events (OR 12.76, 95% CI 1.6–101.7, P=0.016). Conclusions The ATRIA score showed the best efficacy in predicting major bleeding events. Hemoglobin and creatinine levels at admission were independent predictors for major hemorrhagic events in the NOAC and in the VKA groups, respectively. The latter finding might be helpful in stratifying the hemorrhagic risk at the beginning of treatment.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 590-590
Author(s):  
Lauren E. Merz ◽  
Duaa AbdelHameid ◽  
Dareen M. Kanaan ◽  
Guohai Zhou ◽  
Peter M. Manzo ◽  
...  

Abstract Intro: Von Willebrand disease (VWD) is a coagulopathy caused by deficiency or dysfunction of von Willebrand factor (VWF), resulting in prolonged and excessive bleeding. Patients are advised to avoid aspirin (ASA), P2Y12 inhibitors, or anticoagulation (AC) so as not to exacerbate this condition. However, typical treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF) includes anticoagulation, particularly if the risk of stroke by CHA 2DS 2-VASC score is 2+. Current recommendations suggest giving necessary antiplatelet (AP) or AC therapy over no treatment with assessment of bleeding risk throughout the course. However, this is a conditional recommendation based on low certainty in evidence, and there are no specific guidelines on treating AF in patients with VWD. This study aims to assess anticoagulation use, bleeding risk, and stroke risk in patients with VWF and AF. Methods: We conducted an IRB-approved analysis of coded data from institutional electronic medical records to select patients with diagnosis of VWD, low ristocetin cofactor level, or any abnormal VWF panel as well as patients with diagnosis of AF or atrial flutter. Three hundred and forty patients met criteria. Patients were manually screened for inclusion criteria and excluded for inaccurate diagnosis or insufficient data. Eighty-nine patients were included in the analysis. Primary endpoint was rate of major bleeding defined by ISTH criteria while on AC or AP. Categorical data were tested using the Fisher exact test at the nominal 0.05 two-sided significance level, and all person-time comparisons are made against the rate of bleeding on AC alone. Results: Most patients were female (64.0%; 57/89), and 28.1% (25/89) were deceased at the time of data collection. Date of diagnosis of AF ranged from 1980-2020. 42.7% (38/89) of patients were ever prescribed ASA, 43.8% (39/89) a P2Y12 inhibitor, 56.2% (50/89) AC, and 23.6% (21/89) had never been prescribed AP or AC. Of patients with a CHA 2DS 2-VASC of 2+, 57.5% (46/80) were ever prescribed AC. 32.0% (16/50) of patients ever prescribed AC and 25.6% (10/39) patients never prescribed AC had at least one major bleeding event (p=0.428). The rate of major bleeding on AC alone was 8.9 events per 100 person-years (32 events/359.2 years), 10.2 events per 100 person-years on AP alone (41 events/402.3 years) (p=0.572), and 1.06 events per 100 person-years (8 events/757.47 years) in patients never prescribed AC or AP (p=&lt;0.0001). Notably, the rate of major bleeding on AC and AP together was 28.07 events per 100 person-years (23 events/81.94 years) (p=&lt;0.0001) occurring in 7 patients, 6 of whom also had a diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Length of time to first major bleed is shown in Figure 1. 16.9% (15/89) of patients had thromboembolic strokes after diagnosis of AF, and 53.3% (8/15) of those strokes occurred when patients were not prescribed AC. Discussion: This retrospective observational study over 40 years characterizes AC and AP use in patients with VWD and AF. Only 57.5% of patients with CHA 2DS 2-VASC of 2+ received standard of care AC despite conditional recommendations to give necessary anticoagulation to patients with VWD. In parallel with the general population, AC use significantly increases the rate of major bleeding in patients with VWD, but there was no difference in bleeding rate between standard AC and AP monotherapy. However, major bleeding rates were notably elevated in patients prescribed concomitant AC and AP which most commonly occurred in the setting of ACS. This analysis is limited by its retrospective nature, the lack of granular details in the coded database, and incomplete data in older charts. Overall, these data do not support the use of AP monotherapy over standard AC to reduce bleeding rates for patients with VWD and AF. Additionally, AC and AP co-administration should be avoided due to high rates of major bleeding, but more studies are required to understand AP and AC strategies in patients with VWD, AF, and ACS. Although the rate of major bleeding is elevated with AC use in patients with VWD, there is no difference in lifetime prevalence of major bleeding events by AC vs no AC use. Finally, over half of thromboembolic strokes occurred when not prescribed AC. Shared decision-making around stroke and bleeding risk is advised in considering AC use for AF in patients with VWD. Prospective studies should further evaluate the risk of major bleeding and stroke in patients with VWD and AF on standard AC vs no AC. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Adela-Nicoleta Roşian ◽  
Mihaela Iancu ◽  
Adrian Pavel Trifa ◽  
Ştefan Horia Roşian ◽  
Cristina Mada ◽  
...  

(1) Background: The approach of bleeding complications in patients treated with non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) represents an important issue in clinical practice. Both dabigatran and apixaban are substrates for P-glycoprotein and, therefore, ABCB1 gene variations may be useful in individualizing NOACs treatment, especially in high-risk patients. (2) Methods: ABCB1 rs1045642 and rs4148738 were determined in 218 atrial fibrillation patients treated with dabigatran or apixaban (70.94 ± 9.04 years; 51.83% men). (3) Results: Non-major bleeding appeared in 7.34% NOACs–treated patients. The logistic tested models based on the four genetic models revealed no significant association between the variant genotype of two ABCB1 SNPs and the risk of bleeding (p > 0.05). Among the four two-locus haplotypes, TA and CA haplotypes had the highest frequency in NOACs-treated patients with bleeding, involving a possible positive association with the susceptibility of bleeding complications (OR = 1.04 and OR = 1.91, respectively). The logistic model found no significant association of estimated haplotypes with bleeding (p > 0.05) except for the TG haplotype which had a trend toward statistical significance (p = 0.092). Among the risk factors for bleeding, only age > 70 years and stroke/TIA showed a tendency toward statistical significance. (4) Conclusions: We found no significant associations between the studied ABCB1 variant genotypes with non-major bleeding risk in NOACs-treated patients. A trend of association between TG haplotype with bleeding risk was observed, implying a protective role of this haplotype against bleeding in patients treated with dabigatran or apixaban.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Murphy ◽  
William Maddox ◽  
Stan Nahman ◽  
Matthew Diamond ◽  
Robert Sorrentino ◽  
...  

Introduction: Hemodialysis patients (HD pts) with atrial fibrillation (AF) have increased risk of stroke. The HASBLED (Hypertension (HTN), Abnl Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding Hx, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs/Alcohol) risk score predicts bleeding in the general AF population. It is unknown whether the HASBLED score can be applied to HD pts who are at additional bleeding risk due to uremic platelet dysfunction and the regular use of heparin. Hypothesis: To address this question, we queried the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) for bleeding events in HD pts with AF, and correlated those events with a modified HASBLED (mHASBLED) score. Methods: All incident HD pts with AF from the USRDS for 2006-2010 were queried for major bleeding events and mHASBLED parameters using ICD-9 diagnosis codes and data from CMS form 2728. For mHASBLED, the HTN parameter was defined as "HTN as the cause of renal failure", and labile INR as > 16 INRs/yr, but all other parameters could be derived from the dataset. Logistic regression (LR) analysis was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for the mHASBLED score to predict major bleeding events. Results: 74,631 HD pts had AF, and 9.8% had a major bleeding event (GI bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke). By univariate analysis, those who bled were more likely to be elderly, have an underlying cause of renal disease due to HTN, prior bleeding event, hepatitis C, labile INR, and be on oral anticoagulants. By LR, variables with the greatest impact on bleeding were HTN as a cause of underlying renal disease, prior bleeding history, and labile INR (OR of 1.10, 2.20 and 2.24, respectively). The OR for bleeding events increased by 1.28 for each unit increase in mHASBLED. Older age, prior stroke, abnormal renal or liver function, and drug use had the least effect. Note that the lowest possible score in this cohort is 1, given that all patients had renal failure. Conclusions: In HD pts with AF, the mHASBLED predicts major bleeding events. The universal presence of renal disease, and the lack of specific clinical data from the USRDS may limit the clinical precision of a given score, however mHASBLED may remain a useful indicator of bleeding risk in this population.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Fauchier ◽  
A Bisson ◽  
A Bodin ◽  
N Clementy ◽  
B Pierre ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) is a tool to measure comorbid disease status and a strong estimator of mortality. The quantifiable frailty phenotype has also been validated as predictive of mortality and disability. Claims data can be used to classify individuals as frail and non-frail using the Claims-based Frailty Index (CFI). We evaluated whether these tools may help to predict the risk of bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods All patients with AF seen in an academic institution were identified and followed up for mortality, stroke and bleeding events. HAS-BLED, HEMORR2HAGES, ATRIA and ORBIT scores, CCI and CFI were calculated for each patient. Hazard ratios were calculated and predictive abilities of the scores were compared using the c-statistic in the whole population and then separately in elderly patients (>75 yo). Results Among 8962 patients with AF, 274 major bleeding events were recorded during a follow-up of 874±1054 days. Bleeding occurred more commonly in patients with higher bleeding risk scores, CCI and CFI. The 4 bleeding risk scores significantly had lower c-statistics than CCI and CFI for predicting major bleeding (table). Results were similar whether patients were treated with OAC or no OAC. In elderly patients, the c-statistics were all lower and were not significantly different for the 4 scores, CCI and CFI scores (0.594, 0,572, 0.595, 0.594, 0.616 and 0.591 for HAS-BLED, HEMORR2HAGES, ATRIA, ORBIT, CCI and CFI, respectively). Predictive values for major bleeding ROC Area 95% Conf. Interval P value vs CCI/CFI HASBLED 0.588 0.555–0.621 0.002/0.003 HEMORR2HAGES 0.564 0.531–0.598 <0.0001/<0.0001 ATRIA 0.559 0.522–0.595 <0.0001/<0.0001 ORBIT 0.577 0.542–0.612 0.0002/0.0003 Charlson, CCI 0.652 0.619–0.684 –/0.58 Frailty index, CFI 0.648 0.615–0.681 0.58/– Conclusion Comorbidities and frailty, respectively assessed with CCI and CFI, demonstrated statistically better performances in predicting major bleeding than the 4 established bleeding risk scores in AF, although all c-indexes were broadly similar. The 4 bleeding risk scores, CCI and CFI showed lower performance in predicting bleeding within elderly patients in whom they all performed equally to predict bleeding events. Given their simplicity and similar performances, the user-friendly bleeding risk scores remain attractive tools for the estimation of bleeding risk in elderly patients with AF.


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