scholarly journals Shifts in interregional proportions in population settlement over the territory of Russia in 2002-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-37
Author(s):  
Pavel Kirillov ◽  
Alla Makhrova
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Turning Point ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Local Growth ◽  
Population Redistribution ◽  
Migratory Movement ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation

Abstract The article deals with the trends of population size changes in the regions of the Russian Federation between 2002 and 2017 on the basis of data of all-Russian population censuses and current statistics. Components of population growth (natural and migratory movement of the population) are analyzed. In order to take into account the current situation of population size changes in the regions, which are largely of a “turning point” nature and partly inconsistent with the medium-term dynamics since the 2002 Census, the analysis is focused on the period from 2014 to 2017. The paper presents estimates of population size shifts at regional and macro-regional levels, identifies general and local growth centers and depopulation zones. Conclusions are drawn about general shifts in the proportions of population settlement over the territory of Russia and in certain macro-regions (federal districts). General conclusions about the trends of population redistribution across the territory of the country are given in the final part of the study.

scholarly journals Development of a Methodological Approach to Medium-Term Forecasting of the Regional Economic Growth Based on the Decomposition of Macro-Forecast Indicators for Russia

2020 ◽  
pp. 63-74
Author(s):  
Andrey Polynev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Regional Economic Growth ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article presents a methodological approach to the development of a medium-term forecast of GRP growth rates in regions (subjects of the Russian Federation and Federal districts) in the context of the main types of economic activity based on the decomposition of macroeconomic forecast indicators for Russia. The key factors that have a significant impact on the dynamics of the current regional economic growth, including macroeconomic, territorial and external ones, should be taken into account in forecasts of regional development. The author mentions examples of domestic practices of scientific research in the field of forecasting in the regions of Russia according to the main macroeconomic indicators, including GRP. The paper states the methodological basis and fundamental principles of forecasting of regional indicators of the economic growth according to the main types of economic activity. As a key factor an indicator determining the dynamics of production in the sectors of regional economy, the growth rate of investments into fixed capital is used which is determined by the presence of a functional relationship between these characteristics on the basis of the multiplier ratio. On the basis of the developed methodological approach, the author estimates the growth rate of GRP of Russian regions according to the main types of economic activity for the period until 2024. The paper presents the results of the GRP forecast for Federal districts, as well as the share of GRP investments in them. The article shows the regions of the Russian Federation with the highest GRP growth rates in the medium term and trends of changes in the levels of interregional differentiation in investment and economic activity in Russia from 2000 to 2017 and for the forecasted period until 2024.

scholarly journals Information and telecommunications technologies – the modern reality of crime

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (4) ◽  
pp. 89-96
Author(s):  
Sergey Ivantsov ◽  
Tat'yana Molchanova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Turning Point ◽  
Criminal Code ◽  
Information Space ◽  
Crime Statistics ◽  
International Convention ◽  
Current State ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Russian Federation

The presented article examines the current state of crime in the field of information and telecommunication technologies, taking into account the new direction of the development of crime. Afteranalyzing foreign and Russian data, the authors emphasize that the information space has become one of the most common areas in the use of the COVID-19 virus pandemic to commit various crimes. Separately, this article examines the landscape of threats of crimes in the field of information and telecommunication technologies during the COVID-1 pandemic, and also analyzes the practice of detecting crimes under Art. 158, 159, 159.3, 159.6, 228.1 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation for federal districts. The authors argue that the pandemic has significantly changed the nature and intensity of all crime, but the sphere of information and telecommunications technologies has undergone the greatest criminalization, which is reflected in crime statistics. In conclusion, the authors conclude that COVID-19 will be a turning point in changing the face of crime, as well as measures to combat crime in this particular area of relations. It points to the initiative of Russia within the framework of the UN to develop a comprehensive international convention on countering the use of information and telecommunication technologies for criminal purposes.

Improving the medium-term forecasting methodology: a model of big challenges

2019 ◽  
pp. 62-68
Author(s):  
I.A. Kirichenko ◽  
R.R. Gumerov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article analyzes some new requirements to the methodology of medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the framework of the «big challenges» model. The main «big challenges» of the global and Russian economy are identified, the main requirements for the medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the transition to the model of «big challenges» are considered.

Dynamic monitoring of changes in medical and demographic indicators in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) from 1998 to 2018

2020 ◽  
pp. 33-36
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Rural Population ◽  
Urban Population ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Dynamic Monitoring ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

We studied the medical and demographic indicators in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for the last 20 years (1998–2018). A decrease in the population by 4,7 % (р<0,01) was revealed in the Russian Federation in the period 1998–2008, 3,4 % decrease, followed by its growth by 2,8 % (р<0,01); a decrease in the number of rural population in the republic and an increase in the urban population were observed. By the beginning of 2019, in comparison with the 2003 data, an increase in the population by 1.9% (р<0,01), a decrease in the number of able-bodied people in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) at the beginning of 2019, as compared to 1998, were revealed, by 8,2 %, in the Russian Federation – by 4,7 % (р<0,01). In the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) the birth rate remains high, the mortality rate is relatively low, and the natural population growth is maintained.

scholarly journals Epidemiological Situation on Anthrax in 2018, the Forecast for 2019

2019 ◽  
pp. 98-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. G. Ryazanova ◽  
E. B. Ezhlova ◽  
N. D. Pakskina ◽  
O. V. Semenova ◽  
L. Yu. Aksenova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Human Infection ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Cutaneous Anthrax ◽  
Infected Meat ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Epidemiological Situation

Analysis of the anthrax incidence in the Russian Federation over the period of 2009–2018 showed that the infections among the population were recorded in 14 regions of 6 Federal Districts. 23 anthrax outbreaks among people were revealed, where 90 people got sick with 3 lethal outcomes. In comparison to the previous ten-year period (1999–2008), the number of cases of the disease was reduced by 1.6 times. Three cases of cutaneous anthrax were registered in two constituent entities of the Russian Federation in 2018 – the Republic of Dagestan (1) and the Republic of Tyva (2). Outbreaks of infection among livestock animals and people were recorded in such neighboring states as Georgia, Kazakhstan, China, Kyrgyzstan, and Ukraine. Epizootiological and epidemiological instability as regards anthrax was observed in several countries of Asia and Africa. Human infection occurred as a result of contact with sick and dead animals in the process of slaughter and cutting of carcasses, consuming infected meat. Anthrax morbidity rates among animals and people in the Russian Federation in 2019 will depend on the comprehensiveness of implementation of the plans for anthrax prevention, and in case those plans will be realized at the maximum scale incidence will be limited to single cases.

scholarly journals HFRS Morbidity Dynamics in Federal Districts of the Russian Federation from 2001 to 2007

2008 ◽  
pp. 25-28
Author(s):  
V. P. Toporkov ◽  
L. N. Velichko ◽  
A. E. Shiyanova ◽  
E. V. Kouklev ◽  
N. V. Popov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Far East ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Specific Weight ◽  
Sickness Rate ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Average Index ◽  
Epidemiologic Analysis

The retrospective epidemiologic analysis of HFRS morbidity carried out from 2001 to 2007 showed that the highest sickness rate was registered in Privolzhsky federal district with 20.4±2.3 average index that exceeded the similar one countrywide 4-fold and the incidence specific weight was 88.0 % of the total number of cases. The indexes of HFRS incidence in the rest 6 dis­tricts were lower than the Russia wide one 3-4-fold and more. During the analyzed period the tendency to increase the HFRS incidence level was observed in Privolzhsky, Ural and Far East districts and in the country.

scholarly journals Epidemic Activity of Natural Tularemia Foci in the Territory of the Russian Federation in 2018 and Forecast of the Situation for 2019

2019 ◽  
pp. 32-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Yu. Kudryavtseva ◽  
V. P. Popov ◽  
A. N. Mokrievich ◽  
N. D. Pakskina ◽  
A. V. Kholin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Far East ◽  
Human Infection ◽  
Control Center ◽  
The North ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Preventive Vaccination ◽  
Sporadic Cases ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Survey

Objective of the study – assessment of epizootic and epidemic situation on tularemia in 2018 and forecasting the risk of infection in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2019. Analysis of epidemiological situation was carried out on the basis of the data from monitoring activities performed by the Rospotrebnadzor institutions and the data contained in the reports of the Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East, Plague Control Center, Federal Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology, as well as federal statistical survey forms No 5 “Information on preventive vaccination” and No 2 “Information on infectious and parasitic  diseases” over the period of January-December 2018 in eight Federal Districts including 85 constituent entities. Given are the retrospective data on tularemia epidemic situation in the territory of the Russian Federation over the past decade. 1944 human tularemia cases were registered in Russia between 2009 and 2018, 1005 out of which occurred during epidemic outbreak in 2013 in Khanty-Manssiysk Autonomous Region. High sporadic and small cluster incidence was mainly observed in the territories of the North-estern and Siberian Federal Districts over the recent years. In 2018, 71 cases of human infection with tularemia agent were reported. Epizootic manifestations of varying degree of intensity were detected in 52 entities of Russia. Against that background, sporadic cases of human infection were registered in 19 regions of the country. For three years epidemic complications expressed to the maximum were observed in the Omsk Region – 18 cases of tularemia infection, and Karelia – 14 cases, respectively. 15 Francisella tularensis cultures were isolated from ambient  environment objects in Pskov, Leningrad Regions, Altai Territory, Republics of Altai and Tuva. Conclusions have been drawn in relation to the regions where epidemic complications associated with tularemia are most likely to emerge in 2019. 

scholarly journals Assessing the knowledge index of the region

2019 ◽  
pp. 130-141
Author(s):  
S. N. Kukushkin
Keyword(s):  
Young People ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Dimensional Matrix ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Economic Formation

Economy of knowledge is an economic formation, where today’s generation of young people will work. It is quite good that many scientists try to forecast what it will be like. The article studies different approaches to assessment of regional knowledge index. The authors put forward a new methodology of its estimation on the basis of key matrix determinant and its logarithming. To assess the knowledge index 16 indicators divided into 4 groups are used and they gave an opportunity to build a four-dimensional matrix. According to the author, this approach is more objective and can eliminate some inaccuracy of methods designed by other authors. On the basis of this methodology the knowledge index was estimated, which shows conditions for shaping economy of knowledge in Russian regions. The rating of federal districts and regions-leaders was built and regions-outsiders in respect of economy of knowledge shaping were identified. Indicators that exert the most serious effect (positive and negative) on the knowledge index of regions were found. More detailed results for the whole period of analysis – 2000–2015 – for all regions of the Russian Federation can be found in the Situational Center of the Russian Plekhanov University of Economics.

scholarly journals Regional comparisons of the accessibility and use of ICT in the regions of Russia: the possibility of using integrated indicators

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-34
Author(s):  
S. G. Bychkova ◽  
L. S. Parshintseva
Keyword(s):  
Information And Communication Technologies ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Information Society ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Communication Technologies ◽  
Statistical Research ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
The Russian Federation

The aim of the study. The aim of the study is a statistical analysis of the accessibility and the use of information and communication technologies for the population and households based on the developed integrated indices in the regional aspect.Fundamental international documents refer to the increasing role of information in all spheres of society, and indicate that the number of the poorest households with, for example, a mobile phone is higher than that with the access to clean drinking water.Thus, it can be noted that the level of accessibility and use of information and communication technologies is a priority for the development of both individual countries and the world community as a whole.Materials and methods. Methods of grouping and multidimensional classification, analysis of variation, normalizing, construction of multidimensional averages and correlation analysis, as well as tabular and graphical methods of visual representation of the results of the study were used as statistical tools for the study. Microsoft Excel was used to process the primary information.Results. Comparison of currently used indicators has revealed the need to develop and build integrated indices in four main areas of ICT research: infrastructure (physical and information), ICT accessibility (physical and price affordability), the use of ICT (by the population and households, enterprises and organizations, in the public sector), knowledge and skills (education, digital skills). In this study, the analysis was carried out according to the characteristics of the accessibility and the use of ICT for the population and households. The results of the study at the federal district level led to the conclusion that, despite the existence of a unified policy in the field of ICT development and information society at the federal level, there are significant differences in the management of this process and the level of implementation of system development measures for ICT in individual federal districts and regions. The main result of the study is the classification of regions by levels of accessibility and use of ICT. The analysis revealed a significant direct relationship between the components of ICT accessibility and its use. The ratings based on the calculated multidimensional averages allowed us to reveal the leader and lagging regions of the Russian Federation in terms of the development of ICT and information society.Conclusion. According to the results of the statistical research positions of regions of the Russian Federation on the accessibility levels and the use of information and communication technologies were determined, as well as a direct relationship between the indices of accessibility and the use of ICT was revealed as a whole in the Russian Federation, and in individual federal districts.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document