Study on Urban Sustainable Development Based on System Dynamics
A system dynamics model of urban sustainable development is provided, and the impact of different development modes on the city system is explored. Statistical data of Yinchuan, a city in northwest China, is utilized to build the model which shows the population-economy- environment relationship. Four development modes are proposed, and they are maintaining the status quo, developing secondary industry, developing tertiary industry, developing economy and society together. The system dynamics model is employed to analyze the interaction between population, economy and environment. According to simulation of the system dynamics model, impact of development modes on the city system is predicted. Furthermore, suggestions on improving the sustainability of urban development are put forward. In a word, the paper presents a new idea for the study on urban sustainable development in northwest China.