Applied-Information Technology in Power System with Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on SPSS and BP Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 1022 ◽  
pp. 241-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Ping Chen ◽  
Chang Hao Xia ◽  
Zhi Peng Tian
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Model

In the study of power load forecasting, the factors influencing power load have data redundancy and data nonlinearity. The traditional load forecasting methods can’t eliminate redundant or nonlinear law between data, which result in reduced accuracy. In order to improve the predictive accuracy of power load, a prediction model based on BP neural network and SPSS (SPSS-BP) is established. The paper first analyzes the correlation and principal component of influence factors of electric power load, which eliminates the redundancy between various factors, accelerates the speed of BP neural network forecasting and improves predictive accuracy; then model the processed data and forecast through the BP neural network model. One-month weather data and load data of Yichang city have been confirmatory tested and analyzed through application of SPSS-BP model. The results show that SPSS-BP model significantly improves the accuracy, verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the model.

scholarly journals Application of Principal Component Analysis-Assisted Neural Networks for the Rotor Blade Load Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jiahong Zheng ◽  
Shuaike Jiao ◽  
Ding Cui
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Rotor Blade ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Strain Gauges ◽  
Load Prediction ◽  
Flight Data ◽  
Flight Parameters ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Model

This paper presents a novel approach of principal component analysis- (PCA-) assisted back propagation (BP) neural networks for the problem of rotor blade load prediction. 86.5 hours of real flight data were collected from many steady-state and transient flight maneuvers at different altitudes and airspeeds. Prediction of the blade loads was determined by the PCA-BP model from 16 flight parameters measured and monitored by the flight control computer already present in the helicopter. PCA was applied to reduce the dimension of the flight parameters influencing the component load and eliminate the correlation among flight parameters. Thus, obtained principal components were used as input vectors of the BP neural network. The combined PCA-BP neural network model was trained and tested by real flight data. Comparison of this model and to a BP neural network model as well as to a multiple linear regression (MLR) model was also done. The results of comparison demonstrate that the PCA-BP model has higher prediction precision with an average error of 2.46%, while 4.49% for BP and 10.20% for MLR. The results also reveal that the PCA-BP model has a shorter convergence path than the BP model. This method not only is useful in establishing the load spectra of helicopter rotor in-service where installation of strain gauges is impractical but also can reduce the cost of installation and maintenance measured by strain gauges.

Research on Applied-Information Technology with PM2.5 Generation and Evolution Model Based on BP Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 1003 ◽  
pp. 226-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Hong Xie ◽  
Xiao Wei Han ◽  
Qi Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Information Technology ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Evolution Model ◽  
Good Reliability ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Xi’An City

In this paper, BP neural network model is used to establish the occurrence and evolution model of PM2.5 in an area in Xi'an city. In the model, wind, humidity, season, SO2,NO2,PM10, CO,O3 (in one hour ) and O3 (in eight hours ) and other influence factors are all considered. The model has good reliability, it can accurately forecast the value of PM2.5 and its variation in the near future, which can provide the basis for the PM2.5 control.

scholarly journals Prediction Model of Iron Ore Pellet Ambient Strength and Sensitivity Analysis on the Influence Factors

Metals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangjian Gao ◽  
Yingyi Zhang ◽  
Xin Jiang ◽  
Haiyan Zheng ◽  
Fengman Shen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Bp Network ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The Ambient Compressive Strength (CS) of pellets, influenced by several factors, is regarded as a criterion to assess pellets during metallurgical processes. A prediction model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was proposed in order to provide a reliable and economic control strategy for CS in pellet production and to forecast and control pellet CS. The dimensionality of 19 influence factors of CS was considered and reduced by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The PCA variables were then used as the input variables for the Back Propagation (BP) neural network, which was upgraded by Genetic Algorithm (GA), with CS as the output variable. After training and testing with production data, the PCA-GA-BP neural network was established. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis of input variables was calculated to obtain a detailed influence on pellet CS. It has been found that prediction accuracy of the PCA-GA-BP network mentioned here is 96.4%, indicating that the ANN network is effective to predict CS in the pelletizing process.

Sunlight Greenhouse Temperature Prediction Model Based on Bayesian Regularization BP Neural Network

2015 ◽  
Vol 740 ◽  
pp. 871-874
Author(s):  
Hui Zhao ◽  
Li Rong Shi ◽  
Hong Jun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Structure ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Coupling Factor ◽  
Bayesian Regularization ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Structure ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model

Directing against the problems of too large size of the neural network structure due to the existence of a complex relationship between the input coupling factor and too many input factors in establishing model for predicting temperature of sunlight greenhouse. This article chose the environmental factors that affect the sunlight greenhouse temperature as data sample. Through the principal component analysis of data samples, three main factors were extracted. These selected principal component values were taken as the input variables of BP neural network model. Use the Bayesian regularization algorithm to improve the BP neural network. The empirical results show that this method is utilized modify BP neural network, which can simplify network structure and smooth fitting curve, has good generalization capability.

A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on BP Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 494-495 ◽  
pp. 1647-1650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ling Juan Li ◽  
Wen Huang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Power Load Forecasting

Short-term power load forecasting is very important for the electric power market, and the forecasting method should have high accuracy and high speed. A three-layer BP neural network has the ability to approximate any N-dimensional continuous function with arbitrary precision. In this paper, a short-term power load forecasting method based on BP neural network is proposed. This method uses the three-layer neural network with single hidden layer as forecast model. In order to improve the training speed of BP neural network and the forecasting efficiency, this method firstly reduces the factors which affect load forecasting by using rough set theory, then takes the reduced data as input variables of the BP neural network model, and gets the forecast value by using back-propagation algorithm. The forecasting results with real data show that the proposed method has high accuracy and low complexity in short-term power load forecasting.

The selection of adaptive region of geomagnetic map based on PCA and GA-BP neural network

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Chong ◽  
Dongqing Zhao ◽  
Guorui Xiao ◽  
Minzhi Xiang ◽  
Linyang Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Background Field ◽  
Characteristic Parameters ◽  
Positioning Accuracy ◽  
Matching Performance ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model ◽  
Selection Of

<p>The selection of adaptive region of geomagnetic map is an important factor that affects the positioning accuracy of geomagnetic navigation. An automatic recognition and classification method of adaptive region of geomagnetic background field based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and GA-BP neural network is proposed. Firstly, PCA is used to analyze the geomagnetic characteristic parameters, and the independent characteristic parameters containing principal components are selected. Then, the GA-BP neural network model is constructed, and the correspondence between the geomagnetic characteristic parameters and matching performance is established, so as to realize the recognition and classification of adaptive region. Finally, Simulation results show that the method is feasible and efficient, and the positioning accuracy of geomagnetic navigation is improved.</p>

BP Neural Network Model on Choice of Project Manager for Highway Slope Treatment

2014 ◽  
Vol 505-506 ◽  
pp. 274-277
Author(s):  
Bin Wang ◽  
Yong Tao Gao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Network Theory ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Project Manager ◽  
Slope Treatment ◽  
Neural Network Theory ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model

To get the quantified indexes of comprehensive capacity about project manager, based on the modal on artificial neural network theory, different influence factors about choice of project manager for highway slope treatment were analyzed , identified, quantified and evaluated , then comprehensive capacity of the manager were analyzed. Such procedure provided a new method for choice of project manager for highway slope treatment.

Modified BP Neural Network Model is Used for Odd-Even Discrimination of Integer Number

2013 ◽  
Vol 423-426 ◽  
pp. 2675-2678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bao Long Hu ◽  
Ji Ren Xu ◽  
Huai Hui Gao ◽  
Ji Hai Liu ◽  
Ke Ren Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Bp Algorithm ◽  
Integer Number ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model ◽  
Bp Model

This paper introduced the BP neural network model and the BP algorithm in detail, and pointed out the BP neural network existed the defects of local optimal tendency of local optimal, slowed convergence speed etc. Through the modified BP algorithm, we could solve the problems existing in the traditional BP algorithm successfully, simulation results for odd-even discrimination of integer number based on MATLAB BP algorithm show that modified BP model compared with BP model has faster training speed and high study accuracy. Modified BP neural network models is used in practice, as long as it is complementary with effective measures, and we can get satisfactory result completely.

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