Research on Result Prediction of Coal-Bed Gas Wells Fracturing by Using Expert System
Hydraulic fracturing is the main method to increase the output of coal-bed methane wells, however, the hydraulic fracturing result of coal-bed methane well is usually affected by large number of factors such as the conditions of coal-bed, the conditions of coal-bed methane well, fracturing operation parameters and so on. As a result, the fracturing operation result is difficult to predict. This paper assumed coal seam thickness, the depth of coal seam, coal seam gas content and other six main factors which affect hydraulic fracturing results by analysis various factors. Membership function of the expert system was established to divide the level of each factor. The established method which applies the expert system to predict the hydraulic fracturing results of coal-bed methane wells was based on expert database. Using the established expert system to calculate 200 groups of test data and the prediction error rate is only 3.5%. The prediction results are accurate and reliable, and can provide guidance for coal-bed methane wells fracturing optimization.