scholarly journals Additive model of aboveground biomass of larch single-trees related to age, Dbh and height, sensitive to temperature and precipitation in Eurasia

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 1759-1766
Author(s):  
Vladimir А. Usoltsev ◽  
Seyed Omid Reza Shobairi ◽  
Anna. A. Osmirko ◽  
Ivan. S. Tsepordey ◽  
Viktor. P. Chasovskikh
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Forest Cover ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Component Composition ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Tree Biomass ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Additive Component ◽  
The Mean

The first attempt of modeling changes in the aboveground additive component composition of larch (genus Larix spp.) tree biomass, according to the Trans-Eurasian hydrothermal gradients of Eurasia on the database compiled for the structure of harvest biomass in a number of 510 sample trees is fulfilled. The adequacy of the obtained regularities is determined by the level of variability 87-99 % explained by the proposed regression models. For the central territory of European Russia, characterized by the mean annual temperature of January -10 °C and the mean annual precipitation of 400 mm, the increase in temperature by 1°C at the constant level of precipitation causes on Larix spp. trees of the equal age and sizes, the decrease in the aboveground, stem, needle and branches by 0.4, 0.3, 1.4 и 1.3 %, respectively. For the same region, in equal-sized trees, the increase in precipitation by 100 mm at a constant annual temperature in January causes the decrease of the aboveground and stem biomass by 1.2 and 1.7%, respectively, and the increase of needle and branches biomass by 4.0 and 6.0%, respectively. The development of such models for the main forest-forming species of Eurasia will make it possible to predict changes in the productivity of the forest cover of Eurasia in connection with climate change. Keywords: larch trees, genus Larix spp., tree biomass, allometric models

scholarly journals Forest stand biomass of Picea spp.: an additive model that may be related to climate and civilisational changes

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (45) ◽  
pp. 133-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir А. Usoltsev ◽  
Agnieszka Piernik ◽  
Anna A. Osmirko ◽  
Ivan S. Tsepordey ◽  
Viktor P. Chasovskikh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Forest Cover ◽  
General Pattern ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Component Composition ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Additive Component ◽  
Biomass Components

AbstractSince ancient times, climate change has largely determined the fate of human civilisation, which was related mainly to changes in the structure and habitats of forest cover. In the context of current climate change, one must know the capabilities of forests to stabilise the climate by increasing biomass and carbon-depositing abilities. For this purpose, the authors compiled a database of harvest biomass (t/ha) in 900 spruce (Picea spp.) sample plots in the Eurasian area and used the methodology of multivariate regression analysis. The first attempt at modelling changes in the biomass additive component composition has been completed, according to the Trans-Eurasian hydrothermal gradients. It is found that the biomass of all components increases with the increase in the mean January temperature, regardless of mean annual precipitation. In warm zonal belts with increasing precipitation, the biomass of most of the components increases. In the process of transitioning from a warm zone to a cold one, the dependence of all biomass components upon precipitation is levelled, and at a mean January temperature of ˗30°C it becomes a weak negative trend. With an increase in temperature of 1°C in different ecoregions characterised by different values of temperature and precipitation, there is a general pattern of decrease in all biomass components. With an increase in precipitation of 100 mm in different ecoregions characterised by different values of temperature and precipitation, most of the components of biomass increase in warm zonal belts, and decrease in cold ones. The development of such models for the main forest-forming species of Eurasia will make it possible to predict changes in the productivity of the forest cover of Eurasia due to climate change.

Efficacy of climate transfer functions: introduction of Eurasian populations of Larix into Alberta

1999 ◽  
Vol 29 (11) ◽  
pp. 1660-1668 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald E Rehfeldt ◽  
Nadja M Tchebakova ◽  
Leonard K Barnhardt
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Transfer Functions ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Quadratic Regression ◽  
Degree Days ◽  
Plant Populations ◽  
Growth And Survival ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Practical Implications

Growth and survival of eight populations of Larix sukaczewii Dylis and one of both Larix sibirica Ledeb. and Larix gmelinii (Rupr.) Rupr. were used to assess the effectiveness of climate transfer functions for predicting the 13-year performance of Eurasian provenances introduced to Alberta. Quadratic regression models showed that transfer distances for five climate variables (mean annual temperature, degree-days <0°C, mean temperature in the coldest month, ratio of the mean annual temperature to mean annual precipitation, and the summer-winter temperature range) were particularly effective in predicting height and survival. Optimal transfer distances did not differ significantly from zero, and as a result, the best growth and survival in Alberta should be obtained by matching the provenance climate to that of the planting site for the five variables. Verification of the climate transfer functions with independent data from Russian provenance tests were strongly supportive. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of climate transfer functions for describing the response of plant populations to the environment and thereby have practical implications in reforestation.

Additive Models of Single-tree Biomass Sensitive to Temperature and Precipitation in Eurasia – A Comparative Study for Larix spp. and Quercus spp.

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-56
Author(s):  
Vladimir Andreevich Usoltsev ◽  
Seyed Omid Reza Shobairi ◽  
Ivan Stepanovich Tsepordey
Keyword(s):  
Component Composition ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Limiting Factors ◽  
Tree Age ◽  
Tree Biomass ◽  
Single Tree ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Additive Component ◽  
Biomass Components ◽  
Quercus Spp

In the context of current climate change, it is important to know the patterns characterising the response of forest trees to the dynamics of air temperature and precipitation. In this study, the first attempt to model changes of additive component composition of genera Larix spp. and Quercus spp. aboveground biomass according to Eurasian gradients of January’s mean temperature and annual mean precipitation is made, taking into account regional particularities of tree age and morphology structure. In the process of modelling, the database of single-tree biomass for forest-forming species in Eurasia is used. According to our results, the factors limiting the biomass of trees differ not only between the two tree genera but also between different components of biomass within the genus. In larches, the reaction of the biomass of all components to an increase in precipitation in cold zones is directly opposite in comparison with oaks, i.e. it decreases as precipitation increases. But in warm areas, the reactions of the two genera to increased precipitation coincide, i.e. precipitation does not affect the biomass of all components, both in larches and oaks. In wet areas, larch biomass components react to temperature increases in the opposite way, i.e. the aboveground and stem biomass increases, but the biomass of foliage and branches decreases. In dry areas, the reaction to the temperature of all larch and oak biomass components is unambiguous and opposite, i.e. there is a decrease in the larch biomass of all components as temperatures rise, and in oak biomass vice versa. This situation is discussed in terms of limiting factors.

scholarly journals Fir (Abies spp.) stand biomass additive model for Eurasia sensitive to winter temperature and annual precipitation

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 166-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir A. Usoltsev ◽  
Katarína Merganičová ◽  
Bohdan Konôpka ◽  
Anna A. Osmirko ◽  
Ivan S. Tsepordey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Biomass Allocation ◽  
Aboveground Biomass ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Tree Biomass ◽  
Common Pattern ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Shoot Ratio ◽  
Biomass Components ◽  
Increasing Temperature

Abstract Climate change, especially modified courses of temperature and precipitation, has a significant impact on forest functioning and productivity. Moreover, some alterations in tree biomass allocation (e.g. root to shoot ratio, foliage to wood parts) might be expected in these changing ecological conditions. Therefore, we attempted to model fir stand biomass (t ha−1) along the trans-Eurasian hydrothermal gradients using the data from 272 forest stands. The model outputs suggested that all biomass components, except for the crown mass, change in a common pattern, but in different ratios. Specifically, in the range of mean January temperature and precipitation of −30°C to +10°C and 300 to 900 mm, fir stand biomass increases with both increasing temperature and precipitation. Under an assumed increase of January temperature by 1°C, biomass of roots and of all components of the aboveground biomass of fir stands increased (under the assumption that the precipitation level did not change). Similarly, an assumed increase in precipitation by 100 mm resulted in the increased biomass of roots and of all aboveground components. We conclude that fir seems to be a perspective taxon from the point of its productive properties in the ongoing process of climate change.

scholarly journals Dust Storms in Northern China: Long-Term Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Climate Controls

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (17) ◽  
pp. 6683-6700 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingyu Guan ◽  
Xiazhong Sun ◽  
Jing Yang ◽  
Baotian Pan ◽  
Shilei Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Dust Storm ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Dust Storms ◽  
Effect Of Temperature ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Spatiotemporal Characteristics ◽  
Dust Generation ◽  
The Mean

Airborne dust derived from desertification in northern China can be transported to East Asia and other regions, impairing human health and affecting the global climate. This study of northern China dust provides an understanding of the mechanism of dust generation and transportation. The authors used dust storm and climatological data from 129 sites and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) datasets in northern China to analyze spatiotemporal characteristics and determine the main factors controlling dust storms occurring during 1960–2007. Dust storm–prone areas are consistent with the spatial distribution of northern China deserts where the average wind speed (AWS) is more than 2 m s−1, the mean annual temperature (MAT) ranges from 5° to 10°C, and the mean annual precipitation (MAP) is less than 450 mm. Dust storms commonly occur on spring afternoons in a 3- to 6-h pattern. The three predominant factors that can affect DSF are the maximum wind speed, AWS, and MAT. During 1960–2007, dust storm frequency (DSF) in most regions of northern China fluctuated but had a decreasing trend; this was mainly caused by a gradual reduction in wind speed. The effect of temperature on DSF is complex, as positive and negative correlations exist simultaneously. Temperatures can affect source material (dust, sand, etc.), cyclone activity, and vegetation growth status, which influence the generation of dust storms. NDVI and precipitation are negatively correlated with DSF, but the effect is weak. Vegetation can protect the topsoil environment and prevent dust storm creation but is affected by the primary decisive influence of precipitation.

scholarly journals INFLUENCES OF BIOLOGICAL PREPARATIONS ON SOIL PROPERTIES IN THE SPRING WHEAT CROP

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rita ČEPULIENĖ ◽  
Darija JODAUGIENĖ
Keyword(s):  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Soil Surface ◽  
Chemical Compounds ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Wheat Crop ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Biological Processes ◽  
Micro Structure ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Fertilizer Rates

The natural biochemical, biophysical and biological processes in the soil is changing due to the intensive use of pesticides. At present, it is actual fertilization technologies, which are based on non-fertilizer rates increase bat on their rational use because in the fertilizer is unnecessary chemical compounds that promote mineral nutritional elements leaching. Have been studied the effect of biological preparations BactoMix, AgroMik and Rizobakterin on soil physical properties. Experiments were carried out in 2015–2016 at the Experimental Station of Aleksandras Stulginskis University on Calcari-Endohypogleyic Luvisol. The mean annual temperature of the study site is 6.0–6.5 °C, mean annual precipitation is 600–650 mm and mean annual length of sun shine is 1750–1800 hour (Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service). Biological preparations sprayed on the soil surface and incorporated in the soil by sowing spring wheat. The use of biological preparations had a tendency to reduce soil density (from 2.3 to 5.3 %), to increase soil porosity (from 0.6 to 2.1 %). Biological preparations had no significant influence on quantity couples filled with moisture and air. The hardness of the soil after spring wheat harvest was the smallest in the fields sprayed by Rizobakterin preparation. The use of biological preparations BaktoMix and Rizobakterin significantly increased soil moisture. The following preparations significantly decreased soil pulverized fractions (micro structure) and significantly increased amount of particles larger than 10 mm.

scholarly journals Climate variability, disasters and their impacts assessment in Manahari, rural municipality of Makwanpur, Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 201-210
Author(s):  
Ram Asheshwar Mandal ◽  
Bindu Subedi ◽  
Dhruba Lochan Adhikari ◽  
Ajay Bhakta Mathema
Keyword(s):  
Slope Failure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Landslide Risk ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Precipitation Trend ◽  
Rural Municipality ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
The Mean

Nepal is climatically very sensitive country because of long drought, heavy floods, landslides and soil erosion caused by changing pattern of rainfall and temperature. However, there are very limited studies related to these issues, thus this research was objectively carried out to analyze temperature and precipitation trend of study area, examine the climate pattern and assess the impacts of climate change hazards on different sectors. Ward number 7 and 8 Manahari Rural Municipality of Makwanpur district was selected as the study site. Total 40 households survey, 15 Key informants interview and two focus group discussions were conducted involving the affected local to collect the primary data. Moreover, secondary data specifically monthly maximum and minimum temperature and rainfall for thirty one years between 1985–2015 were gathered from nearest meteorological station i.e. NFI Hetauda Station (Station No. 906) and Manahari Station (Station No. 920). The drought trend was calculated using the ratio of Precipitation<2Temperatures. The theoretical distribution i.e. Gumbel, Log-Pearson and Log Normal models were applied to predict the flood peaks and maximum rainfalls. The mean annual temperature was increasing at the rate of 0.0226°C per year. The highest mean annual temperature was 24.1°C in 2015. It was found that, the number of days exceeding the maximum average temperature in the period of 31 years. However, the trend of total annual precipitation in Hetauda was decreasing at the rate of 5.6607 mm per year. The highest rainfall was recorded about 3323.1 mm in year 2002 and it was the least only 1626.2 mm in 2012. The January, February, March, November and December were the driest months. Flood frequency using Log Pearson showed the highest flood in 1000 years return period. The mean rank was the highest of drought having value 5 while it was the lowest only 1.4 of flood. The slope failure at the edges of the rural roads also causes landslides which also fills the agriculture land. The locals responded that the drainage systems were poor and there were no protection structure and/or biological component to reduce landslide risk during construction periods. Major five disasters were recorded in Manahari during from March to June whereas, wildlife attack throughout the year and so on.

scholarly journals The Paleoecological Record of 6 ka BP Climate in the Canadian Prairie Provinces

2007 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert E. Vance ◽  
Alwynne B. Beaudoin ◽  
Brian H. Luckman
Keyword(s):  
Boreal Forest ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Pinus Banksiana ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Circulation Pattern ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Canadian Prairie ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Prairie Provinces

ABSTRACTSynthesis of available paleoecological studies in the Prairie provinces of Canada indicates that although the peak in postglacial aridity that characterized early Holocene climate of the western foothills and plains had passed, conditions remained warmer and drier than present throughout the region ca. 6000 yr BP Compared to today, treeline elevations were higher and alpine glaciers were reduced in size in the Rocky Mountains, lake levels were lower over much of the Interior Plains, and the grassland and boreal forest ecozones extended north of their present positions. Forest fires were more prevalent ca. 6000 yr BP than they are today, aiding westward migration of jack pine (Pinus banksiana) through the boreal forest and increasing the area occupied by grassland in boreal and montane forest regions. Attempts to quantify the magnitude of 6 ka temperature and precipitation differences have produced variable results, but suggest that mean annual temperature was 0.50°C to 1.50°C higher than today (summer temperature may have been up to 3°C higher) and mean annual precipitation was reduced by 65 mm (or summer precipitation was reduced by 50 mm), compared to present. The nature and scale of these changes suggests that a vigorous zonal atmospheric circulation pattern, similar to that of the 1930s but shifted northward, prevailed at 6 ka.

scholarly journals Modeling of the additive biomass structure of Pinus L. stands in climatic gradients of Eurasia

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
В.А. Усольцев ◽  
И.С. Цепордей ◽  
А.А. Осмирко ◽  
В.Ф. Ковязин ◽  
В.П. Часовских ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Forest Cover ◽  
Forest Biomass ◽  
Component Composition ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Simultaneous Increase ◽  
Biomass Equation ◽  
Additive Structure ◽  
Biomass Structure

Биомасса лесов является ключевой экосистемной составляющей и важным компонентом глобального углеродного цикла. Разработка моделей биомассы, чувствительных к изменению климата, ведется сегодня на уровнях как древостоев, так и модельных деревьев. Однако все текущие исследования подобного рода выполняются в пределах ограниченных экорегионов. Сформированная авторами база данных о биомассе насаждений подрода Pinus L., произрастающего в Евразии, в количестве 2460 пробных площадей использована в качестве основы для выявления трансконтинентальных закономерностей. Предпринята первая попытка разработать гармонизированную по структуре биомассы модель аддитивной по фракционному составу биомассы насаждений двухвойных сосен, изменяющейся по трансевразийским гидротермическим градиентам, а именно, по среднегодовым осадкам и средней январской температуре воздуха. Гармонизация обеспечена аддитивностью фракционного состава, когда суммарная биомасса стволов, ветвей, хвои и корней, полученная по «фракционным» уравнениям, равняется значению биомассы, полученной по общему уравнению. Показано, что в холодных климатических поясах увеличение осадков приводит к снижению биомассы большинства фракций, а в теплых – к ее увеличению. Соответственно во влагообеспеченных районах повышение температуры вызывает увеличение биомассы, а в засушливых – ее снижение. Геометрическая интерпретация полученной модели представлена «пропеллеро-образной» поверхностью, что согласуется с аналогичными закономерностями, ранее установленными в России на локальном и региональном уровнях. Предложенная модель аддитивной структуры биомассы сосновых древостоев дает возможность прогнозировать изменение структуры биомассы, связанное с одновременным повышением или понижением температуры января и годичных осадков. Forest biomass is a key ecosystem part and an important component of the global carbon cycle. Modelling of biomass, sensitive to climate change, is fulfiled up-to-date at levels as forest stands and sample trees. However, all current studies of this matter are carried out within limited ecoregions. The database on forest biomass of the subgenus Pinus L. in Eurasia in a number of 2460 sample plots compiled by the authors is the basis for revealing transcontinental regularities. The first attempt is made to develop a biomass structure model harmonized by means of additive component composition algorithm describing biomass change in trans-Eurasian hydrothermal gradients, namely, mean annual precipitation and mean January air temperature. Additivity of biomass component composition means that the total of biomass components (stems, branches, foliage, roots) derived from component equations is equal to the result obtained using the common biomass equation. It is stated that in cold climatic zones any increase in precipitation leads to corresponding decrease in the biomass values, but in warm zones – to its increase. In wet areas, the rise in temperature causes an increase of biomass values, but in arid areas – their reductions. Geometric view of this model represented by a «propeller-shaped» surface is consistent with the results, formerly revealed by the other authors in Russia on local and regional levels. The proposed transcontinental model of additive structure of forest biomass gives a possibility to predict the change of biomass structure in relation to simultaneous increase or decrease of January temperature and annual precipitation. The development of such models for basic forest-forming species grown in Eurasia enables to forecast any changes in the biological productivity of forest cover of Eurasia in relation to climate change.

Latest Villafranchian climate and landscape reconstructions at Pirro Nord (southern Italy)

Geology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (9) ◽  
pp. 829-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugues-Alexandre Blain ◽  
Ana Fagoaga ◽  
Francisco Javier Ruiz-Sánchez ◽  
Josep Francesc Bisbal-Chinesta ◽  
Massimo Delfino
Keyword(s):  
Southern Italy ◽  
Numerical Data ◽  
Summer Rainfall ◽  
Distribution Patterns ◽  
Early Pleistocene ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
First Occurrence ◽  
The Mean

Abstract Early Pleistocene terrestrial climate conditions in the Mediterranean region, especially between 1.3 and 1.7 Ma, are poorly understood. Here, the amphibian and reptile fossil record from 24 fissures (Cava Pirro) of the Pirro Nord karstic complex (southern Italy) is used to infer quantitative paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental reconstructions. These numerical data indicate that the mean annual temperature may have been somewhat lower (–1.6 to –3.6 °C compared to modern temperatures) than that of today, and the mean annual precipitation slightly higher (+90 to +240 mm) than modern values. Seasonality was more pronounced, with cooler summers (–0.4 to –2.0 °C) and much colder winters (–1.2 to –6.0 °C). Rainfall distribution patterns during the year show more precipitation during the winter (+14 to +43 mm), with quantities of summer rainfall (–1.7 to +6.6 mm) being similar to modern values. The associated landscape comprised an open dry environment with scattered patches of woodland, locally along water courses or around swamps. This ecological scenario fits with early Pleistocene cold conditions, where the first occurrence of some eastern emigrants suggests a scenario of trans-Adriatic dispersal, as may have also occurred for the earliest European hominins.

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