scholarly journals Neuro-fuzzy systems to estimate reference evapotranspiration

Water SA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (2 April) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mousaab Zakhrouf ◽  
Hamid Bouchelkia ◽  
Madani Stamboul
Keyword(s):  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Subtractive Clustering ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Fuzzy C Means Clustering ◽  
Daily Evapotranspiration ◽  
Semi Empirical

Routine and rapid estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) at regional scale is of great significance for agricultural, hydrological and climatic studies. A large number of empirical or semi-empirical equations have been developed for assessing ET from meteorological data. The FAO-56 PM is one of the most important methods used to estimate evapotranspiration. The advantage of FAO-56 PM is a physically based method that requires a large number of climatic parameter data. In this paper, the potential of two types of neuro-fuzzy system, including ANFIS based on subtractive clustering (S_ANFIS), ANFIS based on the fuzzy C-means clustering method (F_ANFIS), and multiple linear regression (MLR), were used in modelling daily evapotranspiration (ET0). For this purpose various daily climate data – air temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (U) and insolation duration (ID) – from Dar El Beidain Algiers, Algeria, were used as inputs for the ANFIS and MLR models to estimate the ET0 obtained by FAO-56 based on the Penman-Monteith equation. The obtained results show that the performances of S_ANFIS model yield superior to those of F_ANFIS and MLR models. It can be judged from results of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (EC) where S_ANFIS (EC = 94.01%) model can improve the performances of F_ANFIS (EC = 93.00%) and MLR (EC = 92.12%) during the test period, respectively.

scholarly journals A Novel Physically Based Distributed Model for Irrigation Districts’ Water Movement

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 692
Author(s):  
Boyu Mi ◽  
Haorui Chen ◽  
Shaoli Wang ◽  
Yinlong Jin ◽  
Jiangdong Jia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Water ◽  
Water Movement ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Irrigation District ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Good Correspondence ◽  
Groundwater Movement ◽  
Irrigation Districts ◽  
Physically Based

The water movement research in irrigation districts is important for food production. Many hydrological models have been proposed to simulate the water movement on the regional scale, yet few of them have comprehensively considered processes in the irrigation districts. A novel physically based distributed model, the Irrigation Districts Model (IDM), was constructed in this study to address this problem. The model combined the 1D canal and ditch flow, the 1D soil water movement, the 2D groundwater movement, and the water interactions among these processes. It was calibrated and verified with two-year experimental data from Shahaoqu Sub-Irrigation Area in Hetao Irrigation District. The overall water balance error is 2.9% and 1.6% for the two years, respectively. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) of water table depth and soil water content is 0.72 and 0.64 in the calibration year and 0.68 and 0.64 in the verification year. The results show good correspondence between the simulation and observation. It is practicable to apply the model in water movement research of irrigation districts.

scholarly journals Spatial modeling of long-term air temperatures for sustainability: evolutionary fuzzy approach and neuro-fuzzy methods

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8882
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Sadeghi-Niaraki ◽  
Ozgur Kisi ◽  
Soo-Mi Choi
Keyword(s):  
Absolute Error ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Subtractive Clustering ◽  
Fuzzy Methods ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Fuzzy C Means Clustering ◽  
Fuzzy Genetic ◽  
Gp Model

This paper investigates the capabilities of the evolutionary fuzzy genetic (FG) approach and compares it with three neuro-fuzzy methods—neuro-fuzzy with grid partitioning (ANFIS-GP), neuro-fuzzy with subtractive clustering (ANFIS-SC), and neuro-fuzzy with fuzzy c-means clustering (ANFIS-FCM)—in terms of modeling long-term air temperatures for sustainability based on geographical information. In this regard, to estimate long-term air temperatures for a 40-year (1970–2011) period, the models were developed using data for the month of the year, latitude, longitude, and altitude obtained from 71 stations in Turkey. The models were evaluated with respect to mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and the determination coefficient (R2). All data were divided into three parts and every model was tested on each. The FG approach outperformed the other models, enhancing the MAE, RMSE, NSE, and R2 of the ANFIS-GP model, which yielded the highest accuracy among the neuro-fuzzy models by 20%, 30%, and 4%, respectively. A geographical information system was used to obtain temperature maps using estimates of the optimal models, and the results of the model were assessed using it.

scholarly journals Regional Analyses of Rainfall-Induced Landslide Initiation in Upper Gudbrandsdalen (South-Eastern Norway) Using TRIGRS Model

Geosciences ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Luca Schilirò ◽  
José Cepeda ◽  
Graziella Devoli ◽  
Luca Piciullo
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Shallow Landslides ◽  
South Eastern ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Triggering Conditions ◽  
Cover Thickness ◽  
Regional Analyses ◽  
Factor Maps ◽  
Eastern Norway

In Norway, shallow landslides are generally triggered by intense rainfall and/or snowmelt events. However, the interaction of hydrometeorological processes (e.g., precipitation and snowmelt) acting at different time scales, and the local variations of the terrain conditions (e.g., thickness of the surficial cover) are complex and often unknown. With the aim of better defining the triggering conditions of shallow landslides at a regional scale we used the physically based model TRIGRS (Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope stability) in an area located in upper Gudbrandsdalen valley in South-Eastern Norway. We performed numerical simulations to reconstruct two scenarios that triggered many landslides in the study area on 10 June 2011 and 22 May 2013. A large part of the work was dedicated to the parameterization of the numerical model. The initial soil-hydraulic conditions and the spatial variation of the surficial cover thickness have been evaluated applying different methods. To fully evaluate the accuracy of the model, ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves have been obtained comparing the safety factor maps with the source areas in the two periods of analysis. The results of the numerical simulations show the high susceptibility of the study area to the occurrence of shallow landslides and emphasize the importance of a proper model calibration for improving the reliability.

scholarly journals How Accurate Is an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Data-Based Model Applied on Satellite Imagery for Chlorophyll-a Estimation in Freshwater Bodies?

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1134
Author(s):  
Anas El-Alem ◽  
Karem Chokmani ◽  
Aarthi Venkatesan ◽  
Lhissou Rachid ◽  
Hachem Agili ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chlorophyll A ◽  
Unmanned Aerial Vehicle ◽  
Optical Sensors ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Turbid Waters ◽  
Vehicle Data ◽  
Freshwater Bodies ◽  
Aerial Vehicle ◽  
Leave One Out ◽  
Semi Empirical

Optical sensors are increasingly sought to estimate the amount of chlorophyll a (chl_a) in freshwater bodies. Most, whether empirical or semi-empirical, are data-oriented. Two main limitations are often encountered in the development of such models. The availability of data needed for model calibration, validation, and testing and the locality of the model developed—the majority need a re-parameterization from lake to lake. An Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data-based model for chl_a estimation is developed in this work and tested on Sentinel-2 imagery without any re-parametrization. The Ensemble-based system (EBS) algorithm was used to train the model. The leave-one-out cross validation technique was applied to evaluate the EBS, at a local scale, where results were satisfactory (R2 = Nash = 0.94 and RMSE = 5.6 µg chl_a L−1). A blind database (collected over 89 lakes) was used to challenge the EBS’ Sentine-2-derived chl_a estimates at a regional scale. Results were relatively less good, yet satisfactory (R2 = 0.85, RMSE= 2.4 µg chl_a L−1, and Nash = 0.79). However, the EBS has shown some failure to correctly retrieve chl_a concentration in highly turbid waterbodies. This particularity nonetheless does not affect EBS performance, since turbid waters can easily be pre-recognized and masked before the chl_a modeling.

scholarly journals Error Correction of Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) over the Lancang-Mekong River Basin

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 312
Author(s):  
Xiongpeng Tang ◽  
Jianyun Zhang ◽  
Guoqing Wang ◽  
Gebdang Biangbalbe Ruben ◽  
Zhenxin Bao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Mekong River ◽  
Precipitation Data ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Hydrological Simulation ◽  
Mekong River Basin ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Simulation Results

The demand for accurate long-term precipitation data is increasing, especially in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB), where ground-based data are mostly unavailable and inaccessible in a timely manner. Remote sensing and reanalysis quantitative precipitation products provide unprecedented observations to support water-related research, but these products are inevitably subject to errors. In this study, we propose a novel error correction framework that combines products from various institutions. The NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (AgMERRA), the Asian Precipitation Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of Water Resources (APHRODITE), the Climate Hazards group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS), the Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation Version 1.0 (MSWEP), and the Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Records (PERSIANN) were used. Ground-based precipitation data from 1998 to 2007 were used to select precipitation products for correction, and the remaining 1979–1997 and 2008–2014 observe data were used for validation. The resulting precipitation products MSWEP-QM derived from quantile mapping (QM) and MSWEP-LS derived from linear scaling (LS) are evaluated by statistical indicators and hydrological simulation across the LMRB. Results show that the MSWEP-QM and MSWEP-LS can better capture major annual precipitation centers, have excellent simulation results, and reduce the mean BIAS and mean absolute BIAS at most gauges across the LMRB. The two corrected products presented in this study constitute improved climatological precipitation data sources, both time and space, outperforming the five raw gridded precipitation products. Among the two corrected products, in terms of mean BIAS, MSWEP-LS was slightly better than MSWEP-QM at grid-scale, point scale, and regional scale, and it also had better simulation results at all stations except Strung Treng. During the validation period, the average absolute value BIAS of MSWEP-LS and MSWEP-QM decreased by 3.51% and 3.4%, respectively. Therefore, we recommend that MSWEP-LS be used for water-related scientific research in the LMRB.

scholarly journals Simulation of future climate scenarios and the impact on the water availability in southern Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
pp. e56026
Author(s):  
Gabriela Leite Neves ◽  
Jorim Sousa das Virgens Filho ◽  
Maysa de Lima Leite ◽  
Frederico Fabio Mauad
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Water Availability ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Southern Brazil ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
The Impact

Water is an essential natural resource that is being impacted by climate change. Thus, knowledge of future water availability conditions around the globe becomes necessary. Based on that, this study aimed to simulate future climate scenarios and evaluate the impact on water balance in southern Brazil. Daily data of rainfall and air temperature (maximum and minimum) were used. The meteorological data were collected in 28 locations over 30 years (1980-2009). For the data simulation, we used the climate data stochastic generator PGECLIMA_R. It was considered two scenarios of the fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and a scenario with the historical data trend. The water balance estimates were performed for the current data and the simulated data, through the methodology of Thornthwaite and Mather (1955). The moisture indexes were spatialized by the kriging method. These indexes were chosen as the parameters to represent the water conditions in different situations. The region assessed presented a high variability in water availability among locations; however, it did not present high water deficiency values, even with climate change. Overall, it was observed a reduction of moisture index in most sites and in all scenarios assessed, especially in the northern region when compared to the other regions. The second scenario of the IPCC (the worst situation) promoting higher reductions and dry conditions for the 2099 year. The impacts of climate change on water availability, identified in this study, can affect the general society, therefore, they must be considered in the planning and management of water resources, especially in the regional context

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