Drivers for the financial condition of Local Government: a comparative study between Italy and Spain

2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabel Brusca ◽  
Francesca Manes Rossi ◽  
Natalia Aversano

This paper aims to analyse the influence of socio-economic, political and financial factors on the financial condition of Italian and Spanish local governments in a comparative approach. The research is also aimed at understanding to what extent a model for the analysis of the financial condition can be generalized to different contexts. We assume that the financial condition is a multidimensional concept, with the results highlighting that while in Spain there is a high correlation between the long term financial and short term economic situations and an indicator can combine both dimensions, in Italy both dimensions are differentiated. There are also differences in the drivers of financial sustainability in both countries.

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Irwan Taufiq Ritonga

This study develops an instrument to measure the financial condition of local governments(LG) in Indonesia. The instrument will serve as an early warning system for local governments’financial management. The instrument to measure their financial condition consists of sixdimensions, namely short-term solvency, long-term solvency, budgetary solvency, service-levelsolvency, financial flexibility, and financial independence. Each dimension has its own indicators.There are a total of eighteen indicators examined in this study. These indicators are combinedto form a composite index, called a Financial Condition Index (FCI). The reliability andvalidity of the composite index is analyzed and the results show that the measures developed inthis study are reliable and valid. In addition, the instrument possesses the criteria of a goodmeasure: it is theoretically sound, a comprehensive assessment, it has predictive ability, distinctiveability, it is practical, objective, and a resistant to manipulation and gaming.Keywords: financial condition, local government, short term solvency, long term solvency,budgetary solvency, service-level solvency, financial flexibility, financial independence


Author(s):  
Irwan Taufiq Ritonga

This study develops an instrument to measure the financial condition of local governments(LG) in Indonesia. The instrument will serve as an early warning system for local governments’financial management. The instrument to measure their financial condition consists of sixdimensions, namely short-term solvency, long-term solvency, budgetary solvency, service-levelsolvency, financial flexibility, and financial independence. Each dimension has its own indicators.There are a total of eighteen indicators examined in this study. These indicators are combinedto form a composite index, called a Financial Condition Index (FCI). The reliability andvalidity of the composite index is analyzed and the results show that the measures developed inthis study are reliable and valid. In addition, the instrument possesses the criteria of a goodmeasure: it is theoretically sound, a comprehensive assessment, it has predictive ability, distinctiveability, it is practical, objective, and a resistant to manipulation and gaming.Keywords: financial condition, local government, short term solvency, long term solvency,budgetary solvency, service-level solvency, financial flexibility, financial independence


2021 ◽  
pp. 0160323X2110120
Author(s):  
Hai (David) Guo ◽  
Can Chen

Early in the pandemic, Florida municipal managers indicated that forecasting the impact on local revenues was one of their top priorities in responding to the pandemic, yet such a tool has not been widely available. This study offers simple and straightforward fiscal planning guides for assessing the short-term and long-term impacts of the COVID 19 recession on local government revenues by estimating the revenue declines among 411 Florida municipalities from FY 2021 to FY 2023. The forecast results predict revenues will be reduced by $5.11 billion from 2019 pre-pandemic levels for Florida cities in fiscal years 2021 through 2023. The decline is forecast to be 3.54 percent in FY 2021, 4.02 percent in FY 2022, and 3.29 percent in FY 2023. The revenue structure matters for estimating the revenue decline.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumiko Ito ◽  
Hisashi Kawai ◽  
Harukazu Tsuruta ◽  
Shuichi Obuchi

Abstract Background: Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification in the short term is of increasing importance in Japan. The present study examined whether the Kihon Checklist (KCL) can be used to predict incidence of LTCI certification (care level 1 or higher) in the short term among older Japanese persons.Methods: In 2015, the local government in Tokyo, Japan, distributed the KCL to all individuals older than 65 years who had not been certified as having a disability or who had already been certified as requiring support level 1–2 according to LTCI system. We also collected LTCI certification data within the 3 months after collecting the KCL data. The data of 17785 respondents were analyzed. First, we selected KCL items strongly associated with incidence of LTCI certification, using stepwise forward-selection multiple logistic regression. Second, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for three conditions (1: Selected KCL items, 2: The main 20 KCL items (nos. 1–20), 3: All 25 KCL items). Third, we estimated specificity and sensitivity for each condition.Results: During a 3-month follow-up, 81 (0.5%) individuals required new LTCI certification. Eight KCL items were selected by multiple logistic regression as predictive of certification. The area under the ROC curve in the three conditions was 0.92–0.93, and specificity and sensitivity for all conditions were greater than 80%.Conclusions: Three KCL conditions predicted short-term incidence of LTCI certification. This suggests that KCL items may be used to screen for the risk of incident LTCI certification.


Author(s):  
Paula Gomes dos Santos ◽  
Carla Martinho

Public governance must ensure financial sustainability. This investigation aims to assess Portuguese local governments financial sustainability as the ability to service the upcoming obligations in commercial transactions (under the Late Payment Directive framework) and to study if accounting information enables public local governance with greater transparency and accountability about their financial sustainability. The study will focus on the 308 Portuguese local governments from 2009 to 2017. The number of local governments with average payment periods (PMPs) within 30 days had an increasing tendency. However, their adjusted average payment periods greatly exceed the 30 days, which means limited financial sustainability. In 2017, only 29% of the local governments have an adjusted PMP within 30 days against the 63% if it is used the officials PMPs. Therefore, accounting information does not enable public governance with greater transparency and accountability about Portuguese local government financial sustainability.


Author(s):  
Xue Jin ◽  
Ussif Rashid Sumaila ◽  
Kedong Yin ◽  
Zhichao Qi

The Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People’s Republic of China formally proposed an environmental interview system in May 2014, which applies pressure on local governments to fulfill their responsibility toward environmental protection by conducting face-to-face public interviews with their officials. In this paper, 48 cities that were publicly interviewed from 2014–2020 were considered the experimental group and 48 cities surrounding them were the control group. First, the dynamic panel model is applied to initially determine the effect of the policy. Then, a regression discontinuity method (Sharp RD) is used to analyze the short-term and long-term effects and compare the reasons for the differences observed among the estimates of various types of samples. Finally, a series of robustness tests were also conducted. The results show that the environmental interview system can improve air quality. However, because an emergency short-term local governance system exists at present, the governance effect is not long-term and, therefore, not sustainable. Therefore, it suggests that the government should continue to improve the environmental interview system, establish an optimal environmental protection incentive mechanism, and encourage local governments to implement environmental protection policies effectively in the long term. The results of the research are of great significance to the environmental impact assessment system of the world, especially in countries with similar economic systems, which are facing a trade-off between economic growth and environmental sustainability.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 297-306
Author(s):  
Irna Mardi Yati ◽  
Jhon Andra Asmara

The study aims to analyze the region's financial state in aceh within 2015-2017. The financial condition is measured by using indexing measures developed by ritonga (2014), which are made up of six dimensions of short term solvability, long-term solvability, budget solvability, financial flexibility, financial independence, service solvability. In 2015, analysis was developed by augmenting the operational solvability dimension. This study is using qualitative descriptive methods and analysed a secondary data obtained through documentary techniques. The result of this study shows that within 3 years the financial district/city in aceh that got the best category of index value is Sabang (0.488), Banda Aceh (0.452), Aceh Tengah (0.444), Aceh Besar (0.389), and Gayo Lues (0.382). While the area government with the value of the financial conditions of the lowest financial level or ranked category is Aceh Tenggara (0,177), Aceh Singkil (0,148) Lhokseumawe (0,106).


Author(s):  
Fabio De Matteis ◽  
Daniela Preite

After highlighting the breadth and complexity of the concept of sustainability and highlighting the role of local authorities in sustainable development, this chapter aims to interpret how sustainability management can consider the concept of financial sustainability in the context of local governments. It does this through the following specific objectives: 1) defining financial sustainability, considering it not only autonomously, but in an integrated manner with respect to the typical sustainability dimensions (environmental, social, and economic) that are usually involved in the local authorities activity; 2) proposing the main stages of the sustainability cycle in the local authorities to highlight the key moments and the role of financial sustainability; 3) analyzing some aspects of financial indicators as tools for measuring the financial side of the sustainability profile of a local government. In order to reach the aim of the chapter, the research methodology followed is the literature review.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lionel Effiom ◽  
Peter Ubi

<p>It is common knowledge that Nigeria’s road infrastructure, and indeed the general infrastructure of sub-Saharan Africa, is in a most despicable condition. This paper formalises this observation by providing current data to support the hypothesis. By deploying descriptive and theoretical methodological approaches, it demonstrates that road infrastructure is not only deteriorating but also suffers from a twin evil of deficit and deprioritisation in the public sector’s preferential scale–a state of indifference of sorts. Long and short term policy choices have to be made to urgently address the issue. In the short term, infrastructure concessions, public private partnerships (PPP), pension funds, sovereign wealth fund, savings from reduction in fuel subsidies, leveraging on the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) mechanism–are part of the portfolio of choices that government can readily choose from. In the long term however, the paper recommends increase in the statutory allocation to the states and local governments which would ensure that component units of the federation control more resources to deploy and develop infrastructure in their immediate domain.</p>


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