scholarly journals Aplicación de la teoría acumulativa de prospectos para identificar el grado de soluciones de riesgo en la implementación de proyectos de innovación de alta tecnología.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-20
Author(s):  
Alexey M. Zarechensky ◽  
Alexander S. Novikov
Keyword(s):  
Optimization Problems ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Decision Makin ◽  
Expert Estimation ◽  
Complex Process ◽  
Initial Stage ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Classical Models ◽  
Article Study

This article is devoted to the peculiarities of the application of cumulative theory of prospectuses to identify the degree of risk decisions in the implementation of projects in the field of high-tech innovations. In the theoretical part of the article, the authors note that obtaining an assessment of the degree of efficiency of investments in various large innovative projects is a rather laborious and complex process, in which a special place should be given to the analysis of the risk of the investments themselves. As an effective way to assess the level of risk present in the implementation of innovative projects, the authors of the article study the cumulative theory of the prospectuses, based on the theories of utility and management decision making, created by Daniel Kaneman and Amos Tversky. Furthermore, the authors underline that if the administrative decision is accepted in the conditions of uncertainty, it should necessarily consider various psychological factors in comparison with classical models of decision-makin, which are constructed on conditions of the maximum availability of the information. In the research part of article, the authors consider a way of an estimation of integral risks of innovative projects. In the final part of article, the authors come to the conclusions that the algorithm of an estimation of risks of innovative projects should obligatory include, not only an expert estimation at an initial stage, but also the subsequent adjustment of the values received after the decision taken regarding the optimization problems.

scholarly journals Model of monitoring of oil soil pollution and its termination

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 146-153
Author(s):  
Svetlana Evgenievna Germanova ◽  
Tatiana Valeryevna Magdeeva ◽  
Vadim Gennadievich Pliushchikov
Keyword(s):  
System Analysis ◽  
Petroleum Products ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Evolutionary Modeling ◽  
Oil Companies ◽  
Individual Enterprise ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Production Economic

The assessment of impact of oil production economic activities on land pollution in Russia contributes to evolutionary management decision making. Oil industrial pollution affects negatively flora and fauna. Thus, its important to identify the level of its exposure and danger, the site of contamination. A system approach is needed. When studying the environment, its necessary to consider the presence of risk situations and stochastic irreversible changes. Its essential to identify the nature and type of soil contamination with petroleum products using high-tech tools, intellectual procedures. The work considers modeling of such situation, forecasting and identification of oil contaminants. The submodel of optimal termination of monitoring is also considered. Ending monitoring of environmental optimization will result in lower monitoring costs, since monitoring oilcontaminated environments is an expensive and complex technological mechanism, often requiring satellite data. The proposed algorithm for modeling and system analysis is based on situational modeling. Evolutionary modeling allows to adapt the procedure (methodology) of forecasting and assessment to environmental risk factors. It increases the accuracy (formalization and evidence) and completeness of conclusions, the efficiency of situation analysis, which affects manageability of risk both for the oil complex and for individual enterprise in the industry. The results of the research may be used for development of software tools, in particular expert and predictive systems. Situational models are needed when oil companies are solving multi-criteria and multifactor problems.

scholarly journals Russian energy projects in South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 58-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. An ◽  
A. Mikhaylov
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Green Energy ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Energy Technologies ◽  
Energy Projects ◽  
Energy Trade ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
The Cost

From early 2019, South Africa and Russia have planned to increase their energy trade. Russia can become one of the world’s five largest energy exporters. This study examines of the cost of a kilowatt of electricity generated by coal power projects in South Africa and compares nuclear electricity with other types of green energy. This method must help to improve the management decision-making process in South Africa for energy exporta. Reasons for this persistence include the marketing strategies of Russian companies for seeking new markets in industrialised and postindustrial countries where, due to intensive competition, sales of Russian high-tech products are often unsuccessful. Renewable energy gives a chance to potentially reduce poverty in South Africa. The study concludes that imported crude oil is more suited to the needs of the refining industry of South Africa. The consumption for this type of energy in areas not concerning industry is insignificant and its increase is unlikely to be observed in the future. Highlights• Nuclear energy is popular energy source in South Africa now.• Provision of sustainable energy services helps to find the sources for economic growth. • Renewable energy technologies have opportunity for reduce nuclear production in South Africa.• Bio-energy can become the main source of energy in South Africa.

Centralization and Effectiveness of Reward Management in Multinational Enterprises

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Tekieli ◽  
Marion Festing ◽  
Xavier Baeten
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Social Identity Theory ◽  
Multinational Enterprises ◽  
Role Identity ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Role Identities ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
New Perspective ◽  
Subsidiary Managers ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract. Based on responses from 158 reward managers located at the headquarters or subsidiaries of multinational enterprises, the present study examines the relationship between the centralization of reward management decision making and its perceived effectiveness in multinational enterprises. Our results show that headquarters managers perceive a centralized approach as being more effective, while for subsidiary managers this relationship is moderated by the manager’s role identity. Referring to social identity theory, the present study enriches the standardization versus localization debate through a new perspective focusing on psychological processes, thereby indicating the importance of in-group favoritism in headquarters and the influence of subsidiary managers’ role identities on reward management decision making.

Emergency management decision-making during severe weather

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leigh A. Baumgart ◽  
Ellen J. Bass ◽  
Brenda Philips ◽  
Kevin Kloesel
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Severe Weather ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Management Decision Making

Providing additional education services for children: Challenges and solutions

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 675-687
Author(s):  
Yu.I. Brodovskaya ◽  
T.A. Smirnova
Keyword(s):  
Consumer Preferences ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
Education Services ◽  
Supplementary Education ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Additional Education ◽  
Sociological Studies ◽  
Municipal Level

Subject. This article considers the issues of provision of supplementary education services for children and methodological tools for the formation of educational environment. Objectives. The article aims to assess the level of development of the system of supplementary education of children in Krasnoyarsk and offer a methodological approach to improving the management decision-making procedure in the formation of a portfolio of supplementary education services at the municipal level. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of theoretical, empirical, and logistic analyses, and sociological studies. Results. The article offers concrete solutions to the lack of a methodological approach to providing supplementary education services, considering one of the micro-districts of Krasnoyarsk as a case in point. It also offers tools that can be used by public authorities to organize educational space at the municipal level. Conclusions. A unified methodological approach should be used to provide a system of supplementary education, taking into account financial means, as well as differentiation in the distribution of educational facilities throughout the area. The relevance of the set of supplementary education services and consumer preferences should be taken into account, as well.

scholarly journals Towards enhanced risk management: planning, decision making and monitoring of US wildfire response

2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (7) ◽  
pp. 551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher J. Dunn ◽  
David E. Calkin ◽  
Matthew P. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Fire Management ◽  
The United States ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Current Response ◽  
Ongoing Research ◽  
Response Strategies ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Response Decisions

Wildfire’s economic, ecological and social impacts are on the rise, fostering the realisation that business-as-usual fire management in the United States is not sustainable. Current response strategies may be inefficient and contributing to unnecessary responder exposure to hazardous conditions, but significant knowledge gaps constrain clear and comprehensive descriptions of how changes in response strategies and tactics may improve outcomes. As such, we convened a special session at an international wildfire conference to synthesise ongoing research focused on obtaining a better understanding of wildfire response decisions and actions. This special issue provides a collection of research that builds on those discussions. Four papers focus on strategic planning and decision making, three papers on use and effectiveness of suppression resources and two papers on allocation and movement of suppression resources. Here we summarise some of the key findings from these papers in the context of risk-informed decision making. This collection illustrates the value of a risk management framework for improving wildfire response safety and effectiveness, for enhancing fire management decision making and for ushering in a new fire management paradigm.

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