scholarly journals Development Aid, Economic Growth Volatility and Poverty Volatility in Developing Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol Volume II (December 2021) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm GNANGNON
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Growth Volatility

This article has analysed the effect of development aid flows on poverty volatility in developing countries, including through the economic growth volatility channel. Using a sample of 106 countries over the period 1980-2017, and the two-step system Generalized Methods of Moment (GMM) technique, the analysis has shown that development aid flows dampen the positive poverty volatility effect of economic growth volatility: the magnitude of the negative effect of development aid on poverty volatility rises as the degree of economic growth volatility increases. Additionally, development aid exerts a higher negative effect on poverty volatility as countries face higher poverty rates. These findings highlight the importance of development aid for stabilizing poverty rates.

scholarly journals Tax revenue instability and tax revenue in developed and developing countries

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Inflation Volatility ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Growth Volatility

Purpose This paper aims to explore the effect of non-resource tax revenue instability on non-resource tax revenue in developed and developing countries. Design/methodology/approach The analysis has used an unbalanced panel data set of 146 countries over the period 1981–2016, as well as the two-step system generalized methods of moment approach. Findings The empirical analysis has suggested that non-resource tax revenue instability influences negatively non-resource tax revenue share of gross domestic product. The magnitude of this negative effect is higher in less developed countries than in relatively advanced countries. This negative effect materializes through public expenditure instability: non-resource tax revenue instability exerts a higher effect on non-resource tax revenue share as the degree of public expenditure instability increases. Finally, non-resource tax revenue instability exerts a higher negative effect on non-resource tax revenue share as economic growth volatility rises, inflation volatility increases and terms of trade instability increases. Research limitations/implications The main policy implication of this analysis is that policies that help ensure the stability of non-resource tax revenue also contribute to improving countries’ non-resource tax revenue share. For example, governments’ measures that help cope with or prevent the severe adverse effects of shocks on economies (shocks that could translate into higher tax revenue instability) would ultimately help enhance countries’ tax revenue performance. Practical implications The severity of the current COVID-19 pandemic shock (which is a supply and demand shock) and the macroeconomic uncertainty that it has generated – inter alia, in terms of economic growth instability, terms of trade instability, inflation volatility and public expenditure instability – are likely to result in severe tax revenue losses. Governments in both developed and developing countries would surely learn from the management of this crisis so as to prepare for possible future economic, financial and health crises with a view to dampening their adverse macroeconomic effects, including here their negative tax revenue effects. Originality/value To the best of the author’s knowledge, this topic is being addressed in the empirical literature for the first time.

Productive Capacities, Economic Growth and Economic Growth Volatility in Developing Countries: Does Structural Economic Vulnerability Matter?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sena Kimm Gnangnon
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
International Institutions ◽  
Economic Vulnerability ◽  
Global Shocks ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
Environmental Shocks ◽  
High Level ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Volatility

Recent years’ global shocks (e.g., the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic) and environmental shocks — such as natural disasters — have heightened the vulnerability of developing countries to future shocks, and can compromise their development prospects. International institutions and researchers have advocated that the strengthening of productive capacities in these countries would help enhance the resilience of their economies to shocks, and promote sustainable development. This paper has examined the effect of productive capacities on economic growth and economic growth volatility in developing countries, in particular when they face a high level of structural economic vulnerability. The analysis covers 117 developing countries over the period of 2000–2018. It shows that productive capacities not only promote economic growth, but also reduce economic growth volatility. On the other hand, structural economic vulnerability reduces economic growth (in particular when it exceeds a certain level), and induces greater volatility of economic growth. Interestingly, productive capacities promote economic growth and reduce economic growth volatility in countries that face a high degree of structural economic vulnerability. These findings support the recommendation by international institutions and researchers that if they were to enhance the resilience of their economies to shocks, and promote sustainable economic growth, developing countries (in particular the poorest ones) should strengthen their productive capacities.

scholarly journals Effect of Institutional Quality and Wealth from Oil Revenue on Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Developing Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 3635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adewale Samuel Hassan ◽  
Daniel Francois Meyer ◽  
Sebastian Kot
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Linear Interaction ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Oil Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Oil Wealth

This article investigates the role of institutional quality in the oil wealth–economic growth nexus for 35 oil-exporting developing countries between 1984 and 2016. To achieve this objective, an empirical model was employed with linear interaction between oil wealth and institutional quality, and estimated by means of panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) with a dynamic fixed effect estimator. From the results, a contingent effect of oil wealth on economic growth, both in the long run and in the short run, was established. Specifically, institutional quality was found to mitigate the negative effect of oil wealth on economic growth in the long run, while in the short run, institutional quality was found to enhance the positive effect of oil wealth on economic growth. Furthermore, the results provide the threshold levels of institutional quality, beyond which oil wealth enhances economic growth, both in the long run and in the short run, for the sampled countries. These results suggest that in order for oil-exporting developing countries to benefit from an increase in oil wealth, they must adopt appropriate policy measures to improve their levels of institutional quality and embed their entire oil wealth-generating mechanism in a sound institutional framework. Also of importance is that governments must ensure sustainable development through the benefits of wealth from oil.

scholarly journals Education and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Empirical Evidence from GMM Estimators for Dynamic Panel Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-29
Author(s):  
Wafa Sebki
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Tertiary Education ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Difference Gmm ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract The paper aims at studying the effect of education measured by enrolment ratios in secondary and higher education on economic growth measured by the rate of GDP growth in a sample of 40 developing countries during the period from 2002 to 2016 using the dynamic panel data estimators. The results of estimating the model of this study using the difference GMM estimator or what is known as the Arellano and Bond estimator showed that the proportions of those enrolled in tertiary education had a significant positive effect on economic growth, while the proportions of those enrolled in secondary education had a significant negative effect.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Long-Term Stability and Impact of Remittances and Development Aid on Sustainable Economic Growth in Developing Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Stojanov ◽  
Daniel Němec ◽  
Libor Žídek
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Term Stability ◽  
Long Term Stability ◽  
Remittance Flows ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

In our paper, we analyse the long-term stability and impact of remittances and development aid on sustainable economic growth in developing countries. We use two data samples from countries that were recipients of both aid and remittances in the corresponding period. First, unbalanced data from the years 1970 to 2017; that is, how countries appear in the data. Second, balanced data, where we selected the largest possible set of countries for which data exists without gaps from the years 1970–2017. This dataset consists of 57 countries for the period from 1991 to 2017. Using linear regression models, we conclude that up until the end of the 1980s, the size of aid as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) was larger than the share of remittances. After that, the situation changed and the shares of both inflows were broadly similar. The inflow of remittances was more stable than the inflow of aid and development aid did not (on the contrary to remittances) contribute positively to sustainable economic growth if we consider the entire period between 1970 and 2017. Our results suggest that a statistically significant relationship between development aid and economic growth (per capita) may be observed only in the period from 1990 to 1999. Economic growth in developing countries is negatively influenced by the uncertainty related to the flows of official development assistance (ODA) and aid in all investigated decades. In the case of the remittance flows, the increased volatility tends to contribute negatively to sustainable economic growth only when the remittance flows represent a relatively higher share of GDP.

Foreign Capital and Economic Growth

1988 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 302-310
Author(s):  
Raj Aggarwal
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Global Change ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Private Capital ◽  
Competitive Markets ◽  
Poor Countries ◽  
Foreign Capital Inflows

In the current environment of significant global change, how can declining levels of development aid and private capital inflows be best used to promote economic growth in the developing countries? This question is addressed here and traditional analysis of this topic is complemented by taking a perspective that focuses on the limitations of how development aid and foreign capital inflows are usually allocated. It is suggested here that poor countries can benefit from a greater use of competitive markets to allocate development aid and private capital inflows.

scholarly journals Official Development Aid: Plaster in A Wound? Evidence Using Data From Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cherkos Meaza
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Aid Effectiveness ◽  
Political Leader ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Official Development Aid

Abstract The flow of aid to developing countries has increased massively and they receive billions of dollars per year in the form of aid from bilateral and multilateral donors. However, the economic growth achieved by many developing countries in general has not been satisfactory. Poverty is still there and resulted in a custom of aid dependence and foster the opportunity for the corrupted political leader. The conclusion on aid effectiveness is doubtful among economists, found to be inconclusive. This paper intends to see how ethiopian economy is reacting to the flow of foreign aid coming from rest of the world viz-a-viz the current most prestigous and influential arguments against and pro-effectiveness of aid. A time series on important parameters extending from 1981 to the most current 2017 is used and an econometrics techniques ECM is employed to examine the short run dynamics and long run relationship among the variables. The result of the short run dynamics showed that aid has a negative and statistically significant impact on economic growth. However, the impacts turns to be positive in the long run. economic growth measured by the real GDP adjusts to its long run equilibrium with an average speed of about 25.7 percent annually and it will roughly take it about 4 years to restore back to equilibrium, ceteris paribus.

scholarly journals Economic Growth-Migration Nexus: An Analysis Based on Developing Countries

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haktan Sevinç ◽  
Eda Bozkurt ◽  
Serkan Künü ◽  
Demet Eroğlu Sevinç
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Brain Drain ◽  
The Other ◽  
International Level ◽  
Economic Literature ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Economic Problems ◽  
Negative Effect

Relations between migration and economic growth have been shaped around both positivist and Non-positivist ideas in the economic literature. Approaches based on the Positivist argument mostly views the effect of migration on economic growth through the lens of human capital and brain drain while Non-positivist argument approaches the issue in terms of the negative effects of unqualified labor. On the other hand, increasing migration at the international level has been gaining importance since immigrants create socio-economic problems in both their native and destination countries. In this study, effects of migration, which constitutes and important problem both at the national and the international level, on economic growth were investigated in the light of these approaches. Relations between migration and economic growth in the developing countries were researched through panel data methods. According to the findings of the study, migration has a negative effect on economic growth. Therefore, it can be said that immigration of qualified human capital and brain drain has important consequences for the economic development of countries. This situation undoubtedly implies implementation of policies which directly affects the amount of investment to human capital.

scholarly journals The Impact of Deindustrialization on Economic Growth——Evidence from China

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Yang Feng ◽  
Yang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Empirical Approach ◽  
Western China ◽  
Small Cities ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Widespread Phenomenon ◽  
The Impact

Deindustrialization is a widespread phenomenon, both in developed economies or developing countries in the history. This paper examinate the impact of deindustrialization, which is caused by administrative measures aimed at overcapacity, on China’s economic growth in the lastest decade. We adopt empirical approach to estimate the impact, the results show deindustrialization have a significantly negative effect on economic growth in the central and western China, which is stronger in the cites with fast deindustrialization, and in medium and small cities. It provides evidence that rapid deindustrialization hinders the sustainability and magnifies the vulnerability of economic growth, especially premature deindustrialization.

scholarly journals Poverty, governance and economic growth

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kefi Mohamed Karim ◽  
Hadhek Zouhaier ◽  
Ben Hamed Adel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Data Model ◽  
Simultaneous Equations ◽  
Panel Data Model ◽  
Simultaneous Equations Model ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Empirical Tests ◽  
Positive Effect

The objective of this paper is to study the effect of governance and poverty on economic growth of a set of eight developing countries during the period 2000-2009, using a dynamic and static panel data model and a simultaneous equations model. The key findings generated from these three empirical tests stipulate a negative effect of governance on poverty and a positive effect of political instability and corruption on poverty.

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