Tropospheric ozone and its precursors at Summit, Greenland: comparison between observations and model simulations
Abstract. Recent studies have shown some significant challenges for atmospheric models to simulate tropospheric ozone (O3) and some of its precursors in the Arctic. In this study, ground based data are combined with a global 3-D chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) to examine the abundance and seasonal variations of O3 and its precursors at Summit, Greenland (72.34˚ N, 38.29˚ W, 3212 m a.s.l). Model simulations for atmospheric nitrogen oxides (NOx), peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), ethane (C2H6), propane (C3H8), carbon monoxide (CO), and O3 for the period of 07/2008–06/2010 are compared with observations. The model performs well in simulating certain species (such as CO and C3H8), but some significant discrepancies are identified for other species and further investigated. The model generally underestimates NOx and PAN (by around 50 % and 30 %, respectively) for March–June. Likely contributing factors to the low bias include missing NOx and PAN emissions from snowpack chemistry in the model. At the same time, the model overestimates NOx mixing ratios by more than a factor of 2 in wintertime, with episodic NOx mixing ratios up to 15 times higher than the typical NOx levels at Summit. Further investigation shows that these simulated episodic NOx spikes are always associated with transport events from Europe, but the exact cause remains unclear. The model systematically overestimates C2H6 mixing ratios by approximately 20 % relative to observations. This discrepancy can be resolved by decreasing anthropogenic C2H6 emissions over Asia and the US by 20 %, from 5.4 to 4.4 Tg/yr. GEOS-Chem is able to reproduce the seasonal variability of O3 and its spring maximum. However, compared with observations, it underestimates surface O3 by approximately 13 % (6.5 ppbv) from April to July. This low bias appears to be driven by several factors including missing snowpack emissions for NOx and nitrous acid, the coarse model resolution, model overestimated O3 dry deposition velocity during springtime, as well as the uncertainties in the stratosphere-to-troposphere exchange scheme for O3.