Comments on "Interannual variation of aerosol pollution in East Asia and its relation with strong/weak East Asian winter monsoon"

Abstract. Long-term climatic records are scarce in the northeast Asia for understanding the behavior of the East Asian Winter Monsoon. Here we describe a 250-year February–April temperature reconstruction (TCBM) based on tree-ring widths of Korean Pines from the Changbai Mountain area, Northeast China. The reconstruction can account for 45.7% of the temperature variance in the instrumental period (1953 to 2001). Four cold events including 1784–1815, 1827–1851, 1878–1889 and 1911–1945, and two warm events of 1750–1783 and 1855–1877 were identified before the instrumental period. Four regime shifts were also detected at 1781, 1857, 1878 and 1989. Good agreements between TCBM and other temperature records of East Asia suggest that the reconstruction is of good reliability and captures the regional cold/warm events of East Asia. Moreover, TCBM shows negative correlations with the instrumental or proxy-based EAWM intensity records. The known weakening of the EAWM in the late 1980s is in agreement with the regime shift at 1989 in TCBM. These comparisons suggest that the February–April temperature reconstruction may be a good indicator of the EAWM intensity.

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Quantifying the contribution of anthropogenic influence to the East Asian winter monsoon in 1960–2012

10.5194/acp-2019-99 ◽

2019 ◽

Author(s):

Xin Hao ◽

Shengping He ◽

Huijun Wang ◽

Tingting Han

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

Air Temperature ◽

General Circulation ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

East Asian ◽

Surface Air Temperature ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

Anthropogenic Influence ◽

Anthropogenic Forcing ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon

Abstract. The East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) can be greatly influenced by many factors that can be classified as anthropogenic forcing and natural forcing. Here we explore the contribution of anthropogenic influence to the change in the EAWM over the past decades. Under all forcings observed during 1960–2013 (All-Hist run), the atmospheric general circulation model is able to reproduce the climatology and variability of the EAWM-related surface air temperature and 500 hPa geopotential height, and shows a statistically significant decreasing EAWM intensity with a trend coefficient of ∼−0.04 yr−1 which is close to the observed trend. By contrast, the simulation, which is driven by the same forcing as All-Hist run but with the anthropogenic contribution to them removed, shows no decreasing trend in the EAWM intensity. By comparing the simulations under two different forcing scenarios, we further reveal that the responses of the EAWM to the anthropogenic forcing include a rise of 0.6 ° in surface air temperature over the East Asia as well as weakening of the East Asia trough, which may result from the poleward expansion and intensification of the East Asian jet forced by the change of temperature gradient in the troposphere. Additionally, compared with the simulation without anthropogenic forcing, the frequency of strong (weak) EAWM occurrence is reduced (increased) by 45 % (from 0 to 10/7). These results indicate that the weakening of the EAWM during 1960–2013 may be mainly attributed to the anthropogenic influence.

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Combined Effect of ENSO-Like and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation SSTAs on the Interannual Variability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli-d-16-0118.1 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 30 (7) ◽

pp. 2697-2716 ◽

Cited By ~ 14

Author(s):

Xin Hao ◽

Shengping He

Keyword(s):

Numerical Model ◽

East Asia ◽

Interannual Variability ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

East Asian ◽

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

Temperature Anomalies ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

Numerical Model Experiments

Using long-term observational data and numerical model experiments, this study found that the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) affects the influence of ENSO-like sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs, which contain the variability of both El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation) on the interannual change in the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). In the observations, the out-of-phase relationship between the variations in ENSO and the EAWM was significantly intensified when the AMO and ENSO-like SSTAs were in phase. Warmer-than-normal winters occurred across East Asia when the ENSO-like SSTAs and AMO were positively in phase, with a significantly weakened Siberian high and anomalous anticyclones over the western North Pacific. The opposite patterns occurred under negative in-phase conditions. In contrast, when the ENSO-like and AMO SSTAs were out of phase, the anomalies related to the EAWM tended to exhibit relatively weaker features. Numerical model experiments confirmed these observational results. When the models were perturbed with warm ENSO-like SSTAs and warm AMO SSTAs, the atmosphere showed a weakened Siberian high, strong anticyclonic anomalies over the Philippine Sea, a weakened East Asian trough, and dominant positive temperature anomalies over East Asia, implying a weaker EAWM. Reverse responses to negative in-phase temperature anomalies were observed. However, the atmospheric signals that responded to the out-of-phase conditions were less robust. This phenomenon may be attributed to the superposition of the interannual variability of the EAWM caused by ENSO-like SSTAs upon the influence of AMO on background Eurasian climate and the Walker circulation response to the heating source provided by the AMO, which induced changes in ENSO-like variability through the surface wind anomalies and modulated the anomalous anticyclone/cyclone over the Philippine Sea in warm–cold ENSO-like events.

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Inter-annual variation of aerosol pollution in East Asia and its relation with strong/weak East Asian winter monsoon

10.5194/acp-2017-500 ◽

2017 ◽

Author(s):

Min Xie ◽

Lei Shu ◽

Tijian Wang ◽

Da Gao ◽

Shu Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

Annual Variation ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

East Asian ◽

Lower Troposphere ◽

Northerly Wind ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

The North ◽

Change Pattern ◽

Aerosol Pollution

Abstract. Aerosol has become one of the major air pollutants in East Asia, and its spatial distribution can be affected by the East Asian monsoon circulation. By means of the observational analysis and the numerical simulation, the inter-annual variation of wintertime aerosol pollution in East Asia and its association with strong/weak East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) are investigated in this study. Firstly, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer/Aerosol Optical Depth (MODIS/AOD) records during 2000–2013 are analyzed to reveal the inter-annual variation characteristics of aerosols. It is found that there is an increasing trend of AOD in East Asia over the last decade, implying the increasing aerosol loading in this region. The areas with obvious increasing AOD cover the Sichuan Basin (SCB), the North China Plain, and most of the Middle-Lower Yangtze River Plain in China. Secondly, the EAWM index (EAWMI) based on the characteristic of circulation are calculated to investigate the inter-annual variations of EAWM. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data are used in EAWMI calculation and meteorological analysis. Nine strong and thirteen weak EAWM years are identified from 1979 to 2014. In these strong EAWM years, the sea-land pressure contrast increases, the East Asian trough strengthens, and the northerly wind gets anomalous over East Asia. More cold air masses are forced to move southward by strengthened wind field and make cool. In the weak EAWM years, however, the situation is totally on the opposite. Finally, the effects of strong/weak EAWM on the distribution of aerosols in East Asia are discussed. It is found that the northerly wind strengthens (weakens) and transports more (less) aerosols southward in strong (weak) EAWM years, resulting in higher (lower) AOD in the north and lower (higher) AOD in the south. The long-term weakening trend of EAWM may potentially increase the aerosol loading. Apart from the changes in aerosol emissions, the weakening of EAWM should be another cause that results in the increase of AOD over the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region and SCB but the decrease of AOD over the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region. Using the Regional Climate-Chemistry coupled Model System (RegCCMS), we further prove that the intensity of EAWM has great impacts on the spatial distribution of aerosols. In strong (weak) EAWM years, there is a negative (positive) anomaly in the air column content of aerosol, with a reduction (increment) of −80 (25) mg m−2. The change pattern of aerosol concentrations in lower troposphere is different from that at 500 hPa, which is related with the different change pattern of meteorological fields in EAWM circulation at different altitude. More obvious changes occur in lower atmosphere, the change pattern of aerosol column content in different EAWM years is mainly decided by the change of aerosols in lower troposphere.

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A Dynamical Index for the East Asian Winter Monsoon

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/2010jcli3375.1 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 23 (15) ◽

pp. 4255-4262 ◽

Cited By ~ 87

Author(s):

Yueqing Li ◽

Song Yang

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

East Asian ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

The Arctic ◽

Tropospheric Temperature ◽

Physical Processes ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

Monsoon Index ◽

Wind Shears

Abstract A new index measuring the East Asian winter monsoon is defined using the mean wind shears of upper-tropospheric zonal wind based on the belief that the physical processes of both higher and lower latitudes, and at both lower and upper troposphere, should be considered to depict the variability of monsoon. When the index is high (low), the westerly jet is strong (weak), the East Asian trough is deep (shallow), the Siberian high is strong (weak), and anomalous low-level northerlies (southerlies) prevail over East Asia. As a result, the surface and lower-tropospheric temperature over East Asia decreases (increases) and the cold surges over Southeast Asia and tropical western Pacific are more (less) active. The index, which exhibits distinct interannual variations, is also strongly correlated with the Arctic Oscillation and Niño-3.4 sea surface temperature (SST) index. Compared to previous indexes, this index takes into account more influencing factors and better elucidates the physical processes associated with monsoon, enhancing interpretations of the variability of monsoon and its effects on regional weather and climate. Furthermore, the monsoon index is significantly linked to antecedent tropical Pacific SST and is highly predictable in the NCEP Climate Forecast System, indicating the advantage of the index for operational predictions of monsoon.

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Interannual Variations of East Asian Trough Axis at 500 hPa and its Association with the East Asian Winter Monsoon Pathway

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/2008jcli2295.1 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 22 (3) ◽

pp. 600-614 ◽

Cited By ~ 129

Author(s):

Lin Wang ◽

Wen Chen ◽

Wen Zhou ◽

Ronghui Huang

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

North Pacific ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

Regional Climate ◽

East Asian ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

Interannual Variations ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

The North ◽

The North Pacific

Abstract Interannual variations of the East Asian trough (EAT) axis at 500 hPa are studied with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 40-yr reanalysis data. The associated circulation pattern and pathway of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) with the EAT axis tilt are specially investigated with a trough axis index, which is closely related to the midlatitude baroclinic process and mainly represents the intensity of the eddy-driven jet over the East Asia–North Pacific sector. When the tilt of EAT is smaller than normal, the EAWM prefers to take the southern pathway and less cold air moves to the central North Pacific. However, the EAWM prefers the eastern pathway and brings more cold air to the North Pacific when the tilt of EAT is larger than normal. These differences induce pronounced changes in both the precipitation and the surface air temperature over East and Southeast Asia. Furthermore, the tilt status of the EAT has a significant modulation effect on the regional climate anomalies related to the intensity of the EAWM. The findings suggest an increase in the temperature anomaly associated with the EAWM intensity and a clear northward–southward shift in its pattern in anomalous tilt phase of the EAT. In addition, the modulation tends to be confined mainly to East Asia and expanded to a larger area during the weak and the strong EAWM winters, respectively. The possible reasons for interannual variations of the EAT tilt are discussed, and it is speculated that the midlatitude air–sea interaction in the North Pacific plays a dominant role. This study on the EAT tilt may enrich knowledge of the East Asian winter monsoon beyond the conventional intensity index and may be helpful to improve regional climate prediction in East Asia.

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The Climatology and Interannual Variability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in CMIP5 Models

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli-d-13-00039.1 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 27 (4) ◽

pp. 1659-1678 ◽

Cited By ~ 63

Author(s):

Hainan Gong ◽

Lin Wang ◽

Wen Chen ◽

Renguang Wu ◽

Ke Wei ◽

...

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

Interannual Variability ◽

Large Scale ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

East Asian ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

Cmip5 Models ◽

Northwestern Pacific ◽

Cold Bias ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon

Abstract In this paper the model outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) are used to examine the climatology and interannual variability of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). The multimodel ensemble (MME) is able to reproduce reasonably well the circulation features of the EAWM. The simulated surface air temperature still suffers from a cold bias over East Asia, but this bias is reduced compared with CMIP phase 3 models. The intermodel spread is relatively small for the large-scale circulations, but is large for the lower-tropospheric meridional wind and precipitation along the East Asian coast. The interannual variability of the EAWM-related circulations can be captured by most of the models. A general bias is that the simulated variability is slightly weaker than in the observations. Based on a selected dynamic EAWM index, the patterns of the EAWM-related anomalies are well reproduced in MME although the simulated anomalies are slightly weaker than the observations. One general bias is that the northeasterly anomalies over East Asia cannot be captured to the south of 30°N. This bias may arise both from the inadequacies of the EAWM index and from the ability of models to capture the EAWM-related tropical–extratropical interactions. The ENSO–EAWM relationship is then evaluated and about half of the models can successfully capture the observed ENSO–EAWM relationship, including the significant negative correlation between Niño-3.4 and EAWM indices and the anomalous anticyclone (or cyclone) over the northwestern Pacific. The success of these models is attributed to the reasonable simulation of both ENSO’s spatial structure and its strength of interannual variability.

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Distinct Modes of the East Asian Winter Monsoon

Monthly Weather Review ◽

10.1175/mwr3150.1 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 134 (8) ◽

pp. 2165-2179 ◽

Cited By ~ 60

Author(s):

Bingyi Wu ◽

Renhe Zhang ◽

Rosanne D’Arrigo

Keyword(s):

East Asia ◽

Atmospheric Circulation ◽

East Asian Winter Monsoon ◽

Southern Oscillation ◽

East Asian ◽

Winter Monsoon ◽

The Arctic ◽

East Asian Trough ◽

Siberian High ◽

Asian Winter Monsoon

Abstract Two distinct modes of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) have been identified, and they correspond to real and imaginary parts of the leading mode of the EAWM, respectively. Analyses of these modes used the National Centers for Environment Prediction (NCEP) and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) monthly mean reanalysis datasets for the period 1968–2003, as well as the Southern Oscillation index (SOI), North Atlantic Oscillation index, and eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) data. Results were obtained by resolving a complex Hermite matrix derived from 850-hPa anomalous wind fields, and determining the resulting modes’ associations with several climate variables. The first distinct mode (M1) is characterized by an anomalous meridional wind pattern over East Asia and the western North Pacific. Mode M1 is closely related to several features of the atmospheric circulation, including the Siberian high, East Asian trough, East Asian upper-tropospheric jet, and local Hadley circulation over East Asia. Thus, M1 reflects the traditional EAWM pattern revealed in previous studies. The second distinct EAWM mode (M2), which was not identified previously, displays dominant zonal wind anomalies over the same area. Mode M2 exhibits a closer relation than M1 to sea level pressure anomalies over the northwestern Pacific southeast of Japan and with the SOI and equatorial eastern Pacific SST. Unlike M1, M2 does not show coherent relationships with the Siberian high, East Asian trough, and East Asian upper-tropospheric jet. Since atmospheric circulation anomalies relevant to M2 exhibit a quasi-barotropic structure, its existence cannot simply be attributed to differential land–sea heating. El Niño events tend to occur in the negative phase of M1 and the positive phase of M2, both corresponding to a weakened EAWM. The Arctic Oscillation does not appear to impact the EAWM on interannual time scales. Although the spatial patterns for the two modes are very different, the two distinct modes are complementary, with the leading EAWM mode being a linear combination of the two. The results herein therefore demonstrate that a single EAWM index may be inappropriate for investigating and predicting the EAWM.

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