scholarly journals Analysis of stratospheric NO2 trends above Jungfraujoch using ground-based UV-visible, FTIR, and satellite nadir observations

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 12357-12389
Author(s):  
F. Hendrick ◽  
E. Mahieu ◽  
G. E. Bodeker ◽  
K. F. Boersma ◽  
M. P. Chipperfield ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Linear Trend ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Stratospheric Cooling ◽  
Rule Out

Abstract. The trend in stratospheric NO2 column at the NDACC (Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change) station of Jungfraujoch (46.5° N, 8.0° E) is assessed using ground-based FTIR and zenith-scattered visible sunlight SAOZ measurements over the period 1990 to 2009 as well as a composite satellite nadir data set constructed from ERS-2/GOME, ENVISAT/SCIAMACHY, and METOP-A/GOME-2 observations over the 1996–2009 period. To calculate the trends, a linear least squares regression model including explanatory variables for a linear trend, the mean annual cycle, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), solar activity, and stratospheric aerosol loading is used. For the 1990–2009 period, statistically indistinguishable trends of −3.7 ± 1.1%/decade and −3.6 ± 0.9%/decade are derived for the SAOZ and FTIR NO2 column time series, respectively. SAOZ, FTIR, and satellite nadir data sets show a similar decrease over the 1996–2009 period, with trends of −2.4 ± 1.1%/decade, −4.3 ± 1.4%/decade, and −3.6 ± 2.2%/decade, respectively. The fact that these declines are opposite in sign to the globally observed +2.5%/decade trend in N2O, suggests that factors other than N2O are driving the evolution of stratospheric NO2 at northern mid-latitudes. Possible causes of the decrease in stratospheric NO2 columns have been investigated. The most likely cause is a change in the NO2/NO partitioning in favor of NO, due to a possible stratospheric cooling and a decrease in stratospheric chlorine content, the latter being further confirmed by the negative trend in the ClONO2 column derived from FTIR observations at Jungfraujoch. Decreasing ClO concentrations slows the NO + ClO → NO2 + Cl reaction and a stratospheric cooling slows the NO + O3 → NO2 + O2 reaction, leaving more NOx in the form of NO. The slightly positive trends in ozone estimated from ground- and satellite-based data sets are also consistent with the decrease of NO2 through the NO2 + O3 → NO3 + O2 reaction. Finally, we cannot rule out the possibility that a strengthening of the Dobson-Brewer circulation, which reduces the time available for N2O photolysis in the stratosphere, could also contribute to the observed decline in stratospheric NO2 above Jungfraujoch.

scholarly journals Analysis of stratospheric NO<sub>2</sub> trends above Jungfraujoch using ground-based UV-visible, FTIR, and satellite nadir observations

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 8851-8864 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Hendrick ◽  
E. Mahieu ◽  
G. E. Bodeker ◽  
K. F. Boersma ◽  
M. P. Chipperfield ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Linear Trend ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Stratospheric Cooling ◽  
Rule Out

Abstract. The trend in stratospheric NO2 column at the NDACC (Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change) station of Jungfraujoch (46.5° N, 8.0° E) is assessed using ground-based FTIR and zenith-scattered visible sunlight SAOZ measurements over the period 1990 to 2009 as well as a composite satellite nadir data set constructed from ERS-2/GOME, ENVISAT/SCIAMACHY, and METOP-A/GOME-2 observations over the 1996–2009 period. To calculate the trends, a linear least squares regression model including explanatory variables for a linear trend, the mean annual cycle, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), solar activity, and stratospheric aerosol loading is used. For the 1990–2009 period, statistically indistinguishable trends of −3.7 ± 1.1% decade−1 and −3.6 ± 0.9% decade−1 are derived for the SAOZ and FTIR NO2 column time series, respectively. SAOZ, FTIR, and satellite nadir data sets show a similar decrease over the 1996–2009 period, with trends of −2.4 ± 1.1% decade−1, −4.3 ± 1.4% decade−1, and −3.6 ± 2.2% decade−1, respectively. The fact that these declines are opposite in sign to the globally observed +2.5% decade−1 trend in N2O, suggests that factors other than N2O are driving the evolution of stratospheric NO2 at northern mid-latitudes. Possible causes of the decrease in stratospheric NO2 columns have been investigated. The most likely cause is a change in the NO2/NO partitioning in favor of NO, due to a possible stratospheric cooling and a decrease in stratospheric chlorine content, the latter being further confirmed by the negative trend in the ClONO2 column derived from FTIR observations at Jungfraujoch. Decreasing ClO concentrations slows the NO + ClO → NO2 + Cl reaction and a stratospheric cooling slows the NO + O3 → NO2 + O2 reaction, leaving more NOx in the form of NO. The slightly positive trends in ozone estimated from ground- and satellite-based data sets are also consistent with the decrease of NO2 through the NO2 + O3 → NO3 + O2 reaction. Finally, we cannot rule out the possibility that a strengthening of the Dobson-Brewer circulation, which reduces the time available for N2O photolysis in the stratosphere, could also contribute to the observed decline in stratospheric NO2 above Jungfraujoch.

scholarly journals Trend and variability in ozone in the tropical lower stratosphere over 2.5 solar cycles observed by SAGE II and OSIRIS

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 3479-3496 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. E. Sioris ◽  
C. A. McLinden ◽  
V. E. Fioletov ◽  
C. Adams ◽  
J. M. Zawodny ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Trend Detection ◽  
Relative Standard Error ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Relative Standard

Abstract. We have extended the satellite-based ozone anomaly time series to the present (December 2012) by merging SAGE II (Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II) with OSIRIS (Optical Spectrograph and Infrared Imager System) and correcting for the small bias (~0.5%) between them, determined using their temporal overlap of 4 years. Analysis of the merged data set (1984–2012) shows a statistically significant negative trend at all altitudes in the 18–25 km range, including a trend of (−4.6 ± 2.6)% decade−1 at 19.5 km where the relative standard error is a minimum. We are also able to replicate previously reported decadal trends in the tropical lower-stratospheric ozone anomaly based on SAGE II observations. Uncertainties are smaller on the merged trend than the SAGE II trend at all altitudes. Underlying strong fluctuations in ozone anomaly due to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the altitude-dependent quasi-biennial oscillation, and tropopause pressure need to be taken into account to reduce trend uncertainties and, in the case of ENSO, to accurately determine the linear trend just above the tropopause. We also compare the observed ozone trend with a calculated trend that uses information on tropical upwelling and its temporal trend from model simulations, tropopause pressure trend information derived from reanalysis data, and vertical profiles from SAGE II and OSIRIS to determine the vertical gradient of ozone and its trend. We show that the observed trend agrees with the calculated trend and that the magnitude of the calculated trend is dominated by increased tropical upwelling, with minor but increasing contribution from the vertical ozone gradient trend as the tropical tropopause is approached. Improvements are suggested for future regression modelling efforts which could reduce trend uncertainties and biases in trend magnitudes, thereby allowing accurate trend detection to extend below 18 km.

scholarly journals A note on the interannual variations of UV-B erythemal doses and solar irradiance from ground-based and satellite observations

2001 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Zerefos ◽  
D. Balis ◽  
M. Tzortziou ◽  
A. Bais ◽  
K. Tourpali ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Solar Irradiance ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
San Diego ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Composition And Structure ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract. This study examines three UV-B data sets: ground-based long-term spectral records at Thessaloniki, Greece (40.5° N, 22.9° E) and San Diego, California, USA (32.7° N, 117.2° W) as well as a global data set of daily erythemal dose obtained from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) onboard the Nimbus-7 satellite. Both ground-based stations have long enough records of spectral UV-B measurements to allow independent time series analyses. For 63° solar zenith angle (SZA) and clear sky conditions the quasi biennial oscillation (QBO) effect in solar irradiance at 305nm E305 is about 32% of the annual cycle for both San Diego and Thessaloniki. The effect slightly increases with cloud cover of up to 4/8, and decreases thereafter for cloud cover greater than 4/8. The data reveal that cloudiness can-not offset interannual signals in UV-B records. The observations at San Diego provide an independent confirmation of the widespread nature of the QBO in UV-B, which about coincides in amplitude at the two station studies, both located in the latitude zone 30°– 40° N. The peak-to-peak amplitude of the QBO in erythemal dose derived from TOMS/Nimbus-7 data is 6.5% at Thessaloniki. This is similar to the values calculated from ground-based measurements from this station. Based on satellite data, we find that the amplitude of the QBO in the erythemal dose is almost 40% of the amplitude of the annual cycle only in the tropics. The ratio of the amplitudes of the QBO over the annual cycle in erythemal dose decreases towards the extratropics, becoming less than 5% over middle latitudes.Key words. Atmospheric composition and structure (geo-chemical cycles; transmission and scattering of radiation)

scholarly journals A new Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) experiment designed for climate and chemistry models

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 5447-5464 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Tilmes ◽  
M. J. Mills ◽  
U. Niemeier ◽  
H. Schmidt ◽  
A. Robock ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Model Comparison ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Input Dataset ◽  
Intercomparison Project ◽  
Total Burden ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. A new Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) experiment "G4 specified stratospheric aerosols" (short name: G4SSA) is proposed to investigate the impact of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on atmospheric composition, climate, and the environment. In contrast to the earlier G4 GeoMIP experiment, which requires an emission of sulphur dioxide (SO2) into the model, a prescribed aerosol forcing file is provided to the community, to be consistently applied to future model experiments between 2020 and 2100. This stratospheric aerosol distribution, with a total burden of about 2 Tg S has been derived using the ECHAM5-HAM microphysical model, based on a continuous annual tropical emission of 8 Tg SO2 year−1. A ramp-up of geoengineering in 2020 and a ramp-down in 2070 over a period of two years are included in the distribution, while a background aerosol burden should be used for the last 3 decades of the experiment. The performance of this experiment using climate and chemistry models in a multi-model comparison framework will allow us to better understand the significance of the impact of geoengineering and the abrupt termination after 50 years on climate and composition of the atmosphere in a changing environment. The zonal and monthly mean stratospheric aerosol input dataset is available at https://www2.acd.ucar.edu/gcm/geomip-g4-specified-stratospheric-aerosol-data-set.

scholarly journals WHATEVER YOU WANT: INCONSISTENT RESULTS IS THE RULE, NOT THE EXCEPTION, IN THE STUDY OF PRIMATE BRAIN EVOLUTION

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Wartel ◽  
Patrik Lindenfors ◽  
Johan Lind
Keyword(s):  
Body Size ◽  
Brain Evolution ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Scientific Rigor ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Primate Brain ◽  
Residual Variation ◽  
The Many ◽  
Brain Data

AbstractPrimate brains differ in size and architecture. Hypotheses to explain this variation are numerous and many tests have been carried out. However, after body size has been accounted for there is little left to explain. The proposed explanatory variables for the residual variation are many and covary, both with each other and with body size. Further, the data sets used in analyses have been small, especially in light of the many proposed predictors. Here we report the complete list of models that results from exhaustively combining six commonly used predictors of brain and neocortex size. This provides an overview of how the output from standard statistical analyses changes when the inclusion of different predictors is altered. By using both the most commonly tested brain data set and a new, larger data set, we show that the choice of included variables fundamentally changes the conclusions as to what drives primate brain evolution. Our analyses thus reveal why studies have had troubles replicating earlier results and instead have come to such different conclusions. Although our results are somewhat disheartening, they highlight the importance of scientific rigor when trying to answer difficult questions. It is our position that there is currently no empirical justification to highlight any particular hypotheses, of those adaptive hypotheses we have examined here, as the main determinant of primate brain evolution.

scholarly journals Improved retrieval of nitrogen dioxide (NO<sub>2</sub>) column densities by means of MKIV Brewer spectrophotometers

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 4009-4022 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Diémoz ◽  
A. M. Siani ◽  
A. Redondas ◽  
V. Savastiouk ◽  
C. T. McElroy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Nitrogen Dioxide ◽  
Ad Hoc ◽  
Absorption Spectrometry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Noise Interference ◽  
Atmospheric Species ◽  
Mass Factor

Abstract. A new algorithm to retrieve nitrogen dioxide (NO2) column densities using MKIV ("Mark IV") Brewer spectrophotometers is described. The method includes several improvements, such as a more recent spectroscopic data set, the reduction of measurement noise, interference by other atmospheric species and instrumental settings, and a better determination of the zenith sky air mass factor. The technique was tested during an ad hoc calibration campaign at the high-altitude site of Izaña (Tenerife, Spain) and the results of the direct sun and zenith sky geometries were compared to those obtained by two reference instruments from the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC): a Fourier Transform Infrared Radiometer (FTIR) and an advanced visible spectrograph (RASAS-II) based on the differential optical absorption spectrometry (DOAS) technique. To determine the extraterrestrial constant, an easily implementable extension of the standard Langley technique for very clean sites without tropospheric NO2 was developed which takes into account the daytime linear drift of stratospheric nitrogen dioxide due to photochemistry. The measurement uncertainty was thoroughly determined by using a Monte Carlo technique. Poisson noise and wavelength misalignments were found to be the most influential contributors to the overall uncertainty, and possible solutions are proposed for future improvements. The new algorithm is backward-compatible, thus allowing for the reprocessing of historical data sets.

scholarly journals Collaborative Analysis on the Marked Ages of Rice Wines by Electronic Tongue and Nose based on Different Feature Data Sets

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 1065 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huihui Zhang ◽  
Wenqing Shao ◽  
Shanshan Qiu ◽  
Jun Wang ◽  
Zhenbo Wei
Keyword(s):  
Electronic Tongue ◽  
Alcoholic Beverages ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Good Prediction ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Weighted Fusion ◽  
Fusion Data ◽  
Direct Fusion

Aroma and taste are the most important attributes of alcoholic beverages. In the study, the self-developed electronic tongue (e-tongue) and electronic nose (e-nose) were used for evaluating the marked ages of rice wines. Six types of feature data sets (e-tongue data set, e-nose data set, direct-fusion data set, weighted-fusion data set, optimized direct-fusion data set, and optimized weighted-fusion data set) were used for identifying rice wines with different wine ages. Pearson coefficient analysis and variance inflation factor (VIF) analysis were used to optimize the fusion matrixes by removing the multicollinear information. Two types of discrimination methods (principal component analysis (PCA) and locality preserving projections (LPP)) were used for classifying rice wines, and LPP performed better than PCA in the discrimination work. The best result was obtained by LPP based on the weighted-fusion data set, and all the samples could be classified clearly in the LPP plot. Therefore, the weighted-fusion data were used as independent variables of partial least squares regression, extreme learning machine, and support vector machines (LIBSVM) for evaluating wine ages, respectively. All the methods performed well with good prediction results, and LIBSVM presented the best correlation coefficient (R2 ≥ 0.9998).

scholarly journals Statistical interpolation of ozone measurements from satellite data (TOMS, SBUV and SAGE II) using the kriging method

2000 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 666-678 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. J. S. Tranchant ◽  
A. P. Vincent
Keyword(s):  
Satellite Data ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Global Correlation ◽  
Composition And Structure ◽  
Data Resolution ◽  
High Vertical Resolution ◽  
Statistical Interpolation

Abstract. This study demonstrates that ordinary kriging in spherical coordinates using experimental semi-variograms provides highly usable results, especially near the pole in winter and/or where there could be data missing over large areas. In addition, kriging allows display of the spatial variability of daily ozone measurements at different pressure levels. Three satellite data sets were used: Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data, Solar Backscattered UltraViolet (SBUV), and the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) ozone profiles. Since SBUV is a nadir-viewing instrument, measurements are only taken along the sun-synchronous polar orbits of the satellite. SAGE II is a limb-viewing solar occultation instrument, and measurements have high vertical resolution but poor daily coverage. TOMS has wider coverage with equidistant distribution of data  (resolution 1° × 1.25°) but provides no vertical information. Comparisons of the resulting SBUV-interpolated (column-integrated) ozone field with TOMS data are strongly in agreement, with a global correlation of close to 98%. Comparisons of SBUV-interpolated ozone profiles with daily SAGE II profiles are relatively good, and comparable to those found in the literature. The interpolated ozone layers at different pressure levels are shown.Key words: Atmospheric composition and structure (middle atmosphere - composition and chemistry) - Meteorology and atmospheric dynamics (middle atmosphere dynamics)

scholarly journals The role of dynamics in total ozone deviations from their long-term mean over the Northern Hemisphere

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Petzoldt
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Total Ozone ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Significant Linear Trend ◽  
Circulation Parameters

Abstract. Total ozone anomalies (deviation from the long-term mean) are created by anomalous circulation patterns. The dynamically produced ozone anomalies can be estimated from known circulation parameters in the layer between the tropopause and the middle stratosphere by means of statistics. Satellite observations of ozone anomalies can be compared with those expected from dynamics. Residual negative anomalies may be due to chemical ozone destruction. The statistics are derived from a 14 year data set of TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer January 1979-Dec. 1992) and corresponding 300 hPa geopotential (for the tropopause height) together with 30 hPa temperature (for stratospheric waves) at 60°N. The correlation coefficient for the linear multiple regression between total ozone (dependent variable) and the dynamical parameters (independent variables) is 0.88 for the zonal deviations in the winter of the Northern Hemisphere. Zonal means are also significantly dependent on circulation parameters, besides showing the known negative trend function of total ozone observed by TOMS. The significant linear trend for 60°N is \\sim3 DU/year in the winter months taking into account the dependence on the dynamics between the tropopause region and the mid-stratosphere. The highest correlation coefficient for the monthly mean total ozone anomalies is reached in November with 0.94.Key words. Atmospheric composition and structure (middle atmosphere · composition and chemistry) · Meteorology and atmospheric dynamics (middle atmosphere dynamics).

scholarly journals Comparison of three vertically resolved ozone data sets: climatology, trends and radiative forcings

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 5533-5550 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Hassler ◽  
P. J. Young ◽  
R. W. Portmann ◽  
G. E. Bodeker ◽  
J. S. Daniel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ozone Depletion ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Piecewise Linear ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Heating Rates ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Ozone Concentrations

Abstract. Climate models that do not simulate changes in stratospheric ozone concentrations require the prescription of ozone fields to accurately calculate UV fluxes and stratospheric heating rates. In this study, three different global ozone time series that are available for this purpose are compared: the data set of Randel and Wu (2007) (RW07), Cionni et al. (2011) (SPARC), and Bodeker et al. (2013) (BDBP). All three data sets represent multiple-linear regression fits to vertically resolved ozone observations, resulting in a spatially and temporally continuous stratospheric ozone field covering at least the period from 1979 to 2005. The main differences among the data sets result from regression models, which use different observations and include different basis functions. The data sets are compared against ozonesonde and satellite observations to assess how the data sets represent concentrations, trends and interannual variability. In the Southern Hemisphere polar region, RW07 and SPARC underestimate the ozone depletion in spring ozonesonde measurements. A piecewise linear trend regression is performed to estimate the 1979–1996 ozone decrease globally, covering a period of extreme depletion in most regions. BDBP overestimates Arctic and tropical ozone depletion over this period relative to the available measurements, whereas the depletion is underestimated in RW07 and SPARC. While the three data sets yield ozone concentrations that are within a range of different observations, there is a large spread in their respective ozone trends. One consequence of this is differences of almost a factor of four in the calculated stratospheric ozone radiative forcing between the data sets (RW07: −0.038 Wm−2, SPARC: −0.033 Wm−2, BDBP: −0.119 Wm−2), important in assessing the contribution of stratospheric ozone depletion to the total anthropogenic radiative forcing.

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