scholarly journals A new module for the tracking of radar-derived precipitation with model-derived winds

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 77-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Winterrath ◽  
W. Rosenow

Abstract. A new approach for the nowcasting of precipitation has been developed at the German Weather Service combining extrapolation techniques and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) for a lead time range of several hours. Radar-derived precipitation fields serve as input data for a tracking algorithm using model-derived wind data. The composite precipitation field is derived from the precipitation scans which are performed every five minutes at the 16 German radar stations. The data are corrected from clutter and shading effects. The tracking of this radar-derived precipitation field is performed using the temporally and spatially resolved horizontal wind fields at different pressure levels provided by the Local Model Europe (LME). The optimal wind field is derived from minimization of the least-squares difference between a linear combination of model wind data from different pressure levels and the linear displacement vectors calculated via pattern recognition from previous radar measurements. An area-preserving displacement of the precipitation fields is realized by eliminating the wind field divergence and by omitting the dynamical evolution of the precipitation fields. Advection is performed using the fourth-order Bott scheme. Forecasted data comprise precipitation rates for every five minutes lead time as well as hourly sums of precipitation. The verification of a case study's results against radar precipitation measurements lead to a mean Equitable Threat Score (ETS) of 70%, 46%, and 38% for the first, second, and third forecast hour, respectively.

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (13) ◽  
pp. 2549
Author(s):  
Shaohui Li ◽  
Xuejin Sun ◽  
Riwei Zhang ◽  
Chuanliang Zhang

Understanding the details of micro-scale wind fields is important in the development of wind energy. Research has proven that coupling Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models is a better approach for micro-scale wind field simulation. The main purpose of this work is to improve the NWP/CFD model performance in two parts: (i) developing a new coupling method that is more suitable for complex terrain between the NWP and CFD models, and (ii) applying a data assimilation system in the CFD model. Regarding part (i), in order to solve the problem of great topographical difference at the domain boundaries between the two models, Cressman interpolation is utilized to impose the NWP model wind on the CFD model boundaries. In part (ii), an assimilation method, nudging, to apply assimilation of observations into the CFD model is explored. Based on the Cressman interpolation coupling method, a preliminary implementation of data assimilation is performed. The results show that the NWP/CFD model with the improved coupling method may capture the details of micro-scale wind fields more accurately. Using data assimilation, the NWP/CFD model performance may be further improved by cooperating observation data.


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1223-1257
Author(s):  
A. K. Miltenberger ◽  
S. Pfahl ◽  
H. Wernli

Abstract. A module to calculate online trajectories has been implemented into the non-hydrostatic limited-area weather prediction and climate model COSMO. Whereas offline trajectories are calculated with wind fields from model output, which is typically available every one to six hours, online trajectories use the simulated wind field at every model time step (typically less than a minute) to solve the trajectory equation. As a consequence, online trajectories much better capture the short-term temporal fluctuations of the wind field, which is particularly important for mesoscale flows near topography and convective clouds, and they do not suffer from temporal interpolation errors between model output times. The numerical implementation of online trajectories in the COSMO model is based upon an established offline trajectory tool and takes full account of the horizontal domain decomposition that is used for parallelization of the COSMO model. Although a perfect workload balance cannot be achieved for the trajectory module (due to the fact that trajectory positions are not necessarily equally distributed over the model domain), the additional computational costs are fairly small for high-resolution simulations. Various options have been implemented to initialize online trajectories at different locations and times during the model simulation. As a first application of the new COSMO module an Alpine North Föhn event in summer 1987 has been simulated with horizontal resolutions of 2.2 km, 7 km, and 14 km. It is shown that low-tropospheric trajectories calculated offline with one- to six-hourly wind fields can significantly deviate from trajectories calculated online. Deviations increase with decreasing model grid spacing and are particularly large in regions of deep convection and strong orographic flow distortion. On average, for this particular case study, horizontal and vertical positions between online and offline trajectories differed by 50–190 km and 150–750 m, respectively, after 24 h. This first application illustrates the potential for Lagrangian studies of mesoscale flows in high-resolution convection-resolving simulations using online trajectories.


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 3349-3358 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Lolli ◽  
A. Delaval ◽  
C. Loth ◽  
A. Garnier ◽  
P. H. Flamant

Abstract. The atmospheric wind field information is a key issue to numerical weather prediction (NWP) and climate studies. The Atmospheric Dynamic Mission-Aeolus is currently developed by the European Space Agency (ESA) to launch a wind sensing Doppler lidar in mid-2015. The high spectral resolution lidar concept is using backscattered laser signals from molecules and particles to provide accurate horizontal wind velocity measurements in the depth of atmosphere. The Aeolus lidar, so-called ALADIN, will operate in UV at 0.355 μm. The combination of air molecules and UV laser light is intended to provide wind data evenly distributed everywhere in the lower atmosphere (below 30 km altitude). The goal of the ESA's Aeolus mission is to enhance the present meteorological observations system over sparse wind data regions, and more importantly to provide direct wind information in the tropics where no geostrophic wind can be derived from mass fields obtained from passive radiometer satellite. The 0.355 μm lidar concept was under testing during a field campaign conducted at the Haute-Provence Observatory, France, in 1999. Several active remote sensors were deployed on the site, and it was the opportunity to address the self-consistency of wind measurements made by different lidars, a 72 MHz radar, and conventional balloon radio soundings. The paper presents the comparison of different remote sensors using two criteria: Pearson cross-correlation coefficient and root mean square error. The methodology discussed here may be useful in future ESA Aeolus validation campaigns involving different kinds of instruments.


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1989-2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. K. Miltenberger ◽  
S. Pfahl ◽  
H. Wernli

Abstract. A module to calculate online trajectories has been implemented into the nonhydrostatic limited-area weather prediction and climate model COSMO. Whereas offline trajectories are calculated with wind fields from model output, which is typically available every one to six hours, online trajectories use the simulated resolved wind field at every model time step (typically less than a minute) to solve the trajectory equation. As a consequence, online trajectories much better capture the short-term temporal fluctuations of the wind field, which is particularly important for mesoscale flows near topography and convective clouds, and they do not suffer from temporal interpolation errors between model output times. The numerical implementation of online trajectories in the COSMO-model is based upon an established offline trajectory tool and takes full account of the horizontal domain decomposition that is used for parallelization of the COSMO-model. Although a perfect workload balance cannot be achieved for the trajectory module (due to the fact that trajectory positions are not necessarily equally distributed over the model domain), the additional computational costs are found to be fairly small for the high-resolution simulations described in this paper. The computational costs may, however, vary strongly depending on the number of trajectories and trace variables. Various options have been implemented to initialize online trajectories at different locations and times during the model simulation. As a first application of the new COSMO-model module, an Alpine north foehn event in summer 1987 has been simulated with horizontal resolutions of 2.2, 7 and 14 km. It is shown that low-tropospheric trajectories calculated offline with one- to six-hourly wind fields can significantly deviate from trajectories calculated online. Deviations increase with decreasing model grid spacing and are particularly large in regions of deep convection and strong orographic flow distortion. On average, for this particular case study, horizontal and vertical positions between online and offline trajectories differed by 50–190 km and 150–750 m, respectively, after 24 h. This first application illustrates the potential for Lagrangian studies of mesoscale flows in high-resolution convection-resolving simulations using online trajectories.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 6543-6558
Author(s):  
Ryota Kikuchi ◽  
Takashi Misaka ◽  
Shigeru Obayashi ◽  
Hamaki Inokuchi

Abstract. As part of control techniques, gust-alleviation systems using airborne Doppler lidar technology are expected to enhance aviation safety by significantly reducing the risk of turbulence-related accidents. Accurate measurement and estimation of the vertical wind velocity are very important in the successful implementation of such systems. An estimation algorithm for the airflow vector based on data from airborne lidars is proposed and investigated for preview control to prevent turbulence-induced aircraft accidents in flight. An existing technique – simple vector conversion – assumes that the wind field between the lidars is homogeneous, but this assumption fails when turbulence occurs due to a large wind-velocity fluctuation. The proposed algorithm stores the line-of-sight (LOS) wind data at every moment and uses recent and past LOS wind data to estimate the airflow vector and to extrapolate the wind field between the airborne twin lidars without the assumption of homogeneity. Two numerical experiments – using the ideal vortex model and numerical weather prediction, respectively – were conducted to evaluate the estimation performance of the proposed method. The proposed method has much better performance than simple vector conversion in both experiments, and it can estimate accurate two-dimensional wind-field distributions, unlike simple vector conversion. The estimation performance and the computational cost of the proposed method can satisfy the performance demand for preview control.


2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Hou ◽  
Ping Wang ◽  
Shuo Zhuang

AbstractA vortex in a wind field is an important aspect of a weather system; vortices often result in hazardous weather, such as rainstorms, windstorms, and typhoons. As the availability of numerical meteorological data increases, traditional manual analysis no longer provides an efficient means of timely analysis of observed and predicted atmospheric vortices. Therefore, a method was proposed to automatically characterize flow patterns of vortices and to detect the centers of vortices in complex wind fields generated from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. First, a statistical feature was developed to preliminarily filter regional wind data to obtain (anti)cyclonic vortices. Second, flow patterns of ideal axisymmetric wind fields were extracted by analyzing circular data related to wind directions. Third, for actual vortices in a complex wind field, a series of rules and deformation degree indices were constructed to retrieve the provisional centers of vortices. Fourth, the Ward hierarchical clustering algorithm was used to cluster these provisional centers, which were filled up by a dilation operation to cover the core region of the vortex. Finally, the vortices were classified as either cyclones or anticyclones based on their analyzed vorticity, and their global centers were precisely located. Experimental results show that the proposed preprocessing method was more effective than the traditional filtering method and that the features of the flow pattern were stable regardless of the variety in the resolution and scale. It was also proven that the proposed method can be further extended and applied to detecting typhoon centers, for which it was more effective than other currently used methods.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Lainer ◽  
Klemens Hocke ◽  
Rolf Rüfenacht ◽  
Franziska Schranz ◽  
Niklaus Kämpfer

Abstract. Observations of oscillations in the abundance of middle atmospheric trace gases can provide insight into the dynamics of the middle atmosphere. Long term, high temporal resolution and continuous measurements of dynamical tracers within the strato- and mesosphere are rare, but would be important to better understand the impact of planetary and gravity waves on the middle atmosphere. Here we report on water vapor measurements from the ground-based microwave radiometer MIAWARA located close to Bern during two winter periods of 6 months from October to March. Oscillations with periods between 6 and 30 hours are analyzed in the pressure range 0.01–10 hPa. Seven out of twelve months have the highest wave amplitudes between 15 and 21 hour periods in the mesosphere above 0.1 hPa. The quasi 18-hour wave is studied in more detail. We examine the temporal behavior and use SD-WACCM simulations for comparison and to derive characteristic wave features considering low-frequency gravity-waves being involved in the observed water vapor oscillations. The 18-hour wave is also found in SD-WACCM horizontal wind data and in measured zonal wind from the microwave Doppler wind radiometer WIRA. For two cases in January 2016 we derive the propagation direction, intrinsic period, horizontal and vertical wavelength of the model resolved 18-hour wave. A south-westward to westward propagation with horizontal wavelengths of 1884 and 1385 km and intrinsic periods close to 14 h are found. Vertical wavelengths are below 6 km. We were not able to single out a distinct temporal correlation between 18-hour band-pass filtered water vapor and wind data time series, although H2O should mostly be dynamically controlled in the mesosphere and sub-diurnal time range. More sophisticated numerical model studies are needed to uncover the manifold effects of gravity waves on the abundance of chemical species.


The travel and dispersion of pollutants in the free atmosphere m ay be investigated by the direct measurement of the distributions of tracer materials such as water vapour, ozone and radioactive substances. Another method is to study the spread of pollutants from a constant point source or the expansion of large clusters, by using air trajectories found by tracking balloons or estimated from sequences of wind values obtained from synoptic charts. So far these latter techniques have usually only taken horizontal motions into account since the balloons are normally maintained at constant levels and the winds taken from the charts have been assumed to be geostrophic. In principle the effect of large (synoptic) scale vertical motions can be included by using the component wind fields given at the different time steps of a numerical forecast integration to construct suitable three-dimensional trajectories. A pilot study of this type at the 900, 700, 500 and 300 m bar pressure levels (90, 70, 50 and 30kN m ~2) using the results of a 24 h numerical forecast by the Meteorological Office’s 10 level model is described. In the case studied the use of constant level trajectories gave horizontal dispersions (variances of the trajectory end points relative to their centre of gravity) which differed by only small amounts from those due to the three dimensional trajectories. The zonal variances exceeded the meridional variances by a small factor and both were 4 to 6 orders greater than those of the corresponding variances in the vertical. In each case for at least 12 to 18 h they were all roughly proportional to the square of the time after release (the ‘short time’ case). The large scale clusters rapidly distorted at rates which increased with their initial size and also with the deformation components of the wind field. At these scales deformation plays a major role in the apparent dispersion and the mean values of total deformation so obtained agreed satisfactorily with those calculated from a kinematic analysis of the horizontal wind field.


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 4551-4575
Author(s):  
S. Lolli ◽  
A. Delaval ◽  
C. Loth ◽  
A. Garnier ◽  
P. H. Flamant

Abstract. The atmospheric wind field information is a key issue to Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and climate studies. A space based Wind Doppler lidar mission so-called ADM-Aeolus is currently developed by the European Space Agency for a launch in 2015. Such a Doppler lidar will provide accurate direct measurements of horizontal wind velocity in the depth of atmosphere. The wind data will be evenly distributed at a global scale. The goal is to enhance the present meteorological observation system over sparse wind data regions, and more important to provide direct wind information in the tropics where no geostrophic wind can be derived from passive radiometer satellite. ADM-Aeolus is basically a 0.355 μm high spectral resolution backscatter lidar. This concept was under test during a field campaign conducted at the Haute Provence Observatory in France 1999. It was the opportunity to address the self-consistency of wind measurements made by different active remote sensors i.e. lidars and a 72-MHz radar, and balloon radio soundings.


Aerospace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 145
Author(s):  
Jianwei Chen ◽  
Liangming Wang ◽  
Jian Fu ◽  
Zhiwei Yang

A complex wind field refers to the typical atmospheric disturbance phenomena existing in nature that have a great influence on the flight of aircrafts. Aimed at the issues involving large volume of data, complex computations and a single model in the current wind field simulation approaches for flight environments, based on the essential principles of fluid mechanics, in this paper, wind field models for two kinds of wind shear such as micro-downburst and low-level jet plus three-dimensional atmospheric turbulence are established. The validity of the models is verified by comparing the simulation results from existing wind field models and the measured data. Based on the principle of vector superposition, three wind field models are combined in the ground coordinate system, and a comprehensive model of complex wind fields is established with spatial location as the input and wind velocity as the output. The model is applied to the simulated flight of a rocket projectile, and the change in the rocket projectile’s flight attitude and flight trajectory under different wind fields is analyzed. The results indicate that the comprehensive model established herein can reasonably and efficiently reflect the influence of various complex wind field environments on the flight process of aircrafts, and that the model is simple, extensible, and convenient to use.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document