scholarly journals Simulating the vegetation response to abrupt climate changes under glacial conditions with the ORCHIDEE/IPSL models

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 12895-12950
Author(s):  
M.-N. Woillez ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
N. Combourieu-Nebout ◽  
G. Krinner
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Western Europe ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
The North ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes ◽  
Global Vegetation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Pollen Records

Abstract. The last glacial period has been punctuated by two types of abrupt climatic events, the Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) and Heinrich (HE) events. These events, recorded in Greenland ice and in marine sediments, involved changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and led to major changes in the terrestrial biosphere. Here we use the dynamical global vegetation model ORCHIDEE to simulate the response of vegetation to abrupt changes in the AMOC strength. To do so, we force ORCHIDEE off-line with outputs from the IPSL_CM4 general circulation model, in which we have forced the AMOC to change by adding freshwater fluxes in the North Atlantic. We investigate the impact of a collapse and recovery of the AMOC, at different rates, and focus on Western Europe, where many pollen records are available to compare with. The impact of an AMOC collapse on the European mean temperatures and precipitations simulated by the GCM is relatively small but sufficient to drive an important regression of forests and expansion of grasses in ORCHIDEE, in qualitative agreement with pollen data for an HE event. On the contrary, a run with a rapid shift of the AMOC to an hyperactive state of 30 Sv, mimicking the warming phase of a DO event, does not exhibit a strong impact on the European vegetation compared to the glacial control state. For our model, simulating the impact of an HE event thus appears easier than simulating the abrupt transition towards the interstadial phase of a DO. For both a collapse or a recovery of the AMOC the vegetation starts to respond to climatic changes immediately but reaches equilibrium about 200 yr after the climate equilibrates, suggesting a possible bias in the climatic reconstructions based on pollen records, which assume equilibrium between climate and vegetation. However, our study does not take into account vegetation feedbacks on the atmosphere.

scholarly journals Simulating the vegetation response in western Europe to abrupt climate changes under glacial background conditions

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1561-1582 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-N. Woillez ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
N. Combourieu-Nebout ◽  
G. Krinner
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Western Europe ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
The North ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes ◽  
Global Vegetation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Pollen Records

Abstract. The last glacial period has been punctuated by two types of abrupt climatic events, the Dansgaard–Oeschger (DO) and Heinrich (HE) events. These events, recorded in Greenland ice and in marine sediments, involved changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and led to major changes in the terrestrial biosphere. Here we use the dynamical global vegetation model ORCHIDEE to simulate the response of vegetation to abrupt changes in the AMOC strength. We force ORCHIDEE offline with outputs from the IPSL_CM4 general circulation model, in which the AMOC is forced to change by adding freshwater fluxes in the North Atlantic. We investigate the impact of a collapse and recovery of the AMOC, at different rates, and focus on Western Europe, where many pollen records are available for comparison. The impact of an AMOC collapse on the European mean temperatures and precipitations simulated by the GCM is relatively small but sufficient to drive an important regression of forests and expansion of grasses in ORCHIDEE, in qualitative agreement with pollen data for an HE event. On the contrary, a run with a rapid shift of the AMOC to a hyperactive state of 30 Sv, mimicking the warming phase of a DO event, does not exhibit a strong impact on the European vegetation compared to the glacial control state. For our model, simulating the impact of an HE event thus appears easier than simulating the abrupt transition towards the interstadial phase of a DO. For both a collapse or a recovery of the AMOC, the vegetation starts to respond to climatic changes immediately but reaches equilibrium about 200 yr after the climate equilibrates, suggesting a possible bias in the climatic reconstructions based on pollen records, which assume equilibrium between climate and vegetation. However, our study does not take into account vegetation feedbacks on the atmosphere.

scholarly journals Impact of precipitation intermittency on NAO-temperature signals in proxy records

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-886 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Casado ◽  
P. Ortega ◽  
V. Masson-Delmotte ◽  
C. Risi ◽  
D. Swingedouw ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Stable Isotope Ratio ◽  
Global Network ◽  
Temporal Correlations ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. In mid and high latitudes, the stable isotope ratio in precipitation is driven by changes in temperature, which control atmospheric distillation. This relationship forms the basis for many continental paleoclimatic reconstructions using direct (e.g. ice cores) or indirect (e.g. tree ring cellulose, speleothem calcite) archives of past precipitation. However, the archiving process is inherently biased by intermittency of precipitation. Here, we use two sets of atmospheric reanalyses (NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) and ERA-interim) to quantify this precipitation intermittency bias, by comparing seasonal (winter and summer) temperatures estimated with and without precipitation weighting. We show that this bias reaches up to 10 °C and has large interannual variability. We then assess the impact of precipitation intermittency on the strength and stability of temporal correlations between seasonal temperatures and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Precipitation weighting reduces the correlation between winter NAO and temperature in some areas (e.g. Québec, South-East USA, East Greenland, East Siberia, Mediterranean sector) but does not alter the main patterns of correlation. The correlations between NAO, δ18O in precipitation, temperature and precipitation weighted temperature are investigated using outputs of an atmospheric general circulation model enabled with stable isotopes and nudged using reanalyses (LMDZiso (Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique Zoom)). In winter, LMDZiso shows similar correlation values between the NAO and both the precipitation weighted temperature and δ18O in precipitation, thus suggesting limited impacts of moisture origin. Correlations of comparable magnitude are obtained for the available observational evidence (GNIP (Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation) and Greenland ice core data). Our findings support the use of archives of past δ18O for NAO reconstructions.

Impact of Accurate Geoid Fields on Estimates of the Ocean Circulation

2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1464-1478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Detlef Stammer ◽  
Armin Köhl ◽  
Carl Wunsch
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Formal Proof ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Dynamic Topography ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
Geoid Model ◽  
Meridional Heat Transport ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The impact of new geoid height models on estimates of the ocean circulation, now available from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) spacecraft, is assessed, and the implications of far more accurate geoids, anticipated from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer (GOCE) mission, are explored. The study is based on several circulation estimates obtained over the period 1992–2002 by combining most of the available ocean datasets with a global general circulation model on a 1° horizontal grid and by exchanging only the EGM96 geoid model with two different geoid models available from GRACE. As compared to the EGM96-based solution, the GRACE geoid leads to an estimate of the ocean circulation that is more consistent with the Levitus temperature and salinity climatology. While not a formal proof, this finding supports the inference of a substantially improved GRACE geoid skill. However, oceanographic implications of the GRACE model are only modest compared to what can be obtained from ocean observations alone. To understand the extent to which this is merely a consequence of a not-optimally converged solution or if a much more accurate geoid field could in principle play a profound role in the ocean estimation procedure, an additional experiment was performed in which the geoid error was artificially reduced relative to all other datasets. Adjustments occur then in all elements of the ocean circulation, including 10% changes in the meridional overturning circulation and the corresponding meridional heat transport in the Atlantic. For an optimal use of new geoid fields, improved error information is required. The error budget of existing time-mean dynamic topography estimates may now be dominated by residual errors in time-mean altimetric corrections. Both these and the model errors need to be better understood before improved geoid estimates can be fully exploited. As is commonly found, the Southern Ocean is of particular concern.

scholarly journals A multi-decadal meridional displacement of the Subpolar Front in the Newfoundland Basin

Ocean Science ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Núñez-Riboni ◽  
M. Bersch ◽  
H. Haak ◽  
J. H. Jungclaus ◽  
K. Lohmann
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Sea Water ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Displacement ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Newfoundland Basin

Abstract. Observations since the 1950s show a multi-decadal cycle of a meridional displacement of the Subpolar Front (SPF) in the Newfoundland Basin (NFB) in the North Atlantic. The SPF displacement is associated with corresponding variations in the path of the North Atlantic Current. We use the ocean general circulation model MPIOM with enhanced horizontal and vertical resolutions and forced with NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data to study the relation of the SPF displacement to atmospheric forcing, intensities of the subpolar gyre (SPG) and Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), and Labrador Sea Water (LSW) volume. The simulations indicate that the SPF displacement is associated with a circulation anomaly between the SPG and the subtropical gyre (STG), an inter-gyre gyre with a multi-decadal time scale. A sensitivity experiment indicates that both wind stress curl (WSC) and heat fluxes (which match LSW changes) contribute to the circulation anomalies in the frontal region and to the SPF displacement. An anticyclonic inter-gyre gyre is related to negative WSC and LSW anomalies and to a SPF north of its climatological position, indicating an expanding STG. A cyclonic inter-gyre gyre is related to positive WSC and LSW anomalies and a SPF south of its climatological position, indicating an expanding SPG. Therefore, the mean latitudinal position of the SPF in the NFB (a "SPF index") could be an indicator of the amount of LSW in the inter-gyre region. Spreading of LSW anomalies intensifies the MOC, suggesting our SPF index as predictor of the MOC intensity at multi-decadal time scales. The meridional displacement of the SPF has a pronounced influence on the meridional heat transport, both on its gyre and overturning components.

AMOC and Climate Responses to Dust Reduction and Greening of Sahara during the Mid-Holocene

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-59
Author(s):  
Ming Zhang ◽  
Yonggang Liu ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Qin Wen
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
North Africa ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Dust Reduction

AbstractThe North Africa was green during the mid-Holocene (6 ka) and emitting much less dust to the atmosphere than in present day. Here we use a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model, CESM1.2.2, to test the impact of dust reduction and greening of Sahara on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) during this period. Results show that dust removal leads to a decrease of AMOC by 6.2 % while greening of Sahara with 100 % shrub (100 % grass) causes an enhancement of the AMOC by 6.1 % (4.8 %). The AMOC is increased by 5.3 % (2.3 %) when both the dust reduction and green Sahara with 100 % shrub (100 % grass) are considered. The AMOC changes are primarily due to the precipitation change over the west subtropical North Atlantic, from where the salinity anomaly is advected to the deepwater formation region. Global mean surface temperature increases by 0.09 °C and 0.40 °C (0.25 °C) when global dust is removed and when North Africa and Arabian region are covered by shrub (grass), respectively, showing a dominating effect of vegetation over dust. The comparison between modeled and reconstructed sea-surface temperature is improved when the effect of vegetation is considered. The results may have implication for climate impact of future wetting over North Africa, either through global warming or through building of solar farms and wind farms.

scholarly journals The Importance of Ocean Dynamical Feedback for Understanding the Impact of Mid–High-Latitude Warming on Tropical Precipitation Change

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2417-2434 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masakazu Yoshimori ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Hiroaki Tatebe ◽  
Toru Nozawa ◽  
Akira Oka
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Precipitation Change ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Tropical Precipitation ◽  
The Impact

It has been shown that asymmetric warming between the Northern and Southern Hemisphere extratropics induces a meridional displacement of tropical precipitation. This shift is believed to be due to the extra energy transported from the differentially heated hemisphere through changes in the Hadley circulation. Generally, the column-integrated energy flux in the mean meridional overturning circulation follows the direction of the upper, relatively dry branch, and tropical precipitation tends to be intensified in the hemisphere with greater warming. This framework was originally applied to simulations that did not include ocean dynamical feedback, but was recently extended to take the ocean heat transport change into account. In the current study, an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model applied with a regional nudging technique is used to investigate the impact of extratropical warming on tropical precipitation change under realistic future climate projections. It is shown that warming at latitudes poleward of 40° causes the northward displacement of tropical precipitation from October to January. Warming at latitudes poleward of 60° alone has a much smaller effect. This change in the tropical precipitation is largely explained by the atmospheric moisture transport caused by changes in the atmospheric circulation. The larger change in ocean heat transport near the equator, relative to the atmosphere, is consistent with the extended energy framework. The current study provides a complementary dynamical framework that highlights the importance of midlatitude atmospheric eddies and equatorial ocean upwelling, where the atmospheric eddy feedback modifies the Hadley circulation resulting in the northward migration of precipitation and the ocean dynamical feedback damps the northward migration from the equator.

scholarly journals Short-term impacts of enhanced Greenland freshwater fluxes in an eddy-permitting ocean model

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 2911-2937 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Marsh ◽  
D. Desbruyères ◽  
J. L. Bamber ◽  
B. A. de Cuevas ◽  
A. C. Coward ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Cyclonic Circulation ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Sensitivity Experiment ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. In a sensitivity experiment, an eddy-permitting ocean general circulation model is forced with freshwater fluxes from the Greenland Ice Sheet, averaged for the period 1991–2000. The fluxes are obtained with a mass balance model for the ice sheet, forced with the ERA-40 reanalysis dataset. The freshwater flux is distributed around Greenland as an additional term in prescribed runoff, representing seasonal melting of the ice sheet and a fixed year-round iceberg calving flux, for 8.5 model years. The impacts on regional hydrography and circulation are investigated by comparing the sensitivity experiment to a control experiment, without Greenland fluxes. By the end of the sensitivity experiment, the majority of additional fresh water has accumulated in Baffin Bay, and only a small fraction has reached the interior of the Labrador Sea, where winter mixed layer depth is sensitive to small changes in salinity. As a consequence, the impact on large-scale circulation is very slight. An indirect impact of strong freshening off the west coast of Greenland is a small anti-cyclonic circulation around Greenland which opposes the wind-driven cyclonic circulation and reduces net southward flow through the Canadian Archipelago by ~10%. Implications for the post-2000 acceleration of Greenland mass loss are discussed.

Persistent Anomaly Changes in High-Resolution Climate Simulations

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-46
Author(s):  
Gary M. Lackmann ◽  
Rebecca L. Miller ◽  
Walter A. Robinson ◽  
Allison C. Michaelis
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Circulation Index ◽  
Weather Extremes ◽  
The North ◽  
Climate Simulations ◽  
Persistent Anomalies ◽  
The Impact

AbstractPersistent anomalies (PAs) are associated with a variety of impactful weather extremes, prompting research into how their characteristics will respond to climate change. Previous studies, however, have not provided conclusive results, owing to the complexity of the phenomenon and to difficulties in general circulation model (GCM) representations of PAs. Here, we diagnose PA activity in ten years of current and projected future output from global, high-resolution (15-km mesh) time-slice simulations performed with the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Atmosphere (MPAS-A). These time slices span a range of ENSO states. They include high-resolution representations of sea-surface temperatures and GCM-based sea ice for present and future climates. Future projections, based on the RCP8.5 scenario, exhibit strong Arctic amplification and tropical upper warming, providing a valuable experiment with which to assess the impact of climate change on PA frequency. The MPAS-A present-climate simulations reproduce the main centers of observed PA activity, but with an eastward shift in the North Pacific and reduced amplitude in the North Atlantic. The overall frequency of positive PAs in the future simulations is similar to that in the present-day simulations, while negative PAs become less frequent. Although some regional changes emerge, the small, generally negative changes in PA frequency and meridional circulation index indicate that climate change does not lead to increased persistence of midlatitude flow anomalies or increased waviness in these simulations.

scholarly journals On the impact of recent developments of the LMDz atmospheric general circulation model on the simulation of CO<sub>2</sub> transport

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 4489-4513 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marine Remaud ◽  
Frédéric Chevallier ◽  
Anne Cozic ◽  
Xin Lin ◽  
Philippe Bousquet
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Vertical Resolution ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Inverse Systems ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Physical Parameterizations

Abstract. The quality of the representation of greenhouse gas (GHG) transport in atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) drives the potential of inverse systems to retrieve GHG surface fluxes to a large extent. In this work, the transport of CO2 is evaluated in the latest version of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMDz) GCM, developed for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) relative to the LMDz version developed for CMIP5. Several key changes have been implemented between the two versions, which include a more elaborate radiative scheme, new subgrid-scale parameterizations of convective and boundary layer processes and a refined vertical resolution. We performed a set of simulations of LMDz with different physical parameterizations, two different horizontal resolutions and different land surface schemes, in order to test the impact of those different configurations on the overall transport simulation. By modulating the intensity of vertical mixing, the physical parameterizations control the interhemispheric gradient and the amplitude of the seasonal cycle in the Northern Hemisphere, as emphasized by the comparison with observations at surface sites. However, the effect of the new parameterizations depends on the region considered, with a strong impact over South America (Brazil, Amazonian forest) but a smaller impact over Europe, East Asia and North America. A finer horizontal resolution reduces the representation errors at observation sites near emission hotspots or along the coastlines. In comparison, the sensitivities to the land surface model and to the increased vertical resolution are marginal.

scholarly journals On the impact of recent developments of an atmospheric general circulation model on the simulation of CO<sub>2</sub> transport

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marine Remaud ◽  
Frédéric Chevallier ◽  
Anne Cozic ◽  
Xin Lin ◽  
Philippe Bousquet
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Vertical Resolution ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Inverse Systems ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Physical Parameterizations

Abstract. The quality of the representation of greenhouse gas (GHG) transport in atmospheric General Circulation Models (GCMs) drives the potential of inverse systems to retrieve GHG surface fluxes to a large extent. In this work, the transport of CO2 is evaluated in the latest version of the LMDz GCM, developed for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) relative to the LMDz version developed for CMIP4. Several key changes have been implemented between the two versions; those include a more elaborate radiative scheme, new sub-grid scale parameterizations of convective and boundary layer processes, and a refined vertical resolution. We performed a set of simulations of LMDz with the different physical parameterizations, two different horizontal resolutions and different land surface schemes, in order to test the impact of those different configurations on the overall transport simulation. By modulating the intensity of vertical mixing, the physical parameterizations control the interhemispheric gradient and the amplitude of the seasonal cycle in the summer northern hemisphere, as emphasized by the comparison with observations at surface sites. However, the effect of the new parameterizations depends on the region considered, with a strong impact over South America (Brazil, Amazonian forest) but a smaller impact over Europe, Eastern Asia and North America. A finer horizontal resolution reduces the representation errors at observation sites near emission-hot spots or along the coastlines. In comparison, the sensitivities to the land surface model and to the increased vertical resolution are marginal.

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