scholarly journals Dynamic boreal summer atmospheric circulation response as a negative feedback to Greenland melt during the MIS-11 interglacial

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian R. Crow ◽  
Matthias Prange ◽  
Michael Schulz

Abstract. The unique alignment of orbital precession and obliquity during the Marine Isotope Stage 11 (MIS-11) interglacial produced perhaps the longest period of planetary warmth above pre-industrial conditions in the past 800 kyr. Reconstructions point to a significantly reduced Greenland ice sheet volume during this period as a result, although the remaining extent and volume of the ice sheet are poorly constrained. A series of time-slice simulations across MIS-11 using a coupled climate model indicates that boreal summer was particularly warm around Greenland and high latitudes of the Atlantic sector for a period of at least 20 kyr. This state of reduced atmospheric baroclinicity, coupled with an enhanced and poleward-shifted intertropical convergence zone and North African monsoon, favored weakened high-latitude winds and the emergence of a single, unified midlatitude jet stream. Consequent reductions in lower-tropospheric eddy heat flux over the north Atlantic therefore emerge as a negative feedback to additional warming over Greenland, perhaps partially counteracting conditions otherwise very favorable for widespread melting of the ice sheet. The relationship between Greenland precipitation and the state of the North Atlantic jet is less apparent, but slight summer changes in precipitation appear to be more than offset by increases during the remainder of the year. Such a dynamic state is surprising, as it bears stronger resemblance to the unified-jet state postulated as typical for glacial states than to the modern-day interglacial state.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophie Stolzenberger ◽  
Roelof Rietbroek ◽  
Claudia Wekerle ◽  
Bernd Uebbing ◽  
Jürgen Kusche

<p>The impact of Greenland freshwater on oceanic variables in the North Atlantic has been controversially discussed in the past. Within the framework of the German research project GROCE (Greenland Ice Sheet Ocean Interaction), we present a comprehensive study using ocean modelling results including and excluding the Greenland freshwater flux. The aim of this study is whether signatures of Greenland ice sheet melting found in ocean model simulations are visible in the observations. Therefore, we estimate changes in temperature, salinity, steric heights and sea level anomalies since the 1990s. The observational database includes altimetric and gravimetric satellite data as well as Argo floats. We will discuss similarities/differences between model simulations and observations for smaller regions around Greenland in the North Atlantic. As these experiments are available for two different horizontal resolutions, we will furthermore be able to assess the effects of an increased model resolution.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Crow ◽  
Matthias Prange ◽  
Michael Schulz

<p>Historical estimates of the melt rate and extent of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) are poorly constrained, due both to incomplete understanding of relevant ice dynamics and the magnitude of forcing acting upon the ice sheet (e.g., Alley et al. 2010). Previous assessments of the Marine Isotope Stage 11 (MIS-11) interglacial period have determined it was likely one of the warmest and longest interglacial periods of the past 800 kyr, leading to melt of at least half the present-day volume of the Greenland ice sheet (Robinson et al. 2017). An enhanced Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is commonly cited as sustaining the anomalous warmth across the North Atlantic and Greenland (e.g., Rachmayani et al. 2017), but little is known about potential atmospheric contributions. Paleorecords from this period are sparse, and detailed climate modelling studies of this period have been heretofore very limited. The climatic conditions over Greenland and the North Atlantic region, and how they may have contributed to the melt of the GrIS during MIS-11, are therefore not well understood. By utilizing climate simulations with the Community Earth System Model (CESM), our study indicates that changes in atmospheric eddy behavior, including eddy fluxes of heat and precipitation, made significant contributions to the negative mass balance conditions over the GrIS during the MIS-11 interglacial. Thus, accounting for the effects of atmospheric feedbacks in a warmer-than-present climate is a necessary component for future analyses attempting to better constrain the extent and rate of melt of the GrIS.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 128 ◽  
pp. 61-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ki-Weon Seo ◽  
Duane E. Waliser ◽  
Choon-Ki Lee ◽  
Baijun Tian ◽  
Ted Scambos ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 921-935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Edwards-Opperman ◽  
Steven Cavallo ◽  
David Turner

AbstractStratiform liquid-bearing clouds (LBCs), defined herein as either pure liquid or mixed-phase clouds, have a large impact on the surface radiation budget across the Arctic. LBCs lasting at least 6 h are observed at Summit, Greenland, year-round with a maximum in occurrence during summer. Mean cloud-base height is below 1 km for 85% of LBC cases identified, 59% have mean liquid water path (LWP) values between 10 and 40 g m−2, and most produce sporadic light ice-phase precipitation. During their occurrence, the atmosphere above the ice sheet is anomalously warm and moist, with southerly winds observed over much of the ice sheet, including at Summit. LBCs that occur when the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is in the negative phase correspond to strong ridging centered over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS), allowing for southwesterly flow over the GIS toward Summit. During the positive phase of the NAO, the occurrence of LBCs corresponds to a cyclone located off the southeastern coast of the ice sheet, which leads to easterly-to-southeasterly flow toward Summit. Furthermore, air parcels at Summit frequently originate from below the elevation of Summit, indicating that orographic lift along the ice sheet is a factor in the occurrence of LBCs at Summit. LBCs are more frequently observed during the negative NAO, and both the LWP and precipitation rate are larger in LBCs occurring during this phase. Mean LWP in LBCs occurring during the negative NAO is 15 g m−2 larger than in LBCs occurring during the positive phase.


2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1453-1477 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Noël ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
W. J. van de Berg ◽  
M. R. van den Broeke ◽  
M. Erpicum

Abstract. During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favouring warmer than normal conditions over the GrIS. In addition, it has been suggested that significant anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) may partially explain recent anomalous GrIS surface melt. To assess the impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR. These simulations suggest that changes in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not significantly impact GrIS SMB, due to the katabatic winds blocking effect. These winds are strong enough to prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST variability, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds are weaker. However, anomalies in SIC and SST could have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, favouring more frequent warm air advection to the GrIS.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-52

Abstract Recent rapid melting of summer Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) and its impact on the Earth’s climate has attracted much attention. In this paper, we establish a connection between the melting of GrIS and the variability of summer sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over North Atlantic on interannual to interdecadal timescales through changes in sub-seasonal Greenland blocking (GB). It is found that the latitude and width of GB are important for the spatial patterns of the GrIS melting. The melting of GrIS on interdecadal timescales is most prominent for the positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation phase (AMO+) because the high latitude GB and its large width, long lifetime and slow decay are favored. However, the North Atlantic mid-high latitude warm-cold-warm (cold-warm-cold) tripole or NAT+ (NAT−) pattern on interannual timescales tends to strengthen (weaken) the role of AMO+ in the GrIS melting especially on the northern or northeastern periphery of Greenland by promoting (inhibiting) high-latitude GB and increasing (decreasing) its width. It is further revealed that AMO+ (NAT+) favors the persistence and width of GB mainly through producing weak summer zonal winds and small summer meridional potential vorticity gradient (PVy) in the North Atlantic mid-high latitudes 55°-70°N (55°-65°N) compared to the role of AMO− (NAT−). The event frequency and zonal width of GB events and their poleward shift are favored by the combination of NAT+ with AMO+. In contrast, the combination of NAT− and AMO+ tends to suppress reduced summer zonal winds and PVy, thus inhibiting the event frequency of GB events and their poleward shift and zonal width.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruth Mottram ◽  
Susann Ascheneller ◽  
Florian Sauerland ◽  
Rasmus Anker Pedersen ◽  
Peter Thejll ◽  
...  

<div><span><span>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is an important control on both northern European weather and Greenland ice sheet surface mass budget via the path of storm tracks that deliver precipitation, particularly in the winter, and by the strength and persistence of the Greenland blocking high that promotes melt in summer. Within CMIP5 models, atmospheric blocking was generally poorly represented regardless of location, we here examine an ensemble of 10 CMIP6 fully coupled earth system models (ESMs) that were available by Summer</span><span> 20</span><span>19 </span><span>in order to examine if model improvements better represent the NAO in CMIP6.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We examine </span><span> temperature over Greenland and the north Atlantic region as well as NAO position, persistence and strength in winter and summer for each model in the historical scenario. No single model performs well on all characteristics but the UKESM and EC-EARTH3 perform the best when compared to the ERA5 climate reanalysis.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We also show how the NAO is expected to change in </span><span>8 of</span><span> the</span><span>se</span><span> models under different future climate scenarios.</span><span>  </span><span>The location</span><span> </span><span>of the Icelandic low in particular migrates northwards by varying amounts, likely related to Arctic sea ice changes within the models and with a consequent impact on precipitation.</span></span></div><div><span><span>Downscaling experiments carried out using the HIRHAM5 regional climate model over the Greenland ice sheet show the importance of accurately characterising the NAO in order to correctly </span><span> </span><span>estimate both winter accumulation and summer melt and the combination that gives the ice sheet mass budget. Our study emphasises the importance of assessing a range of different climate and weather variables when selecting models to downscale for </span><span>obtaining </span><span>ice sheet mass balance. We also note that while some progress has been made in </span><span>better representing </span><span>atmospheric blocking in ESMs, largely down to higher resolution in atmospheric models, there is still a substantial improvement required before ESMs can be said to accurately characterise the climate of the North Atlantic region with consequent impacts on ice sheet surface mass budget projections.</span></span></div>


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 483-507 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Govin ◽  
P. Braconnot ◽  
E. Capron ◽  
E. Cortijo ◽  
J.-C. Duplessy ◽  
...  

Abstract. Although the Last Interglacial (LIG) is often considered as a possible analogue for future climate in high latitudes, its precise climate evolution and associated causes remain uncertain. Here we compile high-resolution marine sediment records from the North Atlantic, Labrador Sea, Norwegian Sea and the Southern Ocean. We document a delay in the establishment of peak interglacial conditions in the North Atlantic, Labrador and Norwegian Seas as compared to the Southern Ocean. In particular, we observe a persistent iceberg melting at high northern latitudes at the beginning of the LIG. It is associated with (1) colder and fresher surface-water conditions in the North Atlantic, Labrador and Norwegian Seas, and (2) a weaker ventilation of North Atlantic deep waters during the early LIG (129–125 ka) compared to the late LIG. Results from an ocean-atmosphere coupled model with insolation as a sole forcing for three key periods of the LIG show warmer North Atlantic surface waters and stronger Atlantic overturning during the early LIG (126 ka) than the late LIG (122 ka). Hence, insolation variations alone do not explain the delay in peak interglacial conditions observed at high northern latitudes. Additionally, we consider an idealized meltwater scenario at 126 ka where the freshwater input is interactively computed in response to the high boreal summer insolation. The model simulates colder, fresher North Atlantic surface waters and weaker Atlantic overturning during the early LIG (126 ka) compared to the late LIG (122 ka). This result suggests that both insolation and ice sheet melting have to be considered to reproduce the climatic pattern that we identify during the early LIG. Our model-data comparison also reveals a number of limitations and reinforces the need for further detailed investigations using coupled climate-ice sheet models and transient simulations.


2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keah C. Schuenemann ◽  
John J. Cassano ◽  
Joel Finnis

Abstract Analysis of the synoptic climatology and precipitation patterns over the North Atlantic region allows for a better understanding of the atmospheric input to the mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. The self-organizing map (SOM) technique was applied to the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis (ERA-40) daily sea level pressure (SLP) data from 1961 to 1999 to objectively identify synoptic SLP patterns over the North Atlantic region. A total of 35 different SLP patterns were identified. Patterns common to the winter season are characterized by deep low pressure systems that approach Greenland through an active North Atlantic storm track, whereas patterns most common to the summer months are generally weaker and approach the ice sheet from the west through Baffin Bay. The blocking, splitting, and intensification of cyclones by the high elevations of the Greenland ice sheet were identified in this analysis. Analysis of ERA-40 precipitation associated with each SLP pattern revealed that the largest precipitation events were associated with passing cyclones that created onshore flow, allowing the air to be lifted orographically by the steep margins of the ice sheet. The ERA-40 annual mean precipitation over Greenland from 1961 to 1999 was 35.8 cm yr−1. Greenland was divided into five subregions, and the preferred synoptic patterns for receiving precipitation in each region include cyclones positioned to allow dynamic and orographic lift in each region. Annual precipitation contributions from each SLP pattern were isolated to reveal that half of the annual mean precipitation over Greenland comes from only 11 of the 35 identified synoptic patterns (31.4%), highlighting the importance of studying Greenland precipitation on an event-by-event basis on a daily time scale.


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