Formation features of river underground runoff under global warming conditions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Osadchyi ◽  
Oleksii Shevchenko ◽  
Anastasiya Krasovs’ka
Keyword(s):  
Surface Water ◽  
River Runoff ◽  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Flood Plain ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Left Bank ◽  
Groundwater Runoff ◽  
Second Stage ◽  
Infiltration Recharge

<p>According to the results of processing long-term data series of hydrological and hydrogeological monitoring in the upper part of the Southern Bug river basin, it has been found that meteorological or climatic changes affect both terrestrial hydrosphere and shallow groundwater aquifer (level = 0.5…7.0 m). There are two stages of different effects of temperature changes on the groundwater regime: the first stage (1974-1998) had a positive impact, with an increased infiltration recharge and large-scale flooding, while the second stage (1999-2020) is characterized by increasing drought. The average annual infiltration recharge of groundwater on the first terrace above the flood-plain at the first stage has reached 191.6 mm that is quite high for this climatic zone, while at the second stage – 115.0 mm. The highest groundwater runoff to the river was recorded in 1987-1989 (the first terrace above the flood-plain), 1996-1998, 2005, and 2014 (from the left-bank catchment). By seasonal distribution, the spring runoff mostly prevailed in 1981-1986; starting from 1996-1999 (in different areas) – summer runoff, especially in years with maximum underground runoff; the winter runoff to the river slightly prevailed in certain years (1994, 1998, 2000, 2008, 2015).</p><p>With the transition from a low-water cycle of years to a water-rich cycle (and vice versa), the dominant cyclicity in the regime of groundwater and surface water changes from 5-6 years to 7-8 years.</p><p>1974-1975 and 1987-1989 had certain temperature limits that caused significant changes in the groundwater level regime: firstly, at long-term annual average depths of 1.5-1.8 m under the surface, and later at depths of 3.0-4.4 m having led to the transition and consolidation of levels at higher grades. At the second stage, the trends of precipitation, groundwater and surface runoff change significantly (surface runoff decreases most rapidly, while the intensity of groundwater runoff has slowed down), but the temperature rises with almost the same intensity. The dependence of the total river runoff on the underground increases.</p><p>In the long-term plan (40 years), groundwater and river runoffs change in opposite directions, as the regime-forming factors (temperature and precipitation) have different effects on them: rising temperatures at the first stage have led to increased groundwater runoff; at the same time, the intensity of the decrease in river runoff under the influence of temperature as well as the decrease in precipitation at the second stage increase. The difference in the rate of reactions of groundwater and surface water levels to precipitation still provides an increase in groundwater runoff by increasing the flow gradient to the river. With decreasing rainfall, this scenario will certainly lead to the depletion of groundwater reserves.</p>

scholarly journals Factors influencing surface water and groundwater interaction in alluvial fan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fanao Meng ◽  
Changlai Xiao ◽  
Xiujuan Liang ◽  
Ge Wang ◽  
Ying Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Water ◽  
River Runoff ◽  
Groundwater Level ◽  
Alluvial Fan ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Groundwater Exploitation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Surface Water And Groundwater ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract In this study, the surface water balance method was used to calculate the interaction between surface water and groundwater (SGW) in the Taoer River alluvial fan in Jilin Province, China, from 1956 to 2014. The automatic linear model was used to determine the key and non-key influencing factors, and correlation analysis was performed to evaluate their relationship with one another. River runoff and groundwater level were the key factors affecting the SGW interaction, and sand–gravel exposure in the fan was more conducive to SGW interaction. There was a positive correlation between runoff and SGW interaction, and the relationship between the groundwater and surface water levels was correlated and affected by groundwater exploitation and groundwater runoff. Groundwater exploitation and evaporation and precipitation indirectly influenced the SGW interaction by affecting the groundwater level and river runoff key factors, respectively, and were considered non-key factors.

scholarly journals SPATIAL-TEMPORARY REGULARITIES OF THE SURFACE AND UNDERGROUND FLOWS OF THE RIVERS OF THE GREAT CAUCASUS

2020 ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
I.S. Alieva
Keyword(s):  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Pair Correlation ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Groundwater Runoff ◽  
Arithmetic Average ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Underground Flow ◽  
Long Term Observation ◽  
Linear Trends

The analysis of the statistical structure of the ranges is carried out, the degree of synchronism of fluctuations in runoff characteristics is estimated, and linear trends are identified. The annual values of groundwater runoff have been determined as the arithmetic average of the monthly average minimum winter and summer-autumn water discharges, the surface runoff being calculated as the difference between the annual and groundwater runoff. The stationarity of most of the considered ranges proves to be violated by dispersion or average value. For underground runoff, the number of such ranges according to the Fisher and student criteria is 9 and 12, and for surface runoff, 7 and 9, respectively. For 15 rows of underground runoff and 9 rows of surface runoff, autocorrelation coefficients are statistically significant at a 5 % level of significance. Differential integral curves have been drawn according to the data of each river, the temporal indicators of various phases of water content being determined from them. For the long-term, fluctuations of the underground flow of all the studied rivers are characterized by the presence of a prolonged low-water phase. To quantify the degree of synchronism of long-term fluctuations in the underground flow of rivers, the pair correlation coefficients between all the analyzed series have been calculated. In the long-term fluctuations of both the underground and surface runoff of the rivers of the Greater Caucasus, asynchrony has not been detected. Over the long-term observation period, the underground runoff of the vast majority of rivers is shown to be increasing. For ranges of surface runoff, multidirectional trends have been found. Most of the linear trends in groundwater flow and half of the trends in surface runoff are statistically significant. The significance of linear trends has been estimated by the values of the pair correlation coefficient and its standard error. The data on the runoff of 17 hydrological observation points covering 1934—2017 period have been used

scholarly journals Remote sensing applications for reservoir water level monitoring, sustainable water surface management, and environmental risks in Quang Nam province, Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinh Nhat Quang ◽  
Nguyen Khanh Linh ◽  
Ho Sy Tam ◽  
Nguyen Trung Viet
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Surface Water ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Sensing Applications ◽  
Volume Curve

Abstract Monitoring surface water provides vital information in water management; however, limited data is a fundamental challenge for most developing countries, such as Vietnam. Based on advanced remote sensing technologies, the authors proposed a methodology to process satellite images and use their outcomes to extract surface water in water resource management of Quang Nam province. Results of the proposed study show good agreement with in situ measurement data when the obtained Overall Accuracy and Kappa Coefficient were greater than 90% and 0.99, respectively. Three potential applications based on the surface water results are selected to discuss sustainable water management in Quang Nam province. Firstly, reservoir operating processes can be examined, enhanced, and even developed through long-term extracted water levels, which are the interpolation results between the extracted surface water area and the water level–area–volume curve. Secondly, the long-term morphological change for the Truong Giang river case between 1990 and 2019 can also be detected from the Water Frequency Index performance and provided additional information regarding permanent and seasonal water changes. Lastly, the flood inundation extent was extracted and separated from permanent water to assess the damage of the Mirinae typhoon on 2 November 2009 in terms of population and crop aspects.

Humus state of chernozem at different ways of tillage in the agrosystems of the left-bank forest steppe of Ukraine

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 61-77
Author(s):  
O. Demydenko ◽  
V. Velychko
Keyword(s):  
Soil Cover ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Left Bank ◽  
Energy Reserves ◽  
Soil Resources ◽  
Global Soil ◽  
Humus Accumulation ◽  
By Products ◽  
The Way

The contemporary condition of soil cover in Ukraine is characterized. The attention is focused onto widespread degradation processes in soils. The causes that determine the development of these negative processes are considered. The contemporary informational support for the condition of soil cover in Ukraine is estimated. In general, the current available information is of narrow-departmental nature, obtained by different methods and non-correlated monitoring programs. As a rule, it is stored in under-structured databases, incompatible with other information systems; mainly recorded on paper media unusable with modern technologies, whereby such information resources are diffi cult to be compiled together. These disadvantages are strong constraints against consistent usage of materials for evaluation, forecast and management of changes in the soil cover. The Soil Observation program should thereby be combined with Agrochemical Passportization and ecology-ameliora- tive monitoring; in other words, the application of innovative soil-agrochemical methodology is considered. Each individual type of surveys shall complement the others, and taken altogether, they shall constitute a con- sistent Information System, capable of solving the problems of assessing the condition, forecasting, manage- ment, usage and protection of soil resources. The monitoring procedures should be conducted on the basis of a new soil concept in line with unifi ed programs and methods, so as to meet European approaches to the maxi- mum extent. Such a technical composition enables getting information on present-day processes in soils, and is the only combination that actually helps us to “ecologize” our knowledge of soils, which is the leading trend in the scope of global soil-science. Thus obtained results will serve as a State-owned tool which would subse- quently facilitate the use and protection of soil resources all over the country, to be involved in a united global soil-information scope. The attention is focused onto social signifi cance of the information on soils and their fertility in terms of land resources optimization, as well as the formation of sustainable land use in Ukraine. Aim. To demonstrate the long-term effect of different ways of tillage of typical low-humus chernozem on the change in humus content and composition and the direction of transformation processes of organic fertili- zers. To study the changes in the structure of energy reserves in group and fractional composition of humus in typical low-humus light-loamy chernozem of the Forest-Steppe of Ukraine. Methods. Field, laboratory, microbiological, computational, mathematical and statistical. Results. It was determined that in conditions of long-term subsurface tillage the most effi cient humus accumulation occurs in the 0–20 cm layer of chernozem with simultaneous increase in its content in the lower part of the processed layer without any accumulation differentiation. Surface tillage leads to expressed differentiation in humus accumulation in the 0–20 cm layer of soil (0.005 % per year). When 6 t/ha of humus are replaced by 7 t/ha of by-products the intensity of humus accumulation is decreasing regardless of the way of tillage, but humus accumulation was found to be the most effi cient for subsurface tillage. The application of subsurface tillage leads to the increase in the ratio of C HA : C FA , which is conditioned by the increase in the humifi cation of plant remains of by-products in the 0−20 cm layer of soil by 110–112 % – for subsurface tillage, and by 105 % – for surface tillage. Conclusions. It was established that systematic subsurface tillage of typical chernozem of the Left-Bank Forest-Steppe of Ukraine leads to the structuring both of the total reserves of energy С org , and its quality content, aimed at the increase in the intensity of the processes of humifi cation and accumulation of organic carbon, and the decrease in miner- alization. The ratio of energy reserves С org of humic acids to fulvic acids in the 0−30 cm layer of chernozem is 1.85−1.87 regardless of the way of tillage, which testifi es to the repeatability of humus accumulation, but the total reserves of energy С org was higher for subsurface tillage (+ 31 Teracalorie/ha) compared to deep plough- ing. As for the surface tillage, the energy enrichment was at the level of deep ploughing.

Modelling the Effects of Acid Deposition: Estimation of Long-Term Water Quality Responses in Forested Catchments in Finland

1988 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Lepistö ◽  
P. G. Whitehead ◽  
C. Neal ◽  
B. J. Cosby
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Surface Water ◽  
Base Cations ◽  
Surface Water Quality ◽  
Mineral Weathering ◽  
Co2 Solubility ◽  
Forested Catchments ◽  
Deposition Rates ◽  
Magic Model

A modelling study has been undertaken to investigate long-term changes in surface water quality in two contrasting forested catchments; Yli-Knuutila, with high concentrations of base cations and sulphate, in southern Finland; and organically rich, acid Liuhapuro in eastern Finland. The MAGIC model is based on the assumption that certain chemical processes (anion retention, cation exchange, primary mineral weathering, aluminium dissolution and CO2 solubility) in catchment soils are likely keys to the responses of surface water quality to acidic deposition. The model was applied for the first time to an organically rich catchment with high quantities of humic substances. The historical reconstruction of water quality at Yli-Knuutila indicates that the catchment surface waters have lost about 90 μeq l−1 of alkalinity in 140 years, which is about 60% of their preacidification alkalinity. The model reproduces the declining pH levels of recent decades as indicated by paleoecological analysis. Stream acidity trends are investigated assuming two scenarios for future deposition. Assuming deposition rates are maintained in the future at 1984 levels, the model indicates that stream pH is likely to continue to decline below presently measured levels. A 50% reduction in deposition rates would likely result in an increase in pH and alkalinity of the stream, although not to estimated preacidification levels. Because of the high load of organic acids to the Liuhapuro stream it has been acid before atmospheric pollution; a decline of 0.2 pH-units was estimated with increasing leaching of base cations from the soil despite the partial pH buffering of the system by organic compounds.

scholarly journals Surface Water Temperature Predictions at a Mid-Latitude Reservoir under Long-Term Climate Change Impacts Using a Deep Neural Network Coupled with a Transfer Learning Approach

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1109
Author(s):  
Nobuaki Kimura ◽  
Kei Ishida ◽  
Daichi Baba
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Surface Water ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
Transfer Learning ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Surface Water Temperature

Long-term climate change may strongly affect the aquatic environment in mid-latitude water resources. In particular, it can be demonstrated that temporal variations in surface water temperature in a reservoir have strong responses to air temperature. We adopted deep neural networks (DNNs) to understand the long-term relationships between air temperature and surface water temperature, because DNNs can easily deal with nonlinear data, including uncertainties, that are obtained in complicated climate and aquatic systems. In general, DNNs cannot appropriately predict unexperienced data (i.e., out-of-range training data), such as future water temperature. To improve this limitation, our idea is to introduce a transfer learning (TL) approach. The observed data were used to train a DNN-based model. Continuous data (i.e., air temperature) ranging over 150 years to pre-training to climate change, which were obtained from climate models and include a downscaling model, were used to predict past and future surface water temperatures in the reservoir. The results showed that the DNN-based model with the TL approach was able to approximately predict based on the difference between past and future air temperatures. The model suggested that the occurrences in the highest water temperature increased, and the occurrences in the lowest water temperature decreased in the future predictions.

scholarly journals Adapting the definition of multimorbidity – development of a locality-based consensus for selecting included Long Term Conditions

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nasrin Hafezparast ◽  
Ellie Bragan Turner ◽  
Rupert Dunbar-Rees ◽  
Alice Vodden ◽  
Hiten Dodhia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Literature Review ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
Final Decision ◽  
Local Health ◽  
Urban Context ◽  
Long Term Conditions ◽  
Large Cities ◽  
Second Stage ◽  
Local Health Service

Abstract Background Defining multimorbidity has proved elusive in spite of attempts to standardise definitions. For national studies, a broad definition is required to capture national diversity. For locally based studies, the definition may need to reflect demographic and morbidity patterns. We aimed to define multimorbidity for an inner city, multi-ethnic, deprived, young age community typical of many large cities. Methods We used a scoping literature review to identify the international literature, standards and guidelines on Long Term Condition (LTC) definitions for inclusion in our multimorbidity definition. Consensus was categorised into high, medium or low consensus, depending on the number of literature sources citing each LTC. Findings were presented to a workshop consisting of local health service stakeholders who were asked to select LTCs for inclusion in a second stage review. In the second stage, each LTC was tested against seven evaluation domains: prevalence, impact, preventability, treatment burden, progression to multiple LTCs, impact on younger people, data quality. These domains were used to create 12 target criteria. LTC rankings according to consensus group and target criteria scores were presented to a second workshop for a final decision about LTC inclusion. Results The literature review identified 18 literature sources citing 86 LTCs: 11 were excluded because they were LTC clusters. The remainder were allocated into consensus groupings: 13 LTCs were ‘high consensus’ (cited by ≥ 11 sources); 15 were ‘medium consensus’ (cited by 5–10 sources); 47 were ‘low consensus’ (cited by < 5 sources). The first workshop excluded 31 LTCs. The remaining 44 LTCs consisted of: 13 high consensus LTCs, all with high target score (score 6–12); 15 medium consensus LTCs, 11 with high target scores; 16 low consensus LTCs, 6 with high target scores. The final workshop selected the 12 high consensus conditions, 12 medium consensus LTCs (10 with high target scores) and 8 low consensus LTCs (3 with high target scores), producing a final selection of 32 LTCs. Conclusions Redefining multimorbidity for an urban context ensures local relevance but may diminish national generalisability. We describe a detailed LTC selection process which should be generalisable to other contexts, both local and national.

scholarly journals Productivity of Ospreys, Pandion haliaetus, Affected by Water Levels Near Loon Lake, Saskatchewan, 1975-2002

2010 ◽  
Vol 124 (3) ◽  
pp. 219
Author(s):  
C. Stuart Houston ◽  
Frank Scott ◽  
Rob B. Tether
Keyword(s):  
Breeding Success ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Lake Levels ◽  
The West ◽  
Canadian Data ◽  
Human Use ◽  
The Town ◽  
Western Half ◽  
Eastern Half

Between 1975 and 2002, diminished breeding success of Ospreys was associated with drought and falling lake levels in the western half of our study area near the town of Loon Lake, west-central Saskatchewan. Only 46% of nest attempts were successful in the west compared to 72% in the east, producing 0.88 young per accessible nest in the west and 1.42 in the east. Breeding success was greater in the eastern half, where water levels were stable, in spite of increased human use of the resort lakes there. Our unique long-term Canadian data base results support Ogden's 1977 prediction that Osprey productivity may decrease when water levels drop and fish populations are reduced.

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