scholarly journals Dynamical process upscaling for deriving catchment scale state variables and constitutive relations for meso-scale process models

2006 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 1629-1665 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Zehe ◽  
H. Lee ◽  
M. Sivapalan

Abstract. In this study we propose an uspcaling approach for the assessment of (a) sub-catchment/REW scale state variables, and (b) of catchment/REW scale soil hydraulic functions which embed/reflect the effects of critical subscale soil heterogeneities in the unsaturated zone on parameterizations of water flow at the next higher scale. The test area for this investigation is the well observed and studied Weiherbach catchment, which is located in a Loess area in south-west Germany. The approach adopted is to use the spatially averaged outputs and internal state variables generated by a highly detailed physically based numerical model that represents the dominant heterogeneities which are typical for this Loess area, and which has been previously shown to closely portray the dynamics of various state variables and fluxes within the study catchment. For these reasons, this detailed numerical model is deemed to be landscape and process compatible. By running this landscape and process compatible model with boundary and initial conditions observed in the Weiherbach catchment, and different assumed structures for soil heterogeneities, we generated time series of catchment-scale average soil saturations in the unsaturated zone by averaging the corresponding distributed model outputs. Due to the differences in assumed spatial patterns of soil heterogeneities and of macropores, the resulting different model structures yield clearly different time series of catchment scale average soil saturation values. The time series of catchment-scale average soil saturation values generated in this way from the landscape and process compatible model structure are, therefore, deemed as best estimates of the actual time series of average catchment scale soil saturation within the study catchment since the model embeds the fingerprints of typical patterns of soils and macropores and is shown to be physically consistent with a distributed set of soil moisture and discharge observations inside the catchment. Finally, we also derive hillslope scale soil hydraulic functions from simulated hillslope scale drainage experiments for the different assumed hillslope model structures. Different patterns of soil and macroporosity within the hillslope yield clearly different hillslope scale soil hydraulic functions, and these differences are consistent with the REV soil pore spectra of the soils. Assuming simple parametric functions for the soil water retention curve and the hydraulic conductivity curve we then obtain different parameters characterizing these soil hydraulic functions for the different assumed model structures. The different parameters obtained for these different model structures thus embed within them fingerprints of the assumed subscale soil patterns and structures on water flow in the unsaturated zone at the next higher scale, in the sense of Vogel and Roth (2003). The ultimate motivation for this analysis is that the so derived, hillslope or sub-catchment scale soil hydraulic functions will become intrinsic components of physically based numerical models, which use subcatchments as building blocks. Lee et al. (2006; this issue) have utilized hillslope scale soil hydraulic functions, derived similarly with the use of the same landscape and process compatible model, for the parameterisation of the CREW model, which is a numerical implementation of the REW approach (Reggiani et al., 1998, 1999), and showed that these lead to successful implementation of the model in the Weiherbach catchment. Their findings show clearly that the presented upscaling approach does indeed yield useful constitutive relations and target state variables for development and validation of meso-scale hydrological models based on the REW approach, embedding within them the fingerprints of the dominant within-catchment heterogeneities on simulated subsurface flow dynamics at the REW-scale.

2006 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 981-996 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Zehe ◽  
H. Lee ◽  
M. Sivapalan

Abstract. In this study we propose an uspcaling approach to derive time series of (a) REW scale state variables, and (b) effective REW scale soil hydraulic functions to test and parameterise models based on the REW approach. To this end we employed a physically based hydrological model, that represents the typical patterns and structures in the study catchment, and has previously been shown to reproduce observed runoff response and state dynamics well. This landscape- and process-compatible model is used to simulate numerical drainage and wetting experiments. The effective soil water retention curve and soil hydraulic conductivity curve are derived using the spatially averaged saturation and capillary pressure as well as averaged fluxes. When driven with observed boundary conditions during a one year simulation the model is used to estimate how the spatial pattern of soil moisture evolved during this period in the catchment. The time series of the volume integrated soil moisture is deemed as best estimate for the average catchment scale soil moisture. The approach is applied to the extensively monitored Weiherbach catchment in Germany. A sensitivity analysis showed that catchment scale model structures different from the landscape- and process compatible one yielded different times series of average catchment scale soil moisture and where not able to reproduce the observed rainfall runoff response. Hence, subscale typical heterogeneity leaves a clear fingerprint in the time series of average catchment scale saturation. In case of the Weiherbach catchment local scale heterogeneity of ks could be neglected and a simple representation of the typical hillslope scale patterns of soil types and macroporosity was sufficient for obtaining effective REW scale soil hydraulic functions. Both the effective soil hydraulic functions and time series of catchment scale saturation turned out to be useful to parameterise and test the CREW model, which is based on the REW approach and was applied to the Weiherbach catchment in a companion study Lee et al. (2006, this issue).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyuan Fei ◽  
Jintao Liu

<p>Highly intermittent rivers are widespread on the Tibetan Plateau and deeply impact the ecological stability and social development downstream. Due to the highly intermittent rivers are small, seasonal variated and heavy cloud covered on the Tibetan Plateau, their distribution location is still unknown at catchment scale currently. To address these challenges, a new method is proposed for extracting the cumulative distribution location of highly intermittent river from Sentinel-1 time series in an alpine catchment on the Tibetan Plateau. The proposed method first determines the proper time scale of extracting highly intermittent river, based on which the statistical features are calculated to amplify the difference between land covers. Subsequently, the synoptic cumulative distribution location is extracted through Random Forest model using the statistical features above as explanatory variables. And the precise result is generated by combining the synoptic result with critical flow accumulation area.  The highly intermittent river segments are derived and assessed in an alpine catchment of Lhasa River Basin. The results show that the the intra-annual time scale is sufficient for highly intermittent river extraction. And the proposed method can extract highly intermittent river cumulative distribution locations with total precision of 0.62, distance error median of 64.03 m, outperforming other existing river extraction method.</p>


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 2579-2594 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hidayat Hidayat ◽  
Adriaan J. Teuling ◽  
Bart Vermeulen ◽  
Muh Taufik ◽  
Karl Kastner ◽  
...  

Abstract. Wetlands are important reservoirs of water, carbon and biodiversity. They are typical landscapes of lowland regions that have high potential for water retention. However, the hydrology of these wetlands in tropical regions is often studied in isolation from the processes taking place at the catchment scale. Our main objective is to study the hydrological dynamics of one of the largest tropical rainforest regions on an island using a combination of satellite remote sensing and novel observations from dedicated field campaigns. This contribution offers a comprehensive analysis of the hydrological dynamics of two neighbouring poorly gauged tropical basins; the Kapuas basin (98 700 km2) in West Kalimantan and the Mahakam basin (77 100 km2) in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. Both basins are characterised by vast areas of inland lowlands. Hereby, we put specific emphasis on key hydrological variables and indicators such as discharge and flood extent. The hydroclimatological data described herein were obtained during fieldwork campaigns carried out in the Kapuas over the period 2013–2015 and in the Mahakam over the period 2008–2010. Additionally, we used the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall estimates over the period 1998–2015 to analyse the distribution of rainfall and the influence of El-Niño – Southern Oscillation. Flood occurrence maps were obtained from the analysis of the Phase Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR) images from 2007 to 2010. Drought events were derived from time series of simulated groundwater recharge using time series of TRMM rainfall estimates, potential evapotranspiration estimates and the threshold level approach. The Kapuas and the Mahakam lake regions are vast reservoirs of water of about 1000 and 1500 km2 that can store as much as 3 and 6.5 billion m3 of water, respectively. These storage capacity values can be doubled considering the area of flooding under vegetation cover. Discharge time series show that backwater effects are highly influential in the wetland regions, which can be partly explained by inundation dynamics shown by flood occurrence maps obtained from PALSAR images. In contrast to their nature as wetlands, both lowland areas have frequent periods with low soil moisture conditions and low groundwater recharge. The Mahakam wetland area regularly exhibits low groundwater recharge, which may lead to prolonged drought events that can last up to 13 months. It appears that the Mahakam lowland is more vulnerable to hydrological drought, leading to more frequent fire occurrences than in the Kapuas basin.


2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 377-382 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Wang ◽  
X. Chen

Abstract. Almost all climate time series have some degree of nonstationarity due to external driving forces perturbing the observed system. Therefore, these external driving forces should be taken into account when constructing the climate dynamics. This paper presents a new technique of obtaining the driving forces of a time series from the slow feature analysis (SFA) approach, and then introduces them into a predictive model to predict nonstationary time series. The basic theory of the technique is to consider the driving forces as state variables and to incorporate them into the predictive model. Experiments using a modified logistic time series and winter ozone data in Arosa, Switzerland, were conducted to test the model. The results showed improved prediction skills.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhaswati Mazumder

The application of spatial cross-correlation modelling was tested on continuous time series of electrical conductivity to estimate lateral and longitudinal chloride dynamics in an urbanizing watershed in Southern Ontario. Overall, the model appeared more robust for the winter salting season than for the summer growing season. The winter results showed shorter travel times with higher velocity longitudinally (upstream to downstream) in an urban stream reach with more impervious surfaces than in a rural reach with more permeable surfaces. The lateral exchange rates (stream-hyporheic zone) were observed to be affected by both local and catchment-scale land use and soil profiles. Cross-correlation results and time series data also indicated that road-salt applications in the urban catchment may be leading to underground storage of chloride, contributing to the streams in summer and producing year-round peaks of chloride in the urban stream reach.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 4439
Author(s):  
Miguel A. Jaramillo-Morán ◽  
Agustín García-García

In this paper, we forecast the price of CO2 emission allowances using an artificial intelligence tool: neural networks. We were able to provide confident predictions of several future prices by processing a set of past data. Different model structures were tested. The influence of subjective economic and political decisions on price evolution leads to complex behavior that is hard to forecast. We analyzed correlations with different economic variables related to the price of CO2 emission allowances and found the behavior of two to be similar: electricity prices and iron and steel prices. They, along with CO2 emission allowance prices, were included in the forecasting model in order to verify whether or not this improved forecasting accuracy. Only slight improvements were observed, which proved to be more significant when their respective time series trends or fluctuations were used instead of the original time series. These results show that there is some sort of link between the three variables, suggesting that the price of CO2 emission allowances is closely related to the time evolution of the price of electricity and that of iron and steel, which are very pollutant industrial sectors. This can be regarded as evidence that the CO2 market is working properly.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 459-471 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostaquimur Rahman ◽  
Rafael Rosolem

Abstract. Modelling and monitoring of hydrological processes in the unsaturated zone of chalk, a porous medium with fractures, is important to optimize water resource assessment and management practices in the United Kingdom (UK). However, incorporating the processes governing water movement through a chalk unsaturated zone in a numerical model is complicated mainly due to the fractured nature of chalk that creates high-velocity preferential flow paths in the subsurface. In general, flow through a chalk unsaturated zone is simulated using the dual-porosity concept, which often involves calibration of a relatively large number of model parameters, potentially undermining applications to large regions. In this study, a simplified parameterization, namely the Bulk Conductivity (BC) model, is proposed for simulating hydrology in a chalk unsaturated zone. This new parameterization introduces only two additional parameters (namely the macroporosity factor and the soil wetness threshold parameter for fracture flow activation) and uses the saturated hydraulic conductivity from the chalk matrix. The BC model is implemented in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) and applied to a study area encompassing the Kennet catchment in the southern UK. This parameterization is further calibrated at the point scale using soil moisture profile observations. The performance of the calibrated BC model in JULES is assessed and compared against the performance of both the default JULES parameterization and the uncalibrated version of the BC model implemented in JULES. Finally, the model performance at the catchment scale is evaluated against independent data sets (e.g. runoff and latent heat flux). The results demonstrate that the inclusion of the BC model in JULES improves simulated land surface mass and energy fluxes over the chalk-dominated Kennet catchment. Therefore, the simple approach described in this study may be used to incorporate the flow processes through a chalk unsaturated zone in large-scale land surface modelling applications.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luisa-Bianca Thiele ◽  
Ross Pidoto ◽  
Uwe Haberlandt

<p>For derived flood frequency analyses, stochastic rainfall models can be linked with rainfall-runoff models to improve the accuracy of design flood estimations when the length of observed rainfall and runoff data is not sufficient. In the past, when using stochastic rainfall time series for hydrological modelling purposes, catchment rainfall for use in hydrological modelling was calculated from the multiple point rainfall time series. As an alternative to this approach, it will be tested whether catchment rainfall can be modelled directly, negating the drawbacks (and need) encountered in generating spatially consistent time series. An Alternating Renewal rainfall model (ARM) will be used to generate multiple point and lumped catchment rainfall time series in hourly resolution. The generated rainfall time series will be used to drive the rainfall-runoff model HBV-IWW with an hourly time step for mesoscale catchments in Germany. Validation will be performed by comparing modelled runoff regarding runoff and flood statistics using stochastically generated lumped catchment rainfall versus multiple point rainfall. It would be advantageous if the results based on catchment rainfall are comparable to those using multiple point rainfall, so catchment rainfall could be generated directly with the stochastic rainfall models. Extremes at the catchment scale may also be better represented if catchment rainfall is generated directly.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brigitta Szabó ◽  
Annamária Laborczi ◽  
Gábor Szatmári ◽  
Zsófia Bakacsi ◽  
András Makó ◽  
...  

<p>Soil physical properties and soil water regime have been in the focus of soil surveys and mapping in Hungary due to their importance in various environmental processes and hazards, like waterlogging and drought, which endanger extended areas. <br>In the late ‘70s a category system was elaborated for the planning of water management, which was used as the legend of a nationwide map prepared at a scale of 1:500.000. Soils were characterized qualitatively (e.g.: soil with unfavorable water management was defined with low infiltration rate, very low permeability and hydraulic conductivity, and high water retention), without quantification of these features. The category system was also used for creating large-scale (1:10.000) water management maps, which are contained legally by expert’s reports prepared on the subject of drainage, irrigation, liquid manure, sewage or sewage-sludge disposal. These maps were prepared eventually, essentially for individual plots and are not managed centrally and are not available for further applications.<br>Recently a 3D Soil Hydraulic Database was elaborated for Europe at 250 m resolution based on specific pedotransfer functions and soil property maps of SoilGrids. The database includes spatial information on the soil water content at the most frequently used matric potential values, saturated hydraulic conductivity, Mualem-van Genuchten parameters of the moisture retention and hydraulic conductivity curves. Based on similar idea, the work has been continued to produce more accurate and spatially more detailed hydrophysical maps in Hungary by generalizing the applied pedotransfer functions and using national soil reference data and high resolution, novel, digital soil property maps.<br>We initiated a study in order to formalize the built-in soil-landscape model(s) of the national legacy map on water management, together with the quantification of its categories and its potential disaggregation. The relation of the legacy map with the newly elaborated 3D estimations were evaluated at two scales: nationwide with 250 m resolution and at catchment scale with 100 m resolution. Hydrological and primary soil property maps were used as predictor variables. Unsupervised classifications were performed for spatial-thematic aggregation of the soil hydraulic datasets to identify their intrinsic characteristics, which were used for the elaboration of a renewed water management classification. Hydrological interpretation of the categories provided by the optimum classifications has been carried out (i) by their spatial cross-tabulation with the categories of the legacy map and (ii) using the interval estimation of the applied soil hydraulic properties provided for the individual water management categories. Machine learning approaches were used to analyze the information content of the legacy maps’s category system, whose results were used for its disaggregation. Conditionally located random points were sequentially generated for virtual sampling of the legacy map to produce reference information. The disaggregated maps with the legend of the traditional water management classes were produced both on national and catchment level.</p><p>Acknowledgment: The research has been supported by the Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Office (NRDI) under grants KH124765, KH126725, the János Bolyai Research Scholarship of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences and the MTA Cloud infrastructure (https://cloud.mta.hu/).</p>


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