scholarly journals Impacts of freshwater changes on Antarctic sea ice in an eddy-permitting sea-ice–ocean model

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1387-1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verena Haid ◽  
Doroteaciro Iovino ◽  
Simona Masina
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Great Influence ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Freshwater Input ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. In a warming climate, satellite data indicate that the sea ice extent around Antarctica has increased over the last decades. One of the suggested explanations is the stabilizing effect of increased mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet. Here, we investigate the sea ice response to changes in both the amount and the spatial distribution of freshwater input to the ocean by comparing a set of numerical sensitivity simulations with additional supply of water at the Antarctic ocean surface. We analyze the short-term response of the sea ice cover and the on-shelf water column to variations in the amount and distribution of the prescribed surface freshwater flux.Our results confirm that enhancing the freshwater input can increase the sea ice extent. Our experiments show a negative development of the sea ice extent only for extreme freshwater additions. We find that the spatial distribution of freshwater is of great influence on sea ice concentration and thickness as it affects sea ice dynamics and thermodynamics. For strong regional contrasts in the freshwater addition the dynamic response dominates the local change in sea ice, which generally opposes the thermodynamic response. Furthermore, we find that additional coastal runoff generally leads to fresher and warmer dense shelf waters.

scholarly journals Brief communication: lack of agreement in remote sensing detection of cyclonic drift caused by Atlantic weather in Antarctic sea ice

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wayne de Jager ◽  
Marcello Vichi
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Sea-ice extent variability, a measure based on satellite-derived sea ice concentration measurements, has traditionally been used as an essential climate variable to evaluate the impact of climate change on polar regions. However, concentration- based measurements of ice variability do not allow to discriminate the relative contributions made by thermodynamic and dynamic processes, prompting the need to use sea-ice drift products and develop alternative methods to quantify changes in sea ice dynamics that would indicate trends in Antarctic ice characteristics. Here, we present a new method to automate the detection of rotational drift features in Antarctic sea ice at daily timescales using currently available remote sensing ice motion products from EUMETSAT OSI SAF. Results show that there is a large discrepancy in the detection of cyclonic drift features between products, both in terms of intensity and year-to-year distributions, thus diminishing the confidence at which ice drift variability can be further analysed. Product comparisons showed that there was good agreement in detecting anticyclonic drift, and cyclonic drift features were measured to be 1.5–2.2 times more intense than anticyclonic features. The most intense features were detected by the merged product, suggesting that the processing chain used for this product could be injecting additional rotational momentum into the resultant drift vectors. We conclude that it is therefore necessary to better understand why the products lack agreement before further trend analysis of these drift features and their climatic significance can be assessed.

scholarly journals Impacts of Antarctic runoff changes on the Southern Ocean sea ice in an eddy-permitting sea ice-ocean model

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verena Haid ◽  
Dorotea Iovino ◽  
Simona Masina
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Fresh Water ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Strong Increase ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Current Increase ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. In a warming climate, observations indicate that the sea ice extent around Antarctica has increased over the last decades. One of the suggested explanations is the stabilizing effect of increased mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet. We investigated the sea ice response to changes in the amount and especially the spatial distribution of freshwater. We performed a sensitivity study by comparing a set of numerical simulations with additional supply of water at the Antarctic ocean surface. Here, we analyse the response of the sea ice cover and the on-shelf water column to variations in the amount and distribution of the prescribed surface freshwater flux. Our results confirm that an increase in fresh water input can increase the sea ice extent. However, a very strong increase of freshwater will eventually invert the trend. Our experiments suggest that the spatial distribution of the freshwater is of great influence. It affects sea ice dynamics and can strongly alter regional sea ice concentration and thickness. For strong regional contrasts in the freshwater addition the local change in sea ice is dominated by the dynamic response, which generally opposes the thermodynamic response. Furthermore, we find that additional coastal runoff generally leads to fresher and warmer dense shelf waters. Comparing our results with the observed trend, we estimate that the current increase of fresh water originating from the Antarctic Ice Sheet contributes between 5 % and 24 % to the trend observed in the sea ice extent.

Last Glacial Maximum Antarctic sea ice linked with global mean ocean temperature: evidence from PMIP3, PMIP4 and MIROC-4m simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tristan Vadsaria ◽  
Sam Sherriff-Tadano ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Takashi Obase ◽  
Wing-Le Chan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Glacial Maximum ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Antarctic

<p>Southern Ocean sea ice and oceanic fronts are known to play an important role on the climate system, carbon cycles, bottom ocean circulation, and Antarctic ice sheet. However, many models of the previous Past-climate Model Intercomparison Project (PMIP) underestimated sea-ice extent (SIE) for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)(Roche et al., 2012; Marzocchi and Jensen, 2017), mainly because of surface bias (Flato et al., 2013) that may have an impact on mean ocean temperature (MOT). Indeed, recent studies further suggest an important link between Southern Ocean sea ice and mean ocean temperature (Ferrari et al., 2014; Bereiter et al., 2018 among others). Misrepresent the Antarctic sea-ice extent could highly impact deep ocean circulation, the heat transport and thus the MOT. In this study, we will stress the relationship between the distribution of Antarctic sea-ice extent and the MOT through the analysis of the PMIP3 and PMIP4 exercise and by using a set of MIROC models. To date, the latest version of MIROC improve its representation of the LGM Antarctic sea-ice extent, affecting the deep circulation and the MOT distribution (Sherriff-Tadano et al., under review).</p><p>Our results show that available PMIP4 models have an overall improvement in term of LGM sea-ice extent compared to PMIP3, associated to colder deep and bottom ocean temperature. Focusing on MIROC (4m) models, we show that models accounting for Southern Ocean sea-surface temperature (SST) bias correction reproduce an Antarctic sea-ice extent, 2D-distribution, and seasonal amplitude in good agreement with proxy-based data. Finally, using PMIP-MIROC analyze, we show that it exists a relationship between the maximum SIE and the MOT, modulated by the Antarctic intermediate and bottom waters.</p>

scholarly journals Decadal trends in the Antarctic sea ice extent ultimately controlled by ice–ocean feedback

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 453-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Goosse ◽  
V. Zunz
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Initial Perturbation ◽  
Salt Transport ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The large natural variability of the Antarctic sea ice is a key characteristic of the system that might be responsible for the small positive trend in sea ice extent observed since 1979. In order to gain insight of the processes responsible for this variability, we have analysed in a control simulation performed with a coupled climate model a positive ice–ocean feedback that amplifies sea ice variations. When sea ice concentration increases in a region, in particular close to the ice edge, the mixed layer depth tends to decrease. This can be caused by a net inflow of ice, and thus of freshwater, that stabilizes the water column. A second stabilizing mechanism at interannual timescales is associated with the downward salt transport due to the seasonal cycle of ice formation: brine is released in winter and mixed over a deep layer while the freshwater flux caused by ice melting is included in a shallow layer, resulting in a net vertical transport of salt. Because of this stronger stratification due to the presence of sea ice, more heat is stored at depth in the ocean and the vertical oceanic heat flux is reduced, which contributes to maintaining a higher ice extent. This positive feedback is not associated with a particular spatial pattern. Consequently, the spatial distribution of the trend in ice concentration is largely imposed by the wind changes that can provide the initial perturbation. A positive freshwater flux could alternatively be the initial trigger but the amplitude of the final response of the sea ice extent is finally set up by the amplification related to the ice–ocean feedback. Initial conditions also have an influence as the chance to have a large increase in ice extent is higher if starting from a state characterized by a low value.

scholarly journals Positive Trend in the Antarctic Sea Ice Cover and Associated Changes in Surface Temperature

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 2251-2267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josefino C. Comiso ◽  
Robert A. Gersten ◽  
Larry V. Stock ◽  
John Turner ◽  
Gay J. Perez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Growth Season ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract The Antarctic sea ice extent has been slowly increasing contrary to expected trends due to global warming and results from coupled climate models. After a record high extent in 2012 the extent was even higher in 2014 when the magnitude exceeded 20 × 106 km2 for the first time during the satellite era. The positive trend is confirmed with newly reprocessed sea ice data that addressed inconsistency issues in the time series. The variability in sea ice extent and ice area was studied alongside surface ice temperature for the 34-yr period starting in 1981, and the results of the analysis show a strong correlation of −0.94 during the growth season and −0.86 during the melt season. The correlation coefficients are even stronger with a one-month lag in surface temperature at −0.96 during the growth season and −0.98 during the melt season, suggesting that the trend in sea ice cover is strongly influenced by the trend in surface temperature. The correlation with atmospheric circulation as represented by the southern annular mode (SAM) index appears to be relatively weak. A case study comparing the record high in 2014 with a relatively low ice extent in 2015 also shows strong sensitivity to changes in surface temperature. The results suggest that the positive trend is a consequence of the spatial variability of global trends in surface temperature and that the ability of current climate models to forecast sea ice trend can be improved through better performance in reproducing observed surface temperatures in the Antarctic region.

scholarly journals Comparison between AMSR-E ASI sea-ice concentration product, MODIS and pseudo-ship observations of the Antarctic sea-ice edge

2015 ◽  
Vol 56 (69) ◽  
pp. 45-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Zhao ◽  
Haoyue Su ◽  
Alfred Stein ◽  
Xiaoping Pang
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Average Distance ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Earth Observing System ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Ice Edge ◽  
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer ◽  
The Antarctic

AbstractThe performance of passive microwave sea-ice concentration products in the marginal ice zone and at the ice edge draws much attention in accuracy assessments. In this study, we generated 917 pseudo-ship observations from four Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images based on the Antarctic Sea Ice Processes and Climate (ASPeCt) protocol to assess the quality of the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) ARTIST (Arctic Radiation and Turbulence Interaction STudy) Sea Ice (ASI) concentrations at the ice edge in Antarctica. The results indicate that the ASI pixels in the pseudo-ASPeCt observations have a mean ice concentration of 13% and are significantly different from the well-established 15% threshold. The average distance between the pseudo-ice edge and the 15% threshold contour is ~10 km. The correlation between the sea-ice concentration (SIC), SICASI and SICMODIS values at the ice edge was considerably lower than the high coefficients obtained from a transect analysis. Underestimation of SICASI occurred in summer, whereas no clear bias was observed in winter. The proposed method provides an opportunity to generate a new source of reference data in which the spatial coverage is wider and more flexible than in traditional in situ observations.

scholarly journals Brief communication: Antarctic sea ice gain does not compensate for increased solar absorption from Arctic ice loss

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Katlein ◽  
Stefan Hendricks ◽  
Jeffrey Key
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Solar Absorption ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Polar Oceans ◽  
Arctic Ice ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Here we show on the basis of the new consistent long-term observational dataset APP-x, that the observed increase of sea ice extent in the Antarctic cannot compensate for the loss of Arctic sea ice in terms of the shortwave radiation budget in the polar oceans poleward of 50° latitude. The observations show, that apart from retreating sea-ice additional effects like albedo changes and especially changing cloud coverage lead to a total increase of solar shortwave energy deposited into the polar oceans despite of the marginal increase in Antarctic winter sea ice extent.

scholarly journals Modeling the annual cycle of daily Antarctic sea ice extent

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 2159-2172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark S. Handcock ◽  
Marilyn N. Raphael
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Traditional Method ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Phase Variation ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Concentration Data ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice

Abstract. The total Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) experiences a distinct annual cycle, peaking in September and reaching its minimum in February. In this paper we propose a mathematical and statistical decomposition of this temporal variation in SIE. Each component is interpretable and, when combined, gives a complete picture of the variation in the sea ice. We consider timescales varying from the instantaneous and not previously defined to the multi-decadal curvilinear trend, the longest. Because our representation is daily, these timescales of variability give precise information about the timing and rates of advance and retreat of the ice and may be used to diagnose physical contributors to variability in the sea ice. We define a number of annual cycles each capturing different components of variation, especially the yearly amplitude and phase that are major contributors to SIE variation. Using daily sea ice concentration data, we show that our proposed invariant annual cycle explains 29 % more of the variation in daily SIE than the traditional method. The proposed annual cycle that incorporates amplitude and phase variation explains 77 % more variation than the traditional method. The variation in phase explains more of the variability in SIE than the amplitude. Using our methodology, we show that the anomalous decay of sea ice in 2016 was associated largely with a change of phase rather than amplitude. We show that the long term trend in Antarctic sea ice extent is strongly curvilinear and the reported positive linear trend is small and dependent strongly on a positive trend that began around 2011 and continued until 2016.

scholarly journals NEMO-ICB (v1.0): interactive icebergs in the NEMO ocean model globally configured at coarse and eddy-permitting resolution

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 5661-5698 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Marsh ◽  
V. O. Ivchenko ◽  
N. Skliris ◽  
S. Alderson ◽  
G. R. Bigg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Coastal Current ◽  
Density Gradients ◽  
Surface Salinity ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Freshwater Forcing ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. NEMO-ICB features interactive icebergs in the NEMO ocean model. Simulations with coarse (2°) and eddy-permitting (0.25°) global configurations of NEMO-ICB are undertaken to evaluate the influence of icebergs on sea-ice, hydrography and transports, through comparison with control simulations in which the equivalent iceberg mass flux is applied as coastal runoff, the default forcing in NEMO. Comparing a short (14 year) spin-up of the 0.25° model with a computationally cheaper 105 year spin-up of the 2° configuration, calving, drift and melting of icebergs is evidently near equilibrium in the shorter simulation, justifying closer examination of iceberg influences in the eddy-permitting configuration. Freshwater forcing due to iceberg melt is most pronounced in southern high latitudes, where it is locally dominant over precipitation. Sea ice concentration and thickness in the Southern Ocean are locally increased with icebergs, by up to ~ 8 and ~ 25% respectively. Iceberg melting reduces surface salinity by ~ 0.2 psu around much of Antarctica, with compensating increases immediately adjacent to Antarctica, where coastal runoff is suppressed. Discernible effects on salinity and temperature extend to 1000 m. At many locations and levels, freshening and cooling indicate a degree of density compensation. However, freshening is a dominant influence on upper ocean density gradients across much of the high-latitude Southern Ocean, leading to weaker meridional density gradients, a reduced eastward transport tendency, and hence an increase of ~ 20% in westward transport of the Antarctic Coastal Current.

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