DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL PROCESSES IN THE MURMANSK REGION IN THE CONTEXT OF PENSION REFORM IMPLEMENTATION

Author(s):  
Tatiana P. Skufina ◽  
◽  
Sergey V. Baranov ◽  

The article deals with demographic and social processes in the Murmansk Oblast in the context of the implementation of pension reform in the Russian Federation. Theoretical and methodological ideas concerning the pension policy in the world and in the Russian Federation are summed up; the influence of retirement age increase on the number of working-age population in Russia and in the Murmansk region is estimated; sentiments of population of the Murmansk region in the context of the pension reform are revealed.

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (11) ◽  
pp. 81-85
Author(s):  
L. M. TSALLAGOVA ◽  
◽  
N. B. KETOEVA ◽  

The article presents materials that allow us to trace the implementation of the new pension reform conceived by the government of the Russian Federation and the reality that makes us fear the possible risk of social negativity among people of retirement age and younger generations.


Author(s):  
S.V. Lyuminarskaya

The article provides a general analysis of the legal support for a number of key changes in the pension legislation that have been implemented in the Russian Federation since the beginning of 2002 to the present. The article examines the quality of legal acts regulating pension relations from the point of legal technology. A number of negative trends and defects in legal regulation have been identified, as well as problematic aspects arising in the process of changing pension legislation that make it difficult to access legal acts and call into question the presumption of knowledge of the law. Special attention is paid to the legal support of the last stage of the pension reform, related to the increase in the retirement age from January 1, 2019. A critical assessment is given to a number of legislative decisions that cause difficulties in the implementation of citizens' pension rights. The article substantiates the need to improve the quality of legal regulation in the pension sphere, which is impossible without systematization of pension legislation.


Author(s):  
T. Skufina ◽  
S. Baranov

Приведена постановка проблемы и значимость оценки влияния повышения пенсионного возраста на основные макроэкономические показатели. Рассмотрено влияние повышения пенсионного возраста на численность трудоспособного населения Российской Федерации. Анализ реальных данных и трех вариантов прогноза численности трудоспособного населения до 2036 г. указал на устойчивый спад численности трудоспособного населения, наблюдаемый с 2006 г. Приведены оценки авторов, указывающие, что повышение возраста выхода на пенсию приостановил устойчивую тенденцию снижения численности трудоспособного населения в России. Ключевые слова: пенсионная реформа, трудоспособное население, ВВП, производственные функции, прогноз. The article presents the problem and the importance of assessing the impact of raising the retirement age on the main macroeconomic indicators. The influence of increasing the retirement age on the number of ablebodied population of the Russian Federation is considered. Analysis of real data and three variants of the workingage population forecast up to 2036 pointed to a steady decline in the working age population observed since 2006. The authors estimates indicate that the increase in the retirement age has suspended the steady decline in the number of workingage population in Russia. Key words: pension reform, ablebodied population, GDP, production functions, forecast.


2019 ◽  
pp. 80-86
Author(s):  
T. P. Skufina ◽  
S. V. Baranov

The presented study considers the susceptibility of gross domestic product (GDP) production to a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in retirement age starting with 2019.Aim. The study aims to examine the quantitative assessments of GDP production in Russia with allowance for the changes in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the actual retirement age.Tasks. The authors forecast the number of the working-age population with allowance for an increase in the retirement age; develop a model to establish a correlation between the number of the workingage population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production; quantify the impact of the shift in the number of the working-age population on GDP production in Russia. Methods. This study is based on the results of modeling and long-term forecasting.Results. An economic-mathematical model to establish a correlation between the number of the working-age population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production is presented. To specify the economic effects of a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the retirement age, Russia’s GDP production is forecasted for the “old” and “new” (increased retirement age) pension scheme. The forecast is provided for three variants of the number of the working-age population.Conclusions. It is found that with the “old” pension scheme with a lower retirement age GDP production across all three variants will decrease by 2036 compared to 2017. With regard to the “new” scheme that increases the retirement age, it is concluded that an increase in the retirement age is a factor that facilitates GDP production. However, its effect on economic growth will be insignificant.


Author(s):  
AS Shastin ◽  
VG Gazimova ◽  
OL Malykh ◽  
TS Ustyugova ◽  
TM Tsepilova

Introduction: In the context of a decreasing size of the working-age population, monitoring of the health status and disease incidence in this cohort shall be one of the most important tasks of public and occupational health professionals. Health risk management for the working population in the Russian Federation requires complete and reliable data on its morbidity, especially in view of the fact that its average age demonstrates a stable growth. It is, therefore, crucial to have precise and consistent information about the morbidity of the working-age population. Objective: The study aimed to assess incidence rates of diseases with temporary incapacity for work in the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District of the Russian Federation. Materials and methods: We reviewed data on disease incidence rates published by the Federal State Statistics Service in the Common Interdepartmental System of Statistical Information, Section 15.12, Causes of Temporary Disability, and Section 2.9.I.4, Federal Project for Public Health Promotion. The constituent entities under study were ranked according to the number of cases and days of temporary incapacity per 100 workers and E.L. Notkin scale was used to determine grade the incidence. The statistical analysis was performed using STATISTICA 10 software. Long-term average values of certain indicators, median values, standard deviation (σ) and coefficients of variation were estimated. The difference in the indices was assessed using the Mann-Whitney test. Results: Compared to 2010, incidence rates of diseases with temporary incapacity for work in the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District in 2019 demonstrated a significant decline. The sharp drop was observed in 2015. We also established that the Common Interdepartmental System of Statistical Information contains contradictory information on disease incidence. Conclusion: It is expedient to consider the issue of revising guidelines for organization of federal statistical monitoring of morbidity with temporary incapacity for work and to include this indicator in the system of public health monitoring.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Marina A. Kartseva

The article presents a comparative analysis of the level and structure of poverty of the Russian population using two different concepts of poverty definition — the absolute income criterion currently used by Rosstat, and the AROPE indicator of poverty and social exclusion. The paper also attempts to assess how the change of the methodology for determining poverty can affect the existence of the poverty status of individuals. The study is carried out both at a national level and at a federal district level. The empirical basis of the paper is selective observation of income of the population and participation in social programmes, conducted by Rosstat in 2017. The results show that in transition from the absolute income criterion to the multi-criteria AROPE index, the poverty level of the population of the Russian Federation significantly increases. The highest growth of poverty is among people over working age. The age structure of poverty also changes significantly. With AROPE, the proportion of older persons among the poor increases and the proportion of children decreases. It is also shown in the article that the transition from the current official methodology of poverty definition to the definition in accordance with AROPE’s methodology can lead to loss of the poverty status by part of the population, which, in case of the official transition to using AROPE index as a criterion for receiving social support, can have a negative impact on their socio-economic situation. The obtained results vary significantly by federal districts of the Russian Federation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-200
Author(s):  
Vladimir MASLOBOEV ◽  
◽  
Dmitry MAKAROV ◽  
Elena KLYUCHNIKOVA ◽  
◽  
...  

The Murmansk region is a region with the largest enterprises of the mining complex of the Russian Federation: KF JSC “Apatit”, JSC “Kola MMC”, JSC “Olkon”, JSC” Kovdorsky GOK”, JSC” North-West Phosphorus Company”, LLC”Lovozersky GOK”. They provide the majority of the country’s demand for phosphate ores, zirconium raw materials (baddeleyite), niobium, tantalum, and rare earth metals. In addition, the mining and processing of copper-nickel, iron and chrome ores, nepheline and ceramic raw materials, facing stone and building materials is carried out. At the same time, the activities of enterprises have a very negative impact on the environment. The issues of environmental safety in the extraction and processing of minerals, storage of mining waste in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation are of particular relevance. The definition of sustainable development in relation to the mining industry is given. The concepts of available best technologies, circular economy, and “green growth” are considered from the point of view of their contribution to sustainable development. It is shown that the sustainable development of enterprises at the present stage is impossible without improving the environmental friendliness of production. The article analyzes the legislation of the Russian Federation and the practice of its application to identify mechanisms that promote sustainable development and eliminate barriers to the implementation of this concept in the mining industry. New technological solutions have been developed for mining enterprises of the Murmansk region, aimed at reducing aero-technogenic emissions, cleaning waste (mine) water, processing tailings of enrichment as man-made deposits, which allows both to minimize man-made environmental impacts and to increase the full use of mineral raw materials. Thus, the expediency of using the principles of “green growth” for the development of economic development policies in the Arctic is justified.


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