scholarly journals On the Construction of a Leading Indicator Based on News Headlines for Predicting Greek Deposit Outflows

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Dimitris Anastasiou ◽  
Athanassios Petralias
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Internet Technology ◽  
Direct Access ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Crucial Importance ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
Leading Indicator ◽  
Negative Sentiment ◽  
News Headlines

Employing data in a monthly frequency, with a sample period spanning from 2002 to 2018, the purpose of this study is twofold. First, we construct a novel leading indicator based on news headlines drawn from Bloomberg, and second, examine whether this leading indicator able to capture agents’ sentiment affects Greek bank deposit flows’ trajectory. Employing alternative econometric methodologies, we find that this index proxies for depositors’ crisis sentiment and the higher this index becomes, the higher the depositors’ negative sentiment becomes, leading them to withdraw their bank deposits. Overall, in this work, we show that the last decade’s advances in internet technology, which permit us to have direct access to a vast amount of information such as news headlines, offers the possibility of forecasting critical measures in the economy’s banking system, such as the number of bank deposits, which are of crucial importance. Monetary poly authorities or macroprudential regulators could adapt our model to assess the resilience of a bank or the whole banking sector.

scholarly journals PROBLEMS OF ENSURING THE FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE BANKING SYSTEM

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Tarasova
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Loan Portfolio ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Banking Institution

The article explores the problems of ensuring the financial sustainability of the banking sector, which plays a very important role in the functioning of the financial system of the state. The role of the stability of the banking system in ensuring conditions of economic growth is justified. It is noted that it is the financial stability of each banking institution that is a prerequisite for the stable functioning of the entire banking system. It is emphasized that since the financial stability of the banking system is influenced by a large number of internal and external factors, for the effective functioning of the banking system of the country must be ready for any challenges to the macro and microenvironment. The main problems of the banking system in modern conditions should be considered the reduction of deposits of the population, deterioration of the quality of the loan portfolio, significant devaluation of the hryvnia, high inflation rates, loss-making of a significant number of banking institutions. It was concluded that the banking system of Ukraine feels a significant dependence on the funds of depositors - individuals, and therefore on factors that affect their behavior in the financial market. Trends of formation of deposit base of commercial banks of Ukraine and imbalances in the sphere of attraction of banking resources were analyzed. The growth of bank deposits of the population is slow, negative changes in their structure are observed. The share of deposits of individuals after the 2014 crisis has become significantly more volatile and risky in terms of financial stability. The increase in lending is complicated by the presence of large portfolios of problem loans, as a result of which there are a number of tasks to increase the efficiency of the loan portfolio, which should ensure a compromise of profitability, liquidity and credit risk acceptable to the bank. The priorities of monetary policy and the main tasks are formulated, the solution of which will allow to intensify lending to the real sector of the economy. Theoretical and practical recommendations have been developed to improve bank lending, increase the profitability of the banking system and capitalize Ukrainian banks.

Tajik remittance slump will weaken flawed banks

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
International Financial Institutions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
The Rich ◽  
The Government ◽  
Main Banks ◽  
Poor Management

Subject Tajikistan's troubled banking sector. Significance Tajikistan's banking system has been in crisis since 2015, as problems in Russia feed through to this remittance-dependent economy. A decline in funds sent home by labour migrants has shrunk bank deposits, and the proportion of non-performing loans has risen sharply. The cash crisis is exacerbated by poor management and cronyism in financial institutions. The main banks, Tojiksodirotbank and Agroinvestbank, have restricted customer withdrawals. Impacts International financial institutions will condition assistance on reforms. However, the government will balk at any reform measures liable to hurt the rich and powerful. The government may seek Chinese support for the banking sector.

scholarly journals The Role of Bank Loans and Deposits in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism In Malaysia

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salina Kassim ◽  
M. Shabri A. Majid
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Transmission Process ◽  
Bank Deposits

This study attempts to determine the importance of the banking sector in the monetary transmission process in a developing economy. The study analyzes the Malaysian data focusing on three sample periods: the entire sample period (1989:01-2006:12); the pre-crisis period (1989:01-1996:12); and the post-crisis period (1999:01-2006:12). To achieve this objective, the study relies on two tests: first, the auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for the long-run relationship among the variables and second, the impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis for the short-run relationship among the variables. The finding shows that both bank deposits and loans play crucial roles in the monetary transmission process in the economy, suggesting evidence for the money endogeneity theory of post-Keynesian economists. In particular, bank deposits and loans are shown to provide an important link from monetary policy to output. This underscores the importance of ensuring the soundness of banking system as a pre-requisite to economic stability in the absence of such market based tools as market-based actions on exchange rate or interest rates as monetary stabilisation tools.  

Internet Banking System in South Asian Countries

2009 ◽  
pp. 222-242
Author(s):  
Farrukh Amin
Keyword(s):  
South Asian ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Internet Banking ◽  
Customer Relationship ◽  
Internet Technology ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
The Public ◽  
Public Sector Banks ◽  
Internet Banking System

The Banking Sector in Pakistan is in its developing state of employing Internet Technology for conducting transactions, interactivity and customer relationship management. Government of Pakistan has brought in efforts to improve the situation. In this regard many of the Public sector banks have been privatized in the last decade. The State Bank of Pakistan (Central Bank in Pakistan) has adopted effective measures and introduced reforms for application of Information Technology for using Internet Banking services. This chapter identifies the implementation of the Internet Technology in Pakistan in particular and in South Asian countries in general. The chapter replicates the Diniz (1998) model using the case of Pakistan and other South Asian countries as an example of an emerging banking sector using Internet.

Stress-testing Russian Banking System: Will Banks Need Government Assistance Again?

2010 ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Solntsev ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
M. Mamonov
Keyword(s):  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Government Assistance ◽  
Methodological Issues ◽  
Loan Portfolio ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Remote Stress ◽  
Capital Injections

The article analyzes factors that affect growth of the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio of Russian banks and proposes approaches for this share forecasting on the basis of dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. It also deals with methodological issues of remote stress-test of lending agencies. Using the results of conducted stress-test of Russian banks the authors assess their perspective capital needs in 2010 and estimate the share of government assistance in capital injections. Furthermore, the authors define the scale of vulnerable banks groups in the Russian banking sector.

BANK SPÓŁDZIELCZY (COOPERATIVE BANK) AS A GUARANTOR OF THE STABILISATION OF THE LOCAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM1

2019 ◽  
pp. 173-179
Author(s):  
Andrzej Pawlik
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Local Development ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Statistical Data Analysis ◽  
Data Analysis Method ◽  
Strong Position ◽  
Cooperative Banks

Urgency of the research. One of the most essential sources of supporting regional and local development is the banking system. Target setting. The study presented describes cooperative banking, represented by Bank Polskiej Spółdzielczości S.A. and Bank Spółdzielczy w Kielcach. The use of the statistical data analysis method allowed to demonstrate the strong position of cooperative banking in the market, fostering regional and local development. Actual scientific researches and issues analysis. The foundations for the modern cooperative banking sector were laid by cooperative financial organisations functioning more than 150 years ago [Pawlik, 2017, s. 152]. Its history is connected with difficulties faced in the period of partitions, work at the foundations after the end of World War I and Poland’s regaining its national independence. Uninvestigated parts of general matters defining. At present, cooperative banking functions as a result of the adoption by the Sejm of the Republic of Poland on 7 December 2000 of the act on the functioning of cooperative banks, their associations and associating banks, which ensured new legal conditions for the functioning of the sector2. The research objective. The article formulates the hypothesis that nowadays activities of cooperative banks will contribute to regional and local development. The statement of basic materials. One of the most essential sources of supporting regional and local development is the banking system. This system can guarantee the stabilisation of the local financial system. By supporting the development of regional and local entrepreneurship through loans, investment activities of the banks and financial and investment consulting, it will determine the identity of the region concerned. Conclusions. The use of the statistical data analysis method allowed to demonstrate the strong position of cooperative banking in the market, fostering regional and local development.

Information Technology Development Risks in the Banking Sector

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 44-53
Author(s):  
N. E. Sokolinskaya ◽  
L. M. Kupriyanova
Keyword(s):  
Information Technology ◽  
Customer Service ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Technology Development ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Security Risk ◽  
On Line ◽  
Information Technology Development ◽  
Development Risks ◽  
Security Risk Management

The relevance of the article is because in parallel with the processes of introduction of innovations in the field of automation and computerization of the banking system, the number of types of banking risks associated with innovations in the field of on-line customer service and internal Bank reporting, as well as information systems. As a result of this article, we have studied the latest legislative acts of the Central Bank of Russia as a mega-regulator and summarized the practice of both individual credit institutions and the banking sector in the field of information technology development risks in the banking sector. To strengthen the development of new financial technologies in the digital economy, it is necessary to regularly discuss the emergence of new phenomena and innovations; to consider the possibility of further analysis of existing methodological developments to exchange best practices of banks. Building an effective it security risk management system is not a one-time project. Still, a complex process is important, focused on minimizing external and internal threats and taking into account the limitations on resources and time factor

Collusion in the Turkish Banking Sector

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Resul Aydemir
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Market Concentration ◽  
Regulatory Agencies ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Conjectural Variation ◽  
Average Mark ◽  
Market Conduct ◽  
Variation Approach

In this paper, I consider the Turkish Banking Industry, which is dominated by a few large banks. Using a conjectural variation approach, I estimate a structural model to examine the market conduct of the largest banks for the period 1988-2009. Estimation results suggest that the Turkish banks colluded in the loan market during the sample period where the average mark-up is estimated to be in the range of 44% to 86% depending on the empirical specification. This evidence demonstrates a conflict between market concentration and competition in the Turkish banking industry. Thus, regulatory agencies should be cautious against attempts to increase concentration in the banking industry.

EMERGING TRENDS IN BANKING SECTOR - ITS CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (26) ◽  
Author(s):  
Karigoleshwar .
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Major Change ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Emerging Trends ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities ◽  
Multiple Regions

In financial sector the banking industry is the largest player, has also been undergoing a major change. Today the banking industry is stronger and capable of withstanding the pressures of competition. Today, we are having a fairly well developed banking system with different classes of banks – public sector banks, foreign banks, private sector banks – both old and new generation, regional rural banks and co-operative banks with the Reserve Bank of India as the fountain Head of the system. In the banking field, there has been an unprecedented growth and diversification of banking industry has been so stupendous that it has no parallel in the annals of banking anywhere in the world. The banking industry has experienced a series of significant transformations in the last few decades. Among the most important of them is the change in the type of organizations that dominate the landscape. Since the eighties, banks have increased the scope and scale of their activities and several banks have become very large institutions with a presence in multiple regions of the country.' The paper examines the new trends in commercial banking. The present era the cashless transactions, E-cheques, mobile wallets. The paper attempts to present the emerging trends and its challenges that recently emerged in the banking sector with special emphasis on digitization. It will be useful to the academicians, banking and insurance personnel, students and researchers. Common readers also know the latest innovations in banking sector

Same Story, Different Place?

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viral V. Acharya ◽  
Tim Eisert ◽  
Christian Eufinger ◽  
Christian Hirsch
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Balance Sheets ◽  
System P ◽  
Loan Supply ◽  
European Banking ◽  
European Debt Crisis

This chapter compares the recapitalizations of the Japanese banking sector in the 1990s with those in the ongoing European debt crisis. The analysis points to four main policy implications. First, recapitalizing banks by insuring or purchasing troubled assets alone is not likely to solve the problem of banks’ weak capitalization, as this measure is not able to adjust the extent of the recapitalization to the banks’ specific needs. Second, the amount of the recapitalization should be based on actual capital shortages and not risk-weighted assets to avoid banks decreasing their loan supply. Third, banks should face restrictions regarding the amount of dividends they are allowed to pay out. Finally, banks must be induced to clean up their balance sheets and reduce the amount of bad (non-performing) loans to rebuild confidence in the European banking system.

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