scholarly journals How the Crowding-out Effect Hypothesis Stands Under a Financial System Liberalised: The Mexican Economy Case

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 246
Author(s):  
Benjamin Garcia Paez
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
The Public ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Financial Liberalisation ◽  
Effect Hypothesis ◽  
Work Done

This paper revisits the financial-liberalisation hypothesis predicting one negative effect of public investment on private investment, which led to the de-regularisation of the financial system in Mexico and many other Less-developed Countries (LDCs) so as to probe whether such tenet hold today even when the role played by the public sector has evolved from having a direct intervention in credit allocation scheme to the fulfilment of a limited duties such as the surveillance of the money and capital markets under a financial liberalization environment. Considering Mexico as a case study, an econometric exercise over the 1970-2019 period is tried crunching official statistical data. Besides a brief introduction, the second section discusses theoretical issues concerning the effects of public investment on private investment, likewise some empirical work done in this field. The third section develops the methodology used to taste the net effect of public investment on private investment and presents also the results estimates. Finally, some conclusions derived from the empirical evidence found in the analysis and a brief discussion are laid down.

scholarly journals How Plausible the Predicted Superiority of Private Over Public Investment Still Stands, If Ever?

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Benjamin García Páez
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
The Public ◽  
Financial Liberalisation ◽  
Work Done ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Theoretical Issues

This essay aims to test the hypothesis held by the Theory of Financial Liberalisation in the sense that financial resources diverted by non-market forces are inefficiently allocated, ergo, public investment is less productive than private investment. The relationship between public and        private investment and the productivity in both the public and the private     sectors are then analysed in search of empirical evidence to discern the endurance of such hypothesis throughout the changing evolution of the Mexican financial system since 1970 up to 2019. The paper is arranged in four sections. Firstly, some historical financial liberalisation events are put forward. Secondly, theoretical issues concerning the concept    of productivity of the two types of investment are discussed. It also reviews empirical work done on the productivity in less-developed countries. Thirdly, an attempt to measure productivity of both public and private investment in Mexico is made. It then describes the methodology and the estimation results obtained for Mexico are launched. Finally, main conclusions are delivered.

scholarly journals Is the Private Sector more Productive than the Public Sector?

1991 ◽  
Vol 30 (4II) ◽  
pp. 721-729
Author(s):  
Khwaja Sarmad
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Total Production ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Government

In developing countries the rapid growth of the public sector during the past few decades was viewed as an important means for accelerating the pace of economic growth. In most developing countries the public sector now accounts for a prominent share of total production and investment. But the contribution of the public sector to growth has been much below expectations. In many cases public enterprises require large subsidies from the government and impose a significant fiscal burden on the economy, which leads to the notion that the private sector is much more productive than the public sector. However, little empirical work has been done in this field so that the proposals that emphasize the private sector vis-a-vis the public sector rest largely on theoretical considerations. Recent work by Khan and Reinhart (1990) is an important exception. Using cross-section data for the seventies of 24 developing countries they show that the arguments favouring the private sector in adjustment programmes have empirical support. Khan and Reinhart estimate a growth model in which the effect of private and public investment on growth is separated. A comparison of the marginal productivities of the two types of investment allows them to conclude that "all in all, there does seem to be some merit in the key role assigned to private investment in the development process by supporters of market -based strategies". [Khan and Reinhart (1990), p. 25.]

scholarly journals Crowding-out Hypothesis in a Vector Error Correction Framework: A Case Study of Pakistan

2001 ◽  
Vol 40 (4II) ◽  
pp. 633-650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kalim Hyder
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
The Public ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Development Expenditure ◽  
Negative Effect

Under the umbrella of the IMF stabilisation programmes, Pakistan has pursued a policy of fiscal consolidation since 1988. A look at the budget deficit from 1988 onwards reveals that the policy has only been marginally successful. Even this fragile accomplishment of the Fund-based programme has been achieved at a much greater cost: the reduction in budget deficit has only been materialised because of the curtailment of development expenditure component of total fiscal outlays [Social Policy and Development Centre (2001)]. Economic theory suggests that development expenditure component of fiscal outlays, which also equals net investment by the public sector,1 has a significant relationship with both the rate of private investment and economic growth. If public investment increases, fewer funds will be available for private investment. Competition will thereby drive the interest rates up leading to lower level of private investment. Neo-classicals believe that this process will only result in a redistribution of gross national between the public and the private sector and the rate of economic growth will remain intact. On the other hand, Keynesians argue that the multiplier effect of higher public spending will be larger as compared to the induced negative effect of reduced private investment on the rate of economic activity and, therefore, gross national product will increase.

scholarly journals Inversión Pública y sus implicancias en el desarrollo socioeconómico en el Departamento de Puno Perú.

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alcides Huamaní Peralta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Public Management ◽  
Econometric Model ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
The Public ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
National Governments

<p>Se pretende explicar y analizar las implicancias que ha tenido la inversión pública de los gobiernos locales y el gobierno regional en el Departamento de Puno sobre el desarrollo socioeconómico; en los últimos años<a href="file:///C:/Users/FORTUNATO/Desktop/aptos%20ria%2018n3/8-%20INVERSI%C3%92N%20P%C3%99BLICA%20alcides%20huamani%20peralta.doc#_msocom_1">]</a> , la gestión pública es cuestionado principalmente porque éstas no han mostrado mejoras significativas en el desarrollo socioeconómico a pesar del incremento de recursos. Se ha considerado información anual del 2007 al 2014, referida a gobiernos subnacionales; para el primer objetivo se ha realizado la caracterización de gobiernos locales y gobierno regional; para el segundo objetivo, se analiza las implicancias que tiene la inversión pública sobre el desarrollo socioeconómico, mediante un modelo econométrico. Se ha caracterizado a la gestión de los gobiernos locales y el gobierno regional, encontrando problemas en la ejecución de inversiones, como la falta de calidad en proyectos de inversión, hechos de corrupción, limitadas capacidades de autoridades y funcionarios, y problemas de transparencia y procesos participativos; se ha evidenciado que las inversiones públicas tienen efectos muy limitados o marginales sobre el desarrollo socioeconómico en nuestro departamento, esto se infiere de los resultados del modelo econométrico aplicado. Conforme a la evidencia empírica, los gobiernos subnacionales no han generado mejoras significativas en las condiciones de vida de la población y condiciones favorables para el sector privado.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p><strong> </strong></p><p align="center"><strong>ABSTRACT.</strong></p><p><strong> </strong></p><p>We  try to explain and analyze the implications that had the public investment of local governments and the regional government in the Department of Puno about the socio-economic development; in recent years, was questioned mainly because they have not shown significant improvements in the socio-economic development despite the increase of resources. It has been considered annual information from 2007 to 2014, referring about sub-national governments; for the first objective it has been taken characterization of local government and regional government; for the second objective, it has been analized the implications that has the public investment on the socio-economic development, using an econometric model. It has been characterized the management local governments and regional government, finding problems in the execution of investments, such as the lack of quality in investment projects, acts of corruption, limited capacities of authorities and civil servants, and problems of transparency and participatory processes;  this shows that public investments have very limited or marginal effects on the socio-economic development in our department, this is the conclussion  from the results of the applied econometric model. According to the empiric evidence, sub-national governments have not generated significant improvements in population’s  living conditions and favourable conditions for the private sector.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Key words: public management, private investment, standard of living.<strong></strong></p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p>

scholarly journals Public Sector Finances as Determinants of Private Investment in PPP Projects – Experiences from Select Countries

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Satinder Bhatia
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Indian States ◽  
Checks And Balances ◽  
Private Partnership ◽  
The Public

Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects have been gaining in popularity in many developing countries along with developed countries. While there has been sufficient research on private sector capacity to make the partnership successful, not much research exists on the importance of the financial health of the public sector in PPP projects. The premise of the current research is that strong public sector finances instil confidence in the private sector of governments’ ability to honour PPP commitments and that, in turn, increases the attractiveness of PPP projects. Through a number of case studies relating to government finances of Indian states and other countries, it is seen that governments which have checks and balances to issuance of guarantees and other forms of indirect support for PPP projects are actually able to attract higher levels of PPP investment.

REGIONAL CONVERGENCE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH DURING POST-REFORM PERIOD IN INDIA

2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (02) ◽  
pp. 1450012 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAGANNATH MALLICK
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Club Convergence ◽  
Conditional Convergence ◽  
Indian States ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run

This paper examines the club-convergence and conditional convergence of economic growth of the major 15 states in India over the periods from 1993–1994 to 2004–2005 by using dynamic fixed effect growth models. The result finds that there is club-convergence within the middle income states. There is also evidence of the convergence of per capita income among Indian states by conditioning private investment and public investment along with other factors of economic growth. This paper is innovative in separating the significance of private investment from the public investment in the long-run dynamics of income in Indian states. This paper suggests that regional disparity in income can be reduced by equitable allocation of private investment and equitable distribution of public investment.

scholarly journals Public / Private Investment Linkages: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis

2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (4II) ◽  
pp. 805-817
Author(s):  
Abdul Rashid
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stable Association ◽  
The Developed Countries

The issue of whether public investment crowds out or crowds in private investment has received considerable attention in the economic literature. Most of the empirical studies that examined the long run stable association between public and private investment have focused on examining this relationship for the developed countries with very little attention on the developing countries. The empirical results of these studies, however, are highly controversial. The existing empirical studies in this area can be divided into three categories. The studies in the first category including Barro (1974), Kormendi (1983), and Feldstein (1982) have examined the empirical implications of the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis (REH). The empirical results of most of the studies in this category were supportive of the REH. Seater (1993) argues that good empirical studies generally provide evidence in support of the REH; however, some studies refute it owing to the lake of econometric accuracy.

scholarly journals The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment: A Disaggregated Analysis

2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (4II) ◽  
pp. 639-663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noman Saeed ◽  
Kalim Hyder ◽  
Asghar Ali
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Economic Literature ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Multiplier Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Statistical Results

The impact of public investment on private investment has been a matter of great interest in economic literature. Classical economists believed that public investment crowds out private investment. While Keynesian economists counter this argument and argued that public investment increases or crowds in private investment because of the multiplier effect. Many of the empirical studies have directly examined this by testing whether a statistically significant relationship exists or not, between public investment and private investment. The empirical work appears with mixed statistical results on the relationship between public and private investment. Results of Erenburg and Wohar (1995), Pereira (2001, 2003), Pereira and Roca-Sagales (2001), Hyder (2002) and Naqvi (2002) showed that public investment crowds in private investment while Pradhan, Ratha and Sarma (1990), Haque and Montiel (1993), Ahmed (1994), Voss (2002) and Narayan (2004) showed that public investment crowds out private investment.

scholarly journals Exploring the Channels of Transmission between External Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Adewale Hassan ◽  
Daniel Meyer
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Linear Effect ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Ssa Countries

This study aimed to determine the channels through which external debt transmits its impact on economic growth in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. To this end, panel data comprising 30 SSA countries were investigated for the period 1985–2019, using the system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation technique. The study identified public investment, private investment and total factor productivity as channels transmitting the non-linear effect from external debt to economic growth. Furthermore, the interest rate was also confirmed as a channel but with a direct effect. Contrariwise, the estimates indicated that savings are not a channel of transmission from external debt to economic growth in SSA. These findings call for urgent action from SSA countries to reduce their external debt stocks and implement alternative macroeconomic non-debt strategies to improve the identified channels to counteract the negative effect of high external debt on them.

scholarly journals The public-private investment nexus in India: Evidence from a policy simulation approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (224) ◽  
pp. 101-128
Author(s):  
Sajad Bhat ◽  
Javed Bhat ◽  
Taufeeq Ajaz
Keyword(s):  
Service Sector ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
The Public ◽  
Modelling Framework ◽  
Complementary Effect ◽  
Deficit Financing ◽  
Generalised Method Of Moments ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Simulation Exercises

This study investigates the influence of public investment on private investment in India, at both the aggregate and Sectoral levels and under two different modes of deficit financing - monetisation and commercial borrowing - in an eclectic macroeconometric modelling framework. Using Generalised Method of Moments (GMM), the two simulation exercises conducted in the study highlight the crowdingin effect of public investment on aggregate private investment, irrespective of the mode of financing. The favourable accelerator effect and the complementary effect are found to outweigh the deleterious interest effect in both simulation exercises. At the Sectoral level, public investment is found to most strongly and positively affect private investment in manufacturing, followed by agriculture, the service sector, and finally infrastructure. The impact of public investment on the other sectors included in the model accords well with theoretical expectations.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document