scholarly journals Econometric Analysis of Residential Sector Gas Demand Elasticities in Gas Exporting Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Eshagh Mansourkiaee ◽  
Hussein Moghaddam
Keyword(s):  
Price Elasticity ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Residential Sector ◽  
Price And Income Elasticities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Income And Price Elasticities ◽  
Price Policies

This paper examines how residential sector gas demand in gas exporting countries response to changes by taking into consideration the economic variables. For this purpose, the short and long-run price and income elasticities of residential sector gas demand in the GECF countries for 2000 and 2019 are measured. Using Cobb-Douglas functional form, this paper applies the bounds testing approach to co-integrate within the framework of ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag). Findings of this research show that there is a significant long-run relationship in nine GECF countries, including Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Malaysia, Norway, Peru, Russia, Trinidad and Tobago and Venezuela, that use gas as a source of energy in their residential sector. On average, long-rung income elasticity for underlying countries is 2.65, while long-run price elasticity is negative and calculated at 0.79. This shows that in considered gas exporting countries, residential sector gas demand is very sensitive to income policies, while the price policies impact on demand is more limited. Furthermore, short-run income and price elasticities are estimated at 6.99 and -0.02 (near zero) respectively, which implies that natural gas is very inelastic to price, as a result,price policies are unable to make significant changes in demand over the short-term. Meanwhile, as expected short-run price elasticity is lower than long-run elasticities, indicating that gas exporting countries are more responsive to price in the long-term than in the short-term. Finally, it was found that most of the preferred models have empirical constancy over the sample period. 

scholarly journals An econometric modelling of the savings – investments nexus for Ghana

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-56
Author(s):  
Samuel Asuamah Yeboah ◽  
◽  
Boateng Kwadwo Prempeh ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Structural Break ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Predictive Test ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Introduction. The problem under discussion is whether savings are associated with investments in the long-term and whether savings predict investment with feedback or not. Addressing the problem is important since it informs policy formulation in the financial sector in ensuring efficient financial intermediation. The purpose of the article is looks at the savings-investment relationship for Ghana during the period 1960 to 2016. Methodology. Utilizing ARDL (with bounds testing) approach, the Granger predictive test, the Generalised Impulse Response Function, and Variance decomposition function. Results. The results indicate that a 1% increase in savings, GDP and financial development would result in a 0.069%, 0.266% and 0.125% increase respectively in investment in the short-term. It is discovered that savings do not cause investment in the long-run but rather in the short-run. The Granger causality test establishes a unidirectional causality running from savings to investment in the short-run. Discussion and Conclusion. The ramifications of the finding are that there is capital fixed status globally. Future examinations ought to consider structural break(s) issues as well as panel analysis to determine if the findings of the current study would be reproduced.

Price and Income Elasticities of Natural Gas Demand in Egypt: A Bound Test Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Markos Farag ◽  
Chahir Zaki
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Income Elasticities ◽  
Price And Income Elasticities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Consumption ◽  
Natural Gas Demand ◽  
Income And Price Elasticities

Abstract This paper provides short and long-run estimates of price and income elasticities of Egypt’s natural gas demand using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration over the period 1983–2015. The results show that the long-run income and price elasticities, in absolute values, are greater than their counterparts in the short run. This result is due to the fact that consumers can modify their consumption habits and plans in the long run as a response to changes in the income or the price. Moreover, natural gas demand is more responsive to changes in income than changes in price in both the short and long run. Finally, the study examines the causality relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth for the gas-consuming sectors in Egypt. The results indicate that there is no causal relationship between the two variables for the electricity, petroleum, and household sectors in the short-run. By contrast, there is a unidirectional causality running from natural gas consumption to the economic activity of the transportation sector and a unidirectional causality running from economic activity to natural gas consumption by the industry sector.

scholarly journals Estimating the Determinants of Food Import Demand in Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 238-252
Author(s):  
Saada Abdullahi ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Import Demand ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Income Elasticities ◽  
Price And Income Elasticities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Annual Time Series

This paper examines the determinants of food import demand in Africa taking the case of Nigeria using the ARDL bounds testing approach. Specifically, the study aims to estimates the short run and long run price and income elasticities of food import demand in Nigeria. The paper used annual time series data over the period 1981 to 2019. The empirical result indicates the existence of a long run equilibrium relationship between food import demand and its determinants. The long run price and income elasticities are -4.57% and 5.57%, respectively. The result shows that population and food production exert significant influence in determining food import demand in both the short run and long run while exchange rate is insignificant in the long run. The paper recommends that price and income-oriented policies will be effective measures in controlling food import demand in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Gasoline Demand Elasticities at the Backdrop of Lower Oil Prices: Fuel-Subsidizing Country Case

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 6752
Author(s):  
Jeyhun I. Mikayilov ◽  
Shahriyar Mukhtarov ◽  
Jeyhun Mammadov
Keyword(s):  
Price Elasticity ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Gasoline Demand ◽  
Increase Energy Efficiency ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Income And Price Elasticities ◽  
Income Elasticity Of Demand ◽  
Over Time

This study investigates the income and price elasticities of gasoline demand for a fuel subsidizing country case, applying three different time-varying coefficient approaches to the data spanning the period from January 2002 to June 2018. The empirical estimations concluded a cointegration relationship between gasoline demand, income, and gasoline price. The income elasticity found ranges from 0.10 to 0.29, while the price elasticity remains constant over time, being −0.15. Income elasticity increases over time, slightly decreasing close to the end of the period, which is specific for a developing country. In the short run, gasoline demand does not respond to the changes in income and price. The policy implications are discussed based on the findings of the study. Research results show that since the income elasticity of demand is not constant, the use of constant elasticities obtained in previous studies might be misleading for policymaking purposes. An increase in income elasticity might be the cause of the inefficiency of the existing vehicles. The small price elasticity allows to say that if policy makers plan to reduce gasoline consumption then increasing its price would not substantially reduce the consumption. The current situation can be utilized to increase energy efficiency and implement eco-friendly technologies. For this purpose, the quality of existing transport modes can be improved. Meanwhile, to meet households’ needs, policies such as providing soft auto loans need to be formed to balance the recent drop in car sales.

Income and Price Elasticities of Crude Oil Demand in Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 1373-1383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalil Jebran ◽  
Abdullah ◽  
Mahmoud Moustafa Elhabbaq ◽  
Arshad Ali
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Price Elasticities ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Oil Demand ◽  
Income And Price Elasticities

This study is an attempt to examine the income and price elasticities of crude oil demand in Pakistan using annual data from 1981 to 2013. The short-and long-run relationship was analysed by autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. The results reveal that income and exchange rate show significant positive relationship with crude oil demand in short run as well as in long run. The analyses also show that crude oil price and domestic production have negative effect in both short and long run on crude oil demand. The income is found to be a strong determinant of crude oil demand in both short and long run. This study suggests that strategies would be formulated and adopted which may control the demand of crude oil without affecting the economic growth of Pakistan.

Income and Price Elasticities by Nationality for Tourists in Denmark

1998 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas C. Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Price Elasticity ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Price Elasticities ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Income And Price Elasticities ◽  
Tourism Revenue

This paper presents estimates of income and price elasticities for the six most important nationalities visiting Denmark as tourists. The estimates are based on two different measures of the Danish tourism revenue: the number of nights spent and the currency exchange statistics. The explanatory variables are prices and income abroad. The estimates vary considerably across nationalities. For German tourists, who account for the largest share in Danish tourism, the estimates for price elasticities are quite high: the long-run price elasticity with respect to the prices in Denmark is close to −1.5 and the long-run income elasticity is found to be near 2.

scholarly journals Economic Development, CO2 Emissions and Energy Use Nexus-Evidence from the Danube Region Countries

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3165
Author(s):  
Eva Litavcová ◽  
Jana Chovancová
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Mutual Cooperation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Danube Region ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this study is to examine the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics and causal relationships between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in 14 Danube region countries over the period of 1990–2019. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology was applied for each of the examined variables as a dependent variable. Limited by the length of the time series, we excluded two countries from the analysis and obtained valid results for the others for 26 of 36 ARDL models. The ARDL bounds reliably confirmed long-run cointegration between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Austria, Czechia, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Economic growth and energy consumption have a significant impact on carbon emissions in the long-run in all of these four countries; in the short-run, the impact of economic growth is significant in Austria. Likewise, when examining cointegration between energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in the short-run, a significant contribution of CO2 emissions on energy consumptions for seven countries was found as a result of nine valid models. The results contribute to the information base essential for making responsible and informed decisions by policymakers and other stakeholders in individual countries. Moreover, they can serve as a platform for mutual cooperation and cohesion among countries in this region.

scholarly journals Testing for Changes in the Price Elasticity of Residential Electricity Demand

1986 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas H. Stevens ◽  
Gail Adams
Keyword(s):  
Public Policy ◽  
Price Elasticity ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Electricity Demand ◽  
Recent Period ◽  
Residential Sector ◽  
Real Price ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Residential Electricity

The demand for electricity in the residential sector is estimated to have become less elastic for the recent period of rising real prices as compared to earlier periods of stable or falling real price. Several possible reasons for this are investigated and we conclude that demand appears to be asymmetric with respect to price in both the short and long run. We then examine whether or not this is an important factor for forecast accuracy and public policy.

Determinants of Treasury-LIBOR Swap Spreads

2005 ◽  
Vol 08 (04) ◽  
pp. 687-705 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. K. Malhotra ◽  
Vivek Bhargava ◽  
Mukesh Chaudhry
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Swap Spreads

Using data from the Treasury versus London Interbank Offer Swap Rates (LIBOR) for October 1987 to June 1998, this paper examines the determinants of swap spreads in the Treasury-LIBOR interest rate swap market. This study hypothesizes Treasury-LIBOR swap spreads as a function of the Treasury rate of comparable maturity, the slope of the yield curve, the volatility of short-term interest rates, a proxy for default risk, and liquidity in the swap market. The study finds that, in the long-run, swap spreads are negatively related to the yield curve slope and liquidity in the swap market. We also find that swap spreads are positively related to the short-term interest rate volatility. In the short-run, swap market's response to higher default risk seems to be higher spread between the bid and offer rates.

The Income Elasticity of Gross Sports Betting Revenues in Nevada: Short-Run and Long-Run Estimates

2021 ◽  
pp. 152700252110369
Author(s):  
Ege Can ◽  
Mark W. Nichols
Keyword(s):  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Similar Rate ◽  
Sports Betting ◽  
Tax Base ◽  
Income Elasticities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Sports Gambling ◽  
The Supreme Court ◽  
Short Run ◽  
State Income

In May 2018, the Supreme Court overturned the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act, thereby allowing all states to offer sports betting. Prior to this, Nevada was the only state with unrestricted sports betting. Using sports betting data from Nevada, we estimate long-run and short-run income elasticities to determine the growth and volatility of sports betting as a tax base. Sports gambling grows at a similar rate as state income and is stable and insensitive to short-run shocks to income. However, the amount of money kept by casinos, and hence the state, is small compared to other traditional tax bases.

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