A JOINPOINT REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN LEUKEMIA INCIDENCE AND MORTALITY IN CENTRAL SERBIA AND NIŠAVA DISTRICT (1999-2014)

AbstractDementia is a major public health concern in ageing societies. Although the population of Japan is among the most aged worldwide, long-term trends in the place of death (PoD) among patients with dementia is unknown. In this Japanese nationwide observational study, we analysed trends in PoD using the data of patients with dementia who were aged ≥65 years and died during 1999–2016. Trends in the crude death rates and PoD frequencies were analysed using the Joinpoint regression model. Changes in these trends were assessed using the Joinpoint regression analysis in which significant change points, the annual percentage change (APC) and average APCs (AAPC) in hospitals, homes, or nursing homes were estimated. During 1999–2016, the number of deaths among patients with dementia increased from 3,235 to 23,757 (total: 182,000). A trend analysis revealed increased mortality rates, with an AAPC of 8.2% among men and 9.3% among women. Most patients with dementia died in the hospital, although the prevalence of hospital deaths decreased (AAPC: -1.0%). Moreover, the prevalence of nursing home deaths increased (AAPC: 5.6%), whereas the prevalence of home deaths decreased (AAPC: -5.8%). These findings support a reconsideration of the end-of-life care provided to patients with dementia.

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The global epidemiology of bladder cancer: a joinpoint regression analysis of its incidence and mortality trends and projection

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-018-19199-z ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 62

Author(s):

Martin C. S. Wong ◽

Franklin D. H. Fung ◽

Colette Leung ◽

Wilson W. L. Cheung ◽

William B. Goggins ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Bladder Cancer ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Mortality Trends ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis ◽

Global Epidemiology ◽

Incidence And Mortality

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A nationwide trend analysis in the incidence and mortality of Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease in Japan between 2005 and 2014

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-020-72519-0 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Yoshito Nishimura ◽

Ko Harada ◽

Toshihiro Koyama ◽

Hideharu Hagiya ◽

Fumio Otsuka

Keyword(s):

Disease Burden ◽

Vital Statistics ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Incidence And Mortality ◽

Jakob Disease ◽

Long Term Trends ◽

The Government ◽

Adjusted Incidence

Abstract In the era of hyper-ageing, Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease (CJD) can become more prevalent as an important cause of dementia. This study aimed to evaluate the trends in crude and age-adjusted CJD-associated mortality and incidence rates in Japan using national vital statistics data on CJD-associated deaths among individuals aged over 50 years, as well as the government-funded nationwide CJD surveillance data (pertaining to the years 2005–2014) in Japan. The data were analysed using the Joinpoint Regression Program to estimate the long-term trends and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Overall, the AAPCs of age-adjusted CJD-associated mortality rates rose significantly over the study period (3.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4–5.1%). The AAPC of the age-adjusted incidence rates also increased (overall 6.4%; 95% CI 4.7–8.1%). The CJD-associated increases in the mortality and incidence rates were especially prominent among adults over the age of 70 years. Given this trend in aging of population, the disease burden of CJD will continue to increase in severity. Our findings thus recommend that policymakers be aware of the importance of CJD and focus on preparing to address the increasing prevalence of dementia.

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Long-term Trend in Infant Mortality in India: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis for 1981-2018

10.1101/2020.06.03.20120907 ◽

2020 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Aalok Ranjan Chaurasia

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Infant Mortality ◽

International Standards ◽

Infant Mortality Rate ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Registration System ◽

Term Trend ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis ◽

Long Term Trend

AbstractInfant mortality rate (IMR) in India remains high by international standards. India accounts for largest number of global infant deaths. This study analyses the trend in IMR in India over almost four decades beginning 1981 through 2018. The analysis is based on the official estimates of IMR available through sample registration system. Long-term trend in IMR is analysed by using joinpoint regression analysis which reveals that the trend in IMR in India changed four times during the period 1981-2018 and the trend has been different for different states of the country. The annual proportionate decrease in IMR was the most rapid during 1985-92 in the country and in most of its states but slowed down considerably during the period 1992-99. The significant deceleration in the decrease in IMR during 1992-99 appears to be the result of the policy shift in the delivery of maternal and child health services. Had the decrease in IMR not decelerated during 1992-99, the IMR in India would have been decreased to less than 20 by 2018.

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Changing trends in age-adjusted pulmonary fibrosis mortality in the USA: a joinpoint regression analysis

European Respiratory Journal ◽

10.1183/13993003.00364-2019 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 54 (1) ◽

pp. 1900364 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Evans R. Fernández Pérez

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Pulmonary Fibrosis ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Changing Trends ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis ◽

The Usa

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Increases of suicide rates in Kansas: results from 2009-2018

Journal of Public Mental Health ◽

10.1108/jpmh-04-2020-0027 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽

Author(s):

Jason D. Lloyd ◽

David W. Oakley

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Design Methodology ◽

Percentage Change ◽

Sex Characteristics ◽

Annual Percentage Change ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Content Type ◽

Suicide Rates ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis ◽

The Difference

Purpose The purpose of this study is to evaluate the increase in suicide rates for Kansas residents, as well as quantify the difference in suicide rates between men and women across the State of Kansas. Design/methodology/approach To evaluate increases in suicide rates, a joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to calculate the annual percentage change in suicide rates. To evaluate differences between sex characteristics, a one-way analysis of variance was conducted. Findings Results of a joinpoint regression analysis found that the annual percentage change in the suicide rates of Kansas did increase significantly between 2009 and 2018. Furthermore, the rate of suicide increase among women was greater than the suicide rate increases of men. Originality/value The value of this study provides context to the suicide literature that could allow for better local and statewide policy decisions.

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Temporal Trends in Apparent Food Consumption in Bangladesh: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis of FAO’s Food Balance Sheet Data from 1961 to 2013

Nutrients ◽

10.3390/nu11081864 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (8) ◽

pp. 1864 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan ◽

Jennifer Saulam ◽

Kanae Kanda ◽

Tomohiro Hirao

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Food Consumption ◽

Vegetable Oils ◽

Structural Changes ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Balance Sheet ◽

Joinpoint Regression ◽

Annual Percent Change ◽

Dietary History ◽

Joinpoint Regression Analysis

We analyzed the temporal trends and significant changes in apparent food consumption or availabilityin Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. Due to the lack of a long-term national dietary intake dataset, this study used data derived from the FAO’s food balance sheets. We used joinpoint regression analysis to identify significant changes in the temporal trends. The annual percent change (APC) was computed for each segment of the trends. Apparent intake of starchy roots, eggs, fish, vegetables, milk, and vegetable oils significantly has increased (p < 0.05) in the Bangladeshi diet since 1961; whereas cereals changed by merely 4.65%. Bangladesh has been experiencing three structural changes in their dietary history after the Liberation War, though the intake level has been grossly inadequate. Initially, since the late-1970s, apparent vegetable oils intake increased at a market rate (APC = 7.53). Subsequently, since the early-1990s, the real force behind the structural change in the diet has been the increasing trends in the apparent intake of fish (APC = 5.05), eggs (APC = 4.65), and meat (APC = 1.54). Lastly, since the early 2000s, apparent intakes of fruits (APC = 20.44), vegetables (APC = 10.58), and milk (APC = 3.55) increased significantly (p <0.05). This study result reveals and quantifies the significant secular changes in the dietary history of Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. Bangladesh has experienced inadequate but significant structural changes in the diet in the late-1970s, early-1990s, and early-2000s. Overabundance of cereals and inadequate structural changes in the diet may have caused the increasing prevalence of overweightness and emergence of diet-related, non-communicable diseases in Bangladesh.

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