scholarly journals The Use of a Spiral Band Model to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Author(s):  
Boris Yurchak

Spiral cloud-rain bands (SCRBs) are some of the most distinguishing features inherent in satellite and radar images of tropical cyclones (TC). The subject of the proposed research is the finding of a physically substantiated method for estimation of the TC’s intensity using SCRBs’ configuration parameters. To connect a rainband pattern to a physical process that conditions the spiraling feature of a rainband, it is assumed that the rainband’s configuration near the core of a TC is governed primarily by a streamline. In turn, based on the distribution of primarily forces in a TC, an analytical expression as a combination of hyperbolic and logarithmic spirals (HLS) for the description of TC spiral streamline (rainband) is retrieved. Parameters of the HLS are determined by the physical parameters of a TC, particularly, by the maximal wind speed (MWS). To apply this theoretical finding to practical estimation of the TC’s intensity, several approximation techniques are developed to “convert” rainband configuration to the estimation of the MWS. The developed techniques have been tested by exploring satellite infrared imageries and airborne and coastal radar data, and the outcomes were compared with in situ measurements of wind speeds and the best track data of tropical cyclones.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Babanin ◽  
Hongyu Ma ◽  
Xingkun Xu ◽  
Fangli Qiao

<p>Spray produced in Tropical Cyclones affects the dynamic and heat fluxes between the atmosphere and ocean, and thus can influence the Cyclone intensity in a number of ways. Measurements of the Sea Spray Generation Function (SSGF) in situ, however, are extremely challenging and correspondingly rare, and uncertainties in quantifying SSGF reach 1000 times.</p><p>In the presentation, measurements of the total volume of spray by means of a laser array in Tropical Cyclones Olwyn (2015) and Veronica (2019) in the Indian Ocean will be reported. They are used to develop a parameterisation of SSGF at wind speeds ranging from light to extreme. It is argued that the spray is produced by wind-over-the-waves, and therefore wave properties are also accounted for in the parameterisation.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anastase Charantonis ◽  
Vincent Bouget ◽  
Dominique Béréziat ◽  
Julien Brajard ◽  
Arthur Filoche

<p>Short or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risks monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown significant skill at this task, using only rainfall radar images as inputs. In order to determine whether using other meteorological parameters such as wind would improve forecasts, we trained a deep learning model on a fusion of rainfall radar images and wind velocity produced by a weather forecast model. The network was compared to a similar architecture trained only on radar data, to a basic persistence model and to an approach based on optical flow. Our network outperforms by 8% the F1-score calculated for the optical flow on moderate and higher rain events for forecasts at a horizon time of 30 minutes. Furthermore, it outperforms by 7% the same architecture trained using only rainfall radar images. Merging rain and wind data has also proven to stabilize the training process and enabled significant improvement especially on the difficult-to-predict high precipitation rainfalls. These results can also be found in Bouget, V., Béréziat, D., Brajard, J., Charantonis, A., & Filoche, A. (2020). Fusion of rain radar images and wind forecasts in a deep learning model applied to rain nowcasting. arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.05015</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 1682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torsten Geldsetzer ◽  
Shahid K. Khurshid ◽  
Kerri Warner ◽  
Filipe Botelho ◽  
Dean Flett

RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM) compact polarimetry (CP) data were simulated using 504 RADARSAT-2 quad-pol SAR images. These images were used to samples CP data in three RCM modes to build a data set with co-located ocean wind vector observations from in situ buoys on the West and East coasts of Canada. Wind speeds up to 18 m/s were included. CP and linear polarization parameters were related to the C-band model (CMOD) geophysical model functions CMOD-IFR2 and CMOD5n. These were evaluated for their wind retrieval potential in each RCM mode. The CP parameter Conformity was investigated to establish a data-quality threshold (>0.2), to ensure high-quality data for model validation. An accuracy analysis shows that the first Stokes vector (SV0) and the right-transmit vertical-receive backscatter (RV) parameters were as good as the VV backscatter with CMOD inversion. SV0 produced wind speed retrieval accuracies between 2.13 m/s and 2.22 m/s, depending on the RCM mode. The RCM Medium Resolution 50 m mode produced the best results. The Low Resolution 100 m and Low Noise modes provided similar results. The efficacy of SV0 and RV imparts confidence in the continuity of robust wind speed retrieval with RCM CP data. Three image-based case studies illustrate the potential for the application of CP parameters and RCM modes in operational wind retrieval systems. The results of this study provide guidance to direct research objectives once RCM is launched. The results also provide guidance for operational RCM data implementation in Canada’s National SAR winds system, which provides near-real-time wind speed estimates to operational marine forecasters and meteorologists within Environment and Climate Change Canada.


Radiotekhnika ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 129-137
Author(s):  
V. Zhyrnov ◽  
S. Solonskaya

In this paper a method to transform radar images of moving aerial objects with scintillating inter-period fluctuations, sometimes resulting to complete signal fading, using the Talbot effect is considered. These transformations are reduced to the establishment of a certain correspondence of the asymptotic equality of perception of visual images, arbitrarily changing in time and space, in the statement about the conditions of simple equality of perception of images of radar marks that have different frequencies of fluctuations. It is shown how this approach can be used to analyze radar data by transforming and smoothing scintillating signal fluctuations, invisible in the presence of interference, into visible symbolic images. First, to detect and recognize the aerial objects from the analysis of relations and functional (semantic) dependencies between attributes, second, to make a decision based on semantic components of symbolic radar images. The possibility of using such transformation to generate pulse-frequency code of fluctuations of the symbolic radar angel-echo images as an important characteristic for their recognition has been experimentally verified. Algorithms for generating symbolic images in asynchronous and synchronous pulse-frequency code are formulated. The symbolic image represented by such a code is considered as an additional feature for recognizing and filtering out natural interferences such as angel-echoes.


Author(s):  
Sydney Sroka ◽  
Kerry Emanuel

AbstractThe intensity of tropical cyclones is sensitive to the air-sea fluxes of enthalpy and momentum. Sea spray plays a critical role in mediating enthalpy and momentum fluxes over the ocean’s surface at high wind speeds, and parameterizing the influence of sea spray is a crucial component of any air-sea interaction scheme used for the high wind regime where sea spray is ubiquitous. Many studies have proposed parameterizations of air-sea flux that incorporate the microphysics of sea spray evaporation and the mechanics of sea spray stress. Unfortunately, there is not yet a consensus on which parameterization best represents air-sea exchange in tropical cyclones, and the different proposed parameterizations can yield substantially different tropical cyclone intensities. This paper seeks to review the developments in parameterizations of the sea spray-mediated enthalpy and momentum fluxes for the high wind speed regime and to synthesize key findings that are common across many investigations.


2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Lopez

Abstract The propagation of electromagnetic waves emitted from ground-based meteorological radars is determined by the stratification of the atmosphere. In extreme superrefractive situations characterized by strong temperature inversions or strong vertical gradients of moisture, the radar beam can be deflected toward the ground (ducting or trapping). This phenomenon often results in spurious returned echoes and misinterpretation of radar images such as erroneous precipitation detection. In this work, a 5-yr global climatology of the frequency of superrefractive and ducting conditions and of trapping-layer base height has been produced using refractivity computations from ECMWF temperature, moisture, and pressure analyses at a 40-km horizontal resolution. The aim of this climatology is to better document how frequent such events are, which is a prerequisite for fully benefiting from radar data information for the multiple purposes of model validation, precipitation analysis, and data assimilation. First, the main climatological features are summarized for the whole globe: high- and midlatitude oceans seldom experience superrefraction or ducting whereas tropical oceans are strongly affected, especially in regions where the trade wind inversion is intense and lying near the surface. Over land, seasonal averages of superrefraction (ducting) frequencies reach 80% (40%) over tropical moist areas year-round but remain below 40% (15%) in most other regions. A particular focus is then laid on Europe and the United States, where extensive precipitation radar networks already exist. Seasonal statistics exhibit a pronounced diurnal cycle of ducting occurrences, with averaged frequencies peaking at 60% in summer late afternoon over the eastern half of the United States, the Balkans, and the Po Valley but no ducts by midday. Similarly high ducting frequencies are found over the southwestern coast of the United States at night. A potentially strong reduction of ducting occurrences with increased radar height (especially in midlatitude summer late afternoon) is evidenced by initiating refractivity vertical gradient computations from either the lowest or the second lowest model level. However, installing radar on tall towers also brings other problems, such as a possible amplification of sidelobe clutter echoes.


1984 ◽  
pp. 139-152
Author(s):  
P.N. Georgiou ◽  
A.G. Davenport ◽  
B.J. Vickery

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 905-922 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy L. Olander ◽  
Christopher S. Velden

Abstract The advanced Dvorak technique (ADT) is used operationally by tropical cyclone forecast centers worldwide to help estimate the intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) from operational geostationary meteorological satellites. New enhancements to the objective ADT have been implemented by the algorithm development team to further expand its capabilities and precision. The advancements include the following: 1) finer tuning to aircraft-based TC intensity estimates in an expanded development sample, 2) the incorporation of satellite-based microwave information into the intensity estimation scheme, 3) more sophisticated automated TC center-fixing routines, 4) adjustments to the intensity estimates for subtropical systems and TCs undergoing extratropical transition, and 5) addition of a surface wind radii estimation routine. The goals of these upgrades and others are to provide TC analysts/forecasters with an expanded objective guidance tool to more accurately estimate the intensity of TCs and those storms forming from, or converting into, hybrid/nontropical systems. The 2018 TC season is used to illustrate the performance characteristics of the upgraded ADT.


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