scholarly journals Stock Prices and the Rate of Return Analysis: The Case of Warsaw Stock Exchange

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-34
Author(s):  
Magdalena Jasiniak
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Rates Of Return ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

The main aims of this article are to verify whether rates of return might be determined by stock prices and to evaluate low price anomaly on the example of Warsaw Stock Exchange. The author states that cheap assets characterized by nominally lower prices are more attractive to buy and bring higher profits in comparison to assets described as expensive. In order to verify the hypothesis, database of 13789 quotations from 1.07.1999 to 30.12.2013 was created. The sample was divided into three groups – cheap, average, and expensive stocks. Finally, the statistical analysis was conducted using 2924 records including only cheap and expensive units. Statistical analysis confirms that low–priced assets generate higher profits and lower losses.

scholarly journals A Statistical Analysis of Dividend in Chosen Companies Listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

2007 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-85
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Łuniewska
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Fundamental Analysis ◽  
Statistical Parameters ◽  
Stock Analysis ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
The Capital Market

A Statistical Analysis of Dividend in Chosen Companies Listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange The capital market appeared in Poland relatively not far ago, so it is the young market and is not shaped well. Although, the development rate does not satisfy all the believers of the capital market, it should be emphasized that this market is functioning and is developing. Market indicators are a significant element of the market analysis performed by means of fundamental analysis. The aim of this article is to study the statistic regularity in the scope of indicators connected with a dividend. In Poland dividend is not discussed often and indicators connected with dividend are practically not used in stock analysis. This study will show the usefulness of these measures in the analysis connected with investment on the stock exchange market. The analyses are conducted for some dividend variables on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (dividend rate of return and pay indicators, stopping and re-investment). The analyses concern data in the period of 2000÷2006. Some statistical parameters to detect statistical regularity for dividend rate of return and pay indicators, stopping and re-investment on the Warsaw Stock Exchange are used in the paper. The author tried to analyse the relation between selected variables too. The study should make it possible to decide if measures such as dividend rate of return and pay indicators, stopping and re-investment are unquestionably important and useful in stock analysis. It is particularly important from the point of view of long-term investment, as well as the fundamental analysis. They should be included in the group of market indicators in case of statistically significant influence of measures connected with a dividend on investment profitability. This leads to the possibility of significant growth of an investment that can turn out profitable on the capital market.

scholarly journals Liquidity and solvency of a company and the rate of return – an analysis of the Warsaw Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (53) ◽  
pp. 199-220
Author(s):  
Justyna Zalewska ◽  
Natalia Nehrebecka
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Rates Of Return ◽  
Developed Country ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
Capm Model ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe purpose of the article is to analyse the impact of various financial ratios used to evaluate a company’s liquidity and solvency on the rates of return on the shares of companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In the context of developing countries, the relationship between liquidity and solvency on the one hand and the return on equity on the other is still not clear. Poland is the most economically developed country in Central and Eastern Europe. A thorough analysis is necessary to take appropriate action and introduce adequate regulations in the country, as well as to create the foundation for researching other economies in this region. In addition, this article includes new estimators that have not yet been taken into account but that may affect the rates of return, which will contribute to the literature on the subject and to the development of knowledge on the volatility of returns on shares. In the study, we have calculated the time-varying beta coefficients of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) model and analysed portfolios based on three liquidity ratios and four solvency ratios, which were computed using the CAPM, Fama–French and Carhart models. The empirical study described in the article focuses on companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in the period from 1 January 1999 to 30 June 2013. Regressions were estimated by the least-squares method and by quantile regression. Based on the results, it was found that listed companies at risk of bankruptcy are able to meet their short-term liabilities. Liquidity and solvency measured by financial ratios significantly affect the sensitivity of the rate of return on shares to the risk factors expressed in the CAPM, Fama––French and Carhart models.

scholarly journals The Influence of Investors’ Mood on the Stock Prices: Evidence from Energy Firms in Warsaw Stock Exchange, Poland

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (21) ◽  
pp. 7396
Author(s):  
Waldemar Tarczyński ◽  
Urszula Mentel ◽  
Grzegorz Mentel ◽  
Umer Shahzad
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Weather Factors ◽  
Rates Of Return ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Mutual Relations

The subject of this publication is an analysis of the sentiment of stock exchange investors in terms of making investment decisions in the energy sector of the Polish stock exchange. The investment mood is considered in the context of the possible impact of weather factors on investment decisions. Possible effects are verified in relation to the rates of return and the volume of trading of energy sector entities. The analysis is carried out both in terms of co-integration analyses as well as in econometric terms, in the cross-section of classic OLS models or causality analysis using VAR vector autoregression models. The main purpose of the issues discussed is the problem of indicating (illustrating) the presence or absence of mutual relations between weather factors and the stock market in terms of the methods considered.

Financial efficiency of structured bonds

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (9) ◽  
pp. 63-78
Author(s):  
Roman Dyduch
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Supervision ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Financial Efficiency ◽  
Annual Average ◽  
Efficiency Assessment ◽  
Mathematical Relation ◽  
Net Profit ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

The article aims at the statistical analysis of structured bonds in terms of financial efficiency, defined as a mathematical relation of expenditure and profits. Financial efficiency of structured bonds is measured with their rate of return, determined on the basis of the final financial performance of the bond in relation to the assumptions described in the prospectus, considering the investment costs. Inflation was included in the financial efficiency assessment, which implies that investors’ aspirations beyond the 100% of capital protection, adjusted for inflation, indicate reduction or no profit. In case of deflation the situation is reverse. In order to better illustrate the effectiveness of investment in structured bonds, the rate of return of complete structured bonds was compared with inflation indicator. The study was based on structured bonds started yet completed in the period 1.01.2000—31.12.2013 in Poland. Data were obtained from publicly available databases and reports, including Structus.pl and the Polish Financial Supervision Authority and the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In the period analysed, number of started bonds grew on annual average by 47.76%. The investment term ended 100 structured bonds and the annual net profit was chronologically structured within the range 54.0—19.4%.

scholarly journals The Impact of Acquisition on Stock Value in Case of Warsaw Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-79
Author(s):  
Wojciech Kaczmarczyk
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Information Transfer ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Public Information ◽  
Electronic System ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Indexes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Research purpose: Seven of 10 companies that have won the Polish Forbes edition Merge & Acquisition 2018 Ranking are listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange. The aim of the conducted research was to test if the biggest acquisitions have an impact on stocks value and is it possible for typical investor to create extra profit by using knowledge of acquisition based on public information. Design/Methodology/Approach: Using data from Warsaw Stock Exchange (quotations), typical measures such as rate of return, standard deviation (risk), correlation and transaction volume changes were calculated. Each of the case results obtained for the company was compared with the result for stock market indexes: WIG (Warszawski Indeks Giełdowy – main WSE index), WIG20 (WSE sub-index of the 20 largest companies), mWIG40 (WSE sub-index of 40 medium companies) and sWIG80 (WSE sub-index of 80 small companies). In addition, the outcomes were confronted with public news (from WSE Electronic System for Information Transfer). Findings: Conducted research has shown that generally successful finalisation of acquisition results in changes of stock prices behaviour. Unfortunately, observed reactions were not the same. Acquisitions induced both increases and decreases in stock prices; there was also no rule in case of risk change. Generally, acquisitions and merges had rather good influence in banking sector (which is still concentrating), but there was no common reaction in other sectors. Originality/Value/Practical Implications: The results will be useful for investors acting on Warsaw Stock Exchange, especially for individual investor who are not able to carry out detailed analyses. The research provides results including possible pre-effects and after-effects of making big acquisition by a large company. The negative market reactions were also shown.

scholarly journals Hybrid Models Combining Technical and Fractal Analysis with ANN for Short-Term Prediction of Close Values on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michał Paluch ◽  
Lidia Jackowska-Strumiłło
Keyword(s):  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Fractal Analysis ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Hybrid Models ◽  
Fractal Modeling ◽  
Fractal Analyses ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Short Term Prediction

This paper presents new methods and models for forecasting stock prices and computing hybrid models, combining analytical and neural approaches. First, technical and fractal analyses are conducted and selected stock market indices calculated, such as moving averages and oscillators. Next, on the basis of these indices, an artificial neural network (ANN) provides predictions one day ahead of the closing prices of the assets. New technical analysis indicators using fractal modeling are also proposed. Three kinds of hybrid model with different degrees of fractal analysis were considered. The new hybrid modeling approach was compared to previous ANN-based prediction methods. The results showed that the hybrid model with fractal analysis outperforms other models and is more robust over longer periods of time.

scholarly journals Earnings shocks: An event study on Boursa Kuwait

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-368
Author(s):  
Saad B F M AlHajraf
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Important Implication ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Kuwait Stock Exchange ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Abnormal Rate

This study investigates the effects of earnings announcements on stock prices in Boursa Kuwait, formerly known as the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE).  The data spans the period 2018–2020, and both positive and negative earnings announcements are employed as shock events and their effects assessed. The study results show that there is a statistically abnormal rate of return before and after the earnings announcements and that most abnormal returns are just after the earnings announcement.  This most likely indicates that Boursa Kuwait is a semi-strong efficient stock market.  One important implication is an indication that insider-related trading might be absent in Boursa Kuwait. 

scholarly journals LISTING OF SHARES OF SOME COMMERCIAL BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICES COMPANIES IN POLAND

2018 ◽  
pp. 43-51
Author(s):  
Sławomir Juszczyk
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Strongly Correlated ◽  
Stock Price Volatility ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

The purpose of the research was to identify the volatilities of daily quotes of banks and financial services companies listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange in the six-year period ie 2011-2016. It was found that the volatility of the stock price of the eCard was the strongest correlated with BPH stock price volatility, while the volatility of KREDYTIN stock prices was strongly correlated with the volatility of BZ WBK shares, ING and PKO BP. The strongest correlation between the stock prices of banks and the surveyed financial services companies was on the day of their listing. Unlike banks, financial services companies are highly diversified.

scholarly journals Opportunities and threats associated with an investment in shares of innovative companies — evidence from Polish capital market

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 225-244
Author(s):  
Tomasz L. Nawrocki
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Efficiency Analysis ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
Arithmetic Average ◽  
Information Diversity ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

Research background: Since the Internet bubble, which took place at the turn of XX and XXI century, on the global capital markets, including Poland, one may note a growing interest in companies focusing on innovations and innovativeness. The main driver of this interest is the belief that in a longer term innovations and expenditures on research and development will translate into an increase in competitive advantage, financial results, and subsequently also the market value of companies. On the other hand, the attention should also be paid to the fact that innovative activity has also another, darker, side, which is identified with the far-reaching uncertainty about its final effects and the possibility of incurring losses, especially in financial dimension. At the same time, it should be noted that implementation of investment strategy regarding the shares of innovative companies is quite troublesome because of the lack of unified methodology for assessing corporate innovativeness and large information diversity in this area. Purpose of the article: The investment efficiency analysis of investment strategy regarding shares of companies perceived to be innovative with simultaneous focusing on the different cases of situation development in time. Methods: The research was carried out for companies listed on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, taking into consideration various time ranges of investment. The efficiency analysis of this investment strategy was conducted in the risk-return outlay with the use of such measures as: accumulated rate of return, arithmetic average rate of return, standard and semi-standard deviation, as well as coefficients of variation and semi-variation of rate of return and their inverses. Findings & Value added: The obtained results show that in shorter periods of time, inves-tors buy expectations connected with innovative companies and therefore, the efficiency of investment in their shares is relatively high, but in the longer term expectations are revised by companies’ financial results, which in turn often negatively affects the investment efficiency.

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