Effect of Regret Aversion and Information Cascade on Investment Decisions in the Real Estate Sector: The Mediating Role of Risk Perception and the Moderating Effect of Financial Literacy

The real estate sector plays a significant role in the economy of any country. However, many investors make irrational investments in the real estate market. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to assess the effects of regret aversion and information cascade on investment decisions while considering the moderating role of financial literacy and the mediating effect of risk perception in the real estate sector of developing countries. This research utilized a quantitative research technique, collecting data by distributing structured questionnaires to real estate investors, followed by convenience sampling. This study used both descriptive and inferential statistics to make the data more meaningful. SPSS 25.0 was utilized to interpret the data. Cronbach's alpha was used to test for internal consistency, while validity was checked through correlation. Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was applied to confirm that the items on the questionnaire are perfectly loaded on their construct. Furthermore, process macro, model 5, was used to investigate the moderation mediation. This work addresses a gap in the literature by studying financial literacy as a moderator and risk perception as a mediating variable in regret aversion bias and information cascade bias's relationships with investment decisions in the real estate sector. The results confirmed that financial literacy weakens the negative effect of behavioral biases (regret aversion and information cascade) on investment decisions. In addition, risk perception mediates the relationships between these cognitive biases (regret aversion and information cascade) and decision making. The effects of other behavioral biases in real estate and stock market contexts should be examined in future research.

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Investment Decision pada Investasi Properti di Kota Batam

This paper aims to examine factors influencing investment decision in properties in Batam. The intended factors are anchoring, overconfidence, herding, and regret aversion. Purposive sampling method were used in this paper to take samples. 330 questionnaires were distributed to property investors in Batam, but only 246 questionnaires or around 74.54% datas were used to be primary data in generating the analysis which will be calculated using multiple linear regressions by SPSS version 24 software. Among the various factors, the results revealed that anchoring, overconfidence, and regret aversion have significantly positive influence towards property investment decision in Batam. Regret aversion has significantly negative influence towards property investment decision in Batam. This paper can be useful for investors, especially those investing in property sector in Batam.. Keywords: investment decision, anchoring, overconfidence, herding, regret aversion, property. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan unuk mengetahui faktor anchoring, overconfidence, herding, dan regret aversion dapat memberikan kepengaruhan terhadap investment decision properti di Batam. Metode purposive sampling dipilih oleh peneliti untuk mengambil sampel yaitu dengan teknik yang sudah ditentukan terlebih dahulu berdasarkan maksud dan tujuan penelitian Dari 330 kuesioner yang didistribusikan secara langsung kepada investor properti di Batam, peneliti mendapatkan 246 kuesioner atau sebesar 74.54% data yang layak diolah dan dijadikan sebagai data utama untuk dihitung serta dianalisa menggunakan regresi linier berganda melalui software SPSS versi 24.. Hasil yang disimpulkan dari analisa penelitian adalah anchoring, overconfidence dan herding memiliki signifikansi positif terhadap investment decision properti di Batam. Regret aversion memiliki signifikansi negatif terhadap investment decision properti di Batam. Penelitian ini dapat membantu investor dalam mengambil keputusan investasi properti khususnya di Batam Kata Kunci: Keputusan investasi, anchoring, overconfidence, herding, regret aversion, property.

Pengaruh Status Quo, Herding Behaviour, Representativeness Bias, Mental Accounting, serta Regret Aversion Bias terhadap Keputusan Investasi Investor Milenial di Kota Surabaya

Investment activity in Indonesia steadily increases as more people become aware of the investment's value and potential returns. This study aims to determine the impact of status quo bias, herding behavior, representation, and mental accounting on the investment decisions of millennial investors in Surabaya. This study is conclusive because it used purposive and snowball sampling techniques to obtain samples by distributing online questionnaires—the research sample as many as 241 respondents. The analysis technique uses Structural Equation Model (SEM). This study focuses on millennial investors registered with the Indonesian Central Securities Depository (KSEI) and securities firms in Surabaya. The findings suggest that the variables status quo and regret aversion significantly bias investment decisions, whereas herding behavior, representativeness, and mental accounting do not affect investment decisions. Thus, this study can assist various parties, particularly millennial investors, pay more attention to their biases and be more cautious when making investment decisions

ROLE OF REGRET AVERSION AND LOSS AVERSION EMOTIONAL BIASES IN DETERMINING INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS’ TRADING FREQUENCY: MODERATING EFFECTS OF RISK PERCEPTION

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the moderating effect of risk perception on the relationship among emotional biases (i.e., regret aversion and loss aversion) and the trading frequency of individual investors in the context of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Approach / Methodology: This study is conducted under the philosophical assumptions of the positivist paradigm and the approach is deductive. The convenience sampling technique is used for sample selection of registered individual investors on the database of PSX. This led the study towards designing a cross-sectional study. Furthermore, 384 questionnaires are used for the collection of primary data from a population of 0.22 million registered PSX individual investors. The direction and degree of relationship among variables of concern are analyzed by the multiple linear regression techniques. The structural Equation Modelling (SEM) technique is used for authentication of moderation results. Findings: The results depict that regret aversion and loss aversion have statistically significant and negative impacts on individual investors’ trading frequency. Whereas, risk perception has an insignificant & positive impact on individual investors’ trading frequency. Moreover, risk perception is found to moderate the relationship between these two emotional behavioral biases. Originality/Value: This current study is a pioneer in developing links between individual investors’ trading frequency, loss aversion, regret aversion, and risk perception. The article also contributes to the literature of behavioral finance, specifically while understanding the role of emotional biases in investment strategies. So, this article engenders the reader's thoughtfulness to find plausible explanations in minimizing the impact of emotional biases in trading frequency and decision-making of individual investors. Implications: This study implies that emotional biases and risk perception cause and moderate the magnitude of the trading frequency of individual investors. The regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) and PSX can launch training programs for individual investors to train them in coping up with such emotional biases and risk perception. This might result in the enhancement of the market capitalization of the stock market.

Is Awareness That Powerful? Women’s Financial Literacy Support to Prospects Behaviour in Prudent Decision-making

Financial literacy is of utmost relevance in the field of entrepreneurship, especially in developing countries. However, what builds financial literacy and how it shapes investment decision-making of women entrepreneurs is an exiguously researched area. Building on this gap, this study postulates that women entrepreneurs’ prospect behavioural factors (loss aversion, regret aversion, mental accounting, and self-control) impact their investment decision process through the intervening role of financial literacy. Based on a stratified sample of 579 women entrepreneurs operating in Punjab, Pakistan, structural equation modelling was used to analyse the hypothesized relationship among variables. Findings showed that loss aversion, regret aversion, mental accounting, and self-control significantly influenced women’s financial literacy and investment decision process, whereas no impact of regret aversion was traced on investment decision-making. Thus, our results offered robust support that financial literacy stimulated by women entrepreneurs’ prospect behaviour invigorates their investment decision power.

Behavioral factors affecting investment decision-making in bank stocks on the Ghana stock exchange

Purpose The finance literature is awash with papers bordering on the classical assumption that investors are rational in their decision-making, and hence, would always take decisions rationally given the right information, thus making the stock market efficient. This assumption has, however, been found to be at least inadequate given the fact that investors are complex psychological beings full of emotions. This paper aims to investigate the psychological factors that tend to influence the decisions of investors. Design/methodology/approach The study used a questionnaire to survey a total of 350 investors holding stocks of listed banks on the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE). Findings The study found the existence of various behavioural biases among the investors surveyed. The most dominant factor or bias found to be influencing investment decisions of respondents was herding with nearly 62% weight. Again, biases such as regret aversion and gambler’s fallacy were also found to strongly influence the decisions of investors, along with mental accounting, overconfidence and anchoring. Practical implications The presence of these behavioural biases, therefore suggests that investors do not always take rational decisions, and hence, making the stock market efficient and that as psychological beings, their investment decisions are impacted strongly by their psychology. Originality/value The study used a questionnaire to survey a total of 350 investors holding stocks of listed banks on the GSE with a special focus on overconfidence, anchoring, herding, gambler’s fallacy, mental accounting and regret aversion as the variables of interest, the first of its kind in Ghana.

Role of Behavioral Biases in Real Estate Prices in Pakistan

The study aims to explore the effect of behavioral biases on financial decision making in the real estate sector of Pakistan. The data of a sample of 244 real estate investors are collected through a survey carried out using different sources. The findings of the study show the relationship of different biases, including overconfidence, herding effect, gambler’s fallacy, and regret aversion on prices of real estate. Real estate prices are more affected by overconfidence and gambler’s fallacy than herding effect and regrets aversion bias in Pakistan. The findings furthermore reveal that these biases do not depend on gender, education, and demographics. It is recommended to carefully consider the market factors while making decisions in real estate, as the prices do not always show the real value of the property.

The Impact of Behavioral Finance on Lebanese Investors’ Decision Making

The inability of the traditional expected utility maximization of rational investors (within the efficient markets Framework) to explain many empirical patterns; was the main stimulus beyond the appearance for another track to resolve and analyze this inconsistency; through combining behavioral and cognitive psychological theory together where Behavioral Finance is known mainly as the irrational part that deals with investors’ Sentimental side. Furthermore it can be agreed on that behavioral finance is considered as “Subjective judgement” where ideas and decisions cannot be transmitted to other’s knowledge, as each one acts from his own point of interest; unlike conventional finance paradigm. Therefore, this paper seeks to determine the main behavioral errors or biases that are faced mainly by the Lebanese individual investor during decision making process. Results obtained by analyzing 211 questionnaires through SPSS software to develop a Structural equation model. Findings prove that Over Confidence and regret aversion are the main behavioral biases that control the Lebanese individual investors’ decision making.

Investigating the psychological factors that affect Egyptian investors’ behaviour and decisions before and after the pandemic

Egyptian investors have lost a large portion of their investment due to the coronavirus pandemic. This research is novel research that aims to identify the behavioral factors of Egyptian investors that affect their investment decisions, before and after the pandemic. A number of survey questionnaires were distributed to Egyptian investors, in addition to personal interviews. Descriptive statistics and a regression model were used to analyzing the impact of psychological factors on the investment decisions for Egyptian investors. Results revealed that demographic and psychological factors influence investment decisions: overconfidence, loss, and regret aversion, disposition effect, representativeness and herding behavior, but it is not affected by gambler’s fallacy. It is affected also by some other demographic variables. However, income level has no effect. After the pandemic, not all demographic and psychological factors affect Egyptian investor’s behaviour. The behaviour finance theory is valid only and applied before the pandemic. This research opens the door for a new dimension to studying how to work on the governance of investors’ decisions, rationalizing those decisions and their effectiveness, which ultimately contributes to achieving high returns on their investment portfolios.