A Pixel-Based Vegetation Greenness Trend Analysis over the Russian Tundra with All Available Landsat Data from 1984 to 2018

As Arctic warming continues, its impact on vegetation greenness is complex, variable and inherently scale-dependent. Studies with multiple spatial resolution satellite observations, with 30 m resolution included, on tundra greenness have been implemented all over the North American tundra. However, finer resolution studies on the greenness trends in the Russian tundra have only been carried out at a limited local or regional scale and the spatial heterogeneity of the trend remains unclear. Here, we analyzed the fine spatial resolution dataset Landsat archive from 1984 to 2018 over the entire Russian tundra and produced pixel-by-pixel greenness trend maps with the support of Google Earth Engine (GEE). The entire Russian tundra was divided into six geographical regions based on World Wildlife Fund (WWF) ecoregions. A Theil–Sen regression (TSR) was used for the trend identification and the changed pixels with a significance level p < 0.05 were retained in the final results for a subsequent greening/browning trend analysis. Our results indicated that: (1) the number of valid Landsat observations was spatially varied. The Western and Eastern European Tundras (WET and EET) had denser observations than other regions, which enabled a trend analysis during the whole study period from 1984 to 2018; (2) the most significant greening occurred in the Yamal-Gydan tundra (WET), Bering tundra and Chukchi Peninsula tundra (CT) during 1984–2018. The EET had a greening trend of 2.3% and 6.6% and the WET of 3.4% and 18% during 1984–1999 and 2000–2018, respectively. The area of browning trend was relatively low when we first masked the surface water bodies out before the trend analysis; and (3) the Landsat-based greenness trend was broadly similar to the AVHRR-based trend over the entire region but AVHRR retrieved more browning areas due to spectral mixing adjacent effects. Higher resolution images and field measurement studies are strongly needed to understand the vegetation trend over the Russian tundra ecosystem.

Disentangling the roles of land-use-related drivers on vegetation greenness across China

Quantifying the drivers of terrestrial vegetation dynamics is critical for monitoring ecosystem carbon sequestration and bioenergy production. Large scale vegetation dynamics can be observed using the Leaf Area Index (LAI) derived from satellite data as a measure of “greenness”. Previous studies have quantified the effects of climate change and carbon dioxide fertilization on vegetation greenness. In contrast, the specific roles of land-use-related drivers (LURDs) on vegetation greenness have not been characterized. Here, we combined the Interior-Point Method-optimized ecosystem model and the Bayesian model averaging statistical method to disentangle the roles of LURDs on vegetation greenness in China from 2000 to 2014. Results showed a significant increase in growing season LAI (greening) over 35% of the land area of China, whereas less than 6% of it exhibited a significantly decreasing trend (browning). The overall impact of LURDs on vegetation greenness over the whole country was comparatively low. However, the local effects of LURDs on the greenness trends of some specified areas were considerable due to afforestation and urbanization. Southern Coastal China had the greatest area fractions (35.82% of its corresponding area) of the LURDs effects on greening, following by Southwest China. It was because of these economic regions with great afforestation programs. Afforestation effects could explain 27% of the observed greening trends in the forest area. In contrast, the browning impact caused by urbanization was approximately three times of the greening effects of both climate change and carbon dioxide fertilization on the urban area. And they made the urban area had a 50% decrease in LAI. The effects of residual LURDs only accounted for less than 8% of the corresponding observed greenness changes. Such divergent roles would be valuable for understanding changes in local ecosystem functions and services under global environmental changes.

Analyzing Rainfall and Greenness Vegetation Level on Forest/Land Fire Area in Jambi and Central Kalimantan Provinces using Remote Sensing Data

El-Nino, which occurred in 2019 in Indonesia, caused longer dry conditions than usual. Low rainfall and vegetation drought cause widespread forest/land fires. This study aims to know the relationship between drought conditions and forest/land fires from the parameters of rainfall and vegetation greenness level. The study located in Jambi and Central Kalimantan Provinces during the peak months of fires which is September 2019. To see fluctuations in the peak of fires, eight daily data were taken for this period. Extraction of rainfall information is derived from the Himawari-8 infrared band L1 image into L2 rainfall rate data. Vegetation greenness level information is derived from Terra/Aqua MODIS red and near-infrared band images into L2 Enhance Vegetation Index (EVI) data. Hotspot data comes from the images of Terra, Aqua MODIS, SNPP VIIRS, and NOAA20. Fire data was extracted from hotspot data and delineation of MODIS RGB image smoke. Rainfall fluctuation affects the number of forest/land fire hotspots. The decrease in rainfall was followed by an increase of hotspot numbers and vice versa. In Jambi Province, rainfall decreased in first to second period i.e. 40 to 0 mm was followed by an increase of hotspot number which dominated by high confidence level. In Central Kalimantan rainfall increased from third to fourth period i.e. 0 to 100-400 mm followed by the decreasing of hotspot number which dominated by medium confidence level. Meanwhile, the TKV variable had little effect on the number of hotspots but related with rainfall data. In Central Kalimantan Province, the driest TKV (0.1) on September 14-21, 2019, was influenced by low rainfall in the previous period which also has highest number of fire hotspots. In Jambi Province, the driest TKV happened on third period which also the result of lowest rainfall and highest number of fire hotspot in the previous period.

Vegetation Greenness Variations and Response to Climate Change in the Arid and Semi-Arid Transition Zone of the Mongo-Lian Plateau during 1982–2015

Vegetation greenness dynamics in arid and semi-arid regions are sensitive to climate change, which is an important phenomenon in global climate change research. However, the driving mechanism, particularly for the longitudinal and latitudinal changes in vegetation greenness related to climate change, has been less studied and remains poorly understood in arid and semi-arid areas. In this study, we investigated changes in vegetation greenness and the vegetation greenness line (the mean growing season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) = 0.1 contour line) and its response to climate change based on AVHRR-GIMMS NDVI3g and the fifth and latest global climate reanalysis dataset from 1982 to 2015 in the arid and semi-arid transition zone of the Mongolian Plateau (ASTZMP). The results showed that the mean growing season NDVI increased from the central west to east, northeast, and southeast in ASTZMP. The vegetation greenness line migrated to the desert during 1982–1994, to the grassland during 1994–2005, and then to the desert during 2005–2015. Vegetation greenness was positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with temperature. The latitudinal variation of the vegetation greenness line was mainly affected by the combination of precipitation and temperature, while the longitudinal variation was mainly affected by precipitation. In summary, precipitation was a key climatic factor driving rapid changes in vegetation greenness during the growing season of the transition zone. These results can provide meaningful information for research on vegetation coverage changes in arid and semi-arid regions.

Drone Surveys Revealed Bottom-Up, And Not Top-Down, Effects On The Marsh Deer Local Abundance

Context: Spatial variation in large herbivore populations can be highly affected by the availability of resources (bottom-up) but modulated by the presence of predators (top-down). Studying the relative influence of these forces has been a major topic of interest in ecological and conservation research, while it has also been challenging to sample large herbivores. Objective: i) Explore the use of spatiotemporally replicated drone-based counts analysed with N-mixture models to estimate abundance of large herbivores. ii) Evaluate the relative influence of bottom-up (forage and water) and top-down (jaguars) processes on the local abundance of the threatened marsh deer.Methods: We conducted spatiotemporally replicated drone flights in the dry season of Pantanal wetland (Brazil) and imagery was reviewed by either one or two observers. We fitted counts using N-mixture models (for single and double observer protocols) and modelled local abundance in relation to vegetation greenness, distance to water bodies, and jaguar density.Results: We found a positive relationship of marsh deer local abundance with vegetation greenness, a negative relationship with distance to water, but no relation with jaguar density. Individuals were concentrated in the lower and wetter region, even though it is the area expected to be more lethal from jaguar predation.Conclusions: Bottom-up processes are shaping the distribution of marsh deer in the dry season; the benefits of accessing high-quality areas outweigh predation risk from jaguars. Spatiotemporally replicated drone-based counts may serve as an accessible and cost-effective protocol for large herbivores abundance estimation and monitoring while accounting for imperfect detection.