probability integral method
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2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Guo-sheng Xu ◽  
Hui-gui Li ◽  
De-hai Li ◽  
Yan-bin Zhang

Mining-induced fracture of overburden strata is intimately related to underground water disasters in coal mining. In this work, we develop an analytical model that uses the probability integral method to calculate the subsidence of the subsurface and the overburden strata. In the developed model, according to the failure characteristics of the mining-induced strata, the horizontal deformation of the strata is expressed by the tensile rate of the elastic plate’s neutral plane to reflect the degree of fracture initiation and expansion. The distribution of the water-flowing fractured zone (WFZ) in the overburden strata is calculated by substituting the probability integral function of overburden strata movement into the equation of layer tensile rate. The panel 31071 in Peigou coal mine is taken as a case study, and the height of the water-flowing fractured zone (HWFZ) is determined by the proposed method. Conventional empirical methods and the proposed method are used to predict HWFZ in panels with mining schemes, and the results show that the model is particularly advantageous for inclined coal seam mining where the inclined mining size gradually increases and the coal seam burial depth gradually decreases. In such kind of situations, the overburden strata movement and deformation intensify and the mining fracture develops further with the progress of mining, a feature considered poorly by conventional empirical methods but well represented in the proposed method.


Minerals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 945
Author(s):  
Shuaigang Liu ◽  
Jianbiao Bai ◽  
Gongyuan Wang ◽  
Xiangyu Wang ◽  
Bowen Wu

The traditional backfill mining method is a technology developed by the general trend of green coal mining, but with a high cost and an impact on production efficiency. This paper proposes a structured backfill mining method with high-water materials and pillars. The evolution of roof pressure appearance is assessed through the sensor and monitoring system in the hydraulic support. The main roof fracture step distance is determined based on the roof structure characteristics of backfill mining, and the backfill step distance of underground structural backfill is 22.7 m considering the safety factor. Through the simulation results of Abaqus commercial simulation software, the roof subsidence evolution of different backfill schemes under temporary load and permanent load is compared, and the rationality of the backfill step distance is verified. Based on the probability integral method, the surface subsidence prediction model is proposed, then the final value and the maximum dynamic change value of the surface subsidence at the north and south ends of the interchange bridge by traditional mining and backfill mining are analyzed, which verifies the rationality of the structural backfill mining method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Tieming Liu ◽  
Tongkang Zhang ◽  
Lichuan Chen ◽  
Weiming Liao ◽  
Yun Shi ◽  
...  

This paper proposed a method based on the SBAS-InSAR and gray wolf optimization algorithm aiming at the time-consuming and laborious defects of the traditional method used to obtain the expected parameters of the probability integral method and the shortcomings of the InSAR technology in the field of large gradient deformation detection in the mining area. The fitness function of the algorithm was established based on the geometric relationship between the radar side imaging and the three-dimensional model of the probability integral method. The stable sinking point of the settlement boundary obtained by SBAS-InSAR was used as the input value for the calculation of the predicted parameters of the probability integral method. Firstly, the simulation experiment was employed for the simulation of the direction of the InSAR line of sight combined with the geological mining conditions of the assumed working face, thereby obtaining the probability integral prediction parameters of the working face. Consequently, the maximum relative error of q , b , tanβ, and θ 0 does not exceed 8%, and that of S 1 , S 2 , S 3 , and S 4 does not exceed 35.5% (low parameter sensitivity). The error of the LOS-direction deformation fitting is 0.076 m, which meets the tolerance requirements, and the result is trustworthy. At last, the parameter finding method is applied to the engineering example, that is, the 112201 working face of Xiaobaodang Coal Mine in the northern Shaanxi mining area. The settlement value of the stable boundary point is obtained based on the SBAS-InSAR results, which is substituted into the fitness function. And the GWO optimization algorithm is used for optimization and parameter finding; the probability integral expected parameters of the working face are calculated as q = 0.63 , b = 0.37 , tan β = 2.76 , θ 0 = 83.94 , S 1 = − 36.34   m , S 2 = 26.69   m , S 3 = − 45.64   m , and S 4 = 39.62   m . Substitute the obtained parameters into the probability integral model for the prediction of the vertical and horizontal displacements of the working face, and verify its accuracy with the GPS measured data. The results showed that the maximum absolute error of vertical displacement reached 116 mm, the median error was 63 mm, and the maximum absolute error of north-south horizontal movement reached 56 mm; meanwhile, the median error was 23 mm, the maximum absolute error of east-west horizontal movement reached 61 mm, and the median error was 29 mm; all the above parameters are within the tolerance range, indicating that the method for the calculation of probability integral parameters proposed in this paper is applicable in actual engineering.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jiaqi Wang ◽  
Jixiong Zhang ◽  
Qiang Zhang ◽  
Zhongya Wu ◽  
Qi Zhang ◽  
...  

To solve the problems of surface deformation and destruction of buildings caused by urban mining and realise the coordinated development of mining cities, the solid backfilling method was used to extract coal resources beneath the buildings of Tangshan. Based on surface deformation monitoring data of the continuously operating reference station (CORS) system for the past 5 years, the surface deformation process caused by solid backfilling was analysed. The final results revealed a maximum surface subsidence of 66 mm in the T zone coal area and 31 mm in the F zone area. Furthermore, the surface control effects of the caving method and the solid backfilling method were compared and analysed, and it was shown that solid backfilling could meet the surface building setup requirements. Moreover, based on the probability integral method, the effects on surface deformation due to the surface length of the F zone, compression ratio, and coal pillar width were analysed, and the effects on the prediction results due to the subsidence factor, tangent of the major effective angle, and offset distance of the inflection point were studied. The results showed that the compression ratio is the main factor controlling the surface deformation and that it should be kept above 80% for solid backfilling of urban mines. The subsidence factor should be 0.82, and the tangent of the major effective angle should be 2.15 when the surface subsidence of solid backfilling is to be predicted. This paper provides a technical reference for the realisation of urban mining with solid backfilling.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2898
Author(s):  
Tengteng Li ◽  
Hongzhen Zhang ◽  
Hongdong Fan ◽  
Chunliu Zheng ◽  
Jiuli Liu

The goafs caused by coal mining cause great harm to the surface farmland, buildings, and personal safety. The existing monitoring methods cost a lot of workforce and material resources. Therefore, this paper proposes an inversion approach for establishing the locations of underground goafs and the parameters of the probability integral method (PIM), thus integrating distributed scatter interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DS-InSAR) data and the PIM. Firstly, a large amount of surface deformation observation data above the goaf are obtained by DS-InSAR, and the line-of-sight deformation is regarded as the true value. Secondly, according to the obtained surface deformations, the ranges of eight goaf location parameters and three PIM parameters are set. Thirdly, a correlation function between the surface deformation and the underground goaf location is constructed. Finally, a particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to search for the optimal parameters in the range of the set parameters to meet the requirement for minimum error between the surface deformation calculated by PIM and the line-of-sight deformation obtained by DS-InSAR. These optimal parameters are thus regarded as the real values of the position of the underground goaf and the PIM parameters. The simulation results show that the maximum relative error between the position of the goaf and the PIM parameters is 2.11%. Taking the 93,604 working face of the Zhangshuanglou coal mine in the Peibei mining area as the research object and 12 Sentinel-1A images as the data source, the goaf location and PIM parameters of the working face were successfully inverted. The inversion results show that the maximum relative error in the goaf location parameters was 16.61%, and the maximum relative error in the PIM parameters was 26.67%.


CONVERTER ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 407-416
Author(s):  
Junda Lyu, Jiacheng Gao, Chuanrong Xue

There is a potential threat of geological hazards in the construction land adjacent to a mined-out area on the west side. To accurately determine the degree of influence of the mined-out area in this area, this article has collected and sorted out five reports on a gypsum mine since 2010, combined with various parameters in the relevant reports, and used the integral probability method. Quantitatively calculate the surface displacement value, surface tilt value, absolute value of horizontal deformation and the maximum settlement value in the goaf area. The actual calculation results show that the construction land here is not affected by the goal of the gypsum mine.


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