Investigation of a Limited but Explosive COVID-19 Outbreak in a German Secondary School

The role of schools as a source of infection and driver in the coronavirus-pandemic has been controversial and is still not completely clarified. To prevent harm and disadvantages for children and adolescents, but also adults, detailed data on school outbreaks is needed, especially when talking about open schools employing evidence-based safety concepts. Here, we investigated the first significant COVID-19 school outbreak in Hamburg, Germany, after the re-opening of schools in 2020. Using clinical, laboratory, and contact data and spatial measures for epidemiological and environmental studies combined with whole-genome sequencing (WGS) analysis, we examined the causes and the course of the secondary school outbreak. The potential index case was identified by epidemiological tracking and the lessons in classrooms with presumably high virus spreading rates and further infection chains in the setting. Sequence analysis of samples detected one sample of a different virus lineage and 25 virus genomes with almost identical sequences, of which 21 showed 100% similarity. Most infections occurred in connection with two lesson units of the primary case. Likely, 31 students (12–14 years old), two staff members, and three family members were infected in the school or the typical household. Sequence analysis revealed an outbreak cluster with a single source that was epidemiologically identified as a member of the educational staff. In lesson units, two superspreading events of varying degrees with airborne transmission took place. These were influenced by several parameters including the exposure times, the use of respiratory masks while speaking and spatial or structural conditions at that time.

Fault detection of contactor using acoustic monitoring

Recently, condition monitoring methods using the sound of the machine have attracted attention. Since approaching high voltage equipment increases the risk of electrocuting, non-contact data acquisition is desirable. Most of the research targets of acoustic monitoring are rotating machines and it is not clear whether it is effective for machines that switch between two states, such as contactors and circuit breakers. In this work, several investigations have been carried out on the acoustic condition monitoring of contactor. The Mel-frequency cepstrum coefficients (MFCCs) were obtained from the sound data of the contactors under normal and simulated fault conditions. Support Vector Machine (SVM) was trained with MFCCs and found that it could detect and diagnose contactor faults with high accuracy.

HiC-GNN: A Generalizable Model for 3D Chromosome Reconstruction Using Graph Convolutional Neural Networks

Chromosome conformation capture (3C) is a method of measuring chromosome topology in terms of loci interaction. The Hi-C method is a derivative of 3C that allows for genome wide quantification of chromosome interaction. From such interaction data, it is possible to infer the three-dimensional (3D) structure of the underlying chromosome. In this paper, we use a node embedding algorithm and a graph neural network to predict the 3D coordinates of each genomic loci from the corresponding Hi-C contact data. Unlike other chromosome structure prediction methods, our method can generalize a single model across Hi-C resolutions, multiple restriction enzymes, and multiple cell populations while maintaining reconstruction accuracy. We derive these results using three separate Hi-C data sets from the GM12878, GM06990, and K562 cell lines. We also compare the reconstruction accuracy of our method to four other existing methods and show that our method yields superior performance. Our algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in the accuracy of prediction and introduces a novel method for 3D structure prediction from Hi-C data.

Limited impact of contact tracing in a University setting for COVID-19 due to asymptomatic transmission and social distancing

Contact tracing is an important tool for controlling the spread of infectious diseases, including COVID-19. Here, we investigate the spread of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of contact tracing in a university population, using a data-driven ego-centric network model constructed with social contact data collected during 2020 and similar data collected in 2010. We find that during 2020, university staff and students consistently reported fewer social contacts than in 2010, however those contacts occurred more frequently and were of longer duration. We find that contact tracing in the presence of social distancing is less impactful than without social distancing. By combining multiple data sources, we show that University-aged populations are likely to develop asymptomatic COVID-19 infections. We find that asymptomatic index cases cannot be reliably back-traced through contact tracing and consequently transmission in their social network is not significantly reduced through contact tracing. In summary, social distancing restrictions had a large impact on limiting COVID-19 outbreaks in universities; to reduce transmission further contact tracing should be used in conjunction with alternative interventions.

A Multigraph model of the 3D genome

Spatial organisation of the genome has a fundamental effect on its biological functions. Chromatin-chromatin interactions and 3D spatial structures are involved in transcriptional regulation and have a decisive role in DNA replication and repair. To understand how individual genes and their regulatory elements function within the larger genomic context, and how the genome reacts as a whole to environmental stimuli, the linear sequence information needs to be interpreted in 3-dimensional space. While recent advances in chromatin conformation capture technologies including Hi-C, considerably advanced our understanding of the genomes, defining the DNA, as it is organized in the cell nucleus is still a challenging task. 3D genome modelling needs to reflect the DNA as a flexible polymer, which can wind up to the fraction of its total length and greatly unwind and stretch to implement a multitude of functions. Here we propose a novel approach to model genomes as a multigraph based on Hi-C contact data. Multigraph-based 3D genome modelling of barley and rice revealed the well-known Rabl and Rosetta chromatin organizations, respectively, as well as other higher order structures. Our results shows that the well-established toolset of Graph theory is highly valuable in modelling large genomes in 3D.

Using Multilevel Regression with Poststratification for Estimating Subnational Age-Specific Contact Patterns

The spread and transmission dynamics of directly transmitted airborne pathogens, such as SARS-CoV-2, are fundamentally determined by in-person contact patterns. Reliable quantitative estimates of contact patterns are critical to modeling and reducing the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases. While national-level contact data are available in many countries, including the United States, local-level estimates of age-specific contact patterns are key since disease dynamics and public health policy vary by geography. However, collecting contact data for each state would require a very large sample and be prohibitively expensive. To overcome this challenge, we develop a flexible model to estimate age-specific contact patterns at the subnational level using national-level interpersonal contact data. Our model is based on dynamic multilevel regression with poststratification. We apply this approach to a national sample of interpersonal contact data collected by the Berkeley Interpersonal Contact Study (BICS). Results illustrate important state-level variation in levels and trends of contacts across the US.

ChromeBat: A Bio-Inspired Approach to 3D Genome Reconstruction

With the advent of Next Generation Sequencing and the Hi-C experiment, high quality genome-wide contact data are becoming increasingly available. These data represents an empirical measure of how a genome interacts inside the nucleus. Genome conformation is of particular interest as it has been experimentally shown to be a driving force for many genomic functions from regulation to transcription. Thus, the Three Dimensional-Genome Reconstruction Problem (3D-GRP) seeks to take Hi-C data and produces a complete physical genome structure as it appears in the nucleus for genomic analysis. We propose and develop a novel method to solve the Chromosome and Genome Reconstruction problem based on the Bat Algorithm (BA) which we called ChromeBat. We demonstrate on real Hi-C data that ChromeBat is capable of state-of-the-art performance. Additionally, the domain of Genome Reconstruction has been criticized for lacking algorithmic diversity, and the bio-inspired nature of ChromeBat contributes algorithmic diversity to the problem domain. ChromeBat is an effective approach for solving the Genome Reconstruction Problem.

Non-invasive Biofouling Monitoring to Assess Drinking Water Distribution System Performance

Biofilms are endemic in drinking water distribution systems (DWDS), forming on all water and infrastructure interfaces. They can pose risks to water quality and hence consumers. Our understanding of these biofilms is limited, in a large part due to difficulties in sampling them without unacceptable disruption. A novel, non-destructive and non-disruptive biofilm monitoring device (BMD), which includes use of flow cytometry analysis, was developed to assess biofouling rates. Laboratory based experiments established optimal configurations and verified reliable cell enumeration. Deployment at three operational field sites validated assessment of different biofouling rates. These differences in fouling rates were not obvious from bulk water sampling and analysis, but did have a strong correlation with long-term performance data of the associated networks. The device offers the potential to assess DWDS performance in a few months, compared to the number of years required to infer findings from historical customer contact data. Such information is vital to improve the management of our vast, complex and uncertain drinking water supply systems; for example rapidly quantifying the benefits of improvements in water treatment works or changes to maintenance of the network.

Individual social contact data and population mobility data as early markers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics during the first wave in Germany—an analysis based on the COVIMOD study

Background The effect of contact reduction measures on infectious disease transmission can only be assessed indirectly and with considerable delay. However, individual social contact data and population mobility data can offer near real-time proxy information. The aim of this study is to compare social contact data and population mobility data with respect to their ability to reflect transmission dynamics during the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Germany. Methods We quantified the change in social contact patterns derived from self-reported contact survey data collected by the German COVIMOD study from 04/2020 to 06/2020 (compared to the pre-pandemic period from previous studies) and estimated the percentage mean reduction over time. We compared these results as well as the percentage mean reduction in population mobility data (corrected for pre-pandemic mobility) with and without the introduction of scaling factors and specific weights for different types of contacts and mobility to the relative reduction in transmission dynamics measured by changes in R values provided by the German Public Health Institute. Results We observed the largest reduction in social contacts (90%, compared to pre-pandemic data) in late April corresponding to the strictest contact reduction measures. Thereafter, the reduction in contacts dropped continuously to a minimum of 73% in late June. Relative reduction of infection dynamics derived from contact survey data underestimated the one based on reported R values in the time of strictest contact reduction measures but reflected it well thereafter. Relative reduction of infection dynamics derived from mobility data overestimated the one based on reported R values considerably throughout the study. After the introduction of a scaling factor, specific weights for different types of contacts and mobility reduced the mean absolute percentage error considerably; in all analyses, estimates based on contact data reflected measured R values better than those based on mobility. Conclusions Contact survey data reflected infection dynamics better than population mobility data, indicating that both data sources cover different dimensions of infection dynamics. The use of contact type-specific weights reduced the mean absolute percentage errors to less than 1%. Measuring the changes in mobility alone is not sufficient for understanding the changes in transmission dynamics triggered by public health measures.

Inferring age-specific differences in susceptibility to and infectiousness upon SARS-CoV-2 infection based on Belgian social contact data

Several important aspects related to SARS-CoV-2 transmission are not well known due to a lack of appropriate data. However, mathematical and computational tools can be used to extract part of this information from the available data, like some hidden age-related characteristics. In this paper, we investigate age-specific differences in susceptibility to and infectiousness upon contracting SARS-CoV-2 infection. More specifically, we use panel-based social contact data from diary-based surveys conducted in Belgium combined with the next generation principle to infer the relative incidence and we compare this to real-life incidence data. Comparing these two allows for the estimation of age-specific transmission parameters. Our analysis implies the susceptibility in children to be around half of the susceptibility in adults, and even lower for very young children (preschooler). However, the probability of adults and the elderly to contract the infection is decreasing throughout the vaccination campaign, thereby modifying the picture over time.