prospective risk
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2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoda Sabati ◽  
Amin Mohsenzadeh ◽  
Nooshin Khelghati

Patient safety is an aim for clinical applications and is a fundamental principle of healthcare and quality management. The main global health organizations have incorporated patient safety in their review of work practices. The data provided by the medical laboratories have a direct impact on patient safety and a fault in any of processes such as strategic, operational and support, could affect it. To provide appreciate and reliable data to the physicians, it is important to emphasize the need to design risk management plan in the laboratory. Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is an efficient technique for error detection and reduction. Technical Committee of the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) licensed a technical specification for medical laboratories suggesting FMEA as a method for prospective risk analysis of high-risk processes. FMEA model helps to identify quality failures, their effects and risks with their reduction/elimination, which depends on severity, probability and detection. Applying FMEA in clinical approaches can lead to a significant reduction of the risk priority number (RPN).


Author(s):  
Nidhi Gupta ◽  
Charlotte Lund Rasmussen ◽  
Mikael Forsman ◽  
Karen Søgaard ◽  
Andreas Holtermann

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahbaz Ahmed ◽  
Todd Bossenberger ◽  
Adrian Nalichowski ◽  
Jeremy S. Bredfeldt ◽  
Sarah Bartlett ◽  
...  

Abstract Background We aim to assess the risks associated with total body irradiation (TBI) delivered using a commercial dedicated Co-60 irradiator, and to evaluate inter-institutional and inter-professional variations in the estimation of these risks. Methods A failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) was generated using guidance from the AAPM TG-100 report for quantitative estimation of prospective risk metrics. Thirteen radiation oncology professionals from two institutions rated possible failure modes (FMs) for occurrence (O), severity (S), and detectability (D) indices to generate a risk priority number (RPN). The FMs were ranked by descending RPN value. Absolute gross differences (AGD) in resulting RPN values and Jaccard Index (JI; for the top 20 FMs) were calculated. The results were compared between professions and institutions. Results A total of 87 potential FMs (57, 15, 10, 3, and 2 for treatment, quality assurance, planning, simulation, and logistics respectively) were identified and ranked, with individual RPN ranging between 1–420 and mean RPN values ranging between 6 and 74. The two institutions shared 6 of their respective top 20 FMs. For various institutional and professional comparison pairs, the number of common FMs in the top 20 FMs ranged from 6 to 13, with JI values of 18–48%. For the top 20 FMs, the trend in inter-professional variability was institution-specific. The mean AGD values ranged between 12.5 and 74.5 for various comparison pairs. AGD values differed the most for medical physicists (MPs) in comparison to other specialties i.e. radiation oncologists (ROs) and radiation therapists (RTs) [MPs-vs-ROs: 36.3 (standard deviation SD = 34.1); MPs-vs-RTs: 41.2 (SD = 37.9); ROs-vs-RTs: 12.5 (SD = 10.8)]. Trends in inter-professional AGD values were similar for both institutions. Conclusion This inter-institutional comparison provides prospective risk analysis for a new treatment delivery unit and illustrates the institution-specific nature of FM prioritization, primarily due to operational differences. Despite being subjective in nature, the FMEA is a valuable tool to ensure the identification of the most significant risks, particularly when implementing a novel treatment modality. The creation of a bi-institutional, multidisciplinary FMEA for this unique TBI technique has not only helped identify potential risks but also served as an opportunity to evaluate clinical and safety practices from the perspective of both multiple professional roles and different institutions.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 290-290
Author(s):  
Meaghan Colling ◽  
Florian Posch ◽  
Silvia Koder ◽  
Peter Quehenberger ◽  
Cihan Ay ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Patients with lupus anticoagulant (LA) are at risk for arterial and venous thromboembolic events. Recent work suggests that LA positive patients who experience thrombotic events in different vascular beds constitute distinct subgroups. To risk stratify patients, further work is needed to better characterize predictors for thromboembolic events in these subgroups. Aims: The aim of this study was to identify baseline characteristics and laboratory parameters associated with the development of arterial or venous thrombotic events. Methods: Patients with at least 2 previous positive LA tests were serially monitored for thrombotic events within the prospective Vienna Lupus Anticoagulant and Thrombosis Study (LATS). Patients without clinical follow-up were excluded from this analysis. Statistical analysis was performed with RStudio (Version 1.1.442). Results: One-hundred-eighty-seven patients were followed (Table 1) for a median of 11.4 years and 1865 follow-up visits (median visit/patient=9). Fifty-seven prospective thrombotic events (TE), including 27 arterial thrombotic events (ATE) and 30 venous thrombotic events (VTE), were observed. This corresponded to 10-year prospective ATE, VTE and overall thrombosis incidences of 13.9% [95%CI: 8.3, 19.6], 18.8% [12.2, 25.4], and 32.0% [24.1, 39.8], respectively. (Figure 1). Thirty-seven of the 57 events occurred in patients with a prior history of thrombosis ("recurrent thrombosis"). In univariable competing risk analysis, age (subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, p=0.019), body mass index (BMI, 1.05, 1.00-1.11, p=0.042), history of ATE (3.14, 1.45-6.81, p=0.0038), active smoking (2.16, 1.00-4.62, p=0.049), diabetes (4.16, 1.47-11.8, p=0.0073), VKA use at baseline (0.42, 0.18-0.97, p=0.042), aCL IgM positivity (2.48, 1.05-5.83, p=0.038), aβ 2GPI IgM positivity (2.86, 1.18-6.93, p=0.020), mean platelet volume (1.17, 1.06- 1.30, p=0.0024), creatinine (3.76, 1.32- 10.7, p=0.013), and estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, 0.98, 0.96-0.99, p=0.0011) were associated with prospective risk of ATE (Table 2). Conversely, the prospective risk of VTE was univariably associated only with prior history of VTE (3.26, 1.40-7.68, p=0.0061). After adjusting for traditional arterial thrombotic risk factors (age, sex, BMI, active smoking, diabetes,), history of ATE (SHR = 3.97, 95% CI: 1.71-9.025, p=0.0014), prior history of both ATE and VTE (3.87, 1.06-14.16, p=0.041), creatinine (3.93, 1.22-12.66, p=0.022), and eGFR (CKD-EPI, 0.96, 0.96-0.99, p=0.0037) remained independently associated with prospective risk of ATE (Table 2). In detail, the 10-year cumulative risk of ATE was 24.9% [95%CI: 8.8, 41.0], 15.0% [5.8, 24.2], and 6.7% [2.2, 13.8] in patients with a baseline eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73m 2, between 60 and 89 mL/min/1.73m 2, and greater than or equal to 90 mL/min/1.73m 2, respectively (Gray's test, p=0.019, Figure 2). Conclusion: Approximately 14% of patients persistently positive for LA experienced an ATE over 10 years. After adjusting for traditional arterial risk factors, decreased renal function was associated with an increased prospective risk of ATE. Notably, decreased renal function was not associated with development of VTE and the association with ATE was also independent of underlying SLE, LLD, or rheumatic disease (data not shown). Clinically, LA positive patients with decreased renal function may represent a subgroup that might benefit from more aggressive anti-thrombotic therapy or anti-thrombotic prophylaxis. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Pabinger: Bayer: Consultancy, Honoraria; Takeda: Consultancy, Honoraria; Daiichi Sanchyo: Consultancy, Honoraria; Alexion: Consultancy, Honoraria; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria; Amgen: Consultancy, Honoraria; Pfizer: Consultancy, Honoraria; NovoNordisk: Consultancy, Research Funding; CSL Behring: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.


Author(s):  
Christa Cobbaert ◽  
Ettore D. Capoluongo ◽  
Florent J. L. A. Vanstapel ◽  
Patrick M. M. Bossuyt ◽  
Harjit Pal Bhattoa ◽  
...  

Abstract Laboratory medicine in the European Union is at the dawn of a regulatory revolution as it reaches the end of the transition from IVDD 98/79/EC (https://eur-lex.eur-opa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A31998L0079&qid=1628781352814) to IVDR 2017/746 https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2017/746. Without amendments and contingency plans, implementation of the IVDR in May 2022 will lead the healthcare sector into uncharted waters due to unpreparedness of the EU regulatory infrastructure. Prospective risk analyses were not made by the European Commission, and if nothing happens it can be anticipated that the consequences will impact all stakeholders of the medical test pipeline, may seriously harm patients and may prevent caregivers from making appropriate clinical decisions due to non-availability of medical tests. Finally, it also may discourage manufacturers and academia from developing specialty tests, thereby hampering innovation in medical diagnostic care. We hereby inform laboratory professionals about the imminent diagnostic collapse using testimonies from representative stakeholders of the diagnostic supply chain and from academia developing innovative in-house tests in domains of unmet clinical needs. Steps taken by the EFLM Task Force on European Regulatory Affairs, under the umbrella of the Biomedical Alliance in Europe, will be highlighted, as well as the search for solutions through dialogue with the European Commission. Although we recognize that the IVDR promotes positive goals such as increased clinical evidence, surveillance, and transparency, we need to ensure that the capabilities of the diagnostic sector are not damaged by infrastructural unpreparedness, while at the same time being forced to submit to a growing bureaucratic and unsupportive structure that will not support its “droit d’exister”.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 50-67
Author(s):  
Giorgio Ciaponi ◽  
◽  
Federico Dalbon ◽  
Paolo Fabris ◽  
Chiara Frigerio ◽  
...  

The reputation of an institution refers to its public image in terms of competence, integrity and trustworthiness, which results from the awareness of its stakeholders. The related risk, i.e. “Reputational Risk”, is defined as the current or prospective risk of a decline in profits or capital resulting from a negative perception of the financial institution image by clients, counterparties, shareholders, investors or supervisory authorities. In this scenario, the reputation and the assessment of the associated risk component represent a decisive factor for ensuring long-lasting profitability. In recent years, the importance of managing and monitoring Reputational Risk is growing in importance with supervisory authorities, but nevertheless, there are no specific guidelines yet that the institutions can follow. The lack of a precise orientation means that the risk component is still considered discretionary, subjective and highly prone to interpretation. Considering that in the economic literature there is not a universally accepted approach, the aim of the paper is to provide a quantitative and objective methodology, a Quantitative Model, to assess the Reputational Risk in order to overcome the limits of a qualitative approach, by using exclusively numerical and objective analysis drivers, and to meet the increasing attention of the supervisory authorities on the issue. The Quantitative Model structure allows firms to study and to monitor the phenomenon from a managerial point of view. This approach provides financial institutions, in particular the Risk Management Department, a model to evaluate the reputational risk arising from economic magnitudes that characterise the business model of the financial institution. This means that the quantitative Model enables financial institutions to steering possible negative situations and promptly intervening with any corrective measures or actions deemed appropriate.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathryn Jane Gardner ◽  
Elise Paul ◽  
Edward A. Selby ◽  
E. David Klonsky ◽  
Becky Mars

Background: Research has identified functions of non-suicidal self-harm/self-injury (NSSH) but whether functions change over time, from adolescence to early adulthood, or predict the continuation of the behavior prospectively remains unclear. This study aimed to prospectively explore whether intrapersonal and interpersonal NSSH functions in adolescence predict repetition of self-harm (regardless of suicidal intent) and incident suicide attempts in early adulthood.Methods: Participants were 528 individuals with NSSH at age 16 years from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a population-based birth cohort in the UK. Descriptive statistics were used to explore changes in functions over time from age 16 to 21, and logistic regression used to examine associations between NSSH functions and repeat self-harm and suicide attempts at age 21, 24, and 25 years.Findings: The majority of 16-year-olds with NSSH endorsed intrapersonal (e.g., affect regulatory) functions only (73% at 16 years and 64% at 21 years). Just under half of adolescents (42%) and three quarters of 21 years olds reported more than one function simultaneously. A greater number of intrapersonal functions at 16 years independently predicted future repetition of self-harm at ages 21–25 years, over and above interpersonal functions (OR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.06–2.01). Interpersonal functions during adolescence did not predict repeat self-harm or suicide attempts in adulthood.Discussion: Our findings suggest that intrapersonal but not interpersonal NSSH functions are a prospective risk factor for future self-harm and might also predict incident suicide attempts. The results highlight the central role of underlying affective difficulties and motivations in self-harm maintenance.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Rianne VAN ROOIJEN ◽  
Emma Kate WARD ◽  
Maretha DE JONGE ◽  
Chantal KEMNER ◽  
Caroline JUNGE

Abstract Children diagnosed with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) often have smaller vocabularies in infancy compared to typically-developing children. To understand whether their smaller vocabularies stem from problems in learning, our study compared a prospective risk sample of 18 elevated risk and 11 lower risk 24-month-olds on current vocabulary size and word learning ability using a paradigm in which parents teach their child words. Results revealed that both groups learned novel words, even though parents indicated that infants at elevated risk of ASD knew fewer words. This suggests that these early compromised vocabularies cannot be solely linked to difficulties in word formations.


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