Abstract
Background and Aims
Muscle wasting leads to poor outcomes in patient with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The serum creatinine to cystatin C (Cr/CysC) ratio has been reported as marker for muscle mass and may predict outcomes in chronic diseases. We hypothesized that the Cr/CysC ratio would be a predictor of outcomes in CKD.
Method
We investigated a total of 2142 patients (male 61%, aged 54±12 year) with CKD followed for a median of 3.74 years. We assessed the factors associated with Cr/CysC ratio and the relationship between Cr/CysC ratio and outcomes of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), cardiovascular event (CVE), and mortality.
Results
The Cr/CysC ratio significantly correlated with age (r=-0.18), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (r=-0.21), serum albumin (r=0.11), 24-hour urine creatinine (r=0.38), and moderate to vigorous physical activity time (r=0.07). After adjusting for age, sex, eGFR, and log urine albumin creatinine ratio (model 1), the hazard ratios for ESRD, CVE, and mortality were 0.96 (95% CI, 0.86-1.07), 0.78 (95% CI, 0.61-0.99), and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.53-0.97) per 1 standard deviation Cr/CysC increase (0.21), respectively. After full adjustment for model 1 variables plus lifestyle factors, laboratory factors, and comorbidities (model 2), the hazard ratios for ESRD, CVE, and mortality were 0.99 (95% CI, 0.88-1.10), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.65-1.07), and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.55-0.99) per 1 standard deviation Cr/CysC increase (0.24), respectively. In subgroup of the elderly (age>65 year) and early stage CKD (eGFR>60 ml/min/1.73m2), the hazard ratios for CVE were significantly lower in patients with high Cr/CysC ratio.
Conclusion
Cr/CysC ratio correlates with muscle biomarkers and physical activity. A higher Cr/CysC ratio is associated with low CVE and mortality, but not ESRD in CKD.