A pseudo-values regression model for non-fatal event free survival in the presence of semi-competing risks

Author(s):  
Annalisa Orenti ◽  
Patrizia Boracchi ◽  
Giuseppe Marano ◽  
Elia Biganzoli ◽  
Federico Ambrogi
1992 ◽  
Vol 66 (5) ◽  
pp. 951-957 ◽  
Author(s):  
R Arriagada ◽  
LE Rutqvist ◽  
A Kramar ◽  
H Johansson

Circulation ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 91 (4) ◽  
pp. 1044-1051 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert C. Hendel ◽  
Ming Hui Chen ◽  
Gilbert J. L’Italien ◽  
John B. Newell ◽  
Sumita D. Paul ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 93.1-93
Author(s):  
Y. Ferfar ◽  
S. Morinet ◽  
O. Espitia ◽  
C. Agard ◽  
M. Vautier ◽  
...  

Background:Aortitis is a group of disorders characterized by the inflammation of the aorta. The most common causes of aortitis are the large-vessel vasculitis i.e. giant cell arteritis (GCA) and Takayasu arteritis (TA). However, aortitis may be isolated. Because of the wide variation in the course of aortitis, predicting outcome is challenging. The optimal management strategy of isolated aortitis (IA) is still unclear as IA is poorly defined, with data consisting of small retrospective and case control studies.Objectives:To assess the long-term outcome and prognosis factors for vascular complications in patients with isolated aortitis.Methods:Retrospective multicenter study of 353 patients with non-infectious aortitis including 136 giant cell arteritis (GCA), 96 Takayasu arteritis (TA) and 73 isolated aortitis (IA). Factors associated with event-free survival, vascular event-free survival and revascularization-free survival were assessed. Risk factors for vascular complications were identified in multivariate analysis.Results:After a median follow up of 52 months, vascular complications were observed in 32.3 %, revascularization in 30 % and death in 7.6%. The 5-year cumulative incidence of vascular complications was 58% (41; 71), 20% (13; 29), and 19 % (11; 28) in IA, GCA and TA, respectively. In multivariate analysis, IA [HR, 1.85 (1.19 to 2.88), p=0.017] and male gender [1.77 (1.26 to 2.49), p<0.0001] were independently associated with vascular events. The 5-year surgery-free survival was 45% (31; 65), 71% (62; 81) and 76% (68; 86) in IA, TA and GCA, respectively.Conclusion:IA has a worse vascular prognosis than GCA and TA. Sixty percent of IA patients will experience a vascular complication within 5 years from diagnosis.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Wu ◽  
Yu-Chen Wang ◽  
Wen-Jie Luo ◽  
Bo-Dai ◽  
Ding-Wei Ye ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Primary urethral carcinoma (PUC) is a rare genitourinary malignancy with a relatively poor prognosis. The aim of this study was to examine the impact of surgery on survival of patients diagnosed with PUC. Methods A total of 1544 PUC patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2016 were identified based on the SEER database. The Kaplan-Meier estimate and the Fine and Gray competing risks analysis were performed to assess overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM). The multivariate Cox regression model and competing risks regression model were used to identify independent risk factors of OS and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Results The 5-yr OS was significantly better in patients who received either local therapy (39.8%) or radical surgery (44.7%) compared to patients receiving no surgery of the primary site (21.5%) (p < 0.001). Both local therapy and radical surgery were each independently associated with decreased CSM, with predicted 5-yr cumulative incidence of 45.4 and 43.3%, respectively, compared to 64.7% for patients receiving no surgery of the primary site (p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that primary site surgery was independently associated with better OS (local therapy, p = 0.037; radical surgery, p < 0.001) and decreased CSM (p = 0.003). Similar results were noted regardless of age, sex, T stage, N stage, and AJCC prognostic groups based on subgroup analysis. However, patients with M1 disease who underwent primary site surgery did not exhibit any survival benefit. Conclusion Surgery for the primary tumor conferred a survival advantage in non-metastatic PUC patients.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 3494
Author(s):  
Xiaofei Sun ◽  
Zijun Zhen ◽  
Ying Guo ◽  
Yuanhong Gao ◽  
Juan Wang ◽  
...  

Despite aggressive treatment, the prognosis of high-risk NB patients is still poor. This retrospective study investigated the benefits of metronomic maintenance treatment (MT) in high-risk NB patients without ASCT or GD2 antibody therapy. Patients aged ≤ 21 years with newly diagnosed high-risk NB were included. Patients with complete/very good partial remission (CR/VGPR/PR) to conventional treatment received, or not, oral metronomic MT for 1 year. Two hundred and seventeen high-risk NB patients were enrolled. One hundred and eighty-five (85%) had a CR/VGPR/PR to conventional treatment, of the patients with stage 4, 106 receiving and 61 not receiving oral metronomic MT, and the 3-year event-free survival (EFS) rate was 42.5 ± 5.1% and 29.6 ± 6%, respectively (p = 0.017), and overall survival (OS) rate was 71.1 ± 4.7% and 59.4 ± 6.4%, respectively (p = 0.022). A total of 117 high-risk patients with oral metronomic MT had EFS rate of 42.7 ± 4.8%. The toxicity of MT was mild. For high-risk NB patients without ASCT or anti-GD2 antibody therapy, stage 4, MYCN amplication and patients with stage 4 not receiving oral metronomic MT after CR/VGPR/PR were independent adverse prognostic factors. Oral metronomic MT can improve survival in high-risk NB patients in CR/VGPR/PR without ASCT or anti-GD2 antibodies therapy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 674.1-674
Author(s):  
C. C. Mok ◽  
C. S. Sin ◽  
K. C. Hau ◽  
T. H. Kwan

Background:The goals of treatment of lupus nephritis (LN) are to induce remission, retard the progression of chronic kidney disease, prevent organ complications and ultimately reduce mortality. Previous cohort studies of LN have mainly focused on the risk of mortality and development of end stage renal failure (ESRF) (renal survival). The cumulative frequency of LN patients who survive without organ damage, which correlates better with the balance between treatment efficacy and toxicity, as well as quality of life, has not been well studied.Objectives:To study the organ damage free survival and its predictive factors in patients with active LN.Methods:Consecutive patients who fulfilled ≥4 ACR/SLICC criteria for SLE and with biopsy proven active LN between 2003 and 2018 were retrospectivey analyzed. Those with organ damage before LN onset were excluded. Data on renal parameters and treatment regimens were collected. Complete renal response (CR) was defined as normalization of serum creatinine (SCr), urine P/Cr (uPCR) <0.5 and inactive urinary sediments. Partial renal response (PR) was defined as ≥50% reduction in uPCR and <25% increase in SCr. Organ damage of SLE was assessed by the ACR/SLICC damage index (SDI). The cumulative risk of having any organ damage or mortality since LN was studied by Kaplan-Meier’s analysis. Factors associated with a poor outcome were studied by a forward stepwise Cox regression model, with entry of covariates with p<0.05 and removal with p>0.10.Results:273 LN patients were identified but 64 were excluded (organ damage before LN onset). 211 LN patients were studied (92% women; age at SLE 30.4±13.5 years; SLE duration at LN 1.9±3.1years). 47 (22%) patients had nephrotic syndrome and 60 (29%) were hypertensive. Histological LN classes was: III/IV±V (75.1%), I/II (7.8%) and pure V (17.1%) (histologic activity and chronicity score 7.0±4.2 and 1.8±1.5, respectively). Induction regimens were: prednisolone (33.1±17.5mg/day) in combination with intravenous cyclophosphamide (CYC) (21.4%; 1.0±0.2g per pulse), oral CYC (8.6%; 96.4±37.8mg/day), azathioprine (AZA) (14.3%; 78.6±25.2mg/day), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) (22.8%; 1.9±0.43g/day) and tacrolimus (TAC) (17.1%; 4.3±1.1mg/day). After a follow-up of 8.6±5.4 years, 94(45%) patient developed organ damage (SDI≥1) and 21(10%) patients died. The commonest organ damage was renal (36.3%) and musculoskeletal (17.9%), and the causes of death were: infection (38.1%), malignancy (19.0%), cardiovascular events (9.5%) and ESRF complications (9.5%). At last visit, 114 (55%) patients survived without any organ damage. The cumulative organ damage free survival at 5, 10 and 15 years after renal biopsy was 73.5%, 59.6% and 48.3%, respectively. The 5, 10 and 15-year renal survival rate were 95.2%, 92.0% and 84.1% respectively. In a Cox regression model, nephritic relapse (HR 3.72[1.78-7.77]), proteinuric relapse (HR 2.30[1.07-4.95]) and older age (HR 1.89[1.05-3.37]) were associated with either organ damage or mortality, whereas CR (HR 0.25[0.12-0.50]) at month 12 were associated with organ damage free survival. Baseline SCr, uPCR and histological LN classes were not significantly associated with a poor outcome. Among patients with class III/IV LN, the long-term organ damage free survival were not significantly different in users of MMF (reference) from CYC (IV/oral) (HR 1.45[0.76- 2.75]) or TAC (HR 1.03[0.26-1.62]) as induction therapy.Conclusion:Organ damage free survival is achieved in 55% of patients with active LN upon 9 years of follow-up. CYC/MMF/TAC based induction regimens did not differ for the long-term outcome of LN. Targeting complete renal response and preventing renal relapses remain important goals of LN treatment.Acknowledgments:NILDisclosure of Interests:None declared


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii396-iii397
Author(s):  
Jonathan Finlay ◽  
Martin Mynarek ◽  
Girish Dhall ◽  
Claire Mazewski ◽  
Richard Grundy ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE The introduction of German regimens, supplementing “standard” chemotherapy with both intravenous high-dose (HD-MTX) and intraventricular (IVENT-MTX) methotrexate, and North American regimens incorporating marrow-ablative chemotherapy with autologous hematopoietic cell rescue (HDCx+AuHCR), report encouraging outcomes for young children with medulloblastoma. We performed a comparative outcomes analysis of treatment strategies for young children with ClMB or A/LCMB. DESIGN/ METHODS Data from 12 prospective multi-center trials published between 2005 and 2019 for children &lt;six-years-old with ClMB or A/LCMB were reviewed; survivals were compared. RESULTS COG-9921, UKCCSG-CNS9204, COG-P9934 and SJYCO7 employing standard chemotherapy with either no or risk-based irradiation, reported 3-5-year event-free survival (EFS) of 17+/-5%, 33+/-28% (ClMB), 14+/-7% and 13.8+/-9% (ClMB) respectively, with reported EFS of 0% for A/LCMB in UKCCSG-CNS9204 and SJYCO7. HIT-SKK’87, HIT-SKK’92 and HIT-SKK’00 incorporating HD-MTX and IVENT-MTX reported 2-10-year EFS of 30–34+/-10–11% for ClMB and 33+/-27% (HIT-SSK’00) for A/LCMB. Head Start HS-I-II combined, CCG-99703 and HS-III employing induction chemotherapy, with or without HD-MTX, followed by single or tandem HDCx+AuHCR reported 3-5-year EFS of 42+/-14%, 50+/-11% and 27+/-6% for ClMB, with EFS for A/LCMB of 38+/-13% (HS-III). Finally, 5-year overall survivals for ACNS0334, without or with induction HD-MTX, are 39% and 69% respectively for ClMB and A/LCMB combined. CONCLUSIONS A trend towards better outcomes for young children with ClMB and A/LCMB is observed in trials including either HD-MTX and IVENT-MTX or including HD-MTX-containing induction chemotherapy and HDCx+AuHCR. Trials excluding HD-MTX, IVENT-MTX and HDCx+AuHCR have poorer outcomes.


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