Estimating biological reference points using individual-based per-recruit models for the Gulf of Maine American lobster, Homarus americanus, fishery

2011 ◽  
Vol 108 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 385-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuying Zhang ◽  
Yong Chen ◽  
Yi-Jay Chang
2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (7) ◽  
pp. 1511-1524 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuying Zhang ◽  
Yong Chen ◽  
Carl Wilson

Abstract Zhang, Y., Chen, Y., and Wilson, C. 2011. Developing and evaluating harvest control rules with different biological reference points for the American lobster (Homarus americanus) fishery in the Gulf of Maine. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1511–1524. The American lobster (Homarus americanus) supports one of the most valuable commercial fisheries in the United States. Controversy exists, however, in terms of the biological reference point (BRP) used in assessing lobster stock status, and there is no fully established or evaluated harvest control rule (HCR). A sex-specific, size-dependent operating model is developed to evaluate the performance of two HCRs, discrete and continuous, which adjust annual fishing mortality discretely and linearly, respectively, based on the status of the fishery. For each HCR, different BRPs are considered along with management duration, recruitment dynamics, and natural mortality. HCRs with a suitable set of BRPs can drive the fishery from an undesirable status to an optimal status. The continuous HCR tends to perform better than the discrete one. The Ftarget of 0.31 year−1 showed the best performance in the long term by balancing the needs of the fishing industry and conservation bodies. However, this was not the case in the short term. An Ntarget of 49.6 million would allow the American lobster to be maintained at its current stock level, with high recruitment and stable natural mortality. The study provides a framework for a systematic evaluation of management regulations for the American lobster.


2020 ◽  
Vol 641 ◽  
pp. 159-175
Author(s):  
J Runnebaum ◽  
KR Tanaka ◽  
L Guan ◽  
J Cao ◽  
L O’Brien ◽  
...  

Bycatch remains a global problem in managing sustainable fisheries. A critical aspect of management is understanding the timing and spatial extent of bycatch. Fisheries management often relies on observed bycatch data, which are not always available due to a lack of reporting or observer coverage. Alternatively, analyzing the overlap in suitable habitat for the target and non-target species can provide a spatial management tool to understand where bycatch interactions are likely to occur. Potential bycatch hotspots based on suitable habitat were predicted for cusk Brosme brosme incidentally caught in the Gulf of Maine American lobster Homarus americanus fishery. Data from multiple fisheries-independent surveys were combined in a delta-generalized linear mixed model to generate spatially explicit density estimates for use in an independent habitat suitability index. The habitat suitability indices for American lobster and cusk were then compared to predict potential bycatch hotspot locations. Suitable habitat for American lobster has increased between 1980 and 2013 while suitable habitat for cusk decreased throughout most of the Gulf of Maine, except for Georges Basin and the Great South Channel. The proportion of overlap in suitable habitat varied interannually but decreased slightly in the spring and remained relatively stable in the fall over the time series. As Gulf of Maine temperatures continue to increase, the interactions between American lobster and cusk are predicted to decline as cusk habitat continues to constrict. This framework can contribute to fisheries managers’ understanding of changes in habitat overlap as climate conditions continue to change and alter where bycatch interactions could occur.


2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 1635-1640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noah G. Oppenheim ◽  
Richard A. Wahle

We conducted tethering experiments in the field to evaluate day–night differences in the identity and frequency of predators encountered by the American lobster (Homarus americanus) in coastal Maine, USA. Separate daytime and nighttime deployments were conducted using tethered lobsters under infrared-illuminated video surveillance. Supplemental tethering trials without video surveillance provided further quantitative information on diel and size-specific predation patterns. We found crabs to be the most common predators during the day, whereas lobsters prevailed at night. Contrary to expectations, we measured higher predation rates at night than during the day, suggesting that nocturnal interactions with conspecifics may play a more important role in lobster population regulation than previously thought when lobster population densities are high and large predatory fish are rare. As large predatory groundfish have been depleted in the Gulf of Maine, lobster populations have reached historic highs, making density-dependent feedbacks such as cannibalism more likely.


2002 ◽  
Vol 59 (8) ◽  
pp. 1394-1403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Chen ◽  
Carl Wilson

The status of the American lobster (Homarus americanus) in the Gulf of Maine (GOM) has been assessed for the last two decades by comparing an estimated current fishing mortality rate for females (Fcur) with a deterministically estimated biological reference point, F10%. The most recent assessment determined that GOM had exceeded the F10% for every year calculated, although in this time landings and abundance have doubled. The current policy does not consider uncertainty in the assessment. This study evaluates the impacts of uncertainty in F10% and Fcur on the status assessment of lobster fishery. Using a Monte Carlo simulation approach, we found that the status assessment would be influenced by uncertainties in estimating F10% and Fcur, and by the choice of decision confidence level reflecting the level of risk managers would like to take. A large uncertainty in Fcur and F10% and a high decision confidence level reduce the likelihood of defining the stock as overfished, and vice versa. Our results suggest that the probability of lobster overfishing may be less than previously thought, and that uncertainty in Fcur and F10% should be quantified and considered in determining the status of the GOM lobster stock.


1997 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 1029 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. P. Ennis ◽  
M. J. Fogarty

A 21-year series of annual estimates of egg production and recruitment in a Newfoundland lobster population indicates similar asymptotic relationships for recruitment to the fishery and to the adult population, both derived from legal stock estimates. Lines with slopes equal to the 90th-percentile and median survival ratios drawn through the origin of the egg production–adult recruitment scatterplot were examined as potential recruitment overfishing reference points for the Arnold’s Cove lobster stock. If the inverse of the estimated lifetime egg production per recruit (E/R) for a given exploitation rate exceeds the slope of the selected reference point, the risk of recruitment overfishing is high. For the Arnold’s Cove stock, the E/R level at a nominal 90% exploitation rate is estimated at 4.2% of the unfished population, compared with 2.5% for the overfishing reference point corresponding to the median survival ratio. Female lobsters at Arnold’s Cove mature at sizes below the minimum legal size, providing a buffer against high exploitation rates. Small, scattered refugia of large lobsters could also help to explain how heavily exploited populations of this species persist at such a low level of egg production.


2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 1625-1634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marissa D. McMahan ◽  
Damian C. Brady ◽  
Diane F. Cowan ◽  
Jonathan H. Grabowski ◽  
Graham D. Sherwood

American lobster (Homarus americanus) landings have more than quadrupled in the last two decades (1990–2010), coinciding with the collapse of Gulf of Maine groundfish fisheries such as Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). Recently there has been speculation that the release of lobster from predatory control may have resulted in both lower predation rates and increased foraging areas. We used fine-scale acoustic telemetry within a 200 m × 250 m field enclosure to test the hypothesis that cod induce lobsters to decrease movement and seek refuge. We found a large amount of variation in the behavioral response of individual lobsters to predators; however, the addition of cod into the enclosure reduced maximum daily home range area and significantly reduced the distance traveled from shelter habitat area for all individuals. When predators were removed from the enclosure, lobsters responded by increasing home range area and significantly increasing the distance traveled from shelter habitat area. These results represent the first experimental evidence for American lobster range contraction and subsequent expansion in the presence and absence of cod, respectively.


1997 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 729 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lewis S. Incze ◽  
Richard A. Wahle ◽  
J. Stanley Cobb

Relationships between lobster postlarval supply and benthic recruitment were evaluated within and between oceanographically distinct segments of the range of the American lobster. Postlarvae (PL) were sampled by neuston nets in western Rhode Island Sound and the western Gulf of Maine, USA, from June to September 1989–95. Benthic lobsters were sampled in sublittoral cobble habitat by using a diver-operated airlift at the end of the settlement season. Average annual recruitment densities of young-of-year (YOY) lobsters ranged from 0.3 to 1.7 m-2. YOY recruitment was positively correlated between areas. Integrated seasonal abundance of postlarvae was often much greater in Rhode Island than Maine, but production estimates (PL 1000 m-2 season-1), calculated from moult cycle stages and temperature-dependent growth rates, differed by a factor of <0.5. PL production was positively correlated between areas and explained ≥81% of the annual variation in recruitment in each area and 90% for the two areas combined. In Maine, among-site differences in YOY recruitment persisted for a year after settlement and then began to lessen, at least in part because larger individuals moved into areas of initially lower recruitment


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamie Behan ◽  
Bai Li ◽  
Yong Chen

The Gulf of Maine (GOM) is a highly complex environment and previous studies have suggested the need to account for spatial nonstationarity in species distribution models (SDMs) for the American lobster (Homarus americanus). To explore impacts of spatial nonstationarity on species distribution, we compared models with the following three assumptions : (1) large-scale and stationary relationships between species distributions and environmental variables; (2) meso-scale models where estimated relationships differ between eastern and western GOM, and (3) finer-scale models where estimated relationships vary across eastern, central, and western regions of the GOM. The spatial scales used in these models were largely determined by the GOM coastal currents. Lobster data were sourced from the Maine-New Hampshire Inshore Bottom Trawl Survey from years 2000–2019. We considered spatial and environmental variables including latitude and longitude, bottom temperature, bottom salinity, distance from shore, and sediment grain size in the study. We forecasted distributions for the period 2028–2055 using each of these models under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 “business as usual” climate warming scenario. We found that the model with the third assumption (i.e., finest scale) performed best. This suggests that accounting for spatial nonstationarity in the GOM leads to improved distribution estimates. Large-scale models revealed a tendency to estimate global relationships that better represented a specific location within the study area, rather than estimating relationships appropriate across all spatial areas. Forecasted distributions revealed that the largest scale models tended to comparatively overestimate most season × sex × size group lobster abundances in western GOM, underestimate in the western portion of central GOM, and overestimate in the eastern portion of central GOM, with slightly less consistent and patchy trends amongst groups in eastern GOM. The differences between model estimates were greatest between the largest and finest scale models, suggesting that fine-scale models may be useful for capturing effects of unique dependencies that may operate at localized scales. We demonstrate how estimates of season-, sex-, and size- specific American lobster spatial distribution would vary based on the spatial scale assumption of nonstationarity in the GOM. This information may help develop appropriate local adaptation measures in a region that is susceptible to climate change.


Author(s):  
Jesica D Waller ◽  
Kathleen M Reardon ◽  
Sarah E Caron ◽  
Blaise P Jenner ◽  
Erin L Summers ◽  
...  

Abstract The carapace length (CL) at which American lobster (Homarus americanus) females reach maturity can be used to evaluate egg production, growth patterns, and the overall health of lobster stocks. The female maturity datasets used to represent Gulf of Maine (GOM) lobsters in the 2015 Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission American Lobster Stock Assessment were collected in the 1990s by the Maine Department of Marine Resources at two coastal sites. Many studies have demonstrated an inverse relationship between temperature and the size at maturity in female lobsters, and GOM waters have warmed significantly over this period. To update these GOM maturity datasets, we used ovarian staging to determine the maturity status of over 1200 females from fives sites over 3 years. Broad application of this methodology in tandem with key growth measurements on females 50–120 mm CL allowed us to characterize reproductive development and generate maturity ogives (proportion mature at a given CL). We observed a latitudinal gradient in the size at maturity across this coastal region of the GOM and quantified a decrease in this size over 25 years. These findings have implications for future stock assessment approaches and management measures implemented to sustain this valuable fishery.


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