British Parties in the Balance: A Time-Series Analysis of Long-Term Trends in Labour and Conservative Support

1989 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 211-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Mishler ◽  
Marilyn Hoskin ◽  
Roy Fitzgerald
Keyword(s):  
Public Support ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
British Politics ◽  
Economic Changes ◽  
The Past ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Election Results ◽  
The Stability

The electoral domination of the Conservative party during the past decade has been interpreted by many as evidence of a long-term shift in the balance of public support from Labour to the Conservatives. This article argues that such a shift has not occurred. Rather, the stability apparent in recent election results disguises considerable underlying volatility. The balance of public support between the major parties continues to be highly unstable and subject to large and precipitous fluctuations in response to relatively small economic changes and ordinary political events. Recent Conservative victories appear to be the results more of good timing and luck than of any fundamental, long-term dynamic in British politics.

scholarly journals Trends and Developments in Bioinformatics in 2010: Prospects and Perspectives

2011 ◽  
Vol 20 (01) ◽  
pp. 146-155
Author(s):  
A. V. Alekseyenko ◽  
Y. Aphinyanaphongs ◽  
S. Brown ◽  
D. Fenyo ◽  
L. Fu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Best Practices ◽  
Open Problems ◽  
The Past ◽  
New Methods ◽  
Methods Development ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
To Come ◽  
Generation Sequencing

SummaryTo survey major developments and trends in the field of Bioinformatics in 2010 and their relationships to those of previous years, with emphasis on long-term trends, on best practices, on quality of the science of informatics, and on quality of science as a function of informatics.A critical review of articles in the literature of Bioinformatics over the past year.Our main results suggest that Bioinformatics continues to be a major catalyst for progress in Biology and Translational Medicine, as a consequence of new assaying technologies, most predominantly Next Generation Sequencing, which are changing the landscape of modern biological and medical research. These assays critically depend on bioinformatics and have led to quick growth of corresponding informatics methods development. Clinical-grade molecular signatures are proliferating at a rapid rate. However, a highly publicized incident at a prominent university showed that deficiencies in informatics methods can lead to catastrophic consequences for important scientific projects. Developing evidence-driven protocols and best practices is greatly needed given how serious are the implications for the quality of translational and basic science.Several exciting new methods have appeared over the past 18 months, that open new roads for progress in bioinformatics methods and their impact in biomedicine. At the same time, the range of open problems of great significance is extensive, ensuring the vitality of the field for many years to come.

Long-term variations in the geomagnetic activity level Part II: Ascending phases of sunspot cycles

1994 ◽  
Vol 12 (10/11) ◽  
pp. 1065-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mussino ◽  
O. Borello Filisetti ◽  
M. Storini ◽  
H. Nevanlinna
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Geomagnetic Activity ◽  
Activity Level ◽  
Activity Levels ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Past ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
A Minor ◽  
Long Term Variations

Abstract. Monthly averages of the Helsinki Ak-values have been reduced to the equivalent aa-indices to extend the aa-data set back to 1844. A periodicity of about five cycles was found for the correlation coefficient (r) between geomagnetic indices and sunspot numbers for the ascending phases of sunspot cycles 9 to 22, confirming previous findings based on a minor number of sunspot cycles. The result is useful to researchers in topics related to solar-terrestrial physics, particularly for the interpretation of long-term trends in geomagnetic activity during the past, and to forecast geomagnetic activity levels in the future.

Thorny way of strategic planning in modern Russia

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-34
Author(s):  
MIKHAIL E. DMITRIEV ◽  
◽  
VALERY B. KRAPIL ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Market Economy ◽  
Planning System ◽  
The Past ◽  
Current State ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
To Come ◽  
Further Development

The article considers strategic planning practices in Russia since the transition to market economy. The authors assess the outcomes of federal strategies and the possible causes of their incomplete implementation. The study reviews the development of legislation on strategic planning and the problems and contradictions associated with the implementation of the laws, including the subfederal level. The course of development of the project format of strategic documents (national projects, etc.) and the reasons that led to the strengthening of its role, despite the lack of legislative registration, are also presented. Based on the results of the review, a characteristic is given of the current state of the strategic planning system, which is assessed as unstable and transitional, and possible directions for its further development are noted. The interest in strategic planning over the past three decades has been generated by objective long-term challenges. They are largely due to the need to take into account long-term trends in demographic, technological, environmental, climatic, spatial, infrastructural, geopolitical and other areas where there are problems and tasks that can only be solved by coordinated planning of actions for many years to come.

Questions That Will Not Go Away: Some Remarks on Long-Term Trends in Architecture and their Impact on Architectural Education

2006 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 12-19
Author(s):  
N. John Habraken
Keyword(s):  
Architectural Education ◽  
Philosophical Question ◽  
The Past ◽  
Self Image ◽  
The Future ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
The Way

I want to raise a more philosophical question. What fundamental images and ambitions have guided us in the past and may guide us in the future? I want to particularly call attention to the way we explain ourselves to ourselves and to those we work with. This question may not seem practical but, ultimately, our self-image determines the way we design: our buildings reflect how we see ourselves. To let you know right from the beginning what I am aiming at, my talk can be summarized as follows: we come from a tradition of monument builders, but today we are almost entirely immersed in design for everyday environments. Where we come from is very different from what we do now. The way we see ourselves is a product of the past and is becoming increasingly counter productive.

The past 5000 years history of solar modulation of cosmic radiation from 10 Be and 14 C studies

1990 ◽  
Vol 330 (1615) ◽  
pp. 471-480 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Cosmic Radiation ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Solar Modulation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Past ◽  
History Of ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Terrestrial Biomass

10 Be is produced in a similar way as 14 C by the interaction of cosmic radiation with the nuclei in the atmosphere. Assuming that the 10 Be and 14 C variation are proportional and considering the different behaviour in the Earth system, the 10 Be concentrations in ice cores can be compared with the 14 C variations in tree rings. A high correlation is found for the short-term variations ( 14 C-Suess-wiggles). They reflect with a high probability production rate variations. More problematic is the interpretation of the long-term trends of 14 C and 10 Be. Several explanations are discussed. The reconstructed CO 2 concentrations in ice cores indicate a rather constant value (280 ± 10 p.p.m. by volume) during the past few millenia. Measurements on the ice core from Byrd Station, Antarctica, during the period 9000 to 6000 years BP indicate a decrease that might be explained by the extraction of CO 2 from the atmosphere-ocean system to build the terrestrial biomass pool during the climatic optimum.

Ladders and Bushes: The Problem of Caseloads and Studying Court Activities over Time

1984 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 751-795 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Daniels
Keyword(s):  
Social Development ◽  
Development Model ◽  
Social Development Model ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Social ◽  
Single Pattern ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Open Question ◽  
Over Time

The “litigation explosion” has been a frequent topic of concern in both academic circles and the popular press. This idea draws its polemical power from the assumption that litigation rates were lower in the past. But we presently know little about long-term trends in court activity. This article is a critical review of the existing literature on long-term litigation trends and the social development model which scholars have posited to explain changes in litigation patterns. Whether courts are indeed facing imminent crisis because of an explosion is still very much an open question; the extant literature offers no proof of an explosion. The available data do suggest, however, that previous studies may have been overly optimistic in expecting litigation trends to follow any single pattern. The questions about litigation rates will remain open until we are able to gain a fuller understanding of the trends in court activity over time.

Are We All Green Now? Public Opinion on Environmentalism in Britain

1997 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 320-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pippa Norris
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Cultural Revolution ◽  
Public Support ◽  
Environmental Issues ◽  
British Politics ◽  
Environmental Groups ◽  
Green Party ◽  
Green Consumerism ◽  
Culture Shift

OWING TO THE GROWTH OF THE GREEN MOVEMENT IN THE 1980S MANY feel that Britain has experienced a cultural revolution on environmental issues. According to conventional wisdom, public opinion has come to reflect a deep-rooted and widespread sense of environmental awareness, with long-term consequences for British politics. Yearley suggests that there has been a significant ‘greening’ of British public opinion in recent years.’ In a series of articles reviewing attitudes towards environmental values, Young concludes that evidence for a culture shift ‘is almost beyond dispute’. Environmentalists commonly make three distinct claims, namely: there has been a growth of public concern about environmental issues; as a result public support for green policies and ideas has increased; in turn this has led to greater environmental activism, including support for the Green Party, involvement in environmental groups and green consumerism.

scholarly journals Stability of the bedrock of castle building for geotourism purposes

2021 ◽  
Vol 906 (1) ◽  
pp. 012028
Author(s):  
Miloš Duraj ◽  
Dominik Niemiec ◽  
Estevao Mendes ◽  
Erik Sombathy
Keyword(s):  
Slovak Republic ◽  
Complete Solution ◽  
Geological Structure ◽  
Petrographic Composition ◽  
The Past ◽  
Tectonic Disturbances ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Continuous Work ◽  
To Receive

Abstract The geological structure of the Slovak Republic is very complex and varied. This fact in the course of centuries has had an impact on the castle buildings built here. The subsoil of these structures has different petrographic composition, tectonic disturbances and other geological complexities that threaten the stability of these structures and endanger the objects in their surroundings. In recent years, these structures have begun to receive deserved attention. In the past, the problems of severely disturbed blocks in the subsoil were mainly addressed and had to be rehabilitated for these reasons. These were mainly buildings whose subsoil is built with carbonate rocks. A perfect example of a long-term solution to these complex problems is also the Strecno Castle. A lot of effort and money has already been devoted to solving the stability of the bedrock, which also adversely affects the stability of the castle. However, the extensive set of works that have been carried out here over a long period of time have not brought a complete solution to the problems that occur here. For this reason, continuous work is being carried out here under the guidance of experts to eliminate the effects of erosion of the bedrock in particular. In the present work, the activities and measures that have been implemented here in stages up to the present are briefly described chronologically.

scholarly journals Long-term Trends of Volatile Organic Compounds over the Texas, USA in the Past Two Decades

2021 ◽  
Vol 259 ◽  
pp. 01003
Author(s):  
Ruizhe Liu
Keyword(s):  
Volatile Organic Compounds ◽  
Organic Compounds ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
The Past ◽  
Volatile Organic ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Secondary Air Pollutants ◽  
Secondary Air ◽  
Oil And Gas Companies

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are organic compounds in the air that have low vapor pressure. VOCs can be emitted from a variety of sources including biogenic, anthropogenic and pyrogenic processes. VOCs are precursors of aerosols and tropospheric 03. which harm human health. However, the potential of VOCs forming secondary air pollutants varies by species. Here, we analyze the long-term trends of soiu'ce. concentration and reactivity of six classes of VOCs from 1995 to 2018 over Texas. USA. VOCs emission from petroleum and related companies in Texas kept increasing these years. Among the VOCs tracers of oil and gas companies, the concentration of ethane kept increasing until 2015. Despite the increase of oil and gas related VOCs. the concentration of total VOCs and reactivity-weighted VOCs have decreased in the past two decades. We further investigate the seasonality of VOC reactivities, which depend on both temperature and VOC concentration. We find that VOC reactivity generally is highest in fall and lowest in spring, and such seasonality does not change over the two decades.

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