scholarly journals Are Populists Sore Losers? Explaining Populist Citizens' Preferences for and Reactions to Referendums

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Hannah Werner ◽  
Kristof Jacobs
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Conventional Wisdom ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Security Services ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Before And After

Abstract Can referendums help increase perceived legitimacy among citizens with populist attitudes? Indeed, public opinion surveys show that populist citizens are especially in favour of referendums. However, we do not know whether this support reflects a principled desire for different decision-making procedures or an instrumental one (that is, because they expect referendums to yield favourable outcomes). We study this question on a real-life case: the Dutch 2018 referendum on the Intelligence and Security Services Act 2017. Using high-quality survey data from both before and after the referendum, we find that, counter to conventional wisdom and our hypotheses, populists' support for referendums is less driven by instrumental motives compared to that of non-populists, and that populists are more likely than non-populists to accept the outcome of a referendum, even when this outcome is unfavourable.

scholarly journals How to measure public demand for policies when there is no appropriate survey data?

2016 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bianca Oehl ◽  
Lena Maria Schaffer ◽  
Thomas Bernauer
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Explanatory Models ◽  
The Public ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Search Data ◽  
The Government ◽  
Public Demand

AbstractExplanatory models accounting for variation in policy choices by democratic governments usually include a demand (by the public) and a supply (by the government) component, whereas the latter component is usually better developed from a measurement viewpoint. The main reason is that public opinion surveys, the standard approach to measuring public demand, are expensive, difficult to implement simultaneously for different countries for purposes of crossnational comparison and impossible to implementex postfor purposes of longitudinal analysis if survey data for past time periods are lacking. We therefore propose a new approach to measuring public demand, focussing on political claims made by nongovernmental actors and expressed in the news. To demonstrate the feasibility and usefulness of our measure ofpublished opinion, we focus on climate policy in the time period between 1995 and 2010. When comparing the new measure of published opinion with the best available public opinion survey and internet search data, it turns out that our data can serve as a meaningful proxy for public demand.

scholarly journals Political Activity Indicators in Public Opinion Surveys

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladas Gaidys
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Close Relation ◽  
Political Activity ◽  
Main Attention ◽  
Negative Attitudes ◽  
Positive Attitudes ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Open Question

Indicators of regular public opinion surveys are analysed in the aspect of political activity. The main attention of analysis was focused on the indicators of voting preferences ‘will not vote’, ‘don’t know’ and ‘no answer’, also on frequencies of mentioning popular politicians in an open question, neutral answers to questions about trust in President and Seimas. The empirical basis of the paper is surveys conducted in 1989–2020 and the joined file of eleven surveys in 2019. The analysis of the data shows the difference in the answers ‘don’t know who to vote for’ before and after the elections: after the elections a considerably bigger part of respondents have their opinion on voting preferences. In an open question ‘Which politicians, in your opinion, best represent your interests?’, the highest result was fixed in 1989–1990, in the time of the highest political activity in society, and the lowest was fixed in the 20s. The neutral evaluations of President are in a close connection with positive attitudes to this institution and the neutral evaluations of Seimas are in a close relation with negative attitudes to this institution.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON JAPANESE PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS (2006–17) ABOUT NUCLEAR AND RADIATION APPLICATIONS

2019 ◽  
Vol 184 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 523-526
Author(s):  
Takeshi Iimoto ◽  
Ryuta Takashima ◽  
Hiroshi Kimura ◽  
Kazuhisa Kawakami ◽  
Hironori Endo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Nuclear Energy ◽  
Opinion Survey ◽  
Related Event ◽  
Nuclear Disaster ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Energy Relations ◽  
Term Fluctuation

Abstract Public opinion on the application of nuclear technology and radiation could change when a nuclear related event occurs. Japan Atomic Energy Relations Organization has tracked its variation through a nationwide opinion survey in Japan by almost the same way every year since FY 2006. We can identify a continuous long-term fluctuation of Japanese opinion before and after the TEPCO Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster using the data. In this study we focused on the trends of public opinion for nuclear energy, impressions and knowledge on radiation, and zero-risk request. For example, radiation can be recognised that it is dangerous and complicated matter by Japanese public regardless of that accident. However, a big change of opinions on radiation was shown on the impression for the word of ‘Useful’ between before and after the accident.

scholarly journals Geopolitical ideas of Czech public

Geografie ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 120 (4) ◽  
pp. 564-584 ◽  
Author(s):  
Přemysl Mácha ◽  
Tomáš Drobík ◽  
Monika Šumberová ◽  
Jan Ženka ◽  
Eva Tenzin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Reference Point ◽  
Political Orientation ◽  
Original Research ◽  
Political Decision ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Decision Making Processes ◽  
Political Decision Making

This article analyses geographical and geopolitical ideas of the Czech public. Geographical ideas have become one of the basic conceptual instruments of contemporary human geography for the research into the influence of “spatial discourse” on political decision-making processes. The analysis is based on public opinion surveys and original research. It is its objective to identify basic geopolitical ideas of the Czech public in the context of Czech membership in NATO, to find the links between the perception of various types of geopolitical threats and to try to explain them on the basis of socio-demographic and geographic characteristics of the respondents. A particular emphasis is placed on NATO as a key reference point and a mediator of geographical and geopolitical ideas. Statistically significant differences in the perception and localization of threats and the role of NATO were found in relation to gender, age, residence, education and political orientation.

scholarly journals Student impulsivity in decision making with computer simulations

1993 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
John King ◽  
Rhonda King
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Computer Simulation ◽  
Treatment Group ◽  
Computer Simulations ◽  
No Reduction ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Primary School Students ◽  
School Students ◽  
Before And After

<span>A series of decision-making activities in real-life and life-like situations were undertaken by a class of year six primary school students over a period of three months. Students played the computer simulation </span><em>Shipwreck</em><span> before and after the activities. During the simulation sessions, interactions between pairs of students were audio taped. Other data recorded included the survival scores generated by the program, the time of play for each pair and responses to questions at the end of the game sessions and at the end of the experiment. A control class played the game at the same times and the same data were recorded. Results suggest that while the treatment group showed no reduction in impulsivity in decision making, they remained stable in this respect compared to the control group.</span>

Survey Data as Evidence in Trademark Infringement Cases

1965 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald L. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Research ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Research Problem ◽  
Legal Evidence ◽  
Trademark Infringement ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Unfair Trade ◽  
The Status ◽  
Conceptual Problems

➤There are still many basic, unresolved issues with respect to the status of survey data as legal evidence. In cases involving unfair trade, particularly alleged trademark infringement, public opinion surveys exist as an attractive, logical basis for making a decision. Increasingly, litigants have attempted to introduce such data, often with quite unpredicted and unexpected results. Evaluation is made of major survey research problem areas in terms of their legal significance. The article is designed to acquaint the survey research specialist with some of the practical and conceptual problems encountered in preparing survey data for court.

The ‘end of pan-Arabism’ revisited: reflections on the Arab Spring

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 382-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Youssef Mohamed Sawani
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Mass Media ◽  
Public Space ◽  
Arab Spring ◽  
Arab World ◽  
Essential Point ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Arab Spring

This article draws on implications of the Arab Spring so as to elucidate the dynamics that characterize its revolutions. The analysis builds upon the results of major public opinion surveys conducted in the Arab world, both immediately before and after the Arab Spring, in order to facilitate the identification of developments that shape the relationship between Arabism and Islamism in the context of mass media, the demographic ‘youth bulge’ and Arab ongoing intellectual debates. The argument advanced here is that the Arab Spring consolidates the view that Arabism and Islamism have maintained their position and hold on public opinion and prevailing attitudes as the primary and inseparable trends of Arab thought. The interaction and shifting relative weights of both trends provide the context for the identity, conceptual outlook and reciprocal framework of contemporary Arabs; and the Arab Spring seems only to confirm the two trends as constituting the essential point of reference and departure for Arabs. Within this context and scope of analysis this article traces the emergence of a ‘historical mass’ for change that, coupled with an indelibly engrained link between the two trends is opening up a new conceptual sphere and public space for the emergence of a new Arabism. Such development is also supported by the role of mass media and the thoughtful intellectual contributions that have been advancing a new Arab paradigm which further refutes the ‘End of Arabism’ thesis.

Step 2

2021 ◽  
pp. 97-127
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Impression Formation ◽  
School Success ◽  
Real Life ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Shared Reality ◽  
Intergroup Relationships ◽  
Linguistic Categories

Once we know what kind of information to keep for analyzing the situation, we are able to estimate what information is missing. More particularly, this chapter shows how responsivity in observation and enquiry facilitates the search for high-quality pieces of information, such as those that describe when, where, and for whom the problem occurs, as well as depict the students' situation at the intraindividual (reactions to different tasks or activities), interindividual (relationships with classmates), intergroup (relationships in class and at school), and conception levels (students' vision of school success and failure, intelligence conception, etc.). Through real-life situations, this chapter shows the role of the linguistic categories used in discussion and types of discussion in general to avoid the pitfalls of shared reality in impression formation, as well as conformism and groupthink in decision making.

scholarly journals Interviewer Effect on the Survey Data in Lithuania: Analysis of Three Surveys

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ainė Ramonaitė
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Comparative Studies ◽  
Political Attitudes ◽  
Multilevel Modelling ◽  
Public Opinion Research ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Interviewer Effect ◽  
International Comparative

The article analyses the interviewer effect on the data of three public opinion surveys on political attitudes of the population conducted in Lithuania. The study discusses why in international comparative studies Lithuania stands out for its extremely high interviewer effect, which raises serious doubts about the reliability and suitability of the data for analysis. The article, first, reviews the reasons for the interviewer effect and the methods of its measurement and, second, presents the results of multilevel modelling. The analysis of surveys conducted by three different public opinion research agencies reveals that the interviewer effect varies significantly depending on the research agency. The hypotheses on the differences in the interviewer effect related to the nature of the questions were not confirmed, but it was found that the interviewer effect was greater on more abstract and complex questions. In the conclusions, the recommendations for researchers working with surveys on how to control the interviewer effect are provided.

scholarly journals ‘Why Do You Ask?’ The Nature and Impacts of Attitudes towards Public Opinion Surveys in the Arab World

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin J. Gengler ◽  
Mark Tessler ◽  
Russell Lucas ◽  
Jonathan Forney
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Arab World ◽  
Arab Country ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Willingness To Participate ◽  
Public Opinion Surveys ◽  
Democratic Polity ◽  
Original Survey ◽  
The Impact

Abstract For the first time in an Arab country, this article examines attitudes toward public opinion surveys and their effects on survey-taking behavior. The study uses original survey data from Qatar, the diverse population of which permits comparisons across cultural–geographical groupings within a single, non-democratic polity. The authors find that Qatari and expatriate Arabs hold positive views of surveys, both in absolute terms and relative to individuals from non-Arab countries. Factor analysis reveals that the underlying dimensions of survey attitudes in Qatar mostly mirror those identified in Western settings, but a new dimension is discovered that captures the perceived intentions of surveys. Two embedded experiments assess the impact of survey attitudes. The results show that generalized attitudes toward surveys affect respondents’ willingness to participate both alone and in combination with surveys' objective attributes. The study also finds that negative views about survey reliability and intentions increase motivated under-reporting among Arab respondents, whereas non-Arabs are sensitive only to perceived cognitive and time costs. These findings have direct implications for consumers and producers of Arab survey data.

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