Psychological strength assessed in late adolescence and risk for criminal behavior: a Swedish prospective cohort and twin analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. S. Kendler ◽  
S. L. Lönn ◽  
P. Lichtenstein ◽  
J. Sundquist ◽  
K. Sundquist

Background.Certain personality traits predispose to criminal behavior (CB). We further clarify this relationship in a Swedish national sample.Method.Psychological strength (PS) was assessed on a nine-point scale at personal interview in 1 653 721 Swedish men aged 18–20 years. We examined the association between PS and total, violent and recurrent CB over the lifetime (logistic regression), prospectively (Cox regression) and by bivariate Cholesky decomposition in 2507 monozygotic and 2244 dizygotic twin pairs (OpenMx).Results.Examining linear effects by logistic regression, PS was robustly associated with lifetime risk of total CB (per point, odds ratio = 0.74) and even more strongly associated with risk for violent (0.69) and recurrent CB (0.52). Prospective predictions of these three forms of CB by PS were similar, with hazard ratios of 0.80, 0.73 and 0.54, respectively. Twin modeling demonstrated that, for all three CB types, the association with PS arose almost entirely from familial effects. Common shared environment accounted for 72, 56 and 43% of the phenotypic correlation between PS and, respectively, total, violent and recurrent CB. Parallel figures for common genetic effects were for 24, 37 and 54%, respectively.Conclusions.PS is strongly related to risk for total CB, and even more strongly for violent and, especially, recurrent CB. This association is probably not causal but rather results from shared familial risk factors that make an impact both on PS and risk for CB. PS has a stronger overall correlation with more severe criminal outcomes and a higher proportion of that correlation results from common genetic factors.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Amanda V. Bakian ◽  
Danli Chen ◽  
Chong Zhang ◽  
Heidi A. Hanson ◽  
Anna R. Docherty ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The degree to which suicide risk aggregates in US families is unknown. The authors aimed to determine the familial risk of suicide in Utah, and tested whether familial risk varies based on the characteristics of the suicides and their relatives. Methods A population-based sample of 12 160 suicides from 1904 to 2014 were identified from the Utah Population Database and matched 1:5 to controls based on sex and age using at-risk sampling. All first through third- and fifth-degree relatives of suicide probands and controls were identified (N = 13 480 122). The familial risk of suicide was estimated based on hazard ratios (HR) from an unsupervised Cox regression model in a unified framework. Moderation by sex of the proband or relative and age of the proband at time of suicide (<25 v. ⩾25 years) was examined. Results Significantly elevated HRs were observed in first- (HR 3.45; 95% CI 3.12–3.82) through fifth-degree relatives (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.02–1.12) of suicide probands. Among first-degree relatives of female suicide probands, the HR of suicide was 6.99 (95% CI 3.99–12.25) in mothers, 6.39 in sisters (95% CI 3.78–10.82), and 5.65 (95% CI 3.38–9.44) in daughters. The HR in first-degree relatives of suicide probands under 25 years at death was 4.29 (95% CI 3.49–5.26). Conclusions Elevated familial suicide risk in relatives of female and younger suicide probands suggests that there are unique risk groups to which prevention efforts should be directed – namely suicidal young adults and women with a strong family history of suicide.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 1267-1267
Author(s):  
Zachary Gowanlock ◽  
Swetha Sriram ◽  
Alison Martin ◽  
Anargyros Xenocostas ◽  
Alejandro Lazo-Langner

Abstract Background: Anemia of unknown etiology (AUE) is a common category of anemia in the elderly where investigations cannot identify a specific cause. We have previously shown that AUE patients exhibit lower erythropoietin (EPO) levels which may be associated with either decreased EPO production or a blunted EPO response to anemia. Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) mimic the effect of endogenous EPO and may play a role in treating AUE. In this study, we investigated the response to ESA treatment in patients with AUE compared to other causes of anemia. We also examined the effect of ESAs on cardiovascular outcomes in our cohort. To our knowledge, no previous study has specifically assessed ESAs in AUE. Patients and methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including all consecutive hematology patients referred to our centre and who had EPO levels determined between 2005 and 2013. We included patients 60 years or older who met the World Health Organization criteria for anemia (hemoglobin [Hb] <130 g/L in men, <120 g/L in women) excluding patients with insufficient electronic medical records. The cohort was subdivided into a group treated with ESAs and an untreated group. Three reviewers independently adjudicated each patient's anemia to one of four diagnostic groups: chronic kidney disease (CKD), myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), AUE, or other miscellaneous etiologies. The etiology reported by at least two of the three reviewers was used in the analysis, with differences resolved by consensus. Inter-observer agreement was assessed using Fleiss' Kappa statistic. Treatment response was defined by at least a 15 g/L increase in the Hb level from baseline, or a decrease of at least 4 transfusions over 8 weeks, compared to pretreatment. We performed logistic regression to measure the association between the anemia etiology and treatment response while controlling for the following potential confounders: sex, age, weight, Charlson's comorbidity index, Hb, EPO level, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and the presence of additional cytopenias. To evaluate safety we identified each documented cardiovascular event in the cohort including ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis or portal vein thrombosis. We generated Kaplan-Meier curves comparing cardiovascular events and cardiovascular event-free survival between the treated and untreated groups. Hazard ratios were calculated using Cox regression analysis. Results: The inclusion criteria were met by 570 of 1511 potentially eligible patients. Of the 113 patients treated with an ESA, data was adequate to assess treatment response in 101 patients. Of the patients treated with an ESA, the mean age was 75.1 years and 60% were male. The mean pretreatment hemoglobin was 88.5 g/L. Inter-observer agreement for diagnostic categories was adequate. Eighty-two patients were treated with epoetin alfa and 19 patients received darbepoetin alfa. Treatment response was better in the CKD and AUE groups (54% and 47%, respectively) compared to the other groups. Compared to the group of other etiologies logistic regression analysis showed a 3.6 and 3.3 adjusted odds ratio (OR) for response for CKD and AUE respectively, although this was not statistically significant (Table 1). A baseline EPO level <200 IU/L was associated with a response to ESAs (OR 9.3; 95% CI 1.1-75.4). There was no significant difference in cardiovascular events or cardiovascular event-free survival between the treated and untreated groups, even after adjusting for confounders (Table 2). Conclusion: Our results suggest that ESAs can be used to treat anemia of unknown etiology, and responses may be similar to those in chronic kidney disease. This supports the notion that a relative EPO deficiency is probably related to the pathogenesis of AUE. Although treatment may be associated with increased cardiovascular events, this was not found to be significant in our cohort. Limitations of this study include its retrospective nature and a relatively small sample size. Further studies exploring the safety and efficacy of ESAs in the treatment of AUE are warranted. Table 1 Odds ratio of treatment response in unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models Table 1. Odds ratio of treatment response in unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models Table 2 Hazard ratios for cardiovascular outcomes in patients receiving ESAs in unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models Table 2. Hazard ratios for cardiovascular outcomes in patients receiving ESAs in unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models Disclosures Xenocostas: Janssen Inc.: Research Funding. Lazo-Langner:Daiichi Sankyo: Research Funding; Pfizer: Honoraria; Bayer: Honoraria.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Charles Kassardjian ◽  
Jessica Widdifield ◽  
J. Michael Paterson ◽  
Alexander Kopp ◽  
Chenthila Nagamuthu ◽  
...  

Background: Prednisone is a common treatment for myasthenia gravis (MG), and osteoporosis is a known potential risk of chronic prednisone therapy. Objective: Our aim was to evaluate the risk of serious fractures in a population-based cohort of MG patients. Methods: An inception cohort of patients with MG was identified from administrative health data in Ontario, Canada between April 1, 2002 and December 31, 2015. For each MG patient, we matched 4 general population comparators based on age, sex, and region of residence. Fractures were identified through emergency department and hospitalization data. Crude overall rates and sex-specific rates of fractures were calculated for the MG and comparator groups, as well as rates of specific fractures. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox regression. Results: Among 3,823 incident MG patients (followed for a mean of 5 years), 188 (4.9%) experienced a fracture compared with 741 (4.8%) fractures amongst 15,292 matched comparators. Crude fracture rates were not different between the MG cohort and matched comparators (8.71 vs. 7.98 per 1000 patient years), overall and in men and women separately. After controlling for multiple covariates, MG patients had a significantly lower risk of fracture than comparators (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.63–0.88). Conclusions: In this large, population-based cohort of incident MG patients, MG patients were at lower risk of a major fracture than comparators. The reasons for this finding are unclear but may highlight the importance osteoporosis prevention.


Author(s):  
Rebeca Olivia Millán-Guerrero ◽  
Ramiro Caballero-Hoyos ◽  
Joel Monárrez-Espino

Abstract Background Recent evidence points to the relevance of poverty and inequality as factors affecting the spread and mortality of the COVID-19 pandemic in Latin America. This study aimed to determine whether COVID-19 patients living in Mexican municipalities with high levels of poverty have a lower survival compared with those living in municipalities with low levels. Methods Retrospective cohort study. Secondary data was used to define the exposure (multidimensional poverty level) and outcome (survival time) among patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between 27 February and 1 July 2020. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) from Cox regression were computed. Results Nearly 250 000 COVID-19 patients were included. Mortality was 12.3% reaching 59.3% in patients with ≥1 comorbidities. Multivariate survival analyses revealed that individuals living in municipalities with extreme poverty had 9% higher risk of dying at any given time proportionally to those living in municipalities classified as not poor (HR 1.09; 95% CI 1.06–1.12). The survival gap widened with the follow-up time up to the third to fourth weeks after diagnosis. Conclusion Evidence suggests that the poorest population groups have a lower survival from COVID-19. Thus, combating extreme poverty should be a central preventive strategy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Svendsen ◽  
H.W Krogh ◽  
J Igland ◽  
G.S Tell ◽  
L.J Mundal ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and aim We have previously reported that individuals with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) have a two-fold increased risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) compared with the general population. The consequences of having an AMI on re-hospitalization and mortality are however less known. The aim of the present study was to compare the risk of re-hospitalization with AMI and CHD and risk of mortality after incident (first) AMI-hospitalization between persons with and without FH (controls). Methods The original study population comprised 5691 persons diagnosed with FH during 1992–2014 and 119511 age and sex matched controls randomly selected from the general Norwegian population. We identified 221 individuals with FH and 1947 controls with an incident AMI registered in the Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR) or the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway Project during 2001–2017. Persons with incident AMI were followed until December 31st 2017 for re-hospitalization with AMI or coronary heart disease (CHD) registered in the NPR, and for mortality through linkage to the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. Risk of re-hospitalization was compared with sub-hazard ratios (SHR) from competing risk regression with death as competing event, and mortality was compared using hazard ratios (HR) from Cox regression. All models were adjusted for age. Results Risk of re-hospitalization was 2-fold increased both for AMI [SHR=2.53 (95% CI: 1.88–3.41)] and CHD [SHR=1.82 (95% CI: 1.44–2.28)]. However, persons with FH did not have increased 28-day mortality following an incident AMI (HR=1.05 (95% CI: 0.62–1.78), but the longer-term (&gt;28 days) mortality after first AMI was increased in FH [HR=1.45 (95% CI: 1.07–1.95]. Conclusion This study yields the important finding that persons with FH have increased risk of re-hospitalization of both AMI and CHD after incident AMI. These findings call for more intensive follow-up of individuals with FH after an AMI. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): University of Oslo and Oslo University Hospital


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsung-Kun Lin ◽  
Jing-Yang Huang ◽  
Lung-Fa Pan ◽  
Gwo-Ping Jong

Abstract Background Some observational studies have found a significant association between the use of statin and a reduced risk of dementia. However, the results of these studies are unclear in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This study is to determine the association between the use of statins and the incidence of dementia according to sex and age-related differences in patients with RA. Methods We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study using the Taiwan Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database (2003–2016). The primary outcome assessed was the risk of dementia by estimating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Multiple Cox regression was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio of new-onset dementia. Subgroup analysis was also conducted. Results Among the 264,036 eligible patients with RA aged > 40 years, statin users were compared with non-statin users by propensity score matching at a ratio of 1:1 (25,764 in each group). However, no association was found between the use of statins and the risk of new-onset dementia (NOD) in patients with RA (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.97–1.06). The subgroup analysis identified the use of statin as having a protective effect against developing NOD in male and older patients. Conclusion No association was observed between the use of a statin and the risk of NOD in patients with RA, including patients of both genders and aged 40–60 years, but these parameters were affected by gender and age. The decreased risk of NOD in patients with RA was greater among older male patients. Use of a statin in older male (> 60 years) patients with RA may be needed in clinical practice to prevent dementia.


2015 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Camiel L.M. de Roij van Zuijdewijn ◽  
Menso J. Nubé ◽  
Piet M. ter Wee ◽  
Peter J. Blankestijn ◽  
Renée Lévesque ◽  
...  

Background/Aims: Treatment time is associated with survival in hemodialysis (HD) patients and with convection volume in hemodiafiltration (HDF) patients. High-volume HDF is associated with improved survival. Therefore, we investigated whether this survival benefit is explained by treatment time. Methods: Participants were subdivided into four groups: HD and tertiles of convection volume in HDF. Three Cox regression models were fitted to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality of HDF subgroups versus HD: (1) crude, (2) adjusted for confounders, (3) model 2 plus mean treatment time. As the only difference between the latter models is treatment time, any change in HRs is due to this variable. Results: 114/700 analyzed individuals were treated with high-volume HDF. HRs of high-volume HDF are 0.61, 0.62 and 0.64 in the three models, respectively (p values <0.05). Confidence intervals of models 2 and 3 overlap. Conclusion: The survival benefit of high-volume HDF over HD is independent of treatment time.


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