Fresh water inflows to the Firth of Clyde

Author(s):  
T. Poodle

SynopsisRainfall and river flow data have been used to calculate the fresh water input to the Firth of Clyde at key locations. The importance of seasonal variation and the recurrence of period of low flow is illustrated. Long term flow frequency is also analysed and related to recent events.

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (8) ◽  
pp. 503-509 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Hulley ◽  
Colin Clarke ◽  
Ed Watt

A methodology is developed for the estimation of annual low-flow quantiles for streams with annual low flows occurring in both the summer and winter. Since the low flow generating processes are different in summer and winter, independent seasonal analyses are required. The methodology provides recommendations for assessment of record length, randomness, homogeneity, independence and stationarity, as well as guidelines for distribution selection and fitting for seasonal distributions. The seasonal distributions are then used to develop the combined distribution for annual low flow estimation. Four worked examples of long-term Canadian hydrometric stations are provided.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 519-523 ◽  
Author(s):  
Spyros Beltaos

A hydrologic extreme that can be partly generated by ice effects is low winter flow, which is known for potential impacts on water quality and quantity of rivers receiving effluent discharges or industrial withdrawals. Flow abstraction caused by hydraulic storage during the upstream propagation of an ice cover is quantified using the equations of continuity for ice and water. The flow abstraction is shown to increase with increasing ice concentration, but to decrease with increasing ice cover thickness. Numerical values are consistent with winter abstractions indicated by flow data from Canadian hydrometric stations. The present results further suggest that low-flow conditions in winter should generally improve, or at least not deteriorate, under a warmer climate.


Author(s):  
Cristina Aguilar ◽  
Alberto Montanari ◽  
María José Polo

Abstract. How long a river remembers its past is still an open question. Perturbations occurring in large catchments may impact the flow regime for several weeks and months, therefore providing a physical explanation for the occasional tendency of floods to occur in clusters. The research question explored in this paper may be stated as follows: can higher than usual river discharges in the low flow season be associated to a higher probability of floods in the subsequent high flow season? The physical explanation for such association may be related to the presence of higher soil moisture storage at the beginning of the high flow season, which may induce lower infiltration rates and therefore higher river runoff. Another possible explanation is persistence of climate, due to presence of long-term properties in atmospheric circulation. We focus on the Po River at Pontelagoscuro, whose catchment area amounts to 71 000 km2. We look at the stochastic connection between average river flows in the pre-flood season and the peak flows in the flood season by using a bivariate probability distribution. We found that the shape of the flood frequency distribution is significantly impacted by the river flow regime in the low flow season. The proposed technique, which can be classified as a data assimilation approach, may allow one to reduce the uncertainty associated to the estimation of the flood probability.


Author(s):  

A detailed analysis of river flow long-term changes in the Southern taiga subzone of Western Siberia has been carried out with the Chaya River basin as an example. Causal statistical analysis of changes in groundwater levels, bog water level, air temperature and atmospheric precipitation has been performed. The conducted studies revealed a statistically significant trend in the increase of surface runoff in the winter low flow of the Chaya River and its large tributaries (the Iksa and the Parbig), as well as the underground runoff component for virtually the entire year. An ambiguous regularity has been observed in the change of the level regime of rivers. The main reason for the observed changes in the water regime of the said territory is the redistribution of atmospheric moisture and shifting of the boundaries of hydrological seasons.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalid Hassaballah ◽  
Yasir Mohamed ◽  
Stefan Uhlenbrook

Abstract. Hydro-climatic variability plays a pivotal role in structuring the biophysical environment of riverine and floodplain ecosystems. Variability is natural, but can also be enhanced by anthropogenic interventions. Alterations of hydro-climatic variables can have significant impacts on the ecohydrological functions of rivers and related ecosystems. Loss of biodiversity and degradation of ecosystems have caused increasing concern about the current situation of the Dinder and Rahad River basins (D&R), particularly the ecosystems of the Dinder National Park (DNP). However the causes are not yet fully understood. Conservation of the DNP ecosystems for direct and indirect human benefit is one of major challenges facing the country. This paper examines the long-term variations of streamflow, rainfall and temperature over the D&R and its implications on DNP ecosystems. Statistical tests of Mann–Kendall (MK) and Pettitt were used. The analysis was carried out for twelve precipitation, one temperature, and two streamflow gauging stations over different time periods. Streamflow characteristics of magnitude, duration, timing, frequency and rate of change in flow that likely impact the ecological functions of the ecosystem of the DNP, were analysed using the Indicators of Hydrologic Alterations (IHA). The MK test showed statistically significant increasing trends of temperature. The mean annual and monthly mean precipitation showed no significant change. Streamflow of the Rahad River showed a significant increasing trend in annual and monthly means at Al-Hawata station, while no significant trend in Dinder River flows at Al-Gewisi station could be observed. However, the Dinder river showed significant decreasing trend in maximum annual and monthly mean and maximum flow during August (month of high flow), and increasing trend during November (month of low flow). The IHA analysis indicated that the Rahad River flow was coupled with significant upward alterations in some of the hydrological indicators. In contrast, the Dinder River flow was coupled with significant downward alterations. This alterations in Dinder river flow are likely affect the ecosystems in DNP negatively. Alterations in magnitude and duration of the annual flood peaks that reduce the amount of water flowing to the river-floodplain, may diminish the production of native flora and fauna, and animal migration that may be linked to floodplain inundation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sulianto .

Markov Chain Model is a stochastic model for forecasting the river flow which in his analysis always involves a long series of historical data. In most studies the method is still highly theoretical and not fully applicable significantly due to the limited data in the field.This study is an attempt to optimize the application of Markov Chain Model for its functionality extensively to extrapolate data streams. The scope of this research is basically conducted a study on the relationship between the length of the historical flow data series with data quality prediction results. By knowing these characteristics, the error correction of analysis results can be expected due to data limitations, so that the Markov Chain Model can be widely applied to optimization of waterworks operations.Results for the Konto River and River showed that the prediction of flow Kwayangan next year with Markov chain models tend to give better results than the results of forecasting by conventional methods are widely applied. Markov model is good enough to predict the river flow has low flow fluctuations, but for a river flow fluctuated sharply less than satisfactory results. The length of data series ranges from 15 to 20 of the optimal inputs to produce a minimum error rate prediction. Accuracy of prediction result is not determined by the length of the input data series, but is determined by the nature of statistical data. Value of lag-1 correlation coefficient are large and small skewness coefficient of the historical data tends to give a satisfactory prediction results.Key words: river flow, data, prediktion, markov model.


2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (5) ◽  
pp. 809-833 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donna Wilson ◽  
David M. Hannah ◽  
Glenn R. McGregor

A novel flow regime classification scheme was applied to 141 river basins across western Europe, providing more robust analysis of space–time variability in regimes and their driving hydroclimatological processes. Regime shape (timing) and magnitude (size) were classified to regionalise long-term average flow regimes and to quantify year-to-year variation in regimes for each basin. Six long-term regime shape regions identified differences in seasonality related to latitude and altitude. Five long-term magnitude regions were linked to location plus average annual rainfall. Spatial distribution of long-term regimes reflected dominant climate and runoff generation processes. Regions were used to structure analysis of (relative) inter-annual regime dynamics. Six shape and five magnitude inter-annual regimes were identified; and regime stability (switching) assessed at pan-European, regional and basin scales. In some years, certain regime types were more prevalent, but never totally dominant. Regime shape was more stable at higher altitude due to buffering by frozen water storage-release (cf. more variable rainfall-runoff at lower altitudes). The lower inter-annual magnitude regimes persisted across larger domains (cf. higher magnitude) due to the more widespread climatic conditions generating low flow. Notably, there was limited spatio-temporal correspondence between regime shape and magnitude, suggesting variations in one attribute cannot be used to infer the other.


2007 ◽  
Vol 177 (4S) ◽  
pp. 314-315
Author(s):  
Jose A. Medina Machuca ◽  
Jose A. Medina Coello ◽  
Hugo Manzanilla ◽  
Francisco A. Gutierrez
Keyword(s):  
Low Flow ◽  

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