scholarly journals Random survival forests identify pathways with polymorphisms predictive of survival in KRAS mutant and KRAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Madiha Naseem ◽  
Shu Cao ◽  
Dongyun Yang ◽  
Joshua Millstein ◽  
Alberto Puccini ◽  
...  

AbstractKRAS status serves as a predictive biomarker of response to treatment in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We hypothesize that complex interactions between multiple pathways contribute to prognostic differences between KRAS wild-type and KRAS mutant patients with mCRC, and aim to identify polymorphisms predictive of clinical outcomes in this subpopulation. Most pathway association studies are limited in assessing gene–gene interactions and are restricted to an individual pathway. In this study, we use a random survival forests (RSF) method for identifying predictive markers of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in mCRC patients treated with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab. A total of 486 mCRC patients treated with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab from two randomized phase III trials, TRIBE and FIRE-3, were included in the current study. Two RSF approaches were used, namely variable importance and minimal depth. We discovered that Wnt/β-catenin and tumor associated macrophage pathway SNPs are strong predictors of OS and PFS in mCRC patients treated with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab independent of KRAS status, whereas a SNP in the sex-differentiation pathway gene, DMRT1, is strongly predictive of OS and PFS in KRAS mutant mCRC patients. Our results highlight RSF as a useful method for identifying predictive SNPs in multiple pathways.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 57-57
Author(s):  
Hideaki Bando ◽  
Daisuke Kotani ◽  
Masahito Kotaka ◽  
Akihito Kawazoe ◽  
Toshiki Masuishi ◽  
...  

57 Background: FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab (BEV) is regarded as the standard of care for selected patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), despite the high incidence of neutropenia and diarrhea. The AXEPT phase III study showed that the modified capecitabine (CAP) + irinotecan (IRI) + BEV (CAPIRI+BEV) [CAP 1600 mg/m2, IRI 200 mg/m2, and BEV 7.5 mg/kg q3wk] treatment was non-inferior to FOLFIRI+BEV, with a lower incidence of hematologic toxicity. We hypothesized that the modified CAPIRI combined with oxaliplatin (OX) and BEV (CAPOXIRI+BEV) would be more feasible than FOLFOXIRI+BEV, without compromising efficacy. Methods: The QUATTRO-II study is an open-label, multicenter, randomized phase II study. In Step 1, the recommended doses (RD) of OX and IRI were investigated as a safety lead-in. In Step 2, pts are randomized to either the RD of CAPOXIRI+BEV or FOLFOXIRI+BEV. In Step 1, four dose levels of CAPOXIRI (fixed dose of CAP 1600 mg/m2 and BEV 7.5 mg/kg plus escalated or de-escalated doses of OX and IRI, q3wk) were investigated in a 3+3 manner. A dose level of ≤ 2/6 of dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) cases was expected as the RD. Results: A total of 9 pts (3 at Level 0, 6 at Level 1) were included in Step 1. The baseline characteristics were as follows: the median age was 62 years; 6 were male; 6 presented with a left-sided tumor; 8 had a performance status of 0; all wild type/ RAS mutant/ BRAF V600E mutant were 8/1/0; and UGT1A1 wild type/*6 single hetero/*28 single hetero were 7/0/2. In Level 0 (IRI 200 mg/m2, OX 100 mg/m2), one grade 4 neutropenia and one grade 3 anorexia were observed, but without DLT. In Level 1 (IRI 200 mg/m2, OX 130 mg/m2), two grade 4 neutropenia and one grade 3 colitis were observed, with 1 DLT (febrile neutropenia) case, fully recovered without G-CSF administration. No treatment-related deaths were observed. Although dose modifications were needed in 4 of the 6 pts, no further safety concerns related to treatment continuity were observed in the 2nd or subsequent cycles. Thus, we determined that the dose administered in Level 1 is the RD for Step 2. According to the preliminary efficacy results at 8 weeks after initiating study treatment, 6 pts achieved a partial response (2 in Level 0 and 4 in Level 1). Conclusions: The RD of CAPOXIRI+BEV was 200 mg/m2 IRI, 130 mg/m2 OX, 1600 mg/m2 CAP, and 7.5mg/kg BEV. The randomized phase II Step (Step 2) of QUATTRO-II is ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT04097444.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. e030738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huijuan Wang ◽  
Lingfei Huang ◽  
Peng Gao ◽  
Zhengyi Zhu ◽  
Weifeng Ye ◽  
...  

ObjectivesCetuximab plus leucovorin, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX-4) is superior to FOLFOX-4 alone as a first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer with RAS wild-type (RAS wt mCRC), with significantly improved survival benefit by TAILOR, an open-label, randomised, multicentre, phase III trial. Nevertheless, the cost-effectiveness of these two regimens remains uncertain. The following study aims to determine whether cetuximab combined with FOLFOX-4 is a cost-effective regimen for patients with specific RAS wt mCRC in China.DesignA cost-effectiveness model combined decision tree and Markov model was built to simulate pateints with RAS wt mCRC based on health states of dead, progressive and stable. The health outcomes from the TAILOR trial and utilities from published data were used respectively. Costs were calculated with reference to the Chinese societal perspective. The robustness of the results was evaluated by univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.ParticipantsThe included patients were newly diagnosed Chinese patients with fully RAS wt mCRC.InterventionsFirst-line treatment with either cetuximab plus FOLFOX-4 or FOLFOX-4.Main outcome measuresThe primary outcomes are costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs).ResultsBaseline analysis disclosed that the QALYs was increased by 0.383 caused by additional cetuximab, while an increase of US$62 947 was observed in relation to FOLFOX-4 chemotherapy. The ICER was US$164 044 per QALY, which exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$28 106 per QALY.ConclusionsDespite the survival benefit, cetuximab combined with FOLFOX-4 is not a cost-effective treatment for the first-line regime of patients with RAS wt mCRC in China.Trial registration numberTAILOR trial (NCT01228734); Post-results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS3648-TPS3648
Author(s):  
Benoist Chibaudel ◽  
Christophe Tournigand ◽  
Franck Bonnetain ◽  
Marine Hug de larauze ◽  
Armand De Gramont ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS776-TPS776 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takayuki Yoshino ◽  
Hiroyuki Uetake ◽  
Katsuya Tsuchihara ◽  
Kohei Shitara ◽  
Kentaro Yamazaki ◽  
...  

TPS776 Background: Optimal combination of monoclonal antibody (anti-VEGF vs. anti-EGFR antibody) with standard chemotherapy as first-line treatment in patients (pts) with RAS (KRAS/NRAS) wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) remains controversial. FIRE-3 study demonstrated a significant improvement in overall survival (OS) with anti-EGFR over bevacizumab in pts with KRAS exon 2 wild type mCRC, while CALGB 80405 study did not. PARADIGM study is designed to compare panitumumab vs. bevacizumab combined with mFOLFOX6 in pts with RAS wild-type chemotherapy-naive mCRC. Methods: Eligible pts are aged 20-79 years with ECOG performance status (PS) 0-1 and histologically/cytologically confirmed RAS wild-type mCRC. 800 pts will be randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to mFOLFOX6 plus panitumumab or bevacizumab, and stratified according to institution, age (20-64 vs. 65-79 years), and liver metastases (present vs. absent). Each treatment regimen includes oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2, l-leucovorin 200 mg/m2, 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) iv 400 mg/m2 at day 1, 5-FU civ 2400 mg/m2 at day 1-3, and either panitumumab 6 mg/kg or bevacizumab 5 mg/kg at day 1 every two weeks. The primary endpoint is the OS; the study was designed to detect the OS hazard ratio of 0.76, with a one-sided type I error of 0.025 and 80% power. Secondary efficacy endpoints include progression-free survival, response rate, duration of response, and curative resection rate. One interim analysis is planned for the OS when approximately 70% of the targeted 570 events has been observed. Exploratory endpoint is to investigate possible biomarkers including oncogenic mutations using tumor tissue and circulating tumor DNA (Study ID: NCT02394834). As of August 2015, 21 pts have been randomized and recruitment is ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT02394795.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (Suppl 3) ◽  
pp. P71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey A Meyerhardt ◽  
Michele M Grady ◽  
Jamie N Lowe ◽  
Michele A Gargano ◽  
Richard D Huhn ◽  
...  

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