scholarly journals Influence of financial sustainability of households on default risks of regulated banks

2020 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 05015
Author(s):  
Zuhra Yergasheva ◽  
Saltanat Kondybayeva ◽  
Ryszhan Kabylkairatkyzy ◽  
Gulmira Yesengeldiyeva
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
The Real ◽  
Household Sector ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Credit Risks ◽  
Default Risks ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the article is to assess the financial sustainability of the household sector of the Republic of Kazakhstan and its impact on the real and financial sector in the context of minimizing the credit risks of the regulated banks of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The paper analyzes various points of view on assessing the financial sustainability of the household sector, makes a successful attempt to assess at a macroeconomic level the financial sustainability of households and the drawing potential of households in Kazakhstan using the OECD and IMF methods. The work made a holistic analysis of the financial condition and solvency of households in Kazakhstan, a forecasted VAR-model for assessing the impact of household financial sustainability on the state of the real sector of the economy has been developed; a regression model for assessing the impact of financial stability of households on the financial sector of Kazakhstan has been developed.

scholarly journals Improving the Resilience of Banking System in Small Open Economy: Is Macroprudential Policy Efficient?

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 07050
Author(s):  
Petra Popek Biskupec ◽  
Suzana Herman
Keyword(s):  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Real ◽  
Bounds Test ◽  
The Impact

Research background: Although macroprudential instruments increase financial stability, it is necessary to test how they affect the overall economic recovery after a global financial crisis. In the post-crisis period, the real sector needed a strong injection of capital in order to be able to start recovery and to encourage economic growth. At the same time, most of the countries introduced strict regulatory measures that strengthen bank capital and the liquidity base. From the standpoint of the financial sector stability, these measures contributed to the overall financial stability, but at the same time, these measures hold up the bank credit activity. Purpose of the article: This paper analyses the impact of macroprudential instruments on the bank credit activity toward the non-financial sector. The analysis is made by using the Granger Causality Test and the ARLDS Bounds Test. Methods: The research was conducted for the period of 2000 – 2019, based on the data of the Croatian National Bank and the Croatian Bureau of Statistics using logarithmic quarterly data. The analysis is made by using the Granger Causality Test and the ARLDS Bounds Test. Findings & Value added: The results confirm the thesis that additional macroprudential measures decrease the bank credit activity toward the real sector, which slows down the real sector recovery and extends the downturn in the business cycle. On the other hand, the macroprudential measures increase the financial stability of the whole economy, which is positive for future investments and recovery of the real sector.

Reducing the Risks of the Financial Sector to Ensure Sustainable Growth of the Russian Еconomy

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
T. I. Minina ◽  
V. V. Skalkin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Necessary Condition ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Financial Instruments ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Impact

Russia’s entry into the top five economies of the world depends, among other things, on the development of the financial sector, being a necessary condition for the economic growth of a developed macroeconomic and macro-financial system. The financial sector represents a system of relationships for the effective collection and distribution of economic resources, their deployment according to public demand, reducing the risk of overproduction and overheating of the economy.Therefore, the subject of the research is the financial sector of the Russian economy.The purpose of the research was to formulate an approach to alleviating the risks of increasing financial costs in the real sector of the economy by reducing the impact of endogenous risks expressed as financial asset “bubbles” using the experience of developed countries in the monetary policy.The paper analyzes a macroeconomic model applied to the financial sector. It is established that the economic growth is determined by the growth and, more important, the qualitative development of the financial sector, which leads to two phenomena: overproduction in the real sector and an increase in asset prices in the financial sector, with a debt load in both the real and financial sectors. This results in decreasing the interest rate of the mega-regulator to near-zero values. In this case, since the mechanisms of the conventional monetary policy do not work, the unconventional monetary policy is used when the mega-regulator buys out derivative financial instruments from systemically important institutions. As a conclusion, given deflationally low rates, it is proposed that the megaregulator should issue its own derivative financial instruments and place them in the financial market.

scholarly journals The Effect of Credit Derivatives on Financial Stability

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Van Ofwegen ◽  
Willem F.C. Verschoor ◽  
Remco C.J. Zwinkels
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Credit Derivatives ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Financial Products ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

Due to the recent financial turmoil, questions have been raised about the impact ofcomplex financial products, like credit derivatives, on financial stability. The academicliterature however does not provide a clear answer to this question. This paper empiricallylinks the stability of the financial sector to the use of credit derivatives for the main constituentsof the European financial sector. We find that the use of credit derivatives increases theprobability of default and thus reduces the overall financial sector stability. In addition,we find evidence that this relationship is progressive and economically meaningful.

scholarly journals Financial system and growth and economic development

VUZF Review ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-170
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Hala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
The Real ◽  
State And Local ◽  
The Impact

The aim of the article is to present the role of the financial system in economic growth and development. The first part presents the traditional understanding of the relationship between the economic system and economic growth. The second part presents the experience of financial crises and their impact on the conversation on the mutual relations between the financial sector and the real sector. The third part shows the role of the state in the financial system. The article describes the arrangement of interrelated financial institutions, financial markets and elements of the financial system infrastructure.  It shows what part of the economic system the financial system is, and whether it enables the provision of services allowing the circulation of purchasing power throughout the economy. The article presents the important role of the financial system, the role related to the transfer of capital from entities with savings to entities that need capital for investments. It shows the financial system as a set of logically related organizational forms, legal acts, financial institutions and other elements enabling entities to establish financial relations in the real sector and the financial sector, and this system forms the basis of activity for entities using money, enabling the conclusion of various economic transactions, in which money performs various functions. The article also presents the concept of a financial crisis as a situation in which there are rapid changes in the financial market, usually associated with insufficient liquidity or insolvency of banks or financial institutions, and as a result, a decrease in production or its deepening. The article also includes issues related to the impact of public authorities (state and local authorities) on the financial system in the economy.

scholarly journals The Impact of Banking Competition on Firm Credit Risk and Leverage

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 215824402110615
Author(s):  
Chengxiao Feng ◽  
Zhubo Li ◽  
Zhen Peng
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Constraints ◽  
Contingent Claims ◽  
Claims Analysis ◽  
Banking Competition ◽  
Leverage Ratio ◽  
Contingent Claims Analysis ◽  
Credit Risks ◽  
Default Risks ◽  
The Impact

A firm’s default risk is closely related to its macrofinancial stability. As financial reform deepens, banking competition may ease firms’ credit constraints, encouraging them to increase their leverage and default risks. This study uses contingent claims analysis to examine firms’ asset–liability ratio and default distance. We find that companies have low leverage and low overall default risks. Moreover, a pro-cyclical effect exists between leverage and economic growth. As banking competition becomes more intense, the default risk decreases, but firms’ leverage ratio rises significantly. The impact is more prominent for highly leveraged firms. Our findings also indicate that utilizing the contingent claims analysis method to measure firms’ leverage and default risks provides more accurate results. Moreover, we provide empirical evidence of the impact of banking competition on firms’ leverage and credit risks. The results suggest that enhancing financial competition has a positive effect on easing credit constraints and reducing default risks.

scholarly journals System of financial sustainability management of forestry enterprises of southern Ukraine

2021 ◽  
pp. 205-211
Author(s):  
I. Diadchenko ◽  
L. Sakharnatska
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Steppe Zone ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Economic Potential ◽  
The South ◽  
Sustainability Management ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Forest Enterprises ◽  
Forest Lands ◽  
Southern Ukraine

The article considers the possibility of more efficient use of forest resources of the steppe zone of Ukraine, including by improving the level of financial stability of forestry enterprises in the South of Ukraine. For this purpose, on the basis of well-known principles of process algorithmization, a conceptual model of formation of the financial stability management system of forestry enterprises of the South of Ukraine is proposed. The presented model is based on the economic, social and environmental components (subsystems) of forestry enterprises and in each of them the necessary directions (possible effects) for improving the financial condition of economic entities are identified. The main reasons of normative and organizational nature, which make it impossible to increase the economic potential of forestry enterprises in the South of Ukraine, are highlighted. The directions of cooperation of forestry enterprises with local self-government bodies are offered, in particular: conclusion of commercial agreements on reconstruction of existing and creation of new parks and squares, construction of sanatoriums, cultural and entertaining, development of water purification and water-preserving functions of forest plantations. The mechanism of realization of the system of management of financial stability of the forestry enterprises which is based on realization by the forestry enterprises of a complex of the corresponding organizational and technical and administrative actions is presented. which consists in the implementation of the relevant stages of the enterprise, in particular: capitalization of own assets, identification of sources of funding and diversification of activities. It is substantiated as one of the directions of diversification of forestry enterprises, creation of energy crops on forest lands that cannot be used for other needs, and production of pellets from them for further sale. In particular, based on the calculations, it is proved that the proposed direction of diversification of forest enterprises in the South of Ukraine will not only improve their financial condition, but also attract low-value lands that are unsuitable for growing forests and crops, eventually improving their structure and content.

What Has Not Changed

2019 ◽  
pp. 209-239
Author(s):  
Huw Macartney
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Business Models ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
The Real ◽  
Anglo American ◽  
The Impact

This chapter begins by explaining that financialization since the financial crisis has continued. The chapter then shows how the real culture of banking has not changed as a result. It examines the business models of the largest Anglo-American banks and the impact of Quantitative Easing to show the disconnect between the banks and their respective economies. It then examines rising household indebtedness, and the lending practices of the banks that exploit the heavily indebted. Finally it explores pay in the financial sector, showing that fixed and variable remuneration remain out of proportion to the value-added of the banking sector, and disproportionately high compared to pay in most other sectors. The conclusion we should draw is that bank culture has actually changed very little.

scholarly journals Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors

2020 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 13002
Author(s):  
Ilona Avlasenko ◽  
Lyudmila Avlasenko ◽  
Isa Peshkhoev ◽  
Yuri Podkolzin ◽  
Oksana Savelyeva
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Unstable State ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Normal Stability ◽  
Normal Law ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Enterprise Activity

In this article the problem of influence of accidental changes of financial indicators of enterprise activity (equity, long-term/short-term borrowed capital, reserves and costs, etc.) caused by uncertainty of market conditions on values of indicators of financial stability is considered. The study is conducted on the basis of the assumption that the studied financial indicators of the enterprise are random values with a normal law of distribution. To estimate the distribution parameters of these random values, statistical data on the values of the financial indicators of the enterprise for previous years are used. Following estimates of probabilities of financial stability levels were built: absolute stability, normal stability, unstable state and crisis financial state. With the help of statistical modeling, numerical experiments were conducted in order to determine the level of financial condition and conclusions were formulated on the impact on the financial condition of the enterprise of the parameters of the distribution of probabilities of random variables - indicators of the financial and economic activity of the enterprise.

Does the speed of adjustment in regulation and supervision affect financial stability in developing countries?

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 453-463
Author(s):  
Chadi Azmeh
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Speed Of Adjustment ◽  
Regulation And Supervision ◽  
Bank Regulation And Supervision ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of bank regulation and supervision on financial stability. Financial sector reform, especially in developing countries, takes the form of a sudden adjustment in regulation and supervision. The main objective of the paper is to examine whether this fast and sudden adjustment in regulation and supervision has an undesirable impact on financial stability. Furthermore, the paper examines the role of real economic development in determining the impact of financial reform on financial stability. Design/methodology/approach Empirically, on a sample of 57 developing countries over the period 2000-2013, the author explored the impact of bank regulation and supervision on financial stability for different sub-groups of countries. The division is based on the real level of economic development and, most importantly, on the speed of adjustment in regulation and supervision. The study uses the cross-sectional–ordinary least square model. Each country has three observations (average 2000-2004, average 2005-2008 and average 2009-2013), which are convenient, with the date of the three surveys on regulation and supervision (2002-2006-2011). The period of the averages is selected to cover periods before and after the survey as regulation and supervision may be adopted before the survey and as its impact may persist for the period after. Findings The major finding of this study is that it supports the important role of the speed of adjustment in regulation and supervision, and its impact on financial stability. Soft adjustment in regulation and supervision has more positive impact on financial stability than fast adjustment. Activity restrictions have positive and significant impact on financial stability in soft adjustment countries’ group. On the other hand, in countries with fast adjustment, results show negative and statistically significant impact on financial stability, especially for supervisory independence. More time is needed for supervisors to adapt to new regulation and supervision and gain expertise to monitor financial condition of banks in a consistent manner. Results also show that the level of economic development is an important factor when testing the impact of regulation and supervision on financial stability. In lower income countries, more room is available for corruption in lending, which has a negative impact on financial stability. Practical implications This study advocates the necessity of taking the speed of adjustment in regulation and supervision by policymakers in developing countries, while initiating reform in the financial sector. Financial sector reform that takes the form of a sudden adjustment in regulation and supervision may have undesirable results in terms of financial stability. On the other hand, soft adjustment in regulation and supervision, which gives more room for supervisors to adapt and gain expertise, may have more positive impact on financial stability. Originality/value This paper is the first paper to explore new methods of calculating the speed of adjustment in regulation and supervision, and to examine whether the high speed of financial reform in developing countries has an undesirable impact on financial stability.

scholarly journals Business Planning and Assessment of Its Impact on the Enterprise Financial Stability

2020 ◽  
pp. 78-84
Author(s):  
Kateryna Shtepenko ◽  
Lyudmyla Svystun ◽  
Iryna Krekoten
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Business Processes ◽  
Functional Relationship ◽  
Financial Analysis ◽  
Business Activity ◽  
Financial Independence ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Content Ratio ◽  
Asset Turnover ◽  
The Impact

At the present stage of the company development as an open social and economic system the question of how existing methods of financial analysis meet the needs of users considering the dynamism and complexity of business processes remains relevant. The purpose of the article is study relationships between static and dynamic indicators of financial condition, to reflect its characteristics such as business activity and financial stability. The article defines the functional relationship between dynamic business activity indicators and static indicators of financial stability, grounds technique of factor analysis of financial stability. The economic content ratio of the assets turnover and equity is defined. The nature of its relationships with the dynamics of assets is considered. Both theoretically and practically it is determined that if the correlation of ratio of asset turnover and equity is bigger than the ratio of financial independence at the beginning of the period under study, the positive dynamics of the property will affect the company’s final financial stability and vice versa, if the ratio is less than the rate of financial independence at the beginning of the period under study, the impact of positive dynamics of property on the final financial stability will be positive. It is proposed to consider this dependence both for factor retrospective analysis and for financial stability forecasting.

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