scholarly journals Mathematical modeling of the impact of forest fires on buildings and structures

2018 ◽  
Vol 209 ◽  
pp. 00021
Author(s):  
Valeriy Perminov ◽  
Victoria Marzaeva

The protection of buildings and structures in a community from destruction by forest fires is a very important concern. This paper addresses the development of a mathematical model for fires in the wildland-urban intermix. The forest fire is a very complicated phenomenon. At present, fire services can forecast the danger rating of, or the specific weather elements relating to, forest fire. There is need to understand and predict forest fire initiation, behavior and impact of fire on the buildings and constructions. This paper’s purposes are the improvement of knowledge on the fundamental physical mechanisms that control forest fire behavior. The mathematical modeling of forest fires actions on buildings and structures has been carried out to study the effects of fire intensity and wind speed on possibility of ignition of buildings.

1982 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 349-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Alexander

Frontal fire intensity is a valid measure of forest fire behavior that is solely a physical attribute of the fire itself. It is defined as the energy output rate per unit length of fire front and is directly related to flame size. Numerically, it is equal to the product of net heat of combustion, quantity of fuel consumed in the active combustion zone, and a spreading fire's linear rate of advance. The recommended International System (SI) units are kilowatts per metre. This concept of fire intensity provides a quantitative basis for fire description useful in evaluating the impact of fire on forest ecosystems.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 294-302 ◽  

Floods are natural disasters that pose a direct threat to human life and often cause significant economic loss. River floods are caused by heavy and/or prolonged rainfall, causing rivers and streams to overflow and sometimes also burst dams or levees. Forest fires increase the risk factor to which humans and properties are exposed during flood events, by intensifying and accelerating the peak volume of the overflow water. Wildfires alter significantly the geomorphological characteristics of a river basin, thus affecting both directly and indirectly its hydrological behavior. A forest fire, followed by a rainfall event, may cause a significant flood downstream. This paper presents a hydrological analysis of the eastern Attica region, which is performed both prior to and after forest fire events, in order to assess the change in the consequent flood risk. The study area is the eastern part of the greater Athens area in Attica (Greece). This is a peri-urban area experiencing rapid urban growth, and its hydrometeorological conditions are being monitored though a dense hydrometeorological network for the past 10 years. A fire model is set up to simulate the characteristics of the development of three hypothetical fire events of low, medium and high severity accordingly. The parameters that affect fire intensity and rate of spread (e.g. topographic factors such as slope steepness, elevation, aspect, and configuration of land) are taken into consideration and the temporal and spatial distribution of a forest fire is studied. Of additional interest in this study is the fact that a recent forest fire event devastated a significant part of its northern, mountainous area and the consequences of this event are further examined. A detailed simulation of the three hypothetical fire scenarios and the real fire event is performed and the outcomes of the analysis are used as an input in a rainfall – runoff model that allows for an enhanced hydrological study of the affected area. Land use changes and geomorphological and hydrological alterations as a result of the fire event are taken into consideration during a post-fire hydrological analysis, which eventually demonstrates the impact of fire on the hydrological response of the study area. This impact is assessed by means of application of a methodological framework for the estimation of post-fire values for three hydrological parameters (CN, initial abstraction and lag time) and the paper concludes that the fire impact has rendered the downstream areas more prone to floods.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Sumaryati Sumaryati ◽  
Nani Cholianawati ◽  
Asri Indrawati

<p>It has been analyzed impact of forest fire on the air quality using PM10 parameter and visibility during 2000 – 2014 in Palangka Raya, Central Kalimantan province. Palangka Raya is an affected forest fire area with a monsoonal rainfall type which has one peak of the rainy season in January and one peak of the dry season in August. Drought condition has an impact on rising forest fire intensity causes increasing of PM10 concentration and decresing of visibility in July to November moreover when there is an El Niño phenomenon. The result of PM10 analysis shows that the air quality index in Palangka Raya during December - June is in a good  level category and still below the ambient air quality standard with an average concentration of 19 µg/m3. The impact of forest fire on declining air quality due to increasing of PM10 concentration occurred in July – November with an average concentration rising of 129 µg/m3. The El Niño phenomenon rises the PM10 concentration due to increasing of forest fires, but the increasing of PM10 is not comparable to the strength of El Niño, because of combustion condition and and human activities that play a role in forest fires. The worst impact of El Niño occurred in 2002, although the El Niño strength was only moderate, which is a half the time from July to November Palangka Raya covered air quality with dangerous levels with PM10 concentrations of more than µg/m3. A high PM10 concentration environment reduces the visibility significantly, which is visibility in the no fire condition about 8 km, but when the huge forest fire the visibility drops to 0.1 km.</p>


1993 ◽  
Vol 69 (3) ◽  
pp. 290-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian J. Stocks

The looming possibility of global warming raises legitimate concerns for the future of the forest resource in Canada. While evidence of a global warming trend is not conclusive at this time, governments would be wise to anticipate, and begin planning for, such an eventuality. The forest fire business is likely to be affected both early and dramatically by any trend toward warmer and drier conditions in Canada, and fire managers should be aware that the future will likely require new and innovative thinking in forest fire management. This paper summarizes research activities currently underway to assess the impact of global warming on forest fires, and speculates on future fire management problems and strategies.


2004 ◽  
Vol 155 (7) ◽  
pp. 263-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Conedera ◽  
Gabriele Corti ◽  
Paolo Piccini ◽  
Daniele Ryser ◽  
Francesco Guerini ◽  
...  

The Southern Alps, in particular the Canton Ticino, is the region of Switzerland that is most affected by the phenomenon of forest fires. Therefore, the cantonal authorities are continually confronted with problems of prevention, fire fighting and mitigation of the effects of forest fires. In this article forest fire management in Canton Ticino is analyzed in historical terms, verifying in particular the impact of the methods used and the improvement of technology addressing the frequency of events and the extent of burned surfaces. In this way it has been possible to show how a few structural measures (better organization of fire fighting crews and equipment, introduction of aerial fire fighting techniques, electrification followed by construction of shelters along railway lines, etc.) have rather reduced the extent of burned surfaces, while legislative measures such as restrictions of open fires help to reduce the number of forest fires.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 3485-3497 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcella Busilacchio ◽  
Piero Di Carlo ◽  
Eleonora Aruffo ◽  
Fabio Biancofiore ◽  
Cesare Dari Salisburgo ◽  
...  

Abstract. The observations collected during the BOReal forest fires on Tropospheric oxidants over the Atlantic using Aircraft and Satellites (BORTAS) campaign in summer 2011 over Canada are analysed to study the impact of forest fire emissions on the formation of ozone (O3) and total peroxy nitrates ∑PNs, ∑ROONO2). The suite of measurements on board the BAe-146 aircraft, deployed in this campaign, allows us to calculate the production of O3 and of  ∑PNs, a long-lived NOx reservoir whose concentration is supposed to be impacted by biomass burning emissions. In fire plumes, profiles of carbon monoxide (CO), which is a well-established tracer of pyrogenic emission, show concentration enhancements that are in strong correspondence with a significant increase of concentrations of ∑PNs, whereas minimal increase of the concentrations of O3 and NO2 is observed. The ∑PN and O3 productions have been calculated using the rate constants of the first- and second-order reactions of volatile organic compound (VOC) oxidation. The ∑PN and O3 productions have also been quantified by 0-D model simulation based on the Master Chemical Mechanism. Both methods show that in fire plumes the average production of ∑PNs and O3 are greater than in the background plumes, but the increase of ∑PN production is more pronounced than the O3 production. The average ∑PN production in fire plumes is from 7 to 12 times greater than in the background, whereas the average O3 production in fire plumes is from 2 to 5 times greater than in the background. These results suggest that, at least for boreal forest fires and for the measurements recorded during the BORTAS campaign, fire emissions impact both the oxidized NOy and O3,  but (1 ∑PN production is amplified significantly more than O3 production and (2) in the forest fire plumes the ratio between the O3 production and the ∑PN production is lower than the ratio evaluated in the background air masses, thus confirming that the role played by the ∑PNs produced during biomass burning is significant in the O3 budget. The implication of these observations is that fire emissions in some cases, for example boreal forest fires and in the conditions reported here, may influence more long-lived precursors of O3 than short-lived pollutants, which in turn can be transported and eventually diluted in a wide area.


2021 ◽  
pp. 19-26
Author(s):  
Николай Петрович Копылов ◽  
Елена Юрьевна Сушкина ◽  
Александр Евгеньевич Кузнецов ◽  
Виктория Ивановна Новикова

Проведены экспериментальные исследования влияния лучистого теплообмена на переход верхового лесного пожара на постройки IV и V степеней огнестойкости. Лесной верховой пожар моделировался горением штабеля древесины с интенсивностью тепловыделения, близкой к интенсивности при реальных пожарах. Получена зависимость изменения плотности теплового потока от расстояния до кромки горения. Экспериментально определены температура воздуха с подветренной стороны пожара и плотность выпадения искр в зависимости от расстояния. Проверена эффективность защиты растворами ретардантов деревянных строений от возгорания при лучистом теплообмене между факелом пламени пожара и объектом защиты. Crown fires are the main threat of the combustion transfer from the forest to objects located in it. Fire services dealing with forest fires face the problem how to protect these objects from forest fires. It is proposed to treat the object with retardant solutions before a forest fire approaches. To assess the effectiveness of such tactics for fire protection of objects when exposed to a heat flow from the combustion front there were carried out experiments on large-scale crown fire models. A crown fire is simulated with a pile of wood with a heat release rate of ≈ 13 MW m. The wind is generated by fans, its speed is close to the speed at which a forest fire occurs. Measurements of the heat flux density, medium temperature, and the density of sparks falling downwind of the fire front at different distances and heights were carried out. Calculations were carried out to assess the impact of heat flow on buildings of IV-V degrees of fire resistance. The results obtained are compared with experimental data and they are in good agreement. There have been determined the distances from the fire front at which the fire protection with retardant solutions is effective for structures of IV-V fire resistance degrees at radiant heat exchange.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 239-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Lehtonen ◽  
A. Venäläinen ◽  
M. Kämäräinen ◽  
H. Peltola ◽  
H. Gregow

Abstract. The target of this work was to assess the impact of projected climate change on forest-fire activity in Finland with special emphasis on large-scale fires. In addition, we were particularly interested to examine the inter-model variability of the projected change of fire danger. For this purpose, we utilized fire statistics covering the period 1996–2014 and consisting of almost 20 000 forest fires, as well as daily meteorological data from five global climate models under representative concentration pathway RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The model data were statistically downscaled onto a high-resolution grid using the quantile-mapping method before performing the analysis. In examining the relationship between weather and fire danger, we applied the Canadian fire weather index (FWI) system. Our results suggest that the number of large forest fires may double or even triple during the present century. This would increase the risk that some of the fires could develop into real conflagrations which have become almost extinct in Finland due to active and efficient fire suppression. However, the results reveal substantial inter-model variability in the rate of the projected increase of forest-fire danger, emphasizing the large uncertainty related to the climate change signal in fire activity. We moreover showed that the majority of large fires in Finland occur within a relatively short period in May and June due to human activities and that FWI correlates poorer with the fire activity during this time of year than later in summer when lightning is a more important cause of fires.


Safety ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolay Baranovskiy ◽  
Alena Demikhova

The last few decades have been characterized by an increase in the frequency and burned area of forest fires in many countries of the world. Needles, foliage, branches, and herbaceous plants are involved in burning during forest fires. Most forest fires are surface ones. The purpose of this study was to develop a mathematical model of heat transfer in an element of combustible plant material, namely, in the stem of a herbaceous plant, when exposed to radiation from a surface forest fire. Mathematically, the process of heat transfer in an element of combustible plant material was described by a system of non-stationary partial differential equations with corresponding initial and boundary conditions. The finite difference method was used to solve this system of equations in combination with a locally one-dimensional method for solving multidimensional tasks of mathematical physics. Temperature distributions were obtained as a result of modeling in a structurally inhomogeneous stem of a herbaceous plant for various scenarios of the impact of a forest fire. The results can be used to develop new systems for forest fire forecasting and their environmental impact prediction.


2005 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brent C. Blair

Anthropogenic wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent in wet tropical forests. This trend follows that of other anthropogenic disturbances, which are now acute and widespread. Fires pose a potentially serious threat to tropical forests. However, little is known about the impact of unintended forest fires on below-ground resources in these ecosystems. This study investigated the influence of fires on the distribution and variability of soil resources on two sets of 50×50-m burned and unburned plots in a Nicaraguan rain forest. Samples were collected at 5-m intervals throughout each plot as well as subsamples at 50-cm intervals. Geostatistical techniques as well as univariate statistics were used to quantify the spatial autocorrelation and variability of selected nutrients (N, P and K), carbon and standing leaf litter. Most variability in this forest was spatially dependent at a scale of 30 m or less. However the average range of autocorrelations varied greatly between properties and sites. Burning altered soil heterogeneity by decreasing the range over which soil properties were autocorrelated. Overall the average patch size (range) for nitrogen was reduced by 7%, phosphorus by 52%, potassium by 60% and carbon by 43%. While phosphorus and leaf litter increased in the burned plots compared to unburned plots, potassium was not different. Nitrogen and carbon did not display a consistent pattern between burning regimes and this may be explained by variation in fire intensity. Leaf litter measurements did not correlate with measured soil nutrients within plots. Observed changes in the burned forest were likely a result of both the intensity of burning and change in vegetative cover between the time of the fires and soil sampling.


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