scholarly journals Modelling the employed in the Russian economy given the impact of pension reform and the coronavirus pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 94 ◽  
pp. 01033
Author(s):  
Eugene Pitukhin ◽  
Marina Astafyeva ◽  
Maxim Kukolev

The article is devoted to forecasting changes in the number of people employed in the economy of the Russian Federation, which should occur as a result of the effects of the pension reform in 2018 and also the coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The demographic forecast of the population of the Russian Federation until 2030 is used as the dominant forecasting factor. The influencing factors on the process dynamics are the employment levels. The forecast of employment levels is based on the factors of the pension reform in 2018 and the coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The following trends are also being demonstrated: an increase in employment due to ”former” pensioners remaining in work, and a decline in employment due to an increase in the number of unemployed because of coronavirus pandemic. For the duration of the pension reform, the economy’s annual need for human resources will decrease. This will cause difficulties in finding a job for the majority of applicants – graduates of the vocational education system. The situation will be further aggravated by rising unemployment due to the reduction of jobs in the economy caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

Author(s):  
A.G. Khvostov ◽  
◽  
N.R. Getaova

The article explores the concept, objectives and principle of student’s self-government in the system of modern higher education in the Russian Federation. The paper analyzes the impact of student’s self-government on the development of student’s social activity and the formation of a socially adapted personality among students, also the impact on the training of professional staff.


Author(s):  
A. A. Salcutan

The article analyzes damage caused by attacking finance organizations in the Russian Federation through activization of hacker groups. The mentioned attacks were mainly directed at banking cards’ processing, cash machines and the SWIFT system, an international system of transmitting finance information and payments. The growth in hacker penetrations can be seen in all sectors of Russian economy, it is based on informational confrontation and aims at destabilization of considerable objects of critical information infrastructure. Today special attention is paid to attacks of hacker groups, which get financing from states and criminal groupings in order to exert influence on the leading banks of the world. The author investigated the key methods of attacks of finance organizations. The role of the Federal service on technical and export control and the Department of information security of the Bank of Russia was described. By assessing the impact of computer attacks the author came to the conclusion that the Russian banking sector is vulnerable to computer attacks on informational systems that could cause damage not only to small but also big credit organizations, which possess over 60% of the Russian banking sector assets.  


Author(s):  
Илья Владимирович Тишин

Статья посвящена вопросам влияния государственных долговых отношений на трансформации финансовой системы Российской Федерации. Цель работы - обозначить проблему цикличности развития долговых отношений в России. Ее можно рассматривать как общую форму и тенденцию долговых отношений государства, однако актуальным является изучение особых факторов, модифицирующих циклы, что особенно применительно к современному этапу становления социально-экономического пространства. Научная новизна работы заключается в выявлении тенденций российской экономики, происходящих на фоне (а частично и по результатам) кризиса циклического развития долговых отношений государства. В данном случае речь идет о, своего рода, институционально-механической трансформации в финансовом секторе экономики, в рамках которой происходит внедрение ряда новых, пока еще не характерных для российских условий, инструментов. The article is devoted to the impact of government debt relations on the transformation of the financial system. The purpose of the research is to outline the problem of cyclical government debt relations. It can be considered as a general form and tendency of state debt relations, however, the study of special factors, modifying cycles, which is applicable to the modern stage of the socio-economic space, is also relevant. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the identification of trends in the Russian economy, taking place against the background of the cyclical government debt relations crisis. We are talking about a kind of institutional-mechanical transformation in the financial sector of the economy. This transformation stimulates the introduction of new instruments.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 3-11
Author(s):  
V. Kazakevich ◽  
G. Pichugina

The main sections of the monitoring carried out by the Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation of the modern system of general and vocational education are described, as well as new goals for the development of the education system taking into account the national project “Education”. Methodological principles for monitoring the eff ectiveness of the national project “Education” have been identifi ed and justifi ed, and requirements for diagnostic methods have been formulated. The procedure and rules of carrying out diagnostic procedures, types of test questionnaires are considered. Theoretic-methodological approaches to testing, rules of design and formulation of tests are discussed. Examples of test types are given. Possible modernized diagnostic techniques for monitoring the education system is proposed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 409-420
Author(s):  
O. V. Dmitrieva ◽  
R. I. Antonenko

Purpose: this article identifies strategic directions for the development of digital infrastructure that affect the level of employment in the segments of small and medium-sized businesses in the Russian Federation, including identifying opportunities and threats for their implementation.Methods: the research involves the use of a complex of scientific methods – general (analysis, analysis, synthesis, comparison, comparison); econometric (tools of linear regression using the least squares method); elements of the strategy methodology of Professor V.L. Kvint (OTSWanalysis).Results: the study examines China's experience in developing and integrating digital infrastructure into the economy. The impact of these system-forming transformations on employment in various business segments is considered. The current policy of the Russian Federation in the aspects of digital transformation and digitalization is analyzed. The results of the implementation of this policy and the consequences of its implementation in the Russian economy are studied. By constructing an econometric model, the strategic directions of digitalization have been identified, which determine employment in the segments of small and medium-sized businesses in the conditions of economic and technological realities. Based on the OTSW-analysis, the opportunities and threats posed by the digitalization process were considered in terms of their impact on small and medium-sized businesses and employment in these segments of the economy.Conclusions and Relevance: the authors found that the most important strategic aspects of digitalization processes that directly affect the development of employment in the Russian segments of small and medium-sized businesses are: internal costs for research and development of digital solutions; the share of the population with access to the Internet; the absolute volume of investment in ICT. A clear understanding of the potential opportunities and threats of the planned strategic priorities will contribute to the effectiveness of the further development of the Russian digital infrastructure.


Author(s):  
V. V. Krishtal ◽  

The article considers the impact of the human recourses` potential on the competitiveness of construction organizations, taking into account the specifics of the Arctic zone where they are operating. It is revealed what kind of problems the construction companies have to deal with, and in what way various factors affect the competitiveness level of the companies operating in the Arctic. The author describes some problems associated with educating and providing specialists for the Arctic zone construction organizations and offers recommendations that could help to improve this situation.


Author(s):  
T. Uskova

В статье дан анализ влияния ключевых угроз, влияние которых существенно снижает экономическую безопасность Российской Федерации. Сделан вывод о том, среди ключевых угроз безопасности экономики России низкие темпы экономического роста, продолжающаяся примитивизация структуры, высокая зависимость от энергосырьевого сектора, технологическая отсталость индустриального сектора, недостаток инвестиций, низкая инновационная активность. In this article, we analyze the impact of key threats which significantly reduce the economic security of the Russian Federation. We come to the conclusion that key threats to the security of the Russian economy include low rates of economic growth, ongoing simplification of the structure, high dependence on the energyresource sector, technological backwardness of the industrial sector, lack of investments, low innovation activity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 306-314
Author(s):  
A. V. Altukhov ◽  
V. A. Bannikova ◽  
E. O. Matveev ◽  
S. A. Tishchenko

This study presents the results of the economic modeling of commodity export flows from the Russian Federation in 2012–2016.Aim. The study aims to assess the direct and indirect effects of the US and European sanctions on export flows from Russia.Tasks. The authors collect the necessary data and carry out modeling using modern analysis methods to obtain a complete picture of the effects of sanctions on Russia, including a quantitative assessment of these effects.Methods. The modeling is based on network analysis, which was selected after consulting a wide range of scientific works and examining possible alternative methodological approaches to the problem under consideration.Results. The authors successfully complete network modeling for the major export commodity groups of the Russian Federation: aluminum, gas, and oil (including crude oil); formulate and test the hypothesis of Russia’s changing role in international trade as a result of sanctions; summarize the results of the model calculations of the aggregate effects of sanctions pressure on the export of the major commodity groups from Russia.Conclusion. In general, sanctions pressure has an obvious negative impact on the Russian economy, but the timeframe and scope of this impact are not up to the original estimates of the US and the European countries that introduced these sanctions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 111-119
Author(s):  
Ю.Ю. Косенкова ◽  
Р.А. Насырова

В статье проанализированы основные налоговые меры, принятые в Российской Федерации для смягчения последствий новой коронавирусной инфекции, проведена классификация таких мер, дана оценка последствий их реализации. Статья содержит анализ изменения в результате пандемии налоговых поступлений в бюджетную систему, доначислений в результате контрольной работы налоговых органов, изменения количества налогоплательщиков. Также сделан вывод об эффективности преодоления российской экономикой последствий первого (самого сложного) года пандемии и дана оценка роли ФНС в осуществлении мер государственного регулирования. The article analyzes the main tax measures taken in the Russian Federation to mitigate the consequences of the new coronavirus infection, classifies such measures, and evaluates the consequences of their implementation. The article contains an analysis of changes as a result of a pandemic in tax revenues to the budget system, additional charges as a result of the control work of tax authorities, changes in the number of taxpayers. It also made a conclusion about the effectiveness of overcoming the consequences of the first (most difficult) year of the pandemic by the Russian economy and assessed the role of the Federal Tax Service in the implementation of state regulation measures.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 38-43
Author(s):  
A. S. Vasiliev ◽  
N. E. Razinkin

Secondary vocational education is part of the state system of vocational education in the Russian Federation, which provides training for skilled workers and employees, mid-level specialists. It is these personnel, along with engineers, who are currently most needed both for the development and competitiveness of the transport industry, and for the Russian economy as a whole.The processes of restructuring the educational space of secondary vocational education in the framework of the implementation of the strategic goals of the development of the transport system of the Russian Federation are considered. The possibilities of the WorldSkills (WS) movement for the innovative development of secondary vocational education are analyzed; advantages and contradictions of the participation of educational organizations in national projects. An active role in the development of the WS movement of the Nonprofit Organization “Association of Colleges and Technical Schools of Transport” is shown.The author’s view on the possible solutions to the problems identified during the study is given. 


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