Global Megatrends

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hajkowicz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
Direct Control ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
The World ◽  
Trajectories Of Change ◽  
Changing Demographics ◽  
The Impact

A scarcity of natural resources. The challenge to protect biodiversity and the global climate. Rapid economic growth and urbanisation in Asia and the developing world. Changing demographics and an ageing population. The impact of new digital technologies. Consumer expectations for services, experiences and social interaction. An imperative to innovate. Megatrends are gradual yet powerful trajectories of change that have the potential to throw companies, individuals and societies into freefall. In Global Megatrends author Stefan Hajkowicz identifies these seven patterns of global change and tells a story about how the world will change over the next 20 years. The book captures the thinking of many dedicated scientists and researchers who have devoted their careers to exploring and understanding change. The change heralded by megatrends lies beyond our direct control but not beyond our influence. By getting a picture of how the world is changing and what these megatrends are, we can alter our destiny.

Economic Growth and Fiscal Sustainability in the EU: The Impact of an Ageing Population

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Carone ◽  
Declan Costello ◽  
Nuria Diez Guardia ◽  
Per Eckefeldt ◽  
Gilles Mourre
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Eu

Reform, corruption, and growth: Why corruption is more devastating in Russia than in China

2006 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomas Larsson
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Comparative Advantage ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Political Corruption ◽  
Common Assumption ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Intervening Factors

This article explains why massive political corruption appears to be incompatible with economic growth in Russia but compatible with very rapid economic growth in China. The common assumption is that corruption is bad for economic performance. So how can we explain the puzzling contrast between Russia and China? Is Russia being more severely “punished” for its corruption than China? If so, why? This article demonstrates that three intervening factors—comparative advantage, the organization of corruption, and the nature of rents—determines the impact of corruption on economic performance, and that these factors can explain the divergent outcomes. The article thereby offers an alternative to statist explanations of the Russia-China paradox.

Risks of the Digitalization of Life of the Population and Ways of Decreasing Them

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4-1) ◽  
pp. 180-203
Author(s):  
Elena Stukalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Digital Economy ◽  
Digital Transformation ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Short Period ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

Digital technologies, ubiquitous in our daily life, have radically changed the way we work, communicate, and consume in a short period of time. They affect all components of quality of life: well-being, work, health, education, social connections, environmental quality, the ability to participate and govern civil society, and so on. Digital transformation creates both opportunities and serious risks to the well-being of people. Researchers and statistical agencies around the world are facing a major challenge to develop new tools to analyze the impact of digital transformation on the well-being of the population. The risks are very diverse in nature and it is very difficult to identify the key factor. All researchers conclude that secure digital technologies significantly improve the lives of those who have the skills to use them and pose a serious risk of inequality for society, as they introduce a digital divide between those who have the skills to use them and those who do not. In the article, the author examines the risks created by digital technologies for some components of the quality of life (digital component of the quality of life), which are six main components: the digital quality of the population, providing the population with digital benefits, the labor market in the digital economy, the impact of digitalization on the social sphere, state electronic services for the population and the security of information activities. The study was carried out on the basis of the available statistical base and the results of research by scientists from different countries of the world. The risks of the digital economy cannot be ignored when pursuing state social policy. Attention is paid to government regulation aimed at reducing the negative consequences of digitalization through the prism of national, federal projects and other events.

scholarly journals Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in the world during 1975–2015

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (91) ◽  
pp. 28-32
Author(s):  
B. B. Brychka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Literature Review ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

The study is concentrated on examination the impact of FDI on economic growth in the World during 1975–2015. The study consists of four consecutive parts, including introduction, literature review, model and methodology, data, empirical results and conclusion. Each part of the study is focused on its own goals. According to the results of the literature review, there is positive influence of FDI on economic growth in various countries. Economic growth is one of the most important goals of any country. The country image on the international level is dependent on its economic power. Economic growth provides an opportunity to improve the living standards in the country. Most researchers conclude that there is a positive influence of FDI on the countries’ economic growth. However, the impact of FDI is strong in developing countries. Moreover, this relationship is stronger in countries with higher educational and technological level, trade openness and development of the countries’ stock markets. Economists often build regression models to estimate the relationship between the variables. In order to find the impact of FDI on economic growth, we are going to apply linear regression models. We take two variables as indicators of the countries’ economic growth, including current GDP expressed in U.S dollars, and annual GDP growth rate. Taking into account that the World’s GDP in current U.S dollar is a factor variable with the mentioned resulting variables, the regression equation looks as follows: The R-squared of the built model is 0.99, indicating that roughly 100% of changes in the World’s GDP is caused by the chosen factors. As it is seen from the SAS output, the residuals of dependent variable and factors variables are distributed normally among its average value. Thus, non-normality is not observed in the model. Taking into account the coefficients of the factor variables, the log GDP is most sensitive to the changes in trade as a percent of GDP. The log GDP is not quite sensitive to the changes in FDI, since the coefficient of 0.000128 means that increasing of FDI by one unit increase the logarithmic value of GDP by $ 0.000128.

Neurotechnology and development of students and teachers’subjectivity in inclusive education

2021 ◽  
pp. 73-87
Author(s):  
А.И. Тащёва ◽  
С.В. Гриднева ◽  
Р.И. Хотеева ◽  
Н.Н. Сетяева ◽  
М.Р. Арпентьева
Keyword(s):  
Inclusive Education ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Educational Process ◽  
High Culture ◽  
The World ◽  
Teachers And Students ◽  
Digital Competencies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Development Of Students ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Systems

В статье рассматриваются результаты и последствия внедрения смарти нейротехнологий в инклюзивное образование. Цель работы — изучить их влияние на развитие субъектности студентов и преподавателей, применяющих цифровые технологии. Новизна исследования заключается в попытке интегративно осмыслить социально-психологические проблемы нейрообразования, связанные с внедрением и применением систем искусственного интеллекта в инклюзивном образовательном процессе, в рамках которого формируется и развивается субъектность. Изучение подводных камней нейрообразования необходимо для осмысления результатов воздействия цифровых технологий на становление и развитие обучающихся и педагогов как субъектов воспитательно-образовательного процесса. Варианты преобразования инклюзивного образования и его субъектов должны рассматриваться в контексте изменения ценностей, целей, концептов и концепций, которые определяют и трансформируют взаимоотношения человека с собой и окружающим миром. Результаты исследования показали, что нейротехнологии вызывают серьезные изменения в инклюзивном образовании, влияют на отношение человека к себе и окружающему миру и в конечном итоге могут привести к потере субъектности. Соответственно, их использование подразумевает высокую культуру инклюзивного образовательного процесса, развитие человеческих и профессиональных качеств педагогов и обучающихся. Нейрообразование может сыграть существенную роль в становлении и совершенствовании человека как субъекта при условии формирования нейросреды в контексте цифровой и общечеловеческой культуры. The article focuses on the results and consequences of the introduction of smart and neurotechnologies in inclusive education. The purpose of the study is to analyze the development of the subjectivity of students and teachers using digital technologies. The novelty of the research lies in the desire to integratively reflect on socio-psychological problems related to the introduction and application of artificial intelligence systems in an inclusive educational process, within which subjectivity is formed and developed. The study of the problems of neuroeducation is necessary for understanding the results of the impact of digital technologies on the formation and development of students and teachers as subjects of the educational process. Options for the transformation of inclusive education and its subjects should be considered in terms of changing values, goals, concepts that define and transform a person’s relationship with themselves and the world around them. Research results showed that neurotechnologies bring serious changes in inclusive education; they affect a person’s attitude towards himself or herself and the world around him or her and can eventually lead to a loss of subjectivity.They can be introduced only on the basis of a high culture of the educational process, highly developed human and digital competencies of teachers and students. Neuroeducation can play an essential role in a person’s formation and improvement as a subject provided the neuro-environment is created on the basis of digital and human culture.

The Impact of Collaborative Consumption on Sustainable Development

2020 ◽  
pp. 37-49
Author(s):  
Erhan İşcan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Decent Work ◽  
Collaborative Consumption ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Paradigm ◽  
The Impact

Excessive use of goods and services and industrialization progress of 20th century depleted resources and emerged the sustainable development as the main target of the policymakers, but past experiences and consequences of rapid economic growth of 20th century showed that there must be a change in the policies. Alleviating of poverty with inequalities and hunger in a degraded environment is needing sustainable cities and communities that have decent work for economic growth. In this context, perhaps, there must be a change in the economic paradigm beyond a policy change. Collaborative consumption is this new economic paradigm that has changed the understanding of the economic system. This new economic paradigm is depending on the sharing of idle resources with or without a fee that changed the importance of asset ownership. The main aim of this chapter is to present the impact of collaborative consumption on the 10 Sustainable Development Goals of the UN.

Industrialization and The Family1

2018 ◽  
pp. 65-75
Author(s):  
Richard M. Titmuss
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Work ◽  
Social Workers ◽  
International Conference ◽  
Human Needs ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Family ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

This chapter explores how there are at least three reasons why industrialization and the family is today an important subject for debate by an international conference of social workers. The first is an obvious one: the opportunities that it offers for discussion and analysis on a comparative basis. The second lies in the fact that the world is increasingly an industrial world and dominated in its values and goals by problems of economic growth. The third reason in supporting the choice of this particular subject for discussion is that social work is primarily an activity carried on in industrial, urban societies. The problems of human needs and relationships with which social work has traditionally been associated have had their origin in those societies experiencing the impact of industrialization.

Financial development, human capital and its impact on economic growth of emerging countries

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaqib Sarwar ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Zahid Sarwar ◽  
Wajid Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Emerging Countries ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the critical aspect of financial development, human capital and their interactive term on economic growth from the perspective of emerging economies. Design/methodology/approach Data set ranged from 2002 to 2017 of 83 emerging countries used in this research and collected from world development indicators of the World Bank. The two-step system generalized method of moments is used to conduct this research within the endogenous growth model while controlling time and country-specific effects. Findings The findings of the study indicate that financial development has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. In emerging countries, human capital also has a positive impact on economic growth. Financial development and human capital interactively affect economic growth for emerging economies positively and significantly. Research limitations/implications The data set is limited to 83 emerging countries of the world. The time period for the study is 2002 to 2017. Originality/value This research contributes to the existing literature on human capital, financial development and economic growth. Limited research has been conducted on the impact of financial development and human capital on economic growth.

CHINA — CAN RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH CONTINUE?

2004 ◽  
Vol 49 (02) ◽  
pp. 255-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANDREA BOLTHO
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Resource Reallocation ◽  
Labor Policies ◽  
Cheap Labor ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
The World ◽  
Catch Up

Between 1978 and 2000, Chinese GDP expanded more than seven-fold; present official projections suggest a further four-fold expansion to 2020. Is this feasible and, if so, what would be the consequences for the rest of the world? China has a huge catch-up potential and a vast resource of cheap labor. Policies are improving. The fiscal, employment and regional disparity problems, while serious, seem manageable. Hence, further rapid growth is possible. For the world economy this is bound to be beneficial thanks to resource reallocation, the growth of a large market and likely terms of trade gains. Developing countries, particularly in Asia, will, however feel a strong competitive challenge.

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