Evaluation of shape factor impact on discharge coefficient of side orifices using boost simulation model with extreme learning machine data-driven

2022 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Majeid Heydari ◽  
Saeid Shabanlou ◽  
Babak San Ahmadi
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Shape Factor ◽  
Discharge Coefficient ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Learning Machine

scholarly journals Flood Forecasting Based on an Improved Extreme Learning Machine Model Combined with the Backtracking Search Optimization Algorithm

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Chen ◽  
Na Sun ◽  
Chao Zhou ◽  
Jianzhong Zhou ◽  
Yanlai Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Flood Control ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Flood Forecasting ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
General Regression Neural Network ◽  
Promising Alternative ◽  
Backtracking Search ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Population Based Algorithm

Flood forecasting plays an important role in flood control and water resources management. Recently, the data-driven models with a simpler model structure and lower data requirement attract much more attentions. An extreme learning machine (ELM) method, as a typical data-driven method, with the advantages of a faster learning process and stronger generalization ability, has been taken as an effective tool for flood forecasting. However, an ELM model may suffer from local minima in some cases because of its random generation of input weights and hidden layer biases, which results in uncertainties in the flood forecasting model. Therefore, we proposed an improved ELM model for short-term flood forecasting, in which an emerging dual population-based algorithm, named backtracking search algorithm (BSA), was applied to optimize the parameters of ELM. Thus, the proposed method is called ELM-BSA. The upper Yangtze River was selected as a case study. Several performance indexes were used to evaluate the efficiency of the proposed ELM-BSA model. Then the proposed model was compared with the currently used general regression neural network (GRNN) and ELM models. Results show that the ELM-BSA can always provide better results than the GRNN and ELM models in both the training and testing periods. All these results suggest that the proposed ELM-BSA model is a promising alternative technique for flood forecasting.

scholarly journals Aircraft Engines Remaining Useful Life Prediction with an Improved Online Sequential Extreme Learning Machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek Berghout ◽  
Leïla-Hayet Mouss ◽  
Ouahab Kadri ◽  
Lotfi Saïdi ◽  
Mohamed Benbouzid
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Selection Strategy ◽  
Mapping Technique ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Aircraft Engines ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Learning Machine

The efficient data investigation for fast and accurate remaining useful life prediction of aircraft engines can be considered as a very important task for maintenance operations. In this context, the key issue is how an appropriate investigation can be conducted for the extraction of important information from data-driven sequences in high dimensional space in order to guarantee a reliable conclusion. In this paper, a new data-driven learning scheme based on an online sequential extreme learning machine algorithm is proposed for remaining useful life prediction. Firstly, a new feature mapping technique based on stacked autoencoders is proposed to enhance features representations through an accurate reconstruction. In addition, to attempt into addressing dynamic programming based on environmental feedback, a new dynamic forgetting function based on the temporal difference of recursive learning is introduced to enhance dynamic tracking ability of newly coming data. Moreover, a new updated selection strategy was developed in order to discard the unwanted data sequences and to ensure the convergence of the training model parameters to their appropriate values. The proposed approach is validated on the C-MAPSS dataset where experimental results confirm that it yields satisfactory accuracy and efficiency of the prediction model compared to other existing methods.

scholarly journals Forecasting of Landslide Displacement Using a Probability-Scheme Combination Ensemble Prediction Technique

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (13) ◽  
pp. 4788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junwei Ma ◽  
Xiao Liu ◽  
Xiaoxu Niu ◽  
Yankun Wang ◽  
Tao Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Landslide Displacement Prediction ◽  
Learning Machine

Data-driven models have been extensively employed in landslide displacement prediction. However, predictive uncertainty, which consists of input uncertainty, parameter uncertainty, and model uncertainty, is usually disregarded in deterministic data-driven modeling, and point estimates are separately presented. In this study, a probability-scheme combination ensemble prediction that employs quantile regression neural networks and kernel density estimation (QRNNs-KDE) is proposed for robust and accurate prediction and uncertainty quantification of landslide displacement. In the ensemble model, QRNNs serve as base learning algorithms to generate multiple base learners. Final ensemble prediction is obtained by integration of all base learners through a probability combination scheme based on KDE. The Fanjiaping landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGRA) was selected as a case study to explore the performance of the ensemble prediction. Based on long-term (2006–2018) and near real-time monitoring data, a comprehensive analysis of the deformation characteristics was conducted for fully understanding the triggering factors. The experimental results indicate that the QRNNs-KDE approach can perform predictions with perfect performance and outperform the traditional backpropagation (BP), radial basis function (RBF), extreme learning machine (ELM), support vector machine (SVM) methods, bootstrap-extreme learning machine-artificial neural network (bootstrap-ELM-ANN), and Copula-kernel-based support vector machine quantile regression (Copula-KSVMQR). The proposed QRNNs-KDE approach has significant potential in medium-term to long-term horizon forecasting and quantification of uncertainty.

scholarly journals URBAN FIRE SPREAD MODELLING AND SIMULATION USING CELLULAR AUTOMATON WITH EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE

2019 ◽  
Vol XLII-4/W19 ◽  
pp. 319-326
Author(s):  
J. C. J. Patac ◽  
A. J. O. Vicente
Keyword(s):  
Cellular Automaton ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Confusion Matrix ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Ignition Probability ◽  
Urban Fire ◽  
Data Driven Approach ◽  
Learning Machine

Abstract. Urban fire continues to be a persistent disaster, especially with the proliferation of highly dense urban settlements. As a response, several measures were established to help mitigate the losses caused by fire including simulating the fire spread. The cellular automaton system has been widely used to simulate the complex process of fire development along with Physics-based models. A data-driven approach has been rarely employed. This paper presents the result of incorporating machine learning techniques to the existing cellular automaton based urban fire spread models. Specifically, instead of manually calculating the ignition probability of each cell in the automaton, the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) was used to learn the ignition probability from the historical data. After building the model, its performance was evaluated using the data collected from the four fires in Basak, Lapu-Lapu City. By using a confusion matrix to compare the actual and the predicted values, the Burned Actual – Burned Predicted relationship was derived. Results suggest that the proposed method can effectively describe the development of fire, and the model accuracy is quite good (i.e., the Burned Actual - Burned Predicted relationship ranges from 78% to 83%). Lastly, the study was able to demonstrate the possibility of using a data-driven approach in creating a simple cellular automaton fire spread simulation model for urban areas. Further studies utilizing more fire incident data on with varying properties is recommended.

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